XAUUSD (1H) – Short-Term Structure ReadPrice has shifted bullish after a clear market structure break (BOS) and strong impulsive move. The recent pullback is reacting around a refined demand zone, where price previously left the area with imbalance.
At the current level, price is holding above demand with no strong supply candle, suggesting sellers are not in control yet. Consolidation here may indicate absorption rather than distribution.
🔎 Key observations:
Higher highs and higher lows remain intact
Reaction from a previously respected demand area
Lack of bearish follow-through near the zone
📌 Expectation:
As long as price holds above this demand, continuation toward the upside remains a valid scenario. A clean break below the zone would invalidate this view and shift focus to lower liquidity areas.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, based purely on price action and structure.
Trend Analysis
USDJPY – Supply Rejection & Fib Pullback ExpectationUSDJPY pushed strongly upward and tapped a major supply / resistance zone.
From that zone, price showed immediate rejection, suggesting buyers are losing momentum.
This kind of reaction usually leads to a healthy corrective phase before the next major move.
✨ My View
-After such an impulsive rally into resistance:
- Price often retraces toward a value zone
Fibonacci levels help identify where the market may rebalance
🎯 Expectation Zone: 155.700 (0.618 Area)
This level stands out because:
1. Classic golden retracement zone
2. Aligns with previous structure support
3. Logical area for price stabilization
Markets rarely move in straight lines — pullbacks are part of healthy trends.
📘 Disclaimer
This is only my personal market view, not financial advice.
Always manage risk properly.
EURUSD Cooling Off After the Rally – Where’s the Real Entry?1️⃣ What happened recently
After a strong bullish leg that pushed EURUSD close to 1.2100, the pair entered a corrective phase.
Over the past few days, price action has shifted into a tight consolidation, showing a temporary balance between buyers and sellers after the impulsive move higher.
2️⃣ Key question
Is this consolidation just a pause before another push higher, or the start of a deeper correction?
3️⃣ Why a continuation higher is possible
- The impulsive move up suggests underlying bullish pressure.
- 1.2100 has become a newly formed resistance and a natural magnet for price.
- A break and hold back above 1.1850 would signal renewed bullish intent and increase the probability of a retest of 1.21.
4️⃣ Trading plan
Despite the bullish potential, chasing price at current levels offers poor risk-to-reward.
From my perspective, the only trade that justifies the risk is buying a deeper dip.
➡️ The zone around 1.1720 is the area of interest.
➡️ A spike into that region could provide a better entry.
➡️ Strategy: buy dips into 1.1720, not the break above short term resistance.
Breaking through 5000. Will it reach 5100?After a fierce battle between bulls and bears, gold has rebounded above $5000, with bullish sentiment reviving.
Can gold sustain this strong bull run or rebound? The key lies in breaking through $5100; only then will a further rebound be possible. The previous rebound was halted at $5100, and after a second decline to $4650, it did not break the previous low of $4400, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has not subsided.
Central banks around the world continue to increase their gold holdings, which boosts bullish confidence. In the past two years, central banks have continuously increased their gold reserves to balance the single-asset risk of US dollar assets in their foreign exchange reserves, making gold a strategic asset of choice. Therefore, the focus is on what will support the continuation of the bullish trend. Geopolitical risks provide a temporary stimulus, but a sustained bull market requires stronger fundamental factors to form a consensus.
Gold prices opened higher in the Asian session. The key is whether the European session can continue the upward trend and even break through $5100. If the European session fails to continue the upward trend and instead falls below the starting point of the Asian session's rise, it indicates that this rise is a trap, and gold needs a correction to confirm the support level.
In the short term, the key level to watch is $4930, the starting point of the Asian session's rise. Above this level, it is advisable to focus on long positions, but it is important to adjust your strategy promptly if the price falls below $4930. The market is constantly changing; follow the market, and any attempt to manipulate the market is dangerous.
EURUSD – Liquidity Sweep → Expansion Move ExpectedEURUSD recently performed a clean liquidity sweep below the support zone.
After grabbing liquidity, price quickly reversed and started pushing upward — a classic sign that smart money accumulation already happened.
Now price is stabilizing near the mid retracement area and preparing for the next move.
✨ My View
After liquidity sweeps, markets usually:
- Consolidate briefly
-Then expand toward imbalance or fib extension zones
Based on the current structure and fib projection, my main expectation zone is:
🎯 Expectation Zone: 1.18670
If momentum continues, next extension area:
🔷 Extended Target: ~1.18970
This is typical sweep → consolidation → expansion behavior.
📘 Disclaimer
This is only my personal market view, not financial advice.
Always manage risk properly.
The Bitcoin/Gold Ratio suggest a reversal in BitcoinLined up with a confluence of Fibonacci retracements, extensions and projections, and with the duration of previous bear markets vs the current bear market were in suggests that Bitcoin has reached it bottom. From a technical perspective, this is a sniper entry to go long on Bitcoin.
Good luck out there.
CL Trend Line Break?First, just want to say that I’m so glad I started posting my charts—feels good to share my process and ideas, then watch them play out. That said, these posts are just my personal opinion, not to be mistaken for financial advice.
Based purely on the technicals, CL appears to be setting up for a bearish pivot. With 4 TL touches since early January and a brief consolidation up near $66-66.50, this coil is tightening quickly. And with oil scarcity less of a concern this year, price action should provide clean, A+ setups.
Watch for Crude to get real slippery—with just enough lube for a nice swing down to first TP of 59.75. Depending on how steep the angle, a second TP target sits right at midline of Golden Pocket around 58.50. With a $1 move on minis yielding $1000, this can be a nice profitable trade if you catch the trend line retest, giving an opportunity for at least a 4 point move. In CL terms, that’s a nice trade. If you’re trading a small account, 3-5 micros will do the trick.
Be patient, set your stop loss (and DO NOT MOVE IT!), even set your TPs—I’ve been automating my trades more and more lately, setting brackets and letting them do the magic while I’m working my day job. And most of all, don’t over-leverage yourself. If you’re anxious in trade, your position sizing is off. Volatility is coming soon…stay disciplined and stay safe!
XAUUSD Breakout Confirmed — Is Gold Preparing for a Major Rally?📊 Market Structure
Gold has successfully broken above a descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in short-term market structure from bearish to bullish.
After the breakout, price formed strong higher lows — suggesting buyers are stepping in with momentum.
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🧠 What I’m Watching
Price is now approaching a key resistance zone near 5,040.
A clean break and hold above this level could open the door for the next bullish expansion.
As long as gold remains supported above the demand zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward.
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🔑 Key Levels
Demand Zone: 4,920 – 4,960
Resistance: 5,040
✅ Bullish Bias: While price holds above demand
❌ Invalidation: Sustained move below 4,920 may weaken bullish momentum
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🚀 Trade Idea
Breakout + structure shift often leads to continuation phases.
If buyers maintain control, gold could begin its next leg higher in the coming sessions.
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⚠️ Risk Note
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
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Do you see gold breaking this resistance — or forming a rejection?
Bullish or bearish from here? Comment below!
ETHUSD (1H) – Neutral Structure / Breakout WatchETHUSD (1H) – Neutral Structure / Breakout Watch
Market structure: Price is moving sideways after a recovery, showing consolidation between key levels.
Resistance zone: 2,100 – 2,120
Multiple rejections and EMA confluence.
Support zone: 2,070 – 2,085
Demand area holding recent pullbacks.
Current price: ~2,090
Bullish scenario (break resistance):
A strong 1H close above 2,120 would confirm a bullish breakout.
Acceptance above resistance can open upside continuation toward higher levels.
Bearish scenario (break support):
A clear break and hold below 2,070 would shift momentum bearish.
This could expose deeper downside movement.
Neutral view:
While price remains between 2,070–2,120, the market stays neutral.
Direction becomes clearer only after a confirmed breakout.
Summary:
Above resistance = bullish.
Below support = bearish.
Inside the range = neutral / wait.
Educational purpose only.
Gold May Continue Rising as the USD Weakens📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged strongly and remains above the 5000 USD/oz level as the US dollar weakened and expectations of Fed rate cuts increased, boosting safe-haven demand. Market sentiment remains risk-off amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
Key Resistance:
• 5035 – 5040
• 5065 – 5070
Nearest Support:
• 5000 – 4995
• 4970 – 4965
EMA:
• Price is trading above EMA 09 → short-term trend remains bullish.
Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• H1 candles show bullish bodies with short lower wicks → buyers are in control.
• Volume increased during the breakout above 5000 → confirming a valid breakout.
• RSI and momentum remain bullish but not overbought → further upside potential remains.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising in the short term if price holds above 5000 and no hawkish signals from the Fed or strong US economic data emerge.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 5039 – 5042
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 5045
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4999 – 4996
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4993
NASDAQ shortGreat RR here if Nasdaq gets rejected after retesting the bottom of the wedge. Fractal from the top before the Spring 2025 crash, looking very similar. Watching lower timeframes to find an entry. A bearish engulfing candle on the daily would be a good entry as well. Take profit at the long term MAs.
USDJPY H4 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 157.69, which is an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 159.36, which is a swing high resistance.
Our take profit is set at 154.68, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold is regaining its position at the start of the new week🔹 Main Trend (Trendline)
The long-term ascending trendline is still holding firmly.
Price has reacted and bounced from this line multiple times → confirming it as the driving force of the medium-term uptrend.
Currently, price remains above the trendline → the bullish structure has not been broken.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone
Zone: 5,098 – 5,100
Reasons this is a strong resistance:
• Aligns with the most recent previous high
• Located at the Fibonacci Extension 1.0 level
• Price is slowing down as it approaches this area
➡ If price fails to break decisively above this zone, a short-term pullback is likely.
🔹 Main Support Zone
Around 4,800
Reasons:
• Previous accumulation zone
• Confluence with the ascending trendline
• The most recent swing low of the recovery
➡ If price pulls back, this is a zone where buying pressure is likely to reappear.
📌 Trade Setups
BUY GOLD: 4,800 – 4,802
Stop Loss: 4,790
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 5,098 – 5,100
Stop Loss: 5,110
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips






















