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XAUUSD Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD – H1 Timeframe Bullish Analysis Overall Trend XAUUSD is respecting a bullish trendline, which confirms that the market is still in an uptrend. Price is forming higher lows, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. As long as the bullish trendline holds, the market bias remains bullish. Demand Zone The confluence of the demand zone and the bullish trendline strengthens the probability of upward continuation. Buyers are likely to defend this zone. Triangle Pattern Price is forming a symmetrical / ascending triangle. This pattern usually acts as a continuation pattern in an uptrend. Price compression inside the triangle indicates that a strong breakout is likely. Breakout Expectation A clean H1 candle close above the triangle resistance will confirm a bullish breakout. After the breakout, price is expected to move toward the next all-time high (ATH) at 4420. MACD Indicator MACD is showing bullish momentum stabilization. The contraction of the histogram suggests that momentum is building and an expansion may follow soon. A bullish MACD crossover or expansion above the zero line will further support the upside move. Trade Plan (Bullish) Buy Entry: now 4327 or after the triangle breakout. Stop Loss: 4305 Take Profit: TP1: Previous high 4355 TP2: Next resistance 4390 Final Target: ATH 4420 Disclaimer This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves high risk; always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Markovic_VascoView
FETCH – Weekly AnalysisFETCH is currently trading at a key HTF support zone that has acted as support → resistance → support multiple times in the past. Price is also compressing against a descending trendline, which increases the probability of a volatility expansion. Key observations: Strong historical support around current price Downtrend structure still intact Potential trendline breakout if buyers step in No confirmation yet → patience required Bullish scenario: Weekly close above the descending trendline Support holds as higher low ➡️ Possible trend reversal / expansion Bearish scenario: ❌ Loss of HTF support ➡️ Continuation of the macro downtrend Always wait for confirmation. What’s your bias here?
by Mrctradinglab
2
EUR/USD Isn’t Crashing by AccidentEUR/USD – H1 Technical & Macro Breakdown Technical Structure - EUR/USD is currently trading in a clear short-term downtrend, defined by a descending trendline and repeated failures to reclaim the 34 & 89 EMAs. Each rebound attempt has been capped below dynamic resistance, confirming that sellers remain in control. - Price has now rotated back into a well-defined support zone, where short-term buyers are attempting to defend. However, this is defensive buying, not trend reversal behavior. As long as price remains below the descending trendline and below the EMA cluster, any bounce should be treated as a corrective pullback, not a bullish shift. Key technical logic: - Lower highs + lower lows → bearish structure intact - EMAs acting as dynamic resistance → trend pressure remains downward - Current support zone → potential short-term bounce, but not confirmation A sustained break back above the trendline and EMA alignment would be required to neutralize downside risk. Until then, the structure favors continuation pressure. Macro Drivers US Dollar Strength (Primary Driver) Recent market positioning reflects renewed demand for USD as expectations remain firm that US monetary policy will stay restrictive for longer. Even without new rate hikes, the Fed’s stance of “higher for longer” continues to support the dollar. Yield Differential Pressure US Treasury yields remain elevated relative to European yields. This yield spread continues to pull capital toward USD-denominated assets, pressuring EUR/USD lower. Eurozone Growth Concerns Markets remain cautious on the Eurozone outlook, with weak growth momentum and fragile demand. This limits EUR upside and makes the currency vulnerable whenever USD demand increases. Risk Sentiment Rotation Whenever global risk sentiment turns cautious, EUR tends to underperform against USD. The current environment favors defensive positioning, benefiting the dollar over risk-sensitive currencies. Forward Expectations Short-term: A technical bounce from support is possible, but likely corrective. Bias: Bearish while below trendline & EMAs. Invalidation: Only a clean break and acceptance above resistance would shift the narrative. Key Takeaway This is not panic selling. This is macro pressure aligning with technical structure. EUR/USD is being repriced lower because the dollar has the advantage — both technically and fundamentally. Until that balance changes, rebounds are opportunities for structure, not signals of reversal.
Long
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ETH Just Defended the FloorETHUSD (H1) — MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Ethereum has successfully defended the key support zone around 2,900 – 2,920, forming a strong rejection candle after the recent sell-off. This confirms that the prior drop was a liquidity sweep, not a trend reversal. The structure now shows a higher low, signaling a short-term bullish shift. 2. Key Zones Support Zone: 2,900 – 2,920 This level has been tested and defended decisively, indicating active demand. Target 1: ~3,060 First upside objective aligned with previous intraday resistance. Target 2: ~3,160 Higher liquidity target and next major resistance zone. 3. Price Action & Momentum Strong impulsive bullish candle from support → clear sign of buyer aggression. Pullback structure remains shallow, showing no strong selling pressure. Price acceptance above support suggests continuation rather than retracement. 4. Market Psychology This move reflects smart money re-entry after forcing weak hands out below support. Late sellers are now trapped, and any consolidation above the support zone increases the probability of a trend continuation push upward. 5. Scenario Outlook 🔼 Primary Scenario (High Probability): Hold above 2,900 – 2,920 Minor consolidation / pullback Expansion toward: TP1: 3,060 TP2: 3,160 🔽 Invalidation Scenario: Strong breakdown and close below 2,880 → would open room for a deeper correction. Conclusion ETH is showing clean bullish re-accumulation behavior after a liquidity grab. As long as price holds above the support zone, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, with buyers firmly back in control.
OANDA:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
NZDUSD Update: Kiwi Is Looking For More Upside After CorrectionWe talked about the Kiwi(NZDUSD) back in October, where we mentioned and highlighted a bottom formation within an ending diagonal / wedge pattern for wave C of an ABC corrective decline. As you can see today, Kiwi is nicely bouncing and recovering after RBNZ cut interest rates in November, and forecasts suggest the broader committee believes the nadir has been hit for the easing cycle. So the Kiwi is coming up as no room for cuts, for now. Notice it can be now bottom after the wedge pattern into wave C, due to an impulsive recovery, which we see it as a wave 1 of a new five-wave bullish cycle. So seems like more upside is coming within wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle, but ideally after the current corrective setback in wave 2 with supports at 0.5750 – 0.5700. The reason Kiwi could see more upside into late 2025 and early 2026 is due to a bullish stock market, which still has room for gains. S&P 500 and NZD/USD (Kiwi) have been in a tight positive correlation since the November lows. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is set to resume its bullish trend, the Kiwi could easily follow.
Long
by ew-forecast
BTCUSDT 30M Analysis – Liquidity, Reversal & Retest AnalysisBTCUSDT (Bitcoin Perpetual) – 30M Liquidity, Reversal & Retest Analysis This 30-minute BTCUSDT perpetual chart presents a clean smart-money narrative, showing how price reacted from a discount reversal zone and is now approaching a major supply / decision area where the next directional move will be defined. Strong Sell-Off & Liquidity Flush On the left side of the chart, Bitcoin experiences a sharp bearish impulse, breaking market structure and accelerating to the downside. This move is aggressive, emotional, and volume-driven — a classic liquidity flush designed to trigger panic selling and stop-losses from late buyers. This impulsive drop sets the stage for a potential mean reversion rather than continuation. Discount Reversal Zone Reaction Price taps into a clearly marked Reversal Zone near the lows. This area aligns with: Discount pricing Prior demand Sell-side liquidity being fully taken The reaction is immediate and strong, confirming institutional buying interest. Long wicks and strong bullish candles indicate absorption of selling pressure and the beginning of a controlled recovery. Shift in Market Structure (Internal BOS) Following the bounce, BTC prints a clean bullish impulse, breaking internal lower highs. This suggests a short-term shift in structure, transitioning from bearish continuation to bullish corrective or reversal mode. This move is not random — it is technically supported by liquidity and structure alignment. Approach Into Supply / Premium Zone Price is now rallying directly into a previous supply / resistance zone, highlighted in green. This area previously caused strong selling pressure and is considered a premium zone where smart money typically looks for shorts, not fresh longs. The chart clearly notes: Volume Burst expected on first touch Retesting phase inside the zone Need for a bearish confirmation pattern This means buyers are likely pushing price up to distribute positions, while sellers wait for confirmation to enter. Key Scenario Expectations At current levels, BTC is at a make-or-break zone: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): If price forms rejection wicks, bearish engulfing, or lower timeframe structure breaks, this zone can act as a distribution area, leading to a pullback or deeper correction. Bullish Continuation Scenario: A strong 30M close above the supply zone with sustained volume would invalidate the short idea and open the path toward higher liquidity targets. Until confirmation appears, patience is critical. Trading Psychology Insight This chart reflects a common trap: Retail traders chase the bullish move after a strong bounce, while smart money waits at premium levels to fade the rally. The note “Need Any Bearish Pattern” reinforces the importance of confirmation over prediction. Overall Bias Short-term: Bullish correction Current zone: High-risk longs / potential short setup Best strategy: Wait for bearish confirmation inside supply Market behavior: Liquidity-driven, not trend-driven Final Thought This BTCUSDT setup is a textbook example of buying fear at discount and selling strength at premium. The next move will not come from guessing — it will come from reaction and confirmation at this key zone. ⚠️ Always manage risk and wait for confirmation. This is a technical perspective, not financial advice.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Correction Is Not a Reversal — Gold Is Reloading 1. Market Structure Overview - Gold is still trading within a medium-term bullish structure, but price has entered a short-term corrective phase after failing to hold above the upper resistance zone. - Strong rejection occurred at the POC / resistance area 4.35x – 4.38x, confirming active profit-taking. The current price action is developing a classic ABC correction: - Wave A: Completed with a sharp pullback. - Wave B: Ongoing technical rebound. Importantly, price remains above the major moving averages, meaning the primary uptrend is still intact. This correction is technical in nature, not a trend reversal. 2. Market Context & Liquidity Behavior Sellers are active near the highs, but downside momentum remains controlled. The market is likely seeking liquidity clearance before deciding the next impulsive move. The 4.26x – 4.20x zone stands out as a key re-accumulation area where buyers may step back in. 3. Today’s Price Scenarios 🔹 Primary Scenario (High Probability) Price continues its corrective leg toward 4.26x – 4.20x. This zone acts as a decision point: Holding above it → supports re-accumulation and trend continuation. Strong breakdown → opens room for a deeper short-term correction. 🔹 Alternative Scenario (Lower Probability) Failure to reclaim strength after the correction may extend downside pressure. Confirmation only occurs if support is decisively broken with volume. 4. Intraday Trading Setups — Re-Accumulation Focus 📌 SETUP 1 – Intraday Sell (Correction Timing) XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372 Take Profit: 4366 – 4361 Stop Loss: 4376 📌 SETUP 2 – Intraday Buy (Re-Accumulation Zone) XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4262 – 4265 Take Profit: 4268 – 4273 Stop Loss: 4258 ⚠️ Always apply strict risk management to protect capital. 5. Summary & Trading Guidance Main Trend: Bullish Short-Term State: Correction → Re-accumulation Bias: Wait for price to reach key zones, avoid chasing highs 👉 Today’s session is a balancing phase. The market’s reaction at the support zone will define whether gold resumes its uptrend or extends the correction. Patience and discipline remain the optimal strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
Bitcoin Is Trapped in a High-Liquidity RangeMarket Structure (H1) Bitcoin is currently locked inside a clearly defined range, capped by a heavy resistance zone around 90,500 and supported by a well-defended demand area near 85,200. Price action inside this box is choppy and overlapping, with repeated sweeps of both highs and lows — a classic liquidity-building environment rather than a trending phase. The sharp sell-off from the left side of the chart established a lower structural regime, after which BTC transitioned into sideways rotation. Each bounce toward resistance fails to achieve acceptance, while each dip into support is aggressively defended. This confirms balance, not strength or weakness. Liquidity & Price Behavior The green projected swings highlight how price is likely to continue oscillating between resistance and support, hunting liquidity on both sides. This behavior typically precedes a range expansion, but until a clean breakout occurs, moves inside the range remain low-probability and noise-driven. Macro & U.S. Policy Context From a macro perspective, Bitcoin remains constrained by unfavorable U.S. conditions: The Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive policy stance, keeping real yields elevated. A relatively strong USD continues to pressure risk assets. Liquidity conditions remain tight, reducing follow-through on upside attempts. These factors explain why BTC struggles to accept above resistance despite multiple tests — macro headwinds are capping momentum. Conclusion Bitcoin is not trending it is accumulating liquidity. Above 90,500 with acceptance → upside expansion becomes likely. Failure at resistance → continued rotation and potential downside sweep toward support. Until price leaves the range with intent, patience is the edge.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Is Trapped Below Resistance — Distribution Before....EURUSD – H1 MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure EURUSD is currently trading within a short-term corrective structure after a strong impulsive decline. The recent rebound failed to break above the key resistance zone, confirming that sellers are still in control of the broader intraday trend. Price action shows: - A clear lower-high formation near the resistance zone. - Weak bullish follow-through after each bounce. - Compression around the mid-range, indicating distribution rather than accumulation. 2. Key Zones - Resistance Zone: 1.1750 – 1.1760 This zone has rejected price multiple times, acting as a supply area where sellers aggressively defend. - Support Zone: 1.1700 – 1.1710 This is the nearest liquidity pool and the first downside objective. 3. Price Behavior & Liquidity The sharp rejection from resistance followed by sideways consolidation suggests that the market is absorbing buy orders before continuation lower. The lack of strong bullish candles confirms that the rebound is corrective, not impulsive. This behavior typically precedes: - A stop-hunt below short-term consolidation - Continuation toward deeper liquidity zones 4. Scenario Outlook 🔽 Primary Scenario (Preferred): Bearish Continuation Price fails to reclaim the resistance zone Breakdown below intraday structure Targets: Target 1: 1.1720 Target 2: 1.1700 Target 3: 1.1685 (major liquidity draw) 🔼 Alternative Scenario Only if price breaks and holds above 1.1760 with strong momentum, the bearish setup is invalidated, and a deeper recovery may unfold. 5. Trading Bias Main Bias: Bearish Market State: Distribution → Liquidity Grab Strategy: Sell rallies near resistance, avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Conclusion EURUSD is not building strength it is preparing for continuation. As long as price remains below the resistance zone, downside liquidity remains the dominant magnet. Patience and discipline are key; the market will reveal direction once liquidity is released.
Short
by RexTraderSignal
MSTR. When Bitcoin sneezes, Strategy looks for the floorMSTR is deep in a corrective phase after the rally to 543. The current decline does not signal a structural breakdown but a return to a major demand zone at 100–102, where long term support and prior accumulation align. Selling volume is fading, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than panic. As long as price holds above 100–102, the recovery scenario remains valid. Initial rebound targets sit near 230, followed by 300 if market structure stabilizes. Fundamentally, Strategy remains the most leveraged public Bitcoin proxy. As of December 2025, the company holds over 214000 BTC, making it the largest public Bitcoin holder globally. The average acquisition price remains well below historical highs, reducing long term downside risk. In Q3 2025, the company reported an increase in digital asset value as crypto markets recovered. The core analytics software business remains stable, while debt servicing shows no liquidity stress. Strategy is no longer just a software company. It is a macro Bitcoin instrument in equity form. When Bitcoin panics, MSTR falls harder. But it usually stands up first when the cycle turns.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
XAUUSD – The Bullish Trend Remains DominantGold prices edged higher in the previous session after the U.S. jobs report showed that the unemployment rate continued to rise , reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain its rate-cutting path . As rate expectations decline, the U.S. dollar weakens, providing a solid foundation for gold to sustain its medium-term bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, XAUUSD on the H2 timeframe continues to maintain a clear bullish structure . Price is trading above the ascending trendline , indicating that buyers remain in control of the market. The 4,300 level is acting as a key support zone, consistently absorbing selling pressure during pullbacks. As long as XAUUSD holds firmly above 4,300 , the current retracement is likely purely technical. In this scenario, the bullish trend is expected to resume, with upside targets toward the 4,350 – 4,370 zone. Overall, gold is being supported by both a favorable macro backdrop and a constructive price structure. While the trend remains intact, the optimal strategy is to stay patient and follow the flow of capital, using pullbacks as opportunities rather than chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
40
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Dec 18, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Dec 18, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • 🚨 CPI Day — inflation is back in focus with November CPI and Core CPI printing together. This is the primary macro catalyst for rates, equities, and the dollar. • 📉 Labor cooling check: Jobless claims add confirmation or pushback to the disinflation narrative. • 🏭 Regional growth signal: Philly Fed survey gives a real-time read on manufacturing momentum into year-end. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 30 AM — Major Inflation Print • Consumer Price Index, CPI (Nov): 0.3 percent • CPI Year over Year: 3.1 percent • Core CPI (Nov): 0.3 percent • Core CPI Year over Year: 3.0 percent • Initial Jobless Claims (Dec 13): 225,000 • Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec): 3.6 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #CPI #inflation #macro #rates #markets #trading #stocks
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Gold Is Not Hesitating — It Is Building Energy for a New ATH.Gold on the H1 timeframe continues to display a bullish consolidation directly below the previous high at 4,380 , a structure that typically precedes continuation rather than reversal. Price is holding firmly inside a well-defined range, with higher lows forming repeatedly while pullbacks remain shallow and controlled. This behavior signals absorption of supply, not distribution sellers are active near resistance, but they are failing to push price into acceptance below the support zone. As long as Gold holds above the 4,260–4,270 support area, the broader bullish structure remains intact. From a market-structure perspective, this sideways action below ATH reflects strength. In strong trends, markets often pause near highs to build liquidity before expanding again. The repeated tests of the upper range, combined with higher lows, suggest pressure is coiling rather than fading. A clean acceptance above 4,380 would likely unlock a break into new ATH territory , while failure to break simply extends the consolidation phase, not invalidates the trend. From a macro standpoint, conditions remain supportive for Gold. U.S. monetary policy expectations continue to lean toward easing in 2025, keeping real yields capped and limiting sustained USD strength. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty continue to underpin safe haven demand. These factors reduce the probability of a deep corrective sell-off and favor sideways-to-higher price action instead. Bottom line: Gold is not topping it is positioning. As long as support holds, the technical and macro alignment favors a breakout above the previous high. Patience is required, but the bias remains firmly bullish until proven otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
4
Ethereum Is Still Under Sell-Side ControlOn the H4 timeframe, Ethereum remains firmly embedded in a bearish market structure, defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Each rebound is shallow and corrective, failing at clearly marked resistance levels around 3,260 → 3,170 → 3,020 , which confirms that sellers continue to defend supply aggressively. These stepped reactions lower are characteristic of distribution within a downtrend, not accumulation for reversal. The current bounce from ~2,830 lacks impulsive strength and remains below reclaimed structure, keeping downside risk active. From a price-structure perspective, ETH is now trading in a weak recovery leg after a sharp sell-off, with price vulnerable to another rejection below 2,860–2,900 . As long as ETH fails to reclaim 3,020 with acceptance, any upside should be treated as a sell-side rotation rather than a bullish signal. A break back below the current base would expose the major support zone around 2,700–2,650 , which acts as the next liquidity magnet on the chart. From a macro and U.S. policy standpoint, conditions remain unfavorable for crypto, including Ethereum. U.S. monetary policy is still effectively restrictive, with real yields elevated and liquidity expansion limited. The Fed’s stance of keeping policy tight for longer continues to suppress risk appetite, especially for high-beta assets like ETH. In addition, ongoing regulatory uncertainty and risk-off positioning into year-end reduce speculative inflows, reinforcing downside pressure rather than supporting a sustainable recovery. Ethereum is not forming a confirmed bottom it is still operating under sell-side dominance. Until price reclaims key resistance levels and macro liquidity conditions improve, the higher-probability path remains range → rejection → continuation toward lower demand . Patience is critical here; the edge lies in respecting structure, not anticipating reversal.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
2
Weak NFP, Rising Unemployment – Is Gold Set to Rally Again?Hello traders, let’s take a fresh look at the current XAUUSD picture. In the short term, gold is receiving solid support from the news flow . Tonight’s NFP forecast stands at 51K, sharply lower than the previous 119K . At the same time, the unemployment rate is expected at 4.5%, higher than before. These high-impact U.S. data points are likely to put downward pressure on the USD, which in turn continues to support XAUUSD. From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact . After the strong prior rally, price is now correcting back toward the 4,270 support zone , where there is a confluence of the Ichimoku cloud and a key demand area . This is a critical zone that allows price to build momentum again, rather than break the trend. As long as the 4,270 level holds , the most reasonable scenario is for gold to rebound and retest 4,320 (TP1), with a further extension toward 4,350 (TP2) — the upper resistance zone. Only a clear break below 4,270 would call for more caution on the bullish outlook. In summary, XAUUSD is still in a “pause within an uptrend,” not a sign of weakness. The real question now is not “Will gold rise?” but rather do you have the patience to wait for the right level and follow the trend?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
40
Smart Money Is Testing Patience — Not Selling YetEthereum is currently consolidating inside a clear range, not breaking trend. - Structure: Price rejected from the resistance zone and dropped into the lower range, but support is holding. - Behavior: The sideways movement near support shows liquidity absorption, not panic selling. Key Levels: - Support zone remains intact - Resistance zone is still the ceiling to watch Outlook Primary scenario: Range hold → base formation → rebound toward range high / resistance Invalidation: Only a clean breakdown below the support zone changes the bias Key Focus: Do not chase candles. Let the market show direction after accumulation.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
Trend Holds Strong — Smart Money Still in ControlThe XAUUSD market continues to move precisely in line with the projected trend-following plan. After a controlled technical correction, price remains firmly above the key support zone and the MA structure, confirming that the broader bullish trend is still intact. Current price behavior shows consolidation just below resistance, with stable buying pressure and no aggressive selling a classic pre-continuation environment. This phase reflects accumulation and supply absorption rather than weakness. Short-term pullbacks are functioning as liquidity shakeouts, allowing stronger hands to position in the direction of the main trend. As long as price respects the structural support, the preferred scenario remains a continuation to the upside. From an intraday perspective, the market maintains a bullish bias, offering tactical opportunities on both sides while favoring trend-aligned entries. Intraday Trading: Increase 📌 Timing Sell Zone (Short-Term Correction Trade) XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4369 – 4372 🎯 TP: 4366 – 4361 ❎ SL: 4376 This setup targets a brief technical pullback within the broader uptrend. As a counter-trend trade, strict risk control is essential. 📌 Timing Buy Zone (Trend-Following Priority) XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4274 – 4277 🎯 TP: 4280 – 4285 ❎ SL: 4270 This is the preferred setup, aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Pullbacks into this zone are considered healthy retracements and offer higher-probability entries in the direction of the trend. Conclusion: Market movement continues to validate the original analysis and roadmap. Discipline, patience, and trading with the prevailing trend remain the key advantages in the current environment. Always apply proper capital management to protect account safety and maintain consistency.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
4
GOLD: Decision Point at $4,320 Fundamental + Technical Update​ 💎 Market Sentiment ​Gold is currently consolidating after its recent historic rally. While the long-term fundamental case remains Strongly Bullish due to central bank accumulation and Fed rate cut expectations, the intraday price action is showing signs of exhaustion. We are waiting for a liquidity grab before the next leg up. ​ 📍 Key Levels to Watch ​Major Resistance: $4,350 - $4,356 (The "Glass Ceiling") ​Immediate Support: $4,319 - $4,322 (Our "Buy Zone") ​Invalidation Point: A H4 candle close below $4,285. ​ 📝 The Game Plan ​Today I am STAYING NEUTRAL and observing the $4,319 level. ​ Scenario A (Bullish): A successful test and "rejection wick" at $4,319 confirms buyer strength. This would be our entry for a move back toward $4,350. ​ Scenario B (Wait) : If the price breaks $4,315 with high volume, we may see a deeper correction toward $4,290 before the next rally. ​ Patience is a position. Don't force a trade in the middle of a range. ​⚠️ Disclaimer ​This idea is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and wait for confirmation candles before entering. ​👇 What’s your view on Gold today? Let me know in the comments!
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Champ_of_Gold
Ethereum Is Compressing After Repeated Sell-OffOn the H1 timeframe, Ethereum continues to show a clear bearish structure, defined by a series of sharp impulsive sell-offs followed by weak, overlapping consolidations. Each prior bounce has failed to develop into a meaningful recovery, and price continues to form lower highs, confirming that sellers remain in control. The current sideways movement near 2,840 is corrective in nature, not a base for reversal. Structurally, ETH is displaying a classic bearish pause: volatility expansion to the downside, followed by tight compression with declining momentum. This type of price behavior typically precedes continuation, not reversal. As long as price remains capped below the recent breakdown area, the probability favors another leg lower, with downside liquidity sitting below the current consolidation range. From a macro and U.S. policy perspective, Ethereum remains under pressure from the same forces weighing on broader crypto markets. The Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary stance, elevated real yields, and a relatively firm USD continue to drain liquidity from risk assets. In addition, ETH lacks a near-term narrative strong enough to offset macro headwinds, especially in an environment where capital remains selective and risk appetite is subdued. Bottom line: Ethereum is not building strength it is absorbing supply after repeated sell-offs. Until macro conditions ease or ETH reclaims key resistance with acceptance, rallies should be treated as temporary pauses within a broader bearish sequence, with downside continuation remaining the higher-probability scenario.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
2
Bitcoin Is Stabilizing After the Sell-OffOn the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear range, bounded by a well-defined support zone near 85,200 and a resistance zone around 90,500. The sharp drop from resistance confirms strong sell-side pressure at the highs, while the subsequent bounce from support shows that buyers are still defending key demand. However, price action in the middle of the range remains overlapping and corrective, signaling balance rather than trend continuation. From a technical structure perspective, BTC has not yet reclaimed any major lower high. The current recovery leg is shallow and lacks impulsive follow through, suggesting it is a reactive bounce, not a trend reversal. As long as price remains below the 90,500 resistance band, upside moves should be treated as range rotations. A failure to hold above the mid-range would open the door for another test of the lower support zone, where liquidity is concentrated. From a macro and U.S. policy standpoint, conditions continue to weigh on crypto markets, including Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve remains in a restrictive policy regime, keeping interest rates elevated and liquidity tight. High real yields and a strong USD environment reduce the attractiveness of non-yielding and high-risk assets like BTC. In addition, ongoing uncertainty around U.S. fiscal dynamics and regulatory pressure keeps institutional flows cautious, limiting upside momentum. Bitcoin is not breaking down aggressively, but it is also not ready to trend higher. This is a range-bound market shaped by macro headwinds and liquidity restraint. Until BTC can reclaim resistance with acceptance — or macro conditions shift decisively toward risk-on the higher-probability path remains rotation within the range, not a sustained breakout. Patience and respect for structure remain critical here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
2