TBT is an inverse 20 year Treasury Bill ETF. At present, the Iran Israeli conflict threatens a
regional conflict to include the Red Sea and the Easter Mediterranean where oil tankers must
navigate to move oil from producer to consumer. Oil price escalation could go hand and hand
with geopolitical escalations. Oil and its derivatives are a primary driver of...
On this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish)
over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but
with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some
of those factors.
This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell....
TBT is shown here on a weekly chart. It transitioned froma downtrend into the present trend
up two years ago with the initiation of the rate hikes to cut down inflation by hitting its knees.
Inflation was the direct result of the money printing and stimulus as part of the federal
response to the complications of covid and lockdowns. Price is now ascending in a...
TLT on a 120 minute chart has continued its trend down since early December after a suddent
uptrend in November lasting for a two month until the end of 2023.
Inflation data is kicking the rate cut down the road of time.
Price has now fallen under the VWAP and all of the EMA lines including the EMA20.
Relative strength trending correlates with price . I...
The idea is on this FAZ 15 minute chart. This is a ply on the idea that a rate cut may get kicked
down the road and a rate increase may come into consideration as a result of the report
of "sticky inflation".
TLT has been in a broadening wedge and formed a falling wedge within the larger pattern.
Price bounced off the lower supoort trendline in the mid-morning of trading then rising
to break out of the falling wedge. I see this as an opportunity to take a long trade in TLT
and close out a TBT position at the same time. This reversal may be due to the value...
TMF on the 4H chart is set up at the bottom descending support trendline of a symmetrical
triangle in the approach to the apex. Price appears ready to reach for the upper descending
resistance trend line and the Echo Indicator ( Lux Algo ) makes that forecast. Current
ambiguities in a rate cut soon upcoming will make values of Treasuries a complicated...
Here on a daily chart the ratio of the Bearish Leveraged Financial ETF to its Bullish counterpart
is showing to be in a descending parallel channel. The chart is marked with comments about
trading considerations of these ratios at a given time. At present, the FAZ is undervalued
and should be bought. On the other hand, Bullish FAS, should be either sold if...
TBT on the one hour chart demonstrates a clear round bottom reversal in late June
with a good trend up this past week. Price rose above the POC line of the volume profile
on July 3th showing bullish momentum dominating. Price has continued to ascend above
the Chris Moody sling shot indicator affirming that momentum. Given the current fed posture
hawkish for...
TLT on the 15 minute chart in the past two trading sessions consolidated and then fell into
a pullback to the support of the anchored mean VWAP. Relative volatility spiked and has
now contracted. I see this as a good entry to add to my TLT position having sold a good portion
of it three trading days ago when price showed topping wicks outside the fibonacci...
TMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising.
The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss
just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside.
The RSI indicator shows the fast RSI rising and crossing over the slower RSI while the
relative...
TLT is at a very well-defined resistance level and overbought. The MACD is also elevated to the same level where we last saw a steep reversal in the price of TLT.
To short TLT, I suggest the triple inverse ETN of TLT called TMV.
TBT on the 30 minute time frame shows a trend up in an ascending parallel
channel now at the bottom of the channel where it could go up or breakdown
and go under the channel. The ZL MACD suggests some bullish divergence while
the dual TF RS indicator and the ADX oscillator are non-commital.
The immediate recent short term volume profile with a POC line above...
On this 4H chart- TMV the leverage bear Treasuries ETF has been trending up
in a parallel channel. AT present it bounced from the top of the channel and is
heading down to the bottom of the channel. It is there that I will trade long
where the bottom of the channel is confluent with the mean VWAP providing
an overlap of dynamic support. Near that same level is...
TMV on the one-hour chart tested two standard deviations above the mean VWAP in
both late May and early July it fell to one standard deviation below VWAP but then rose
sharply into beyond the two standard deviations line ( thick red ) ascending into a YTD high.
I believe that this is due to the recent federal debt creditworthiness downgrade.
The threatened...
On the one-hour chart, TMF a triple ETF of long-expiration treasuries has finally
completed its downtrend or ten days given more bearish momentum with the federal
debt downgrade of creditworthiness as well as the rise of BRICS as a reserve currency.
Three indicators show bullish divergence with a MACD cross under the histogram. The
30 minute RS line rising...
On this 4H Chart TMF has rallied in the past week about 9% as the reports of the impetus of
inflation has diminished. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines are staying above the histogram
which has not converted from negative to positive. The dual time frame RSI showing
low 1 hour TF in blue and daily TF in black has the lower crossing over the higher both
at...
TMV is an ETF Shorting the Treasuries. On the 2H chart, price is rising as the treasuries are
suffering value contraction while interest rates are steady or projected to rise. The chart shows
rising volumes, upwards volatility as well as a PV Trend demonstrating trend strength. I see
these all as confirmatory for bullish momentum. I will take a long trade into...
