THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking at two levels as potential for the long trades and target for the short trades. We ideally wanted price to push upside and complete the long target before turning and then completing the short target. During the early part of the week, we activated short and gave caution on longs only to see the aggressive decline which hit our short target and completed our bias level and red box targets for the week.
All in all, a decent week in Camelot with Excalibur guiding and the EA hitting another full house of completed targets on Gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We're pondering on this bearish move and it’s giving us hints of a swing low so for that reason we’ve given the red box bias level at 4095 which will need to break for us to see a continuation of the move. Above there, we have immediate support at 4104 which if held can give us another bounce in the early sessions giving us a move upside into the 4140-50 regions initially.
Above that level there is a level sticking out sitting at 4173 with the extension level 4192 which if targeted is the level to keep an eye on for us. A break above there and it’s likely we will attempt to swing high from a lot higher up which we will need to navigate level to level. But a RIP there would be ideal if it happens with a clean reversal.
On the flip, we do want to see lower pricing on gold as we feel it’s not only needed, but it will give buyers better opportunities to get in for better positioning to carry trades upside into the higher target levels we have active. As we approach the end of the month, it's going to be another whipsaw and we would hope to complete the move, or, we'll most likely see some sideways accumulation leading into the next week.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 4095 with the ideal target 4274
Bearish below 4095 with the ideal target 4025
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 4115 for 4123, 4125 and 4140 in extension of the move
Break below 4095 for 4080, 4065 and 4050 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Support and Resistance
BTC/USDT: Rebound Builds Momentum Toward Key Resistance ZoneBTC/USDT is staging a sharp rebound from support, lifting above the accumulation zone and signaling renewed bullish momentum. Price action is now forming an upward channel, guided by a dynamic trendline aligned with past impulse legs.
A sustained move above 113,000 would likely confirm a continuation toward the 119,650 resistance area. Broader momentum suggests buyers are regaining control, with Bitcoin strengthening inside consolidation and preparing for a potential breakout.
XAU/USD: Sharp Pullback Tests $4,000 as Rally Takes a BreatherXAU/USD faced heavy turbulence this week, rallying initially before hitting strong resistance and reversing sharply toward the $4,000 psychological support. The selloff, accompanied by rising volume, signals potential exhaustion following the recent parabolic move.
A dip toward $3,900 would not indicate a breakdown, but rather a healthy correction, offering the market a chance to reset momentum and prepare for a more sustainable bullish leg ahead.
GBPJPY Eyes 203.000 as Risk-On Mood Weakens YenHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we’re monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around the 203.000 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the 203.000 support and resistance area, which aligns with the prevailing trend structure.
On the fundamental side, easing tensions between the US and China are fueling a risk-on environment, typically leading to weaker demand for safe-haven assets like the JPY. This sentiment shift could support further upside in GBPJPY if buyers step in at this level.
Trade safe,
Joe
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure.
If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Ahead!As I expected , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to drop thanks to the Double Top Pattern and reached its target at the Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) .
Now, do you think Gold will start dropping again, or will it resume its recent weeks’ uptrend?
Today, I’m going to do a short-term 15-minute analysis of Gold , so stay tuned.
At the moment, Gold is approaching a Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) —also a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) —and moving within an ascending channel . Overall, the recent moves in Gold over the past couple of days look like a pullback to the previous Support zone($4,192 – $4,137) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Gold , given the momentum of its recent drop, is completing corrective waves, and we should expect another decline .
I expect Gold to start dropping again from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and PRZ , and AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , it could fall at least down to around $4,039(First Target) .
Second Target: Support zone($4,011 – $3,981)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,222
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold 4H — Bearish Control With FVG Above
Gold continues to trade under bearish structural dominance, currently ranging between 4,161.535 (local supply) and 4,004.280 (structural support).
The market remains in compression, forming a potential redistribution range within a broader downtrend.
If price breaks below 4,004.280, it confirms a bearish BOS, opening the path toward the 4H Demand Zone (3,960–3,944) — where a reaction or further continuation could occur.
Above, two unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain at 4,240–4,320, serving as potential retracement targets if the market shows a corrective pullback after internal CHoCH.
However, as long as 4,161 holds as resistance, bearish dominance stays intact.
Range → Break → Mitigation → Continuation → Expansion.
Until structure shifts, rallies are just liquidity grabs.
Technical Outlook Summary:
Dominant Bias: Bearish
Range: 4,161 – 4,004
FVGs Above: 4,240–4,320
Demand Zone: 3,960–3,944
Break Below 4,004: Bearish continuation
Break Above 4,161: Temporary retracement, not reversal
NFA | AI generated | Educational Purpose Only
OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Bitcoin next hours can bring massive dump or Pump!!!The upcoming trading session is critical for Bitcoin as price approaches the significant $116,000 resistance zone. We are observing a notable increase in trading volume, which often serves as a precursor to a decisive price movement.
This volume surge ahead of a key level increases the probability of a bullish resolution. Our primary scenario anticipates a potential breakout. A confirmed daily close above $116,000, supported by sustained high volume, would validate this breakout and could initiate a strong bullish impulse.
In alignment with this thesis, we have strategically placed a buy-stop order above the $116,000 resistance. This order will only activate upon a valid and confirmed breakout, ensuring we are positioned for a potential continuation upward.
Conversely, as part of robust risk management, we must acknowledge the alternative scenario. Should the $116,000 resistance hold and provoke a bearish rejection, a breakdown below the $113,000 support level would become the expected outcome. This would signal a failure of the bullish attempt and likely trigger a short-term corrective move.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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S&P 500 Consolidation Turning Bullish StructureThe S&P 500 remains in a consolidation phase, leaning toward a bullish trend as it aims for new record highs once again.
Global stocks jumped on Monday to fresh intraday records, while the U.S. dollar eased on optimism that a potential trade deal between China and the U.S. may be approaching. Investors are also awaiting a series of central bank policy meetings and key earnings reports from several mega-cap companies.
From a technical perspective, prices continue to react strongly to the upside. If this upward momentum persists, the next resistance level is seen around 6,950.10.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
US 100 Index – Yesterday Saw New Record Highs, What Next?Fresh optimism regarding the potential for a US-China trade deal saw the US 100 rise to a new record high of 25889 early this morning, a daily gain of 2% and an unbelievable rise of 58% from its April 6th low at 16324 when trade tensions were at their height.
Now, across the rest of this week, US 100 traders may be focused on several key events to decide the next directional moves for the index. These are, the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, earnings from five of the Magnificent Seven corporates, and the face-to-face meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi. Let’s briefly discuss each one.
On Wednesday at 1800 GMT the Fed are fully expected to cut interest rates 25bps (0.25%) when they release the outcome from their 2-day policy meeting (FOMC). What is less certain is what comes next. Markets are still pricing in a high probability of another 25bps cut at the Fed’s next meeting in December, however any indication that this may not be a sure thing could lead to a more negative outcome for the US 100. The comments made by Fed Chairman Powell in the press conference, which starts at 1830 GMT, could be crucial in this regard.
Once the Fed press conference ends on Wednesday, traders may be absorbed by the release of earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta, which are followed by the updates from Amazon and Apple after the market close on Thursday. Remember, it wasn’t that long ago that worries about an AI bubble negatively impacted the US 100, and so the focus in these results could be on AI spending, future revenue growth and costs.
The final event is the face-to-face meeting between President’s Trump and Xi which takes place in South Korea on Thursday, the first in 6 years. Current expectations are for the heads of the world’s two biggest economies to agree a series of deals on rare earth metals, soybeans, shipping levies and export controls. Whether these agreements match up to expectations could be pivotal to the direction of the US 100 into the weekend.
Technical Update: Mind The Gaps!
CFD price activity typically forms in relatively smooth patterns, rising in uptrends or falling in downtrends. While brief corrections may occur, they’re often limited in scope and duration before the prevailing trend resumes, unless a shift in sentiment triggers a directional reversal.
Occasionally, within an orderly price advance or decline, acceleration phases emerge, which can result in gaps in price activity. These gaps occur when a CFD closes one session and then opens higher in an uptrend or lower in a downtrend the next day, reflecting a surge in trader interest in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Within technical analysis, there are three types of price gaps, each offering insight into trader sentiment and directional risk. Below is a brief overview of each.
Breakaway Gap: Typically seen at the start of a new trend, this gap reflects strong trader conviction, buyers are willing to pay higher prices at the open in an uptrend, or sellers accept lower prices in a downtrend. It can often be seen to complete a reversal pattern and signals a possible shift in sentiment.
Continuation Gap: Forming within an established trend, this gap can confirm ongoing sentiment, buyers continue to pay higher prices in an uptrend, or sellers accept lower prices in a downtrend. It reinforces confidence in the prevailing move.
Exhaustion Gap: Found in mature trends, this gap reflects late-stage trader entry at already overextended levels, reflecting poor timing, as most of the move has already occurred. It may signal panic buying or selling, with positioning then heavily skewed in the direction of the prevailing trend.
When positioning becomes overly one-sided, with no buyers left in an uptrend or sellers in a downtrend, price can be most vulnerable to a sentiment reversal, often triggering corrective moves.
US 100 Index: Watching the Gaps
The eagle-eyed among you will have noticed that the charts used to illustrate gap concepts above feature the activity of the US 100 Index, which since the April 7th low, is possibly a good example of these gaps in price action.
The latest gap, formed between last Friday’s close and Monday’s open, is labelled as both a possible continuation and exhaustion gap, as it’s unclear at present what this move currently represents. It could signal a continuation of the uptrend from the April lows, or mark an exhaustion point, raising the risk of a sentiment reversal.
Monitoring future price action may help determine whether the latest gap reflects continuation of the uptrend or signals exhaustion, suggesting the risk of price weakness.
If Latest Activity Proves to be a Continuation Gap
If the gap from Friday’s 25374 close is a continuation gap, it could signal a further phase of price strength. This would imply that if price action holds above 23474, upside momentum may still be evident.
If the US 100 Index holds above support at 25374 it may then go on to challenge the next resistance at 25937, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. A break above this level might even open the path toward 26393, which is the 100% extension.
If Latest Activity Proves to be an Exhaustion Gap
If the latest gap activity reflects exhaustion, with positioning skewed too far to the long side, it may lead to a phase of price weakness following the recent advance. A closing break below 25374 could build on these themes and even suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price weakness.
A move below 25374 could signal fading buying support, suggesting a shift toward lower levels. If evident, downside risks may extend to 25079, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, potentially even toward 24668, a level marking the 61.8% retracement.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Can Nifty Turn Bullish After Today’s Sideways Breakdown?Today, the market broke the sideways range on the upside but soon faced rejection at resistance.
After that, it reversed sharply and broke the same sideways zone on the downside, showing clear intraday weakness.
Now, the key question is — was today’s move just a trap or a genuine shift in sentiment?
If Nifty holds above the lower range and buyers step in, we might see a short-term bullish recovery tomorrow.
If you liked this analysis, hit like, follow for daily Chart Talks, and share your thoughts below!
📈 Disclaimer: For educational purposes only, not a buy/sell recommendation.
ZCASH 1HZCASH / USDT – 1H Analysis
ZEC is forming a Double Top pattern with strong resistance around the $355–360 zone.
After breaking below the neckline and confirming a potential retest, price could continue to drop toward the FVG 4H zone ($320–330) and possibly extend lower to the FVG 1H zone ($275–285).
Key insights:
Bearish structure confirmed after failing to reclaim resistance
MACD showing weakening momentum
Short-term targets: $320 → $280
If price reclaims $360+, the bearish scenario may be invalidated.
#YodaXCalls
XAU/USD Bearish structure🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) – Daily Outlook
**Current Price**: ~$3,931
**Previous Monthly High**: $3,875
**Key Support Broken**: $3,950
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🔻 Bearish Momentum
- Gold is showing **downward pressure**, having broken below the **$3,950 support** level.
- If the bearish trend continues, price may retest the **previous monthly high at $3,875** as a new support zone.
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🗞️ News Drivers Today
- 🇺🇸 **U.S. Consumer Confidence (CB)** at 14:30 CET
→ If data is strong, USD may rise → gold under pressure
→ If data is weak, gold could rebound
- 🇪🇺 **Eurozone PPI & German GfK Confidence**
→ Strong inflation could shift flows into EUR, reducing gold demand
- 🌍 **U.S.–China Trade Deal Speculation**
→ Optimism may reduce safe-haven demand → bearish for gold
→ If talks stall, gold could bounce back
- ⚠️ **U.S. Government Shutdown**
→ Data uncertainty adds volatility and risk-off sentiment
CADJPY: Another Trap?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on a live stream today is on CADJPY.
It looks like we have a confirmed bearish trap here,
and the price is steadily recovering after a false violation of a key support.
I expect a rise at least to 109.08 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Qualcomm new AI chips*Qualcomm made new AI chips called AI200 and AI250:
- After this news, Qualcomm’s stock price went up by 12%.
- These chips help Qualcomm join the AI data center market and compete with big companies like Nvidia.
- Qualcomm’s profits are strong, and it is managing costs well.
- The company got its first customer, called HUMAIN, for these AI products.
- Experts think Qualcomm has good future potential, even if some numbers are mixed.
And technically
We are around the middle of a long-term channel
and regarding the mid-term chart,
We have 3 great zones to enter the market,
both for investing and trading
S&P 500 Analysis – 26 October 2025
- S&P 500 broke resistance level 6800.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 7000.00
S&P 500 index opened today with the upward gap which broke the key resistance level 6800.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (3) at the start of October, as can be seen from the daily S&P 500 index chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 6800.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the medium-term impulse sequence (5) from the start of this month.
Having just broken out of the daily up channel from August, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 7000.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
BTC has a bright future and is bullish with no regretsThanks to the positive news of the easing of Sino-US trade tensions over the weekend, BTC has gradually recovered from the severe consolidation it has experienced repeatedly since the brutal crash on October 10. This modest recovery appears to confirm the continuation of its upward trajectory.
From the perspective of technical indicators, the MACD golden cross continues to increase in volume and is always above the signal line, further strengthening the bullish sentiment of BTC. At the same time, from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly as prices have risen, indicating that short-term volatility has increased. The fact that BTC prices have remained largely near the upper Bollinger Band suggests that, at this point, the market is more likely to continue its upward trend than to reverse.
However, it is worth noting that the small cycle is trending downward, and the divergence between RSI and price suggests that there may be profit-taking in the short term. Therefore, in the short term, BTC may face a small pullback to retest support before rising.
Pay attention to 114000-113000 below. If it retreats here, you can consider going long on BTC with a light position, with the target at 115000-117000.
SOLANA → Consolidation before resistance. An attempt at growth?BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is testing the resistance of the trading range, with pre-breakout consolidation forming, indicating that buyer interest in the coin is emerging.
Bitcoin looks positive, which sets a positive tone in the market. Solana is testing the resistance of consolidation at 194.50; a breakout and close above this level could trigger a distribution to 210.
Focus on local consolidation at 191-195. Before attempting to break through resistance, the coin price may test the zone of interest at 191 - 188.7. A false breakout could cause a shift in market potential in favor of the buyer, which in turn could trigger a breakout of 195 and growth.
Resistance levels: 194.5, 209
Support levels: 190.1, 188.7
A retest of resistance, consolidation after growth, and no reaction to bears are positive signs that a breakout attempt may be realized. A close above 194.5 - 195.0 would be a good sign for growth.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
GOLD → Technical analysis of the current situation FX:XAUUSD is consolidating, and the daily market behavior pattern is not particularly positive, but it does have bullish implications. Market sentiment largely depends on the fundamental background
This week, the Fed is expected to hold a meeting on interest rates, where it will most likely decide to lower them, which could generally support the dollar (but this news is most likely already priced in). Accordingly, the rest depends on decisions regarding the shutdown, trade war, and inflation. The resolution of the first two issues may weaken the price.
As for the technical side, since the price is currently within the trading range, it is worth considering trading within these limits first. However, a breakout and closing above/below one of the key levels: 4060 - 4150 could trigger further movement in the direction of the breakout, which in turn could push the price into another (bearish or bullish) trading range. Below, there is the 4000 zone, and there is a possibility of a retest of this area, with a potentially aggressive reaction.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4218, 4275
Support levels: 4060, 4015, 3944
While uncertainty remains, the market may continue to hold the price between 4060 and 4150. Another retest of the range boundary and the reaction to this retest will show the market's intentions for further movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETH soon will get the ticket of moonThe market structure for Ethereum has turned decidedly bullish following its decisive breakout above the key $4,400 level, which coincided with a major descending trendline resistance. A confirmed and sustained move above this level typically validates the strength of the breakout. This technical development suggests a high probability of a significant upward impulse, with initial projected targets residing in the $5,000 to $7,000 range.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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GOLD | Bearish Bias Holds Below $3,944 Amid Trade OptimismGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Trades Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Rises
Gold continues to slide, as optimism over a potential U.S.–China trade deal and improving global outlook weakens demand for safe-haven assets.
The metal is now down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $4,377 (Oct 20), with the recent rally losing steam as traders take profits amid signs of progress in trade negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.
Technical Overview
Gold dropped nearly $150, exactly as projected in our previous outlook.
The price remains under bearish pressure while below 3,944, targeting 3,893, and a break below that could extend the decline toward 3,855 → 3,818.
However, a 1H close above 3,944 would indicate a potential reversal, opening the way for a retest of 3,970 → 4,011.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 3,932 – 3,944
Support: 3,893 · 3,855 · 3,819
Resistance: 3,970 · 4,011 · 4,053
Outlook:
Gold stays bearish below 3,944, with downside potential toward 3,855 if trade optimism persists.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 3,944 would shift bias back to short-term bullish toward 4,011.






















