The S&P500 index (SPX) has extended its rise since our buy call 21 days ago: The price is at the moment on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 28. The Higher Lows trend-line below offers an additional Support level, with the last resort being the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) below, in case the 4H RSI breaks towards the Green Zone....
The S&P500 has extended its rise since our buy call 11 days ago: We are slightly modifying the technical parameters within this Channel Up that started back in November as the 1D RSI broke above its 3-week Resistance and on the previous bottom fractal of late December/ early January that translated into a price Resistance rejection and pull-back short-term to...
This is not the first time we look into the S&P500 (SPX) from a multi-decade perspective. Every time we look into the Cycles since the Great Depression we bring an additional element to the table. This time we break down parts of those Cycles even more and look into the RSI as well. This analysis will attempt to shed light into the doubt of, perhaps the majority...
The S&P500 (SPX) hit today the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) again and the Higher Lows since the March 13 bottom. That was a bottom on the 5-month Channel Up and the best buy opportunity on a 1 month time-frame. With the 4H RSI sequence similar to the Higher Lows of the previous bullish leg in late December/ early January, we see SPX attempting to price the new Low....
The S&P500 failed to close over the 4hour MA200 and is pulling back to the 4hour MA50. Buy this pull back as it is not only near the 0.5 Fibonacci level but also the Cup pattern's Support. Target Resistance A at 4080. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
The S&P500 index (SPX) is on a 1 week rebound following the March 13 Low which was made on Support Zone 2 and is so far on the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up. All candles have closed inside this pattern and as you see so far every bearish and bullish wave follows similar structure as the previous one. We are near the best buy signal since January 06 as the 1D...
The S&P500 is on a medium-term correction following the February 02 rejection just below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). The long-term pattern is a Cup formation and the price is approaching its buy Zone. Right now though it sits on the Higher Lows trend-line that has formed the medium-term Channel Up and is an ideal buy for the long-term, with limited downside....
It is more than a week ago that we called the exact bottom buy on the S&P500 (SPX) index: Our first target (4050) has been hit and the 'Powell pull-back' is giving us a new opportunity to enter. As you seethe 1D RSI rebounded exceptionally on the Support provided by the December 19 Low and what's left now is only for the 1D MACD to make a Bullish Cross and...
Last week we have made clear our short/ medium-term view on the S&P500 (SPX), calling a buy on the exact bottom of the Channel Up: It is time to look again, as we normally do on a monthly basis, on the bigger picture, looking at the 2D time-frame. The Channel Up is clear and so is the Resistance on the 2D MA200 (orange trend-line) which formed the previous...
The S&P500 isn't only supported this week on the 1day MA200 but also hit the Pivot line that separates the Bear from the Bull market. During the 2022 Bear market it was a Resistance, keeping all price action below it, having it total 6 rejections. This is the first time it is being tested from above as a Support. With a Channel Up having emerged as the pattern...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is trading between its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) ad the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the November 03 Low is attempting to price its new Lower High. Based on the symmetry provided by the 1D RSI that is on the 39.00 Support (Dec 19 and Dec 28 Double Bottom), the 1D MACD and and 4H Death Cross...
On our last week analysis for the S&P500 Index (SPX) we called for the start of the correction within this long-term Channel Up pattern: As you see the timing was spot on and the price broke below both the middle of the Channel Up and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Along with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the latter is close to forming a Death Cross on...
The S&P500 has been inside a Channel Up ever since the October 13th market bottom. Even though it didn't make a proper Higher High in February, the recent correction is still contained inside the Channel Up. The MA50 1D is holding. If the price makes a closing under it, the Rising Support assumes controls of the trend and becomes the prevailing pattern. Trading...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is pulling back after making a medium-term top on February 02. This isn't yet a Higher High on the Channel Up that started on the October 13 market bottom but it is a Higher High on the Diverging Higher High (light blue) that started on November 03. Keep in mind that the October Channel Up is what helped us take the accurate buy exactly on...
Two weeks ago the S&P500 index (SPX) closed above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of April 04 2022. Last week it tested the 1W MA50 as a Support, successfully held it and rebounded. If it wasn't for the rejection just below the 1W MA100, we would talk about the perfect break-out. Still however this is a nearly perfect recovery: a)...
The S&P500 index got rejected on Friday marginally under the R1 Zone (4,100 - 4,140) and is pullig-back having turned the 4H time frame neutral (RSI = 54.304, MACD = 15.240, ADX = 18.708). As we discussed previously, we are following the December fractal for direction. There was a Double Top rejection on R1 during December and when it broke under the 4H MA200, the...
This is the S&P500 index (SPX) against the Volatility Index (VIX). We've charted VIX's Cycles since June 2020 where the bottoms are in essence alarms and signals to be on the look out to sell and take profits on stocks while the tops are buy signals to enter the market. Based on that model, VIX appears to be entering the rising curve, meaning that a sell alarm is...
The S&P500 index (SPX) broke above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the second time during the start of the Bear Cycle in January 2022 and the first after December 12 2022. For the past three days it is being rejected there, which makes it a strong Resistance, along with the 'Prior Lower High', which is the level we pointed out last week on our SPX report: As...