DAX hit a new All Time High level, leading world stock indices on this rally and sending a clear message to markets globally: This rally has only just started. As you see on this 1M (monthly) time-frame, with the obvious exception of the COVID crash anomaly (Black Swan event), the index has been trading within a very stable Channel Up pattern since the start of...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is turning sideways following the enormous rally of November, which is close to being the best in history. That is a natural technical reaction by the market in an attempt to normalize the largely overbought 1D time-frame. This sideways trade that indicates a potential exhaustion, is complimented by the Bearish Divergence on the 4H RSI,...
DAX eventually broke to the upside following our previous trade idea (see chart below) and hit both our 15635 and 15995 targets: The index is now approaching Resistance 1 (16535), which is the All Time High (ATH) but the 1D CCI shows a Bearish Divergence and potential short-term pull-back. That would serve as an excellent accumulation opportunity for an...
Nasdaq (NDX) exceeded all expectations this month as following our November 01 buy signal (see chart below), not only did it hit the target but broke aggressively above the former Channel Down: Since November 21 basically it has turned sideways, in an attempt to normalize the previous overbought 1D technicals. It has already hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line)...
It's more than 2 weeks since we looked into Dow Jones (DJI), giving a bullish rebound signal on the 1D MA50 (see chart below) that quickly hit its target: The price is now significantly above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is roughly where the previous bullish wave of March - April took a medium-term pause and pulled-back first to the 1D MA50...
The S&P500 index (SPX) is on a relentless 1-month rally since since the October 27 bottom, having grown already by more than +11%. Since the August 16 2022 High, the index has entered into a long-term Channel Up sequence. The last two breaks below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) have been the Higher Lows and the best medium-term buy entry. The recent (October)...
Nasdaq (NDX) smashed through our bullish target when we issued a buy signal (see chart below) 2 weeks ago: Right now it is on a minor pull-back after hitting Resistance 1 (15930) yesterday, which is the July 19 High. That was the firs High of a potential Megaphone pattern and its structure so far resembles the Megaphone that formed the market bottom (October...
The S&P500 index (SPX) fulfilled our previous Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern, as even though it had a week closing below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it eventually bottomed and has since been on a 3-week rebound that broke above the Handle, turning the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) into a Support again. Perhaps the strongest technical development of the week is the...
It's been a bit long since we last took a trade on DAX (DE40) but it didn't disappoint as it hit both our buy and sell targets (see chart below) within the 3-month Channel Down: The rebound took place within the 6-month Support Zone and slightly under the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), similar to the March 20 rebound. The fractals are identical as they both...
Dow Jones (DJI) is having an excellent rebound ever since our October 31 buy signal (see chart below), which we issued after the index bottomed on the Higher Lows trend-line of the 12-month Channel Up: The price broke today even above the 3-month Bearish Megaphone, which was the pattern that executed the Channel Up correction. Today's rebound is being done...
It's no secret that the stock market and in this particular example, the S&P500 (chart on the left), is negatively correlated to the Volatility Index (chart on the right). What we do want to bring to your attention however is how tightly this correlation has been in the past 12 months with VIX's Falling Wedge having the price on its middle, almost on perfect...
The China A50 index (CN50) is trading within a Falling Wedge pattern and on the larger picture a Channel Up with its Higher Highs being on June 09 2015 and February 16 2021. The price is now closer to the Channel Up bottom and the pricing of a new long-term Higher Low (bottom), which already makes it a great buy opportunity. Of course the most optimal level to...
Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern since the June 17 2022 low and recently has found itself on a correctional 1.5 month wave under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Last week the 1D RSI breached the 30.00 oversold mark and immediately rebounded. It hasn't been that low since June 17...
Nasdaq (NDX) has a strong rebound near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, which formed the latest Lower Low at the bottom of the 3.5 month Channel Down. Ahead of today's Fed Rate Decision and Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls, it is important for investors to see the index holding the 1D MA200 as Support, as it will provide the technical backing for at least a...
Dow Jones (DJI) hit the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern by completing leg (e). This is a similar structure to the (a) - (e) sequence that bottomed on March 15. Technically this is the best buy opportunity on the index in the last 7 months. On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows during the prices (d) - (e) wave, showcasing a huge Bullish...
The S&P500 index had a green session yesterday as the price made a Lower Low at the bottom of the Channel Down and seems to be rebounding. Technically that is the bullish leg towards the new Lower High, with the previous being priced on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This Channel Down however, on a 1D RSI basis as well, resembles the August - October 2022...
S&P500 (SPX) has been on a correction mode since the week of July 24, completing 13 straight weeks (91 days) of pulling-back without a 50% retracement. As you can see on the charts above, which are on the 1W time-frame, this is the strongest such correction since October 03 2011, which stretched for 21 weeks. Even the recent Inflation Bear Cycle of 2022 had three...
The FTSE 100 Index (UK100) delivered a strong short-term buy signal last time we looked at it (see chart below): The index has been since rejected twice on the Lower Highs trend-line of what is almost a year long Descending Triangle. We will wait for a test of the Support Zone, ideally when the 1D RSI tests its Higher Lows trend-line and buy for the...