SILVER (XAGUSD): Confirmed Breakout
As I predicted yesterday, Silver successfully violated a key
horizontal resistance cluster.
It turned into a support now.
I will expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 88.0
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Technical Analysis
FOMO When Gold Explodes: The Trap Most Traders Fall IntoIf you’ve ever chased a strong gold rally, entered a trade out of fear of “missing the move,” and then watched price reverse and stop you out minutes later — you’re not alone.
That’s FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), and it is one of the most dangerous psychological traps when trading XAUUSD.
How FOMO shows up when gold moves aggressively
Gold is a market known for speed, volatility, and expansion.
When price starts printing large bullish candles, the trader’s mind often reacts instinctively:
“Price is running, if I don’t enter now I’ll miss it”
“Everyone is buying, it must keep going”
“I’ll just enter quickly and use a tight stop”
The problem is simple: you’re reacting emotionally, not executing a plan.
In many cases, those strong impulsive moves you see are:
- The late-stage expansion of a trend
- A liquidity push designed to trigger late buy orders
- Or the area where institutions begin distributing positions
By the time FOMO kicks in, the best part of the move is often already over.
Why FOMO is especially dangerous in gold trading
Unlike many forex pairs, gold:
- Creates sharp spikes and deep pullbacks
- Frequently produces false breakouts around key levels
- Sweeps both sides before committing to the real direction
When you trade with FOMO:
- Stops are placed too tight
- Entries are made at expensive prices
- A normal technical pullback is enough to take you out
Price may still move in the direction you expected — just without you in the trade.
Signs you’re trading with FOMO (even if you don’t realize it)
Ask yourself:
- Did I enter because of my plan, or because price was moving too fast?
- Am I trading outside my pre-marked zones?
- Am I ignoring market structure because I’m afraid of missing out?
If the answer is yes, FOMO is likely driving your decision.
How to avoid the FOMO trap when gold is running
1. Trade levels, not candles
Large green candles are not signals. Zones are.
If price has already left your area, accept the missed opportunity.
2. Ask one key question: “Who is entering here?”
If you buy after a strong expansion, you’re often buying from traders who are taking profit.
3. Accept missing trades as part of the game
No professional trader catches every move.
Missing a trade is cheaper than forcing a loss.
4. Wait for reactions, not movement
The market always offers a second chance — pullbacks, consolidations, or clearer structure.
AUDUSD is Nearing an Important Support!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.66600 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.38900 zone, USDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.38900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
No Rush. No FOMO. Just Levels!CAPITALCOM:US100 Price is currently trading inside a higher timeframe premium supply zone, where previous distribution occurred. Despite the recent bounce, market structure remains heavy, and upside continuation is still questionable at these levels.
📌 Higher Timeframe VANTAGE:NAS100 (Daily)
• Price is reacting inside a daily resistance / supply zone
• Overall structure remains range to bearish 🐼
• No clean daily close above resistance yet
• Volume does not confirm strong continuation📈
➡️ HTF Bias: Neutral to Bearish below 26,000
📉 Intraday Structure (1H)
• Strong impulsive move up already delivered
• Current price consolidating inside a 1H distribution range
• Upside momentum is slowing
• Liquidity resting both above equal highs and below range lows
🔴 Short Scenario (Primary)
• Sell zone: 25,850 – 26,000
• Looking for:
• Weak push into highs
• Rejection or displacement failure
• Targets:
• 25,650 (range low)
• 25,400 (liquidity + demand)
• Extended: 25,250
🧠 This remains the preferred scenario as long as price stays capped below supply.
🟢 Long Scenario (Secondary / Scalp Only)
• Valid only if price holds above 25,650
• Requires:
• Strong bullish acceptance
• Clean displacement + continuation
• Upside targets:
• 25,900
• 26,000 (major reaction zone)
⚠️ Counter trend longs only. No swing conviction here.
❌ Cancellation / Invalidation
• Shorts invalidated:
• 1H close above 26,050
• Acceptance above daily supply
• Longs invalidated:
• 1H close below 25,600
🎯 Final Expectation
Market is likely building liquidity before the next expansion.
As long as price remains below daily supply, sell side reactions are favored.
Patience at premium levels > reaction > execution.
Not financial advice.
Risk management is mandatory.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for This Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Support 1: 4540 - 4552 area
Support 2: 4595 - 4501 area
Support 3: 4342 - 4451 area
Resistance 1: 4595 - 4610 area
Resistance 2: 4640 - 4655 area
Resistance 3: 4690 - 4705 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Waiting for Breakout
I see a bullish accumulation pattern on Silver on a daily time frame.
The price is currently testing a significant horizontal resistance
based on a current ATH.
Its breakout and a daily candle close above 84.0 level
will provide a strong signal to buy.
I will expect another wave up then at least to 90.0 level.
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Monero Breaks All-Time Highs As Bullish Structure Points HigherMonero (XMRUSD) is now aggressively breaking into new all-time highs, in line with expectations. On the monthly chart, price action continues to suggest significant room for further upside. Monero may be unfolding a five-wave bullish impulse, or alternatively, breaking out from a larger bullish triangle formation. In both scenarios, the technical picture supports much higher levels.
On the weekly timeframe, we are still tracking a projected extended wave (5) of wave 3. Fibonacci cluster targets continue to point toward the 1000 area before a higher-degree wave 4 correction is expected to unfold. At the moment, price appears to be rising within subwave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse for wave (5). This suggests that additional gains are likely in the near term.
That said, traders should remain aware of a potential subwave 4 pullback, which would be a normal part of the structure, before a renewed bullish continuation in subwave 5 of wave (5) of 3.
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Jan 13, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Jan 13, 2026
🌍 Market-Moving Themes
⚖️ Fed Pressure Shock
DOJ probes Powell and Trump floats 10 percent credit card rate cap → financials react
🟡 Anti-Fiat Bid
Gold pushes to record highs amid political pressure on the Fed
⚛️ AI Nuclear Trade
Oklo pulls back on insider selling after Meta deal → nuclear for AI remains in focus
🏠 Housing Momentum
Mortgage bond buying narrative keeps homebuilders extended
🧠 AI Commerce Expansion
Alphabet crosses 4 trillion market cap on AI shopping partnerships
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Tuesday Jan 13 ET
🚩 CPI DAY
6:00 AM
- NFIB Optimism Index Dec: 99.0
8:30 AM
- CPI Dec: 0.3%
- CPI YoY: 2.7%
- Core CPI Dec: 0.3%
- Core CPI YoY: 2.8%
10:00 AM
- New Home Sales Oct: 710K
2:00 PM
- U.S. Budget Deficit Dec: -150.0B
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #CPI #Inflation #Macro #Fed #Markets #Trading #Stocks #Options
GBPJPY: Breaking Another High 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is breaking another high after a consolidation
and accumulation within a horizontal channel on a daily.
The market will most likely continue rising.
The next strong resistance will be 213.5.
For extra confirmation, I recommend waiting for a daily
candle close above the underlined structure before you buy.
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XAUUSD H1: Premium Zone RejectionGold H1 Analysis:
Gold is currently in the Premium Zone + Supply 4600. Price has shown rejection there, signaling a short-term downtrend. MACD also shows a bearish crossover, confirming the momentum.
Targets: Equilibrium Zone 4525, Discount Zone 4425
Entry: Wait for price confirmation of rejection from the Premium Zone.
MNQ - Ascending Channel Range Play | FVG Zones Holding
Hey TradingView community! 👋
NASDAQ futures are in classic range mode right now. Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart.
The Setup
MNQ1! is trading at 25,941 inside an ascending channel, currently sitting right in the upper FVG zone around 25,880-25,920. Price has been respecting this channel beautifully - bouncing between the upper and lower boundaries like clockwork.
This is a range-bound market. Until we get a decisive breakout, expect more of the same: test resistance, pull back to FVG, bounce, repeat.
Why I'm Neutral Here
Ascending channel intact - but price is RANGING, not trending
Two FVG zones acting as magnets - price keeps retesting them
S&P 500 at record highs but NASDAQ lagging slightly
Fed pressure headlines creating uncertainty (Powell vs Trump drama)
CPI data Tuesday could be the catalyst for breakout
Bank earnings starting this week (JPM Tuesday)
The News Context
Mixed signals keeping the market choppy:
S&P 500 hit record high Friday - but NASDAQ underperforming
Trump vs Powell drama - DOJ threatening Fed Chair over "renovation" testimony
Credit card rate cap proposal hitting bank stocks hard
Soft jobs data (50K vs 60K expected) - but unemployment dropped to 4.4%
Banks pushing back rate cut expectations after jobs report
Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 - could bring passive fund flows
CPI report Tuesday - this is the big catalyst to watch
Key Levels I'm Watching
Resistance:
26,000 - Psychological level / upper channel
26,280 - Major resistance (near 52-week high)
26,399 - 52-WEEK HIGH
Support:
25,880-25,920 - Upper FVG zone (current)
25,800-25,860 - Lower FVG zone
25,600 - Channel midline support
25,320 - Lower channel support
My Game Plan
Range scenario (MOST LIKELY): Price continues to oscillate within the ascending channel. Expect retests of the FVG zones. Trade the range - buy at lower FVG, sell at upper channel resistance. This is a scalper's market until we get a breakout.
Bullish scenario: If CPI comes in soft and we break above 26,000 with volume, next target is 26,280, then 26,399 (52-week high). Walmart joining Nasdaq-100 on Jan 20 could bring passive buying.
Bearish scenario: If CPI comes in hot or Fed drama escalates, we could break below 25,600 and test 25,320 lower channel support. Watch bank earnings for sentiment.
The Bottom Line
I'm NEUTRAL here. The channel is intact but we're just ranging. No clear trend until we break out. The FVG zones are acting as support/resistance - trade the range or wait for the breakout.
CPI Tuesday is the key. That's likely the catalyst that decides direction.
What do you think? Breakout or more chop? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Price Breakout vs Confirmed CloseA small difference — but a very high price to pay
1. What is a price breakout?
A price breakout simply occurs when a candle’s wick or body touches or moves above a previous high.
The key point is this:
- A breakout does not mean the market has accepted a new price level.
Many breakouts last only a few seconds and exist purely to sweep liquidity.
- In practice, breaking a high is a very cheap action for the market. It often takes only a small amount of orders to push price above a high in the short term.
2. What is a confirmed close?
A confirmed close occurs when:
– The candle finishes completely above the previous high
– The market accepts the new price level instead of pulling back below it
This is the critical distinction:
Price can touch a high with a wick,
but it is only confirmed by the close.
A close reflects consensus, not an instant reaction.
3. Why do breakouts often cause traders to lose?
When traders enter immediately after price breaks a high, they often place themselves right in a liquidity cluster. Stop losses are typically positioned just below the old high, making it easy for the market to sweep those orders.
The common scenario is price breaking the high, triggering buy orders, then reversing before continuing in the original direction. The market is not wrong — the entry timing is.
4. Why is the close more important than the break?
Because:
Price can be pushed up artificially,
but a close requires sustained participation.
Without real money flow, price cannot hold the level.
A confirmed close shows that:
Buyers are willing to hold positions,
Selling pressure has been absorbed,
The probability of continuation is significantly higher.
5. Practical application
A healthy trading mindset:
❌ Do not enter just because price touches a high
✅ Wait for a clear candle close
✅ Prioritize:
Close above → pullback → continuation
Or a strong close with structure remaining intact
If there is no confirmed close, there is no reason to rush.
XAU/USD – The bullish momentum is firmly supportedAs we move into the new trading week, gold is once again demonstrating its role as a safe-haven asset, benefiting strongly from the current macroeconomic backdrop. The fact that gold prices surged nearly 2% and reached a record high during the Asian session is not merely a short-term reaction, but rather reflects a clear shift in monetary policy expectations and global risk sentiment.
From a fundamental perspective , the latest U.S. labor market data released at the end of last week acted as a key catalyst. Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 50,000 jobs , significantly below expectations, signaling a clear cooling in the U.S. labor market . This development has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon enter a rate-cutting cycle this year, weakening the U.S. dollar and bond yields — an ideal environment for gold to remain well supported and continue to be repriced higher.
At the same time, heightened geopolitical risks have added another layer of support. Rising instability in the Middle East, particularly the prolonged unrest in Iran, alongside ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, continues to drive demand for gold as a defensive hedge against uncertainty.
On the technical side, the structure of XAU/USD fully supports a bullish continuation scenario. The 4,550 zone is currently acting as immediate support , where buying interest consistently emerges on pullbacks. As long as this support remains intact, any retracement should be viewed as technical and corrective , offering opportunities for trend continuation rather than signaling reversal. To the upside, the psychological resistance at 4,650 stands as the next key target, where price may temporarily pause before potentially extending the rally further.
Wishing you successful and disciplined trading ahead!
EUR/USD: When Every Pullback Becomes an Opportunity for SellersAs we move into mid-January 2026 , EUR/USD is clearly reflecting the internal contradiction within the European economic narrative : short-term bright spots exist, yet long-term structural risks remain a major headwind . When this macro backdrop is placed onto the current H4 chart, the bearish trend is being reinforced both fundamentally and technically.
From a news perspective , the market is not focusing on the improvement in quarterly growth. Instead, attention remains on negative structural factors: annual GDP growth slowing, energy costs still several times higher than in the US, and persistent competitiveness constraints. These elements are not strong enough to justify fresh EUR buying in the short term, while the USD continues to hold a relative advantage . As a result, capital flows are leaning toward defense rather than aggressively bottom-fishing the euro .
From a technical standpoint , the bearish structure is clearly visible on the H4 timeframe . Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud, repeatedly rejected at the descending trendline and the 1.1680–1.1700 resistance zone . Recent rebounds have been purely technical, failing to break the lower-high structure. This confirms that sellers remain firmly in control. Under the current scenario, EUR/USD may attempt a minor rebound into resistance, but is likely to resume its decline toward 1.1630, or even lower if selling pressure accelerates.
In summary, with fundamentals failing to support the euro and the chart maintaining a clear bearish structure , the most rational short-term approach remains selling in line with the trend, rather than anticipating a premature reversal.
SILVER - Ascending Channel Breakout! | Liquidity Sweep Complete
Hey TradingView community! 👋
Silver is EXPLODING right now! Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart.
The Setup
XAGUSD is trading at $81.72 (+2.28%) inside a beautiful ascending channel, and it just swept liquidity from the 4HR FVG zone before launching higher. This is textbook bullish price action - sweep the lows, grab liquidity, then rip to the upside.
We're now pushing toward the 52-week high at $83.75. The momentum is STRONG.
Why I'm Bullish
Ascending channel intact - higher highs, higher lows
Liquidity sweep complete - 4HR FVG zone filled and bounced
Up 11.80% this week alone - second highest close in HISTORY
Up 171% in the past year - absolute monster performance
HSBC targeting $100/oz silver - analysts extremely bullish
Soft US payrolls data = Fed rate cuts = bullish for metals
The News is INSANE
Silver is on a historic run:
Up 11.80% this week - ended at $78.88 (second highest close EVER)
Up 8 of the past 10 weeks - relentless buying
171.36% gain over the past year - outperforming almost everything
HSBC sees gold at $5,000 and silver at $100 in H1 2026
Soft US jobs data (50K vs 60K expected) = more Fed cuts coming
Geopolitical tensions (Venezuela, Ukraine, Greenland) = safe-haven demand
Index rebalancing pressure is OVER - bulls back in control
Key Levels I'm Watching
Resistance:
$82.80 - Immediate resistance
$83.75 - 52-WEEK HIGH / All-time high area
$85.00+ - Breakout target
$100.00 - HSBC analyst target
Support:
$79.85 - Immediate support (previous resistance)
$76.50-78.00 - 4HR FVG zone (already swept)
$73.50-74.00 - 2HR FVG zone (deeper support)
$70.00 - Major support / channel bottom
My Game Plan
Bullish scenario (PRIMARY): Silver just swept the 4HR FVG and is now pushing toward the 52-week high at $83.75. If we break above that level with volume, next stop is $85+, then potentially $100 as HSBC predicts. The ascending channel is intact, momentum is strong, and fundamentals are bullish (Fed cuts, geopolitics, safe-haven demand).
Bearish scenario: If we get rejected at $83.75 and lose $79.85 support, we could retrace to the 4HR FVG zone at $76.50-78.00. But given the strength of this move, I'd view any pullback as a buying opportunity.
The Bottom Line
I'm BULLISH. This is one of the cleanest setups I've seen. Ascending channel, liquidity sweep complete, FVG filled, and now exploding higher. Silver is up 171% in a year and analysts are calling for $100.
The trend is your friend here. Buy dips, target new highs.
Let's see if we can break that $83.75 ATH! 🎯
What do you think? New all-time highs incoming? Let me know in the comments! 👇
$SPY & $SPX — Weekly Market-Moving Headlines Jan 12–16, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Weekly Market-Moving Headlines Jan 12–16, 2026
🌍 Market-Moving Themes
⚛️ AI Power Arms Race
Big Tech pre-buys nuclear capacity → OKLO SMR LEU sympathy stays in focus
🏠 Housing Stimulus Watch
Mortgage-bond intervention chatter → OPEN DHI LEN stay bid on rate dips
🔋 Data Center Energy Demand
Hydrogen and fuel-cell deployment accelerates → BE trend vs laggards PLUG BLDP
🧬 Obesity Biotech Optionality
Oral GLP-1 race heats up after Roche license → GPCR → VKTX read-through
🏗️ Real-World Infrastructure Spillover
AI and housing drive demand for power materials and pipes
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data and Events ET
🚩 Tuesday Jan 13 — CPI DAY
8:30 AM
CPI Dec: 0.3%
CPI YoY: 2.7%
Core CPI Dec: 0.3%
Core CPI YoY: 2.7%
10:00 AM
New Home Sales Oct: 709K
Wednesday Jan 14
8:30 AM
Retail Sales Nov delayed: 0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos: 0.3%
PPI Nov delayed: 0.3%
10:00 AM
Existing Home Sales Dec: 4.25M
2:00 PM
Federal Reserve Beige Book
Thursday Jan 15
8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims: 220K
Empire State Manufacturing: 1.0
Philly Fed Manufacturing: -4.0
Friday Jan 16
9:15 AM
Industrial Production Dec: 0.2%
Capacity Utilization: 76.0%
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #CPI #Inflation #Macro #Fed #Markets #Trading #Stocks #Options
Strength is getting SOLD!CAPITALCOM:US100 Price is trading directly into a daily OG supply zone at 25,950 – 26,050, coming from a corrective push, not impulsive strength.
Higher timeframe structure remains distributional, with price sitting in premium territory.
• Daily OG supply active at 25,950 – 26,050
• No daily acceptance above 26,050
• Upside lacks displacement and follow-through
• HTF context favors sell-side positioning
Above here is not trend continuation, it’s liquidity hunting.
VANTAGE:NAS100 On the 1H, price delivered a clean expansion into OG supply, immediately followed by a sharp bearish response.
• 1H OG supply: 25,720 – 25,820
• Strong rejection and structure breakdown below 25,720
• Bullish move shows exhaustion, not accumulation
• Sell-side liquidity stacked below 25,500
This is how smart money sells into strength.
Primary Bias: Bearish below 25,720
Expectation:
• Pullbacks into 25,650 – 25,750 are sell opportunities
• Target: liquidity sweep toward 25,400 – 25,300
• Extended downside opens 25,150 if momentum accelerates
Invalidation / Cancellation:
• Clean 1H close and acceptance above 25,820
• Daily close above 26,050 cancels the sell idea completely
Until that happens, rallies are for selling, not chasing.
XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders,
On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure.
If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid.
Structure first. Noise second.
Good luck and trade safe!
FANG 5M Aggressive Short DayTradeAggressive Trade
- long impulse
+ volumed T1
+ resistance zone
+ weak approach
+ biggest volume 2Ut-
+ weak test
+ very strong resumption?
+ first bearish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ resistance zone
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation bar"
1D Trend
"+ short impulse
- manipulated T2 level
+ resistance zone
+ 1/2 correction"
1M Trend
"+ short impulse
- resisting bar below BUI level
+ resistance zone
- strong approach
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed Ut
+ test"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone 2
- 1/2 correction"
SOLUSDT – Daily Follow-Up UpdatePrice is reacting well after bouncing from daily support.
We’re now pushing into a key resistance zone that previously acted as support.
Bullish scenario:
A clean daily close above resistance + successful flip into support opens the door for a move toward the daily FVG around 170–176.
That level is the main upside target.
Bearish scenario:
Failure to hold this resistance could lead to a rejection and a move back toward daily support / lower FVG.
Bias stays neutral → bullish, but confirmation is required.
No breakout = no trade.
👉 Do you expect SOL to flip this level and continue higher, or will we see another rejection?
MrC
DXY Daily: Bullish Bias Building Ahead of CPI Hello Traders!
After a long weekend, we're back and focusing on the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the Daily timeframe.
Key observations:
Price has already reached the discount area (50% Fibonacci retracement) relative to the current dealing range — a classic zone where buyers often step in.
The equilibrium area was respected perfectly, followed by a clean retracement higher.
We now see relative equal highs forming, with buy-side liquidity pooled around 100.4. This level could act as a magnet if momentum builds.
Technical indicators are leaning bullish on DXY at the moment. However, today brings a major catalyst: the US CPI release. We’re positioned for upside potential, but the news will ultimately dictate the next directional move.
Waiting for the CPI print to confirm direction. Until then, the technical setup favors bulls.
What’s your take? Bullish continuation post-CPI, or expecting a reversal? Drop your thoughts below!
#DXY #USD #CPI #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #DollarIndex






















