Support and Resistance
Inverse Head & Shoulders on Bitcoin – Breakout or Bull Trap?Right now, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving within its Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) .
Over the past couple of days, it tried twice to break this area but couldn’t. One big reason is that recently, there was news that Japan is considering allowing banks to invest in crypto . Also, yesterday, Trump confirmed he’ll meet with China’s president on October 31st , which the market took as a positive sign that US-China tensions might ease. Previously, the market dropped on news of potential tariffs, and now it’s reacting to the possible easing of those tensions.
In the last 24-48 hours , Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern , which could signal a short-term bullish reversal. However, there are still important resistance levels and cumulative short liquidation areas overhead. We need to see if Bitcoin can break through those.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin still seems to be in a corrective structure, and until it gets above around $116,000 , there’s still a risk of further downside. So we shouldn’t get too excited about the recent 48-hour bounce.
In short, I expect Bitcoin might push up to those Resistance lines , the Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation($115,241-$113,454) , thanks to the inverse head and shoulders, but it could face resistance there and possibly drop again.
Note: It seems that we may see an increase in Bitcoin with the opening of the US market, but because the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) is in a correction situation, we can expect Bitcoin to fall again.
Note: Crypto market conditions depend on many parameters these days, and be sure to observe capital management.
New CME Gap: $107,690-$107,220
Cumulative Long Liquidation: $107,000-$105,782
Cumulative Short Liquidation: $112,241-$111,398
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH ZoneUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH Zone
USNAS100 reached a new all-time high but has now stabilized below the supply zone, suggesting a bearish correction phase.
As long as price stays below 25,180, the index remains under pressure toward 25,035 → 24,960 → 24,860.
🕯 Technical View
A 1H close above 25,230 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 25,400 → 25,600.
Pivot: 25,180
Bias: Bearish below 25,180
USDJPY - Price will surely fill the gap in the near futureUSDJPY remains within a strong ascending channel, holding above the 200 EMA and showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The gap left behind during the last impulsive rally remains unfilled which can be filled after a reversal from below mentioned zones.
Resistance:
153.62
154.89
Support:
150.17
147.93
Are alt season dreams about to become a nightmare? - Oct 21stThe term “alt season” refers roughly to the 10-month period that historically follows each Bitcoin halving, a window when capital rotation from Bitcoin into the broader crypto market drives explosive gains across alternative tokens.
The above 10 day chart shows the OTHERS market total (top 125 cryptos excluding BTC, ETH, XRP, and stable coins). Historically this 10-month phase has been a golden era for alt holders. But this time… something’s changed.
Back in June, I published “ Is Alt Season Dead? ”, the premise was simple: price action had already failed to respond in the first half of the window. Fast forward to October, and that thesis hasn’t just held, it’s been confirmed.
While influencers continue chanting “Get in before it’s too late!”, the chart says otherwise.
The facts are undeniable:
The 10-month window has closed , and altcoins failed to deliver.
Support has failed , price action has exited its ascending channel for the second time.
A bear flag has printed , projecting an additional $140 billion decline in total market cap, returning valuations back to early-2021 levels.
Let’s talk RSI
The RSI must close October above 45 (blue circles) to avoid confirmation of breakdown.
If that fails, expect the pattern that has defined every prior cycle: an 80% correction across the market total.
Look left. Each time RSI failed to hold this zone, the market total collapsed. And this time a collapse would revert to test the 2017 cycle top, a key structural backtest that historically marked capitulation.
In simple terms:
Above 45 → possible stabilisation
Below 45 → capitulation risk rises sharply.
What’s causing all this?
Two forces have combined to break the old altcoin model:
1. Token dilution
The flood of new tokens has fragmented liquidity beyond recognition. The market is now so diluted that true value plays are buried beneath layers of speculative noise. Most investors aren’t selecting projects, they’re using a "spray and pray" approach. This is unsustainable, and a grand flush-out is overdue.
2. Leverage dependence
At present, leveraged products account for nearly three times the capital entering spot markets. This imbalance has turned what used to be natural corrections into systemic liquidations. The $19 billion wipeout earlier this month wasn’t an accident, it was the inevitable result of excess leverage meeting low liquidity. Don't blame market manipulators, it was you.
Until that dynamic resets, alt season as we once knew it simply cannot exist.
Conclusions
The 2025 “alt season” wasn’t a bull run, it was a slow unwind disguised as optimism.
The data shows structural weakness, not strength.
If RSI fails to hold 45, history suggests another 70–80% drawdown across the alt market is not only possible but likely. This isn’t fear-mongering, it’s statistical repetition.
The dream of alt season has turned into the perfect trap.
And most are still cheering it on.
Ww
========================================
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and expresses personal opinion, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are speculative and high-risk. Always perform your own research, understand your exposure, and base decisions on confirmation, not narrative.
Patience, risk control, and data (not hype) decide who survives the next cycle.
What to do after the plunge? Strategy has been updatedGold opened higher today, testing the peak at 4381 before coming under pressure and declining. During the session, it pulled back to a low of 4317, rebounded to around the 4345 level, and then started a cascading drop. Currently, it is consolidating with fluctuations near 4266.
We have only executed one successful trade during the Asian session so far today, and all traders who followed the operation have gained good profits. As this wave of gold's decline is relatively rapid, for prudence, we can first observe the market temporarily and will inform everyone when there is an opportunity for operation.
Trading Strategy
Keep an eye on the trend during the European session.
If gold fluctuates weakly in the European session, we will go short when it rebounds in the US session.
If gold rebounds strongly in the European session, we will go long on gold when it pulls back in the US session.
I will update trading signals in real time in the channel. You can follow it if needed.
XAUUSD Bearish analysis EMA50 Breakdown 📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Update 💰
Gold faced strong rejection from the major supply zone around 4375 🔻
After breaking below the 50 EMA, bearish momentum is clearly building on the 30M timeframe ⚙️
Current Price: 4330 🟡
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 4313 – First support level
2️⃣ 4287 – Second target zone
📍 Key Demand Zone: Around 4207, where buyers may look to step in again 🏦
💡 Bias: Bearish below 4375 / Watch for reactions near 4313 and 4287 for potential short-term scalps or pullbacks.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #BearishTrend 📊
US Index is getting stronger and ready to climb the 100.149 markAfter rebounding from the 97.45 support zone, DXY is regaining strength above the 200 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum. However, the broader price structure bearish strength will take over.
The MACD is currently showing a bullish crossover from oversold levels, supporting the ongoing corrective move to the upside. Once the index approaches the resistance region, momentum could begin to fade, leading to a potential bearish reversal.
Resistance Zone: 99.80, 100.50 and ultimate 100.14
Immediate Resistance: 98.93 followed by 99.84
Support Levels: 97.46 and 96.87 trendline support
$sol 1hr long setup Market Structure: Higher highs/lows intact - bullish continuation pattern
Liquidity Grab: Recent dip to $182.74 likely swept sell-side liquidity below previous low
Optimal Trade Entry: Current zone around $185-186 presents potential long entry
BILL WILLIAMS ALLIGATOR CONFIRMATION:
Price currently trading ABOVE the Alligator's lips/jaws (bullish alignment)
TRADE PLAN:
Entry Zone: $185.00 - $185.50 (with confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below $182.50 (respecting market structure)
Targets:
TP1: $187.11 (immediate FVG)
TP2: $190.00 (psychological + structural)
TP3: $193.78 (swing high extension)
RISK MANAGEMENT:
Position size according to 1-2% risk rule
Kaspa $KAS bullish 21 EMA breakout on the 4hrly chart.CRYPTO:KASUSD #Kaspa breaking out on the 4hrly above the dashed-white resistance line as well as the red 21 EMA.
Waiting for current candle close above the red 21 EMA for confirmation.
Continuing to DCA during the fear and uncertainty (US-Gov Shutdown, PRC +100% Tarifs, QE looming, etc.) to accumulate in anticipation of FUD eventually being resolved.
Managed to buy a lot more CRYPTO:KASUSD with CRYPTOCAP:BTC at ca. 3 cents and still DCAing atm. Got caught off guard by the +100% PRC tariff triggered mass liquidation induced dump. But only the price has changed, fundamentals kept on improving.
If 10 cents was a good buy. 3 cents and now 5 cents+ is a way better accumulation level, while the market remains fearful and bleeding red.
FusionGap Histogram has also flipped bullish on the 3hrly (an early signal to the 4hrly if price holds above 21 EMA).
GBP/AUD: Downward movement is Expected!The 📉GBPAUD price formed a head and shoulders pattern, and its neckline was breached yesterday on a 4-hour time frame.
A retest is currently underway.
It seems highly probable that the price will continue to decline, potentially reaching the 2.0500 level in the near future.
GBPAUD - Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish move.
Downtrend line breakout.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Tuesday, Oct 21st Weekly Forecast UPDATES!Welcome to the Weekly Forecast Updates!
In this video, we will analyze the following markets: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NASDAQ, S&P500
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Bitcoin going to $45 000Show me the charts , I'll tell you the news......
CRYPTO it's not a market...
Y'all are trading bitcoin (crypto) and guess what , majority are going to cry, bitcoin it's more than $100k because of trading not the usage of bitcoin, y'all don't understand the entire crypto as a whole.....
Crypto is not a market.....
Don't worry, you'll found out the day ,you lose everything.... Majority bought bitcoin above $90 000 so it's inevitable, we going below, buckle up
XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK!The daily market outlook from the daily timeframe perspective shows how market is beginning to decline from the resistance high of 4300 psychological level. We may likely experience a short-term correction more bullish price action can develop. Therefore, from the intraday perspective, we’re looking forward to selling gold (XAUUSD)
VeChain revisits its 2020 demand zone## **VeChain (VET/USD) — Macro Structural Analysis | Monthly Outlook**
### 🧭 **Market Context**
As of **October 2025**, VeChain (VET) has returned to the **same macro demand zone** that formed in **October 2020**, the foundation of its previous bull cycle.
The **flash crash this month** brought the price down to a historical accumulation level between **$0.009 – $0.013**, creating a structural mirror of the early 2020 setup before the 2021 rally.
This move suggests that VET is now testing a **critical long-term support**, aligning with the broader market phase where altcoins typically consolidate before a new expansion cycle.
---
### 📊 **Technical Structure**
* **Support Zone:** $0.009 – $0.013
* **Resistance Range:** $0.035 – $0.050
* **Macro Invalidation:** Monthly close below $0.009
The current monthly candle shows **a deep wick and strong price rejection**, signaling possible *liquidity absorption* at the lows.
Maintaining this structural base above **$0.013** could confirm a **macro bottom formation**, with potential continuation toward **$0.05 – $0.07** during **Q2–Q3 2026**, particularly if **Bitcoin dominance** begins to decline as projected.
---
### 🪙 **Fundamental Overview**
VeChain remains one of the leading **enterprise-focused Layer-1 blockchains**, providing real-world solutions in **supply chain management, logistics, and carbon tracking**.
* **Market Cap:** ≈ $1.25B
* **Circulating Supply:** ≈ 72.5B VET
* **On-Chain Metrics:** Stabilizing activity and rising VTHO consumption indicate renewed network usage.
This fundamental resilience supports the idea that VeChain could be entering a **re-accumulation phase**, mirroring the 2020–2021 structural rhythm.
---
### 🔭 **Outlook**
If this historical symmetry continues, VeChain could remain within a **sideways accumulation structure** until **April 2026**, before initiating a new bullish expansion phase.
A confirmed break above **$0.035** would likely mark the first signal of structural recovery across the altcoin sector.
---
### ⚠️ **Disclaimer**
This analysis is for **educational and informational purposes only** and does **not constitute financial advice**.
All opinions represent my **personal market perspective** and may change without notice.
Trading cryptocurrencies involves **significant risk**, and investors should perform their own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making decisions.
GOLD → The correction forms a trading range. Growth?FX:XAUUSD is adjusting to $4250 after retesting the all-time high of 4380. Short-term pressure is linked to hopes for an easing of the trade war between the US and China, but the bullish trend remains intact.
Key factors: Bentsen's meeting with the Chinese Vice Premier this week has revived optimism for a deal. The reduction in trade risks is temporarily supporting the USD. Hassett's statements about the imminent resumption of government work have reinforced risk-on sentiment.
Support for gold: The threat of tariffs rising to 155% from November 1 reminds us of the risks. Two rate cuts before the end of the year remain in focus. Friday's inflation data release and US corporate earnings reports are keeping demand for hedging alive.
Accordingly, the correction in gold is a temporary pause. The uptrend will remain unchanged as long as macro uncertainty persists.
Support levels: 4250, 4218
Resistance levels: 4278, 4316
Within the bullish trend, the price is forming a trading range. A retest of support could end in a recovery, with the fundamental background favoring the bulls. A retest of 4245 could trigger growth, as could a breakout of 4278 (closing above resistance).
Best regards, R. Linda!
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) – 4H OutlookPrice action has shown a strong recovery from recent lows, breaking above the previous structure and retesting key support. I’ll be looking for a buy opportunity on a clean break and retest of the red resistance zone (around 25,150–25,270).
If the level holds as new support, the next bullish target lies at the black resistance level near 26,100–26,200, which aligns with the higher-timeframe supply zone.
A failure to hold the red zone could invalidate the setup and shift focus back toward the lower liquidity area near 24,700.
Bias: Bullish continuation on confirmed retest
Entry: Break and retest of 25,150–25,270
Target: 26,100–26,200
Invalidation: Below 25,000
US30 (Dow Jones) 4H AnalysisPrice has broken out of the falling wedge pattern and is now approaching a key retest zone around 46,600–46,650 & 46 400. I’m watching for a bullish confirmation on the retest to enter long, targeting the next resistance zones.
✅ Entry: On confirmed retest of the breakout zone
🎯 First Target: 47,450
🎯 Final Target: 48,227
🛑 Stop Loss: Below the support area around 46,450
The recent break of structure combined with bullish momentum and neckline breakout signals potential continuation to the upside this week.
📅 Looking for bullish continuation into higher resistance levels if price holds above the breakout zone.






















