Support and Resistance
ASML Holding | ASML | Long at $680.00NASDAQ:ASML Holding, a developer and servicer of advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers, dipped backed into my overall, long-term selected simple moving average (SMA). From here, stocks typically bounce or drop, but given the AI boom is far from "over", I anticipate another bounce to eventually close the gap near $1,060. It may show some minor weakness to close the gap in the low $600s and get the bears excited. But, unless the economy further shows major weakness in the semiconductor space, NASDAQ:ASML is in my personal "buy zone" at $680.
Target #1 = $730.00
Target #2 = $915.00
Target #3 = $1,060.00
NZDJPY 4HR Technical & Fundamental AnalysisNZDJPY 4HR Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has been signalling a dovish monetary policy stance, remaining under pressure as other central banks continue tightening. This ongoing structural weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY) provides a bullish tailwind for NZD/JPY.
Meanwhile, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to benefit from global risk-on sentiment, pro-cyclical flows, and solid domestic fundamentals. As noted in recent market commentary, there has been “renewed selling pressure on the Yen and resilient domestic fundamentals supporting NZD.”
On the technical side, we can observe that price broke above the minor key resistance at 88.00, creating a small gap between levels. After the breakout, price began to accumulate buy positions, forming a consolidation phase.
Within this consolidation, we can identify two key candlestick patterns — a bullish engulfing candle forming at the retested key level zone, which indicates a potential continuation of bullish momentum. However, liquidity has not yet been formed, so we are waiting for a liquidity grab within the liquidity zone before anticipating a move back upward.
Once liquidity is formed, we may also see the gap being filled, providing additional confirmation for the next bullish leg and a possible breakout above key resistance.
Our trading plan:
🎯 Buy Limit: 88.020 (upon retest of key level)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 87.840 (below liquidity zone)
💰 Take Profit (TP): 88.580 (next minor resistance)
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
Meanwhile, traders can also consider a selling opportunity if price breaks below the minor key support at 87.700, as NZD remains sensitive to global commodity demand and China’s economic outlook. Any downturn in risk sentiment — or a surprise policy tightening from the BOJ — could strengthen the Yen and potentially reverse the current bullish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
ZBTUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.2444BINANCE:ZBTUSDT.P recently broke through the only support level it had been consolidating above for five days. This indicates accumulated momentum for a further move. The lack of reaction to the breakout also supports a short-side scenario.
I’m watching to ensure volatility doesn’t spike during a potential retest of the level — if it remains stable, the setup could turn into a strong short opportunity.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC)
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
No reaction after a false break
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Copper (XCUUSD)After forming the final Higher High, price rejected the recent peak and broke below previous Higher Lows — confirming a shift in structure and marking the start of a bearish Indication phase. The market now appears to be in Correction, retracing into broken structure levels. A visible gap below adds confluence for a potential move lower. Waiting for a confirmed Lower High to validate Continuation in alignment with the 4H downtrend
EUR/CHF: Watch .9268 for Break or FadeEUR/CHF sits at an interesting level, pressing against the intersection of horizontal and downtrend resistance at .9268 after bouncing from key support at .9211 last week. With momentum indicators now far less bearish than earlier this month, near-term moves could prove instructive for longer-term directional risks. Given we’re dealing with two European currencies, price signals during the European session carry extra weight.
If resistance at .9268 holds, shorts could be considered beneath the level with a stop above to guard against a bullish continuation. The obvious target would be .9211, though price action around .9245 warrants close attention as it aligns with the uptrend from the October 21 low.
Conversely, a close above .9268 would signal the potential start of a new trend, putting higher levels in play. .9300 is not the cleanest level but screens as an initial target, followed by the intersection of the 50DMA and horizontal resistance at .9325.
Momentum shows diminishing downside pressure, with RSI (14) trending higher but still below 50, while MACD is on the cusp of confirming the cautionary message to bears, about to cross the signal line from below while remaining under zero. Selling rallies is therefore marginally favoured, but don’t be wedded to the idea if price signals clearly contradict.
Good luck!
DS
CAN GBPAUD RESUME ITS BULLISH MOVE FROM HERE?After a nice breakout from the downward trendline, and a slow movement into the demand zone, GBPAUD might be getting reading for a long buy into recent highs to claim it bullishness. The market must give a clear rejection of this demand zone or any other entry criteria before we can clearly find a buy position. Pending that time, I have a (RR trade that is potentially here for me.
Cheers
BitcoinBitcoin continues in a clear uptrend, respecting the ascending trendline. Currently, the price is pulling back to the support zone near 114,000, an area that previously acted as resistance and now serves as a defense point for buyers.
As long as support holds firm, the scenario favors a continuation of the upward movement, with a projected target at the resistance level around 120,000.
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5850.
We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at 0.5720)
Our profit targets will be 0.5825 and 0.5850
Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825
Support: 0.5750 / 0.5725 / 0.5700
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Silver Analysis – 26 October 2025
- Silver broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 45.00
Silver recently broke the support zone between the support trendline from August, support level 48.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor correction 2 of the extended impulse wave (3) from August.
Silver can be expected to fall further toward the next support level 45.00, the breakout of which can lead to further losses toward the round support level 40.00.
S&P 500 Analysis – 26 October 2025
- S&P 500 broke resistance level 6800.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 7000.00
S&P 500 index opened today with the upward gap which broke the key resistance level 6800.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (3) at the start of October, as can be seen from the daily S&P 500 index chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 6800.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the medium-term impulse sequence (5) from the start of this month.
Having just broken out of the daily up channel from August, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 7000.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
CRUDE OIL Potential Short! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
CRUDE OIL Price is reacting to a clear Horizontal Supply Area after liquidity sweep above the recent swing high. Smart money positioning suggests a short-term redistribution phase as sell-side liquidity below $61 becomes the draw.Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point at AOi
Around Psychological Level 2.05000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
BITCOIN CLEAR REJECTION|SHORT|
✅BTCUSD made a liquidity grab above the previous high, price sharply rejected from the 4H supply area, confirming a fakeout and shift in order flow. The market structure suggests redistribution, with inefficiency below acting as the draw on liquidity. Expect short-term delivery toward $114,000. Time Frame 4H.
SHORT🔥
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MIND Technology, 2000% return after decades of resistance?Sometimes a chart doesn’t need hype, just patience. MIND Technology has spent the better part of two decades in a long-term downtrend, trading within a clearly defined descending channel. Each test of the upper boundary has met firm rejection, most recently in 2011, 2018, and again through 2021–2023.
The decline from its 2011 high was brutal, a near 98% drawdown that crushed all bullish sentiment. But what’s interesting now is where price action currently sits, pressing into the same resistance zone that defined the last decade of lower highs.
The RSI tells the same story. The oscillator has mirrored price in a long-term falling structure, with every test of resistance aligning with cycle tops. RSI is now pressing against that same diagonal ceiling, following a resistance breakout.
What’s Next
The key level to watch is $10–$12, where long-term support turned resistance. Price action is now attempting to retest this zone from below, overlapping both horizontal resistance and the upper boundary of the channel.
If price fails to close above this region, history suggests a repeat of past behaviour and rejection with a move back toward the midline or lower channel support. If, however, we see a monthly close and hold above $12, that would mark the first confirmed breakout of this 15-year downtrend, opening the door for a structural reversal.
Should that breakout occur, the next major resistance doesn’t appear until $24–$26, a level corresponding to the 2018 high and Fibonacci extension of the current range. After that the moonshot to $250.
Conclusions
After nearly 15 years of lower highs, MIND Technology is facing its moment of truth.
A clean breakout above $12 would confirm a long-term trend reversal and could ignite a multi-year recovery phase, but until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish.
The RSI resistance adds weight to caution; it’s not yet signalling breakout strength. Traders betting on upside here are betting on confirmation before it exists.
In short:
* Below $12 → still resistance, trend intact.
* Above $12 → confirmation, potential start of a new cycle.
Patience pays. Let the chart prove it.
Ww
===========================
Disclaimer
This post is for educational purposes only and reflects personal market analysis and opinion, it is not financial advice.
Always perform your own due diligence, understand your risk, and make trading or investment decisions based on your own research and strategy. Markets don’t reward predictions, they reward patience and confirmation.
ZCASH 1HZCASH / USDT – 1H Analysis
ZEC is forming a Double Top pattern with strong resistance around the $355–360 zone.
After breaking below the neckline and confirming a potential retest, price could continue to drop toward the FVG 4H zone ($320–330) and possibly extend lower to the FVG 1H zone ($275–285).
Key insights:
Bearish structure confirmed after failing to reclaim resistance
MACD showing weakening momentum
Short-term targets: $320 → $280
If price reclaims $360+, the bearish scenario may be invalidated.
#YodaXCalls
BTC has a bright future and is bullish with no regretsThanks to the positive news of the easing of Sino-US trade tensions over the weekend, BTC has gradually recovered from the severe consolidation it has experienced repeatedly since the brutal crash on October 10. This modest recovery appears to confirm the continuation of its upward trajectory.
From the perspective of technical indicators, the MACD golden cross continues to increase in volume and is always above the signal line, further strengthening the bullish sentiment of BTC. At the same time, from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly as prices have risen, indicating that short-term volatility has increased. The fact that BTC prices have remained largely near the upper Bollinger Band suggests that, at this point, the market is more likely to continue its upward trend than to reverse.
However, it is worth noting that the small cycle is trending downward, and the divergence between RSI and price suggests that there may be profit-taking in the short term. Therefore, in the short term, BTC may face a small pullback to retest support before rising.
Pay attention to 114000-113000 below. If it retreats here, you can consider going long on BTC with a light position, with the target at 115000-117000.
METUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.5067BINANCE:METUSDT.P is consolidating near its lowest price point. Buyers show no attempt to absorb the decline, indicating weak demand. A continuation of the downward move is likely. The key reference level is 0.5067. Low volatility before the breakout remains an essential condition.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
Consolidation with price compression (squeeze)
Closing near the level
No reaction after a false break
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Palantir (PLTR) hit a new All Time HighPalantir (PLTR) ht a new All-Time-High (ATH) at $192.83 today.
Many of my friends said, ''Rawlings, why did you sell off at ATH?''
As an investor who knows how to be content, I learned my lessons along the way.
I bought my last PLTR holdings at the rate of $158.98 and sold at $191.89.
I made $32.91 for every $158.98 that I invested = over 20% ROI.
As a technical Analyst, I see a possibility of this stock pulling back a bit if the rally continues.
My target re-entry will be $180 zone and a retest of the ascending trendline on my chart.
Trade with care.
Also remember that knowing how to TP is a skill
USOIL WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL/b] after engineering liquidity above the recent high, price reacted sharply from the 4H supply area, suggesting distribution by institutional players. With buy-side liquidity swept, the market now looks poised to rebalance inefficiency below the $61 handle. Time Frame 4H.
SHORT🔥
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USDJPYUSDJPY – Possible Correction After Rejection at Resistance
The pair has been in a strong uptrend, but is showing signs of exhaustion as it approaches the resistance zone at 153.250. After multiple unsuccessful breakout attempts, the price begins to lose momentum and breaks the short-term trendline.
As long as the price remains below this resistance, there is room for a correction to the support zone at 151.500, where the market can seek new liquidity before deciding its next directional move.






















