Trend Analysis
Spring in play?The crypto market just went through another heavy liquidation event, with BTC flushing down to 59k. As expected, altcoins took the brunt of the move with many breaking structural lows and sentiment capitulating.
Even so, a number of alts are now showing tradeable relief‑rally structures. These aren’t guarantees nothing ever is, but the setups are technically clean, with clear invalidation levels and logical upside targets if the market stabilises.
The key thing to keep in mind:
If BTC continues lower (which is still very possible), many of these setups will likely get invalidated and push into their yearly S2 pivots or deeper support zones. Until then, the structure on several alts supports the idea of short‑term relief before the next major decision point.
I’ll be using this same template across multiple charts so the logic stays consistent.
Price swept the October 10th lows and printed a low‑volume spring relative to the selling climax. It has since closed back inside the range and is currently holding above the new yearly S1 support (at least for now).
Targets & Management
TPs
- First target sits just below the yearly pivot
- If price reaches that level, trail the stop toward the range EQ
Depending on BTC’s strength, the stop can continue to trail, but one step at a time
Risk
As always, risk management is everything. These setups are valid only while structure holds, and BTC remains the dominant variable.
Spring in play? The crypto market just went through another heavy liquidation event, with BTC flushing down to 59k. As expected, altcoins took the brunt of the move with many breaking structural lows and sentiment capitulating.
Even so, a number of alts are now showing tradeable relief‑rally structures. These aren’t guarantees nothing ever is, but the setups are technically clean, with clear invalidation levels and logical upside targets if the market stabilises.
The key thing to keep in mind:
If BTC continues lower (which is still very possible), many of these setups will likely get invalidated and push into their yearly S2 pivots or deeper support zones. Until then, the structure on several alts supports the idea of short‑term relief before the next major decision point.
I’ll be using this same template across multiple charts so the logic stays consistent.
Price swept the October 10th lows and printed a low‑volume spring relative to the selling climax. It has since closed back inside the range and is currently holding above the new yearly S1 support (at least for now).
Targets & Management
TPs
- First target sits just below the yearly pivot
- If price reaches that level, trail the stop toward the range EQ
Depending on BTC’s strength, the stop can continue to trail, but one step at a time
Risk
As always, risk management is everything. These setups are valid only while structure holds, and BTC remains the dominant variable.
Spring in play? The crypto market just went through another heavy liquidation event, with BTC flushing down to 59k. As expected, altcoins took the brunt of the move with many breaking structural lows and sentiment capitulating.
Even so, a number of alts are now showing tradeable relief‑rally structures. These aren’t guarantees nothing ever is, but the setups are technically clean, with clear invalidation levels and logical upside targets if the market stabilises.
The key thing to keep in mind:
If BTC continues lower (which is still very possible), many of these setups will likely get invalidated and push into their yearly S2 pivots or deeper support zones. Until then, the structure on several alts supports the idea of short‑term relief before the next major decision point.
I’ll be using this same template across multiple charts so the logic stays consistent.
Price swept the October 10th lows and printed a low‑volume spring relative to the selling climax. It has since closed back inside the range and is currently holding above the new yearly S1 support (at least for now).
Targets & Management
TPs
- First target sits just below the yearly pivot
- If price reaches that level, trail the stop toward the range EQ
Depending on BTC’s strength, the stop can continue to trail, but one step at a time
Risk
As always, risk management is everything. These setups are valid only while structure holds, and BTC remains the dominant variable.
Bitcoin Massive Drop ComingBased on the weekly timeframe you'll bitcoin made HH from the previous wave and now we are in a bearish wave to support. Seeing price not respecting strong PRZ levels and a 88.6 zone have confluence. I am expecting around 30k to be the bottom of this bear market. The clarity act is dragging feet. Margin calls are at an all time high causing forced sells in this market. Lower time frames are giving Lower highs and lower lows until a break of structure to the upside sellers will continue to thrive and the buyers will cry a slow painful tear.
Is this it for NANO?On Nano's all-time USD chart, it is currently hovering directly on, or slightly below what appears to be the final support trend line.
Binance is the only exchange with an XNO/BTC pair, and it is showing a few interesting signs.
First and foremost, it found support and bounced off of the 61.8% Fib from the most recent swing that started in November. It found resistance just above, at the 50% Fib:
Now, for me, this is the most important/interesting part of the BTC pairing chart.
To this day, the most profitable trades I've ever had, BY FAR, were due to the RSI.
There is a weekly resistance trend line in the RSI that originated from Nano's all time high.
The RSI has bounced 3 times off of this resistance trend line on the weekly chart.
The prior two bounces found enough resistance to be rejected.
The last bounce occurred the week of December 15th, where Nano has now found support.
Currently, the RSI is attempting to break above 50, which sits just above this trend line.
A close above 50 RSI on the weekly is needed in order for bullish momentum to build.
An interesting part of this RSI trend line is on the 3 day chart.
It becomes very, very clear that this trend line is substantial/important.
Throughout the entire price hold of the 61.8% Fib, the RSI bounced from this trend line.
From everything I have learned on my trading journey, this signals MAJOR confluence.
Now, I'm not going to lie to myself or you and say that this situation looks pretty.
Although Nano is still listed on a few major exchanges, the AMOUNT of exchanges it has for on/off ramps is dire. This, along with Nano being at what is basically its final support on the USD chart, is scary.
I have looked briefly into the known wallets explorer for Nano.
Currently Binance, Kraken, KuCoin, and Huobi are the most notable holders.
This means these are pretty much the only exchanges Nano has for actual liquidity/trading.
Never been in this situation before, and due to the above, I fully expect the worst here.
BUT.
Since all time high, Nano has spent less than 3% of its existence in this price zone.
The RSI on the BTC/Nano pairing is showing the first ever actual support.
This is the largest investment I've ever made. To you, it probably isn't much...
Is this it for Nano?
XRP now oversold —weekly RSI · Bitcoin's halving & 4 years cycleXRP's weekly RSI just hit the lowest level since June 2022, the month of the previous bear market bottom. This means that we are looking at market conditions similar to the end of the last bear market.
Now, the reading is the lowest since then but not the lowest nor the same, it is a bit higher.
This development gives me a bullish bias but I am not stupid. This bullishness is based only on the short-term.
As you can see, XRPUSDT is set to close five consecutive weeks red with the current week having a long lower shadow. This call for some relief.
After this relief then the market moves lower again.
Whenever the market produces a bearish cycle, it never enters the next cycle in flash, suddenly. Instead, the market goes sideways for several months at bottom prices before the start of the next trend.
Let's say XRP goes bullish for several weeks and that's it. The relief. Then it comes crashing back down. The next crash produces really extreme oversold conditions and then the market settles at bottom prices; still, no strong bullish breakout.
At the bottom we get sideways with some fluctuations. After a long while, long enough for people to get bored and many weak hands to fold, then a strong bullish breakout shows up. This move signals the start of the next market phase which tends to last a long time.
Bitcoin's halving and 4 years cycle explained
Many people have been saying that Bitcoin's four years cycle is changing or that it will change in the future—simply impossible.
The four years cycle cannot change because it has been programmed into the code. Every four years we get "the halving." And this is what causes Bitcoin's classic bullish and bearish cycles.
Before the halving, Bitcoin starts to grow really strong in anticipation of the event. This puts pressure on the entire Cryptocurrency market to grow.
Once the event happens, Bitcoin continues growing until all momentum is exhausted. The year after the halving all momentum is gone and that's the end.
The market starts to price-in the halving one year in advance. Grows before and during the halving. The momentum lasts until one year after and then we get the bear market.
That's why we get only 1 year of bearish action vs 3 years of bullish action.
Namaste.
XRP ripple weekly perspectiveXRP, the defense at 1.1086-1.109 demand floor was technically a retest floor and holding buyers as weekly rejection candle .
i fee it should come to 0.5285 floor with a reversal in the form of inverted head and shoulder.
A technical push into 1.8635 broken demand floor could be rejected based on the structure except trade dynamics is altered by economic data report
looking at the structure from the month of october 2025 we can see the break and retest at 2.700-2.6952-2.6742,shortly after a sell continuation
another sell continuation was 2.3597$ break and retest sell confirm.
its important to note that each of the key broken zones will now act as dynamic resistance to upswing on the weekly timeframe.
what is xrp
XRP is the native cryptocurrency of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), a decentralized, open-source blockchain launched in 2012 for fast, low-cost cross-border payments.
Key Features
It enables transactions settling in 3-5 seconds at near-zero fees using a consensus protocol with trusted validators, avoiding energy-intensive mining like Bitcoin. A fixed supply of 100 billion tokens exists, with about 59 billion in circulation, making it efficient for bridging currencies without intermediaries.
Ripple Connection
While associated with Ripple (the company), XRP operates independently on the XRPL; Ripple uses it in products like RippleNet for institutional transfers, but the ledger is permissionless. Recent developments include post-SEC clarity (2023-2025 rulings) boosting adoption for payments and tokenized assets.
who are the founders of xrp??
Ripple Labs (originally OpenCoin, founded in 2012 and renamed in 2013) was co-founded by Chris Larsen and Jed McCaleb. Larsen, an entrepreneur, brought business expertise, while McCaleb handled technical development; they built on Ryan Fugger's earlier RipplePay concept from 2004.
XRP Ledger Creators
XRP and its underlying XRP Ledger were developed starting in 2011 by Jed McCaleb, David Schwartz (chief cryptographer), and Arthur Britto, focusing on efficient, low-energy payments. McCaleb left in 2014 to found Stellar, but Schwartz remains key at Ripple.
#xrp #ripple #xrpusdt
Spring in Play?The crypto market just went through another heavy liquidation event, with BTC flushing down to 59k. As expected, altcoins took the brunt of the move with many breaking structural lows and sentiment capitulating.
Even so, a number of alts are now showing tradeable relief‑rally structures. These aren’t guarantees nothing ever is, but the setups are technically clean, with clear invalidation levels and logical upside targets if the market stabilises.
The key thing to keep in mind:
If BTC continues lower (which is still very possible), many of these setups will likely get invalidated and push into their yearly S2 pivots or deeper support zones. Until then, the structure on several alts supports the idea of short‑term relief before the next major decision point.
I’ll be using this same template across multiple charts so the logic stays consistent.
Price swept the October 10th lows and printed a low‑volume spring relative to the selling climax. It has since closed back inside the range and is currently holding above the new yearly S1 support (at least for now).
Targets & Management
TPs
- First target sits just below the yearly pivot
- If price reaches that level, trail the stop toward the range EQ
Depending on BTC’s strength, the stop can continue to trail, but one step at a time
Risk
As always, risk management is everything. These setups are valid only while structure holds, and BTC remains the dominant variable.
EURUSD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 1.17500
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100% || 120% TPT
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Eth super cycle inbound leadin altcoin frenzy Trading doesn’t need to be complicated. I rely on simple evaluations to assess the probability of an outcome rather than overloading charts with noise.
Right now, Ethereum looks well-positioned to break its all-time high within the coming month. Both the technical structure and fundamental backdrop are aligning, and the current risk-to-reward setup is very attractive.
Of course, some drawdown along the way is inevitable — but the broader trend and upside potential remain strong
Bitcoin weekly chart and long term perspectivethe weekly chart looks like it will call for retest ,then sell from that zone. Watch monthly candle rejection above the demand floor if possible, but i doubt.
The monthly structure tells the truth and the whole story, its key to know that the the higher the timeframe the stronger the bias.
its in order of priority that the monthly time frame is stronger than the weekly, the weekly is stronger than the daily and the daily is stronger than all intraday analysis , bias and sentiment
the case of bitcoin shows that on monthly timeframe the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support has been broken. Expect a retest and sell again .
what does monthly break of demand floor mean??
if you get a monthly close below a support floor ,it could mean a more bearish continuation if the sentiment doesn't change.it takes a great market situation to breakout of monthly structure.
why is bitcoin falling??
trading is like business ,people take profit to invest in other businesses ,people sell when they perceive danger in the market, people sell because they are tired of something and cant keep up with unforeseen losses and the probability associated to trading.
crypto crash is coming.
the rumors linking Epstein to be the founder of bitcoin is false but fear and greed will buy into such misinformation .
Bitcoin experiencing a sharp drop around $60,000-70000k zone will continue despite a partial rebound to about $64,000 and retest 70k again
A broader market volatility and extreme fear sentiment has turn many buyers to sellers and wiping billions of dollars on long position. This decline has wiped out billions in leveraged positions and aligns with a risk-off environment in global equities.
The Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, seen as hawkish with potential for sustained high interest rates and a smaller Fed balance sheet, has spooked investors.
market hates bad new and such was one and critical price action followed.
Strong U.S. economic data like PMI readings signal prolonged tight liquidity, reducing rate cut hopes that crypto relies on.
The ETF outflows, miner selling resulted to cascading liquidations of billions of dollars of amplified sell-off.
Rumors Fueling the Crash
the Bitcoin predictions are tied to deflationary pressures. Broader fears include institutional exposure cuts, post-cycle digestion like 2019, and no quick Fed relief despite Trump's pro-crypto stance.
market structure perspective.
the higher time frame especially the monthly timeframe shows the break of the the neckline of double top at 108,599.04$ using the monthly line chart perspective if we get a buy back ,you need to be careful of 98,073.41$ zone as potential rejection zone .
the current supply roof will be tested at 73,637.65-70k zone
if the bias does change and we continue to see ETF outflow then you have to be ready for strong bearish continuation. on monthly timeframe we have broken the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support with one wick rejection on monthly chart.
watch the monthly break and close of 60.56.76 as this will open the window of sell profit booking by bears. If bears insist on taking profit they will look technically at 47,589k-50k zone based on our monthly chart analysis.
the market will resist and start a fresh rally at 28,629.89-29,734k zone on the floor of the bullish monthly ascending trendline making the next touch the 3rd touch on the demandfloor.
follow structure, buy with structure and sell with structure. Dont buy because others are buying.
the bitcoin low is coming and will happen .
wish you Goodluck
#bitcoin #btcusdt
Bitcoin btcusdtthe weekly chart looks like it will call for retest ,then sell from that zone. Watch monthly candle rejection above the demand floor if possible, but i doubt.
The monthly structure tells the truth and the whole story, its key to know that the the higher the timeframe the stronger the bias.
its in order of priority that the monthly time frame is stronger than the weekly, the weekly is stronger than the daily and the daily is stronger than all intraday analysis , bias and sentiment
the case of bitcoin shows that on monthly timeframe the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support has been broken. Expect a retest and sell again .
what does monthly break of demand floor mean??
if you get a monthly close below a support floor ,it could mean a more bearish continuation if the sentiment doesn't change.it takes a great market situation to breakout of monthly structure.
why is bitcoin falling??
trading is like business ,people take profit to invest in other businesses ,people sell when they perceive danger in the market, people sell because they are tired of something and cant keep up with unforeseen losses and the probability associated to trading.
crypto crash is coming.
the rumors linking Epstein to be the founder of bitcoin is false but fear and greed will buy into such misinformation .
Bitcoin experiencing a sharp drop around $60,000-70000k zone will continue despite a partial rebound to about $64,000 and retest 70k again
A broader market volatility and extreme fear sentiment has turn many buyers to sellers and wiping billions of dollars on long position. This decline has wiped out billions in leveraged positions and aligns with a risk-off environment in global equities.
The Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, seen as hawkish with potential for sustained high interest rates and a smaller Fed balance sheet, has spooked investors.
market hates bad new and such was one and critical price action followed.
Strong U.S. economic data like PMI readings signal prolonged tight liquidity, reducing rate cut hopes that crypto relies on.
The ETF outflows, miner selling resulted to cascading liquidations of billions of dollars of amplified sell-off.
Rumors Fueling the Crash
the Bitcoin predictions are tied to deflationary pressures. Broader fears include institutional exposure cuts, post-cycle digestion like 2019, and no quick Fed relief despite Trump's pro-crypto stance.
market structure perspective.
the higher time frame especially the monthly timeframe shows the break of the the neckline of double top at 108,599.04$ using the monthly line chart perspective if we get a buy back ,you need to be careful of 98,073.41$ zone as potential rejection zone .
the current supply roof will be tested at 73,637.65-70k zone
if the bias does change and we continue to see ETF outflow then you have to be ready for strong bearish continuation. on monthly timeframe we have broken the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support with one wick rejection on monthly chart.
watch the monthly break and close of 60.56.76 as this will open the window of sell profit booking by bears. If bears insist on taking profit they will look technically at 47,589k-50k zone based on our monthly chart analysis.
the market will resist and start a fresh rally at 28,629.89-29,734k zone on the floor of the bullish monthly ascending trendline making the next touch the 3rd touch on the demandfloor.
follow structure, buy with structure and sell with structure. Dont buy because others are buying.
the bitcoin low is coming and will happen .
wish you Goodluck
#bitcoin #btcusdt
ADOBE [ADBE] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS MONTHLY TFADOBE (ADBE) – Monthly Elliott Wave Count
ADBE continues to trade inside its multi-decade bullish channel and is now approaching the lower boundary near $242, which we consider our primary Wave IV buy zone. From an Elliott Wave Principle perspective, the 2021 high completed Supercycle Wave III, with the current decline unfolding as Supercycle Wave IV (Cycle A–B–C). Wave C appears mature on higher timeframes: momentum is deeply reset on the monthly RSI, price action remains corrective (not impulsive), and we’re seeing classic late-stage Wave C behaviour near structural support.
Key confluence at $230–$250:
– lower secular channel support
– ~0.382 retrace of Supercycle III
– historical RSI cycle lows
> This strongly favours Wave IV termination in this region.
Invalidation:
A decisive monthly close below ~$200, followed by loss of channel support, would invalidate this count and open risk toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (~$125–$160). Until then, $242 remains support, not hope.
NASDAQ confirmation:
The Nasdaq Composite remains in a corrective structure rather than an impulsive bear leg, supporting the interpretation that this is a broader Cycle/Supercycle Wave IV correction across tech — not the start of a secular bear market.
Assuming Wave IV completes near $242, projected Wave V targets align with the upper channel and Fib extensions in the $1,300–$1,350 region (≈ +456% from the Wave IV low), consistent with a final Supercycle Wave V advance.
Bottom line:
We’re positioned in the late stages of Wave IV, watching the $242 area as our buy zone. If this level holds, ADBE sets up for a multi-year Wave V move toward ~$1,346. Patience here matters.
Like and follow for more charts like this.
XAGUSD SILVER MOVEMENTS TARGET FEBRUARY 2026After falling to the 64 level, silver is attempting to recover from this support level.
With the current price structure, silver can accumulate and has the potential to rise again to even higher prices.
Pay close attention to the consolidation process above the 64 level.
If there is strong confirmation that it will break through the 93-95 levels, silver will continue to rise.
We will see how it plays out next week. This is quite interesting, as next week's price movements will determine the direction of silver prices in February.
Continue to be cautious in trading and, if necessary, wait for significant directional confirmation.
Beautiful HH HL. MDT Analysis
Closed at 102.90 (07-02-2026)
Beautiful HH HL.
Weekly Candle is Doji. So next few candles
should be monitored.
Sustaining 101 - 102 may confirms the Breakout &
we may witness ABCD pattern targeting around 115 - 116
after crossing 106 with Good Volumes.
However, breaking 95 may bring more selling pressure.
CEG short term reversalNASDAQ:CEG
on the checklist:
trend change candle: weird doji followed by confirmation (buyers candle with good volume)
speaking of volume: sellers volume decreacing + buyers volume stepping in
far from sma 20.
gap up
sadly the current price did not reach any support level
cci: looking good






















