Get started

Technical Analysis

$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 3 → Nov 7, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 3 → Nov 7, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Post-FOMC digestion: After Powell’s Oct 29 presser, traders watch whether yields and the dollar cool or extend higher. 📈 Labor-week spotlight: Friday’s Jobs Report (NFP, wages, unemployment) anchors the week — rate-path odds hinge on those prints. 💬 Fed tone in focus: Multiple governors and regional presidents hit the circuit after the FOMC — every nuance matters for December guidance. ⚠️ Shutdown watch: Several BEA and Census releases (Factory Orders, Trade Balance, GDP components) may not print on time if the government remains partially shuttered. 💻 Earnings taper off: Final big-cap names and sector leaders wrap Q3 results, shaping sentiment into mid-November. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) Mon Nov 3 ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Sept) | Ex-transportation subset — BEA report; possible delay ⏰ 10:00 AM — Factory Orders (Sept) ⚠️ possible delay Tue Nov 4 ⏰ 9:00 AM — S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Oct) 🚩 Wed Nov 5 ⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Advanced Trade Balance in Goods (Sept) | Retail and Wholesale Inventories — Census; may be delayed ⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Sept) ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Rate Decision ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Fed Chair Powell Press Conference Thu Nov 6 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 25) expected on schedule ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q3, Advance) ⚠️ BEA data; delay possible ⏰ 9:55 AM — Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman speaks Fri Nov 7 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — PCE and Core PCE (Sept) along with Personal Income, Spending, and Employment Cost Index ⚠️ BEA risk ⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Oct) ⏰ 12:00 PM — Cleveland Fed President Hammack and Atlanta Fed President Bostic remarks ⚠️ Note: Shutdown risk applies to BEA and Census releases marked with ⚠️ Confirmed live data include Jobless Claims, FOMC decisions, and Fed speeches — these will drive most of the week’s price action. Friday’s PCE print (if released) remains the key inflation gauge. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #FOMC #PCE #GDP #JoblessClaims #inflation #bonds #yields #economy #macro
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
1
NASDAQ (NQ1!) – Bearish Divergence Potential PullbackOn the 1-hour chart, a clear bearish divergence has formed at recent highs, aligning with loss of bullish momentum and price rejection near the upper trend channel. The short-term structure suggests sellers may gain control, with potential retracement zones around the 0.5–0.618 FIB levels and an unfilled GAP below. If price confirms continuation after a minor relief bounce, we could see a corrective wave unfold before the broader uptrend resumes. Bias: Short-term Bearish – looking for retracement opportunities toward key support levels before potential trend continuation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by awaisulabdeen
EURUSD Plunges: Hawkish Fed Crushes the Euro?Hey traders, let’s take a look at EURUSD — the market is revealing an exciting opportunity for the sellers! After the September meeting, the Fed emphasized its “data-dependent” stance, signaling it’s not ready to ease policy while the U.S. economy remains solid. This reinforces expectations that the USD will stay strong , as the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. As the dollar gains momentum, EURUSD faces clear downward pressure. On the H4 chart, the price is clinging to a descending trendline that has rejected three previous attempts to break higher — each touch has been sharply sold off. Currently, EURUSD trades around 1.1560, below the 1.1600 resistance, which acts as a potential bull trap . The likely scenario: a mild pullback toward 1.1600 before continuing lower to the 1.1520 support zone. A break below that level could open the door toward 1.1450. In summary, the overall trend for EURUSD remains bearish . With the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance, every rebound is simply a chance for sellers to enter at better prices. Stay disciplined, follow the trend — the market rewards those who have patience!
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
6
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels. Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend. Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low. Key Levels and Concepts: D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart. The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area. The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target. BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support. Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
1
Why MSFT Could Be a Smart Pick in 2025?MSFT has bullish signals from the multiple moving averages, RSI and volume analysis. However, wave principle asks evidence from the buyers. The wave count suggests that the corrective wave (B) is ongoing, and bears will control the final wave of the primary wave 3. Wave C will start falling nearby the supply zone and high of the 2nd wave of wave intermediate wave A. Wave C can fall up to 476 which will be the strength for wave primary wave 5. As per the chart, breakout above 540 will be a good signal for bulls to take charge back. Zones: Supply zone: 538 - 528 Demand zone: 482 - 476 I will update the chart and details shortly.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Money_Dictators
1
Gold compression before expansionGold remains in a controlled accumulation phase after a strong move, holding rising lows and respecting the fair value zone near 3990. As long as buyers defend the 3985–4000 range, the setup favors a false dip and re-entry scenario with continuation higher. A clean break and hold above 4040 unlocks the first target at 4110, and extension toward 4200 remains valid on structural expansion and Fibo alignment. The market is balanced on a hinge: levels are defined, buyers present, but confirmation lies only in price reclaiming the breakout zone. Fundamentally gold still tracks macro uncertainty. Rates, inflation expectations, dollar hesitation and US debt dynamics keep capital rotating defensively. This is one of those periods where expectations and reality diverge, and the longer the compression holds, the stronger the eventual move. Still, discipline first — price must confirm above 4040. Bias remains bullish while above 3985. Break below opens a corrective path toward 3920–3890 before another attempt higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by InvestWorld_777
USD/MXN Breaks Channel Resistance as Momentum Turns PositiveThe U.S. Dollar is showing renewed strength against the Mexican Peso, breaking above the descending channel that has contained price action since April. This breakout coincides with a push above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a potential shift in momentum after months of consolidation. The next resistance area sits around 18.85–19.07, aligning with prior swing highs, while the 200-day SMA near 19.26 remains the broader resistance level to watch. On the downside, 18.50 now acts as immediate support, followed by 18.20 at the recent base of the channel. Momentum indicators support the bullish tone: the MACD has crossed above its signal line and is trending higher, while the RSI has moved above the neutral 50 level, indicating strengthening buying interest without yet entering overbought territory. Overall, USD/MXN appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal, as technical conditions shift from bearish to neutral-to-bullish following the confirmed breakout from the long-term descending channel. -MW
by FOREX.com
BTCUSD Bearish: Break Below 104,200 Targets 96,000Bitcoin on the 1D is trending lower after the early-October peak near 125,000. Price sits beneath the 20/60/120 MAs, and a clear Descending Triangle has formed with a flat floor at 104,200 and lower highs pressing from above. The heavy resistance band at 113,400–114,500 and the short-term cap near 115,000 continue to attract selling. Volume has favored down days, keeping momentum on the bears’ side. Primary path: a daily close below 104,200 confirms breakdown and opens 100,000 first, then the 96,000 objective. Aggressive sellers can also look for a failed rally into 108,000–109,500 to fade the lower-high structure. If downside accelerates, a worst-case extension toward 90,000 is on the table within the pattern’s continuation. Alternative: if 104,200 holds and price reclaims 108,500 on a strong daily close, a squeeze toward the 113,400–114,500 cluster and 115,000 resistance is plausible. That would signal a failed breakdown but not a trend change unless buyers can establish acceptance above those overhead levels. Trigger/confirmation: daily close < 104,200 for continuation; secondary trigger is a rejection from 108,000–109,500. Targets: 100,000 and 96,000 (bearish), or 114,500–115,000 (contrarian bounce). Invalidation: for shorts, a daily close back above 108,500; for any tactical longs, a slip back under 103,500 negates. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by bbqgio
GOLD – When the Market “Whispers” About the Weakness of Buyers1️⃣ Market Structure – When the Bullish Rhythm Slows Down After a series of CHoCHs and BOSs, the short-term bullish structure has clearly broken. The zone around 4,027 – 4,030 now acts as a Strong High, where smart money likely absorbed most of the buy-side liquidity. Each retracement has become weaker, forming a sequence of Lower Highs — a classic sign of a distribution phase. The market is currently trading within the premium zone of the current range, where any reaction could be the “last kiss” before a potential drop toward lower demand areas. 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money Zooming into price behavior, the Sell Zone 4,010 – 4,015 stands out as a key Bearish Order Block formed after the most recent BOS — a zone Karina is watching closely. If price retests this area and shows a clear rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing or upper-wick rejection), it could mark the beginning of a smart-money-aligned short setup. Below, the 3,938 – 3,920 zone remains the untested liquidity pocket — a Weak Low where buy-side positions are likely resting. Smart Money may target this area to complete the distribution cycle before generating a potential accumulation reaction. 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – Silence Often Speaks the Loudest Above the 4,020 – 4,030 area lies buy-side liquidity — a cluster of stop-loss orders from retail longs. A small liquidity sweep into this region followed by a strong bearish reaction would be a classic SMC pattern: grab liquidity, then move in the true direction. Once that liquidity is absorbed, price could accelerate toward the 3,938 – 3,920 zone to clear sell-side liquidity, finalizing the redistribution phase. 4️⃣ Trading Scenario – Following the Smart Money Flow Given the current structure, Karina favors short opportunities if price reacts decisively at the 4,010 – 4,015 zone, confirmed by bearish price action (such as a rejection wick or engulfing pattern). Entry: 4,012 – 4,015 Stop Loss: 4,030 Take Profit: 3,938 – 3,920 This offers an approximate 1:4 R:R ratio, aligning with a high-probability, structure-based setup. It’s not a trade signal, but rather a perspective — a way to understand how Smart Money moves and leaves its traces. 5️⃣ Conclusion – Patience Is the Quiet Strength of a Trader The market often speaks through behavior, not noise. Gold is currently in a quiet state — a moment of balance where Smart Money prepares for its next move. For Karina, silence itself can be the strongest signal when you know how to listen. This analysis reflects Karina’s personal view and is not financial advice. What do you see in Gold’s current structure? Could this minor push toward 4,015 be the start of a deeper move down? Let’s discuss in the comments 💬.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Karina_ilina
ORCL Bearish: Breakdown Below 255 Eyes 241 then 230Oracle (ORCL) has rolled over on the 1D chart after its September peak, confirming a short-term downtrend. Price is below the 20/60 MAs and has closed under the lower Bollinger Band, while a clean Double Top is confirmed with a decisive break beneath the neckline around 280. The latest bearish engulfing candle adds momentum to the downside and frames 255.00 as the line in the sand. Primary path: a daily break-and-hold below 255.00 favors continuation toward the MA120 near 241.39, with extension into the measured move area at 234.00–230.00 if 241.39 gives way. If price retests 255.00 from below and rejects, that would strengthen the bearish case and improve risk-to-reward for shorts. Resistance sits first at the reclaimed-neckline zone 280–284, then higher at 316.00. Alternative: if buyers quickly reclaim 280–284 (or a daily close >285.00), the breakdown is likely a trap and a squeeze toward 316.00 becomes feasible. For tactical risk, shorts initiated on a breakdown can use 268.00 as invalidation; aggressive longs off 241.39 need a firm reversal signal and should invalidate on a daily close <240.00. Targets: 241.39 first, then 234.00–230.00 on sustained weakness; topside target 316.00 on a confirmed reclaim. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
NYSE:ORCLShort
by bbqgio
Recap: ORB Pro in Action | “Discipline > Direction”Date: November 3rd 2025 Ticker: QQQ / NQ1! (5-min TF) Strategy: ORB Pro + Golden Pocket Retest + Volume Filter Focus: Trend confirmation & controlled execution 🧭 Market Context The morning opened sideways inside the ORB range — no clean conviction early on. Around mid-morning, sellers gained control as lower highs formed beneath the EMA band and the Golden Pocket retest (0.5/0.618) failed with volume confirmation. That break produced the clean short setup of the day, perfectly aligned with the higher-timeframe (HTF) downtrend. 🧠 Trade Review Early Entries: Entered pre-confirmation and took initial heat. Mid-Morning Setup: All filters aligned — EMA, volume, HTF direction. This was the textbook short that delivered follow-through. Late Session Attempts: Momentum faded after lunch, with signals correctly blocked as “Too Late.” Result: Several small wins offset by early losses, closing the day + $7.34 realized P/L after fees. 📊 Performance Snapshot Metric Value Win Rate ≈ 42 % Best Trade + $287.94 Largest Loss – $189.05 Net Result + $7.34 (Realized) Setup Accuracy High — execution mixed 📈 Chart Breakdown The 5-minute chart highlighted a short trigger around 26 260 – 26 280, with smooth continuation into ORB extensions. The ORB Pro filter marked “Blocked / Too Late” after the move — confirming that the system logic protected capital from late chases. 💡 Key Takeaways Patience > Prediction — early entries rarely pay off. Protect Green — partial profit lock once 1 R:R is reached. System Strength — ORB Pro continues to validate structure when filters align. 🧘‍♂️ Reflection “The system nailed the move — I jumped early. Still finished green, proving that execution discipline is the real edge. Tomorrow’s goal: one clean setup, one confident hold, and protect the profit.” 🧩 Next Steps ✅ Wait for full confirmation before entry ✅ Hold until 1:2 R:R min ✅ Avoid re-entries once HTF zone is tapped
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by TradeswithB
AMD Bull Flag: Breakout Above 262 Toward 286AMD on the 1D chart remains firmly bullish after its October surge, now pausing in a tight flag beneath the recent swing high at 262. Price is riding above the 20/60/120 MAs with all slopes positive, and Bollinger Bands have contracted after expanding during the rally—classic consolidation behavior. The prior ceiling at 240 has flipped to support, framing a clean structure for continuation. Primary path: a break-and-close above 262 confirms the bull flag and opens room toward 286, where measured move projections align with the first objective. Traders wanting earlier exposure can stalk dips into the MA20 buy zone at 245–255, but confirmation still matters—strength should be reflected by a daily close reclaiming 250s and then 262. If momentum extends post-breakout, consider trimming into 285–290. Alternative: if buyers fail to punch through 262, expect further range development between 240–262 while energy builds. The bullish thesis is invalidated on a daily close below 240, which would point to a deeper retrace toward prior October levels; risk should be sized with that line in mind. Trigger: daily close > 262 (breakout). Targets: 286 first, then manage into 285–290. Invalidation: daily close < 240. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bbqgio
NZDUSD Faces Pressure as Hawkish Fed Supports Dollar Strength!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around the 0.57450 zone. The pair is trading within a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trendline and resistance area at 0.57450. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve’s recent hawkish remarks—hinting that rate cuts in December are unlikely—have provided renewed support for the U.S. Dollar, adding downside pressure to risk-linked currencies like the NZD. If the pair rejects the 0.57450 zone with strong bearish momentum, further continuation toward recent lows could be expected. Trade safe, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
3
BTCUSD — TP1 Hit | Structure Validation Bitcoin tagged its first target at 111,066, wrapping up another disciplined weekend for structured traders.The move is still unfolding, completing the measured leg mapped last week. Price action remains just behind Thursday’s range as the market quietly fills the week’s single-prints near 111,629. Technical View BTC continues to trade inside its mid-range structure. The current rotation follows a clean, measured rhythm — confirming that prior resistance has been absorbed. Next focal zone: 111,900, where untested liquidity remains. A sustained break above that region would signal continuation; a rejection keeps us boxed in for another session. Macro Overview Dollar Index (DXY): Holding near 106, giving mild support to risk assets. Rates: U.S. 10-year yields steady around 4.25 %, showing markets in “wait mode.” Seasonality: Early November typically brings moderate inflows after October volatility. Expect slower rotations until U.S. sessions return to full volume. Volume / Flow Weekend turnover reached roughly $23 billion across BTC pairs — moderate and balanced. Order flow stayed clean, with no signs of forced liquidation or excess speculation. Plan Keep it simple: 111.9 k = magnet zone. We’re still in range logic — control, not chase. Note The system did what it’s designed to do: read rhythm, not emotion. Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
RSI 1W - gambling or smart retest?Rush Street Interactive (RSI) just confirmed a breakout above the 15–16 zone with a textbook retest - a classic bullish setup. The weekly chart shows a clean “cup and handle” structure backed by rising volume. Current pullback is forming right inside the buy zone, suggesting potential continuation. Fibonacci extensions highlight 30.7 and 43.9 as key upside targets. As long as price holds above 15.5–16.0, the bullish bias stays intact. A breakout above 18.0 would confirm the next leg higher. Fundamentally , RSI benefits from ongoing online gambling legalization across the US and improving profitability in core states, which could attract institutional inflows. In the gambling world, luck rarely repeats - but this chart looks like the house might finally lose.
NYSE:RSILong
by TotoshkaTrades
Weekly Market Outlook: Nifty, BankNifty & S&P 500Nifty (25722) slipped ~70 pts this week, staying exactly within my projected range of 26250–25350. The weekly candle formed a shooting star, signalling selling pressure from higher levels. A close below 25711 can extend downside toward 25450–25300. On the upside, only a close above 25860 can open a move toward 26100–26150. BankNifty held firm above 57600, but a dip below 57450 could pull it to 57000–56750. A breakout above 57900 with volume can take it toward 58469–58577 (ATH) — this will be key to any Nifty recovery. S&P 500 closed at an all-time high of 6840, just shy of the crucial Fib level 6959. Sustaining above 6800 can push it to 6920–7009, while a drop below 6780 may trigger a pullback toward 6689/6568. Historically, November brings a healthy 4–7% correction after strong October rallies. So a dip toward Nifty 25150–25200 wouldn’t be surprising — it may just set up the next leg higher. 🔹 Nifty Range: 26150–25250 🔹 BankNifty Key Zone: 57450–57900 🔹 Global Cue: S&P 500 near Fib resistance 6959
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed. Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins. ✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders: They accept losses without revenge trading. They follow rules, not impulses. They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight. 💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea. 📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control: Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade. Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one. Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better). Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners. Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time. 🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily: Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session. Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results. Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment. Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit. 💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve. ⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital. Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally. 🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.” 📊 Conclusion To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market. Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success. Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘‍♂️
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
5
ASPN - cup, handle, and maybe the moonAspen Aerogels (ASPN) shows a textbook “cup and handle” pattern on the daily chart. The stock broke above the MA50 and MA200, forming a golden cross - a clear signal of trend reversal. The buy zone sits around 7.4–7.8 , where price has twice found support. Holding above 8.0 keeps the door open toward 11.3, 13.7, and possibly 16.0 - key supply levels from previous distribution. On the fundamental side , ASPN benefits from strong interest in energy-efficient materials and aerogels used in green construction and EV insulation. With US policy support for clean tech, the company may catch a new growth wave. Tactically , as long as price stays above 7.8 , the setup remains bullish. Break above 9.0 confirms further upside, while a drop below 7.0 cancels the pattern. Every cup looks perfect until someone shakes the table - let’s see if this one stays steady.
NYSE:ASPNLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
SILVER 4H - double top before the dropAfter a strong rally, silver retested the 49.0–49.5 area aligning with the key 0.618 Fibonacci level. On the 4H chart, we see a clear double-top pattern with falling volume and oscillator divergence. Price already broke below the short-term trendline and failed to hold above resistance - a classic sign of fading bullish momentum. Fundamentally, silver faces pressure as the dollar stabilizes and rate-cut expectations fade. Industrial demand from Asia is cooling too, reducing the “safe-haven” appeal. Tactically, while price stays below 49.5, the path of least resistance is down toward 43.8 and possibly 41.1 - key accumulation zones. A breakout above 50.0 would cancel the bearish setup. Every silver rally ends the same way - right when everyone starts to believe it’ll never end.
TVC:SILVERShort
by TotoshkaTrades
2