Hey all, Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-4 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments. Good luck with your trading today and have a great week...
Hey all, Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-3 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments. Good luck with your trading today and have a great week...
Hey all, Our debut message below explains the legend and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Day-2 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market. Appreciate your feedback. Good luck with your trading today and have a great weekend...
EURNZD Trading Plan SELL - Riks Reward 1:3
Checking out AUD/JPY today as the pair recovers from an early Tuesday drop, likely on rising global risk aversion sentiment as coronavirus fears blaze up once again. Words are in town that by Apple, who issued revenue guidance warning www.theverge.com overnight, evoking fears of a more significant impact from the coronavirus outbreak on the global economy. This...
Another Forex Trading Snack. From my original posting of the short opportunity that I saw in USDNOK, my tactics have always been in building a position up to take advantage of my longer term bias for the pair. The market will do what’s its going to do and all we can do is catch a ride if we can. Newer traders might just catch a great entry point but only get...
Tread Lightly in this Light Trading Compulsive trading could lead to hazardous outcomes. It is even more applicable in low liquid markets and market days. Exaggerated moves likely in either direction to wipe out weak hands/stops until normal liquidity and volumes return post holidays. Structurally, we are still in the bull territory. A daily close below 3180 is...
Pivotal Month Ahead: For Today, New Month in-flows to Keep the Markets (Artificially) Up? In the absence of any major drivers, markets are mainly driven by exogenous factors such as the quarter end window dressing (yesterday), and potentially beginning of the month inflows today. As we wrote on Friday morning, the SPX is stuck in a range of 2945-2995, until...
Geopolitical Headlines or Economic Releases to Dominate this Week? Expect a lot of headlines involving the United Nations, the unfolding Trump-Ukraine scandal, and key economic releases this week (Consumer Confidence, Advance Trade Balance, GDP number, Durable Goods, and PCE Core). Which one of these could drive the markets which way is anybody's guess, but our...
No Bad News is Good News, For Now With the Fed in the rear view mirror(?), the trade dispute rhetoric appearing to be cooling off (could change with one tweet, though), and the geopolitical headlines not portending the sky falling off...markets are sporting a buoyant bias this morning. In the absence of major macro drivers and in the light of the weekly option...
RESULTS of MODEL TRADING for THU 09/19 Results of our models' trading plans, published in the morning, are now available. Anyone can verify/cross-check the triggering of these trades from any source that provides charts. THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: Lead to +22.1 index points in gains on close out of the carried short from yesterday. Aggressive,...
Spike in Overnight Funding Rates an Anomaly or the Tip of the Iceberg? The Fed has announced their operation in the overnight funding market today morning to arrest the spike in their rates - third time in as many days. The last time they had to do this was in 2008. Observers are scratching their heads to figure out just what might be going on - is this a...
Results of our models' trading plans, published in the morning, are now available. Anyone can verify/cross-check the triggering of these trades from any source that provides charts. THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: Lead to -4.4 index points in losses on one short trade. Open long – entered at 2989.9 at 3:10pm – is carried over with the 10-pt trailing stop...
Interest Rates and Powell to Trump Everything Else Today The geopolitical scenario hasn't changed dramatically over the last couple of days, but the markets' focus will be entirely on the FOMC rate decision and outlook today. While the 25 basis point cut is almost a given, the outlook for future rate cuts is going to be the key that determines the market...
Results of our models' trading plans, published in the morning, are now available. Anyone can verify/cross-check the triggering of these trades from any source that provides charts. THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: Open short - entered at 3016.0 on Thursday at 3:40pm - is closed out for +15.03 index points in gains. Aggressive, Intraday Models: Lead to +0.2...