Trend Analysis
GBP/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:GBPJPY GBP/JPY remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the 240-minute timeframe. Price has recently pulled back from the upper resistance band and is now stabilizing around the 212.12–212.61 support zone, which aligns with the channel midline and previous structure support. As long as price holds above this zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, favouring a continuation higher toward the channel top.
🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias)
Entry Zone: 212.12 – 212.60
Stop Loss: 211.88
Take Profit 1: 214.33
Take Profit 2: 214.86
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 3.34
📌 Invalidation:
A sustained break and close below 211.88 would invalidate the bullish setup.
🌐 Macro Background
While short-term GBP sentiment remains pressured by UK political uncertainty and expectations of further BoE rate cuts, downside momentum has been limited. At the same time, JPY strength driven by BoJ normalization expectations is increasingly priced in. This divergence supports a range-to-trend continuation structure, where technical support plays a more dominant role in guiding near-term price action.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 214.33 – 214.86
Support Zone: 212.12 – 212.61
Bullish Invalidation: Below 211.88
📌 Trade Summary
GBP/JPY is consolidating above a key structural support within an ascending channel. As long as price holds above the 212.12 area, the bias remains buy-on-dips, targeting a move back toward the upper resistance zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Time to buy NZDUSDNZDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and was struggling to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. NZDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. BUY NZDUSD.
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.18795
💰TP: 1.17785
⛔️SL: 1.19652
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The euro's aggressive approach to key resistance near 1.19 creates a potential reversal. However, the lack of price consolidation near 1.19 is crucial. If we see accumulation, a downward reversal is unlikely in the near term. If buyers take the initiative, we should expect a rise to 1.2, from where the next potential downward reversal is expected.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
FEBURARY 9 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There are no separate Nasdaq indicators.
When the red finger moves,
*This is a one-way long position strategy.
1. $66,268.1 is the entry point for a long position. / Stop-loss price is set when the green support line is broken.
2. $69,531.5 is the first target for a long position.
-> $71,221 is the second target. -> Target prices are set at Top and Good in that order.
Points 1 and 2 in the middle are used to re-enter a long position.
If the price touches 69.5K at the top first,
it could end in a sideways market within the purple support line of point 1. From the breakout of the green support line, the price remains open to a maximum of $61,222.5, so please be cautious.
Up to this point, please use my analysis for reference only.
Please operate safely, following the rules and setting stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
EUR/USD Bullish Consolidation & Potential BreakoutEUR/USD is currently consolidating after forming a base that halted the local downtrend. Price action suggests bullish intent, with buyers defending key levels and compressing price beneath resistance.
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to strength in the Japanese yen following Japan’s early parliamentary election. This shift in sentiment could weigh on the dollar in the medium term, supporting further upside in EUR/USD.
Technically, the consolidation appears to be acting as a pause before continuation. If bullish momentum is maintained and price successfully breaks above resistance, the pair may exit consolidation and resume growth.
In a bullish scenario, price may first retest support after the breakout (a typical pullback), before continuing higher. Upside targets are projected in the 1.19600 – 1.20008 zone.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
GBPUSD – Preparing for Political Event Driven Volatility Preparing for Political Event Driven Volatility
So far, increased UK political uncertainty has had a limited downside impact on GBPUSD. In fact, the pair has strengthened over the past couple of sessions as general dollar weakness drifts across the G7 currency space. This has taken it from lows at 1.3509 seen on Friday, back up to 1.3672 at the time of writing (0630 GMT). However, this does not guarantee that further upside is on the cards and FX traders may need to stay alert to real time news flow in case unexpected headlines trigger renewed price volatility.
Currently, Keir Starmer is indicating his determination to remain PM and potential rivals for his position are sitting on the sidelines, biding their time while deciding whether to attempt a leadership challenge. This is a developing situation which could change at any time triggering a period of increased volatility and sudden price moves in either direction, making prudent risk management essential for UK‑related assets. This may include the consideration of reduced position sizes, refreshing awareness of key support and resistance levels, and ensuring that stop‑losses are placed in a timely and appropriate manner.
Checking the Pepperstone economic calendar for important scheduled UK and US data releases across the week can also be useful. US Retail Sales for December is due later today at 1330 GMT. This number could shed light on US consumer spending over the Christmas period at a time when consumer confidence has been falling. Any surprise deviation from expectations could impact the dollar (USD) side of the GBPUSD pair.
The same could be said for the delayed US Non-farm Payrolls release, which is now due at 1330 GMT on Wednesday. This update could be more significant for currency markets and while the headline number may remain volatile, FX traders could choose to focus on the unemployment rate, which unexpectedly fell to 4.4% in the previous reading, before deciding where GBPUSD may move next.
Thursday sees a shift back to the UK or GBP side of the equation, when the preliminary Q4 2025 GDP growth update is released. The Bank of England were very close to cutting interest rates last week, and a weaker reading could see traders become more confident that a cut may be due sooner rather than later, while a stronger update could see current rate cut expectations pared back.
Then finally, the latest US CPI is scheduled for release at 1330 GMT on Friday, the outcome of which could ensure that any GBPUSD volatility may continue right up to the weekly close.
Technical Update: Identifying Potential Support and Resistance Levels to Monitor
Potential Support Levels:
Although the rally from the 1.3509 February 6th low has impressed, the chart currently shows little evidence of a sustained trend developing. As a result, traders may focus on potential support at 1.3599, which represents half of the latest up move, as the first interim level to watch.
A closing break below this support at1.3599 could open the door to further downside. Such a move might point toward a deeper decline, first suggesting risks to test the 1.3509 February 6th low, and if that level gives way, extending toward 1.3339, which is the January 19th downside extreme.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While the support at 1.3599 continues to hold on a closing basis the risks may still lean toward further attempts at price strength. However, renewed upside could require a closing break above initial resistance at 1.3733, which is the February 4th high, to confirm fresh momentum.
A closing break above the 1.3733 high could potentially see traders looking for continued attempts toward higher levels. As the chart above highlights, the next resistance could sit at 1.3869, which is the January 27th high, with scope for further gains if that level is also broken above on a closing basis.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Gold XAUUSD 4hr price action and perspective Gold drops but buyers are holding on on market structure. @4405-4410 a key double confluence and a zone where horizontal support meets ascending trendline on 4hr time frame .
the key supply zone will be as follows.
supply roof 5091-5100 zone and could come early at 5080-5091-5100 are sell zone on layer 1
supply roof 5331.27-5340 zone layer2
supply roof 5430.19-5440 zone layer 3
supply roof 5760-5800 zone ,this zone is special to me because it will be the break of the current all time high and if i get a double top,i will scale down to 15min and 3min chart to catch sniper entry.
this strategy has enabled us to hold Gold current low at sniper entry and over 3000pips holding
what is Gold ??
Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au and atomic number 79. It's a dense, soft, malleable, and ductile precious metal known for its lustrous yellow color and resistance to corrosion.
Chemical Properties
Gold occurs naturally in pure form and is one of the least reactive elements, classified as a noble metal in Group 11 of the periodic table. It has a high density of about 19.3 g/cm³, making it heavier than most metals, and excellent conductivity for heat and electricity.
Physical Characteristics
This bright yellow solid at room temperature can be hammered into thin sheets (gold leaf) or drawn into wires due to its extreme malleability—an ounce covers nearly 187 square feet. It doesn't tarnish, which has made it prized since ancient times.
Common Uses
Gold is widely used in jewelry, coinage, and as a financial asset due to its enduring value. In industry, it appears in electronics for reliable connections and in dentistry or medicine for its biocompatibility.
Economic Role
As a safe-haven investment, gold prices fluctuate with market dynamics like inflation or geopolitical events, aligning with your interest in financial markets and assets like government bonds.
why is Gold ter1 asset
Gold is classified as a Tier 1 High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) under Basel III banking regulations due to its superior liquidity, stability, and low risk profile. This status, effective for allocated physical gold as of mid-2025 implementations, allows banks to count it at 100% of market value toward liquidity coverage ratios (LCR) and net stable funding ratios (NSFR), unlike prior rules that discounted it by 50%.
Key Regulatory Shift
Previously treated as a Tier 3 asset with higher capital charges, physical gold's upgrade eliminates reserve penalties, making it equivalent to cash or top sovereign bonds for regulatory purposes. Only unencumbered, allocated bullion qualifies—paper gold like ETFs does not, boosting demand for physical holdings.
Reasons for Tier 1 Status
Gold's Tier 1 designation stems from its proven resilience in stress scenarios, minimal price volatility relative to other commodities, and universal marketability without counterparty risk. Basel III's Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) assigns it a 0% Required Stable Funding (RSF) factor, reflecting its role as a reliable liquidity buffer during crises.
Financial Implications
This change enhances bank balance sheet efficiency, encourages institutional gold accumulation, and reinforces its safe-haven appeal amid inflation or geopolitical tensions—aligning with dynamics in assets like government bonds you track.
why does GOLD , US10Y ,dollar index and federal reserve rate decision affect each other price action??
Gold, the US 10-Year Treasury yield (US10Y), Dollar Index (DXY), and Federal Reserve rate decisions are interconnected through opportunity cost, inflation hedging, and monetary policy dynamics. These relationships drive inverse correlations: a stronger dollar or higher yields typically pressure gold prices downward, while Fed rate cuts often boost gold.
Gold vs. DXY
Gold exhibits a strong inverse correlation with the DXY (often -0.45 to -0.7 historically), as a rising dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. When DXY weakens below 100, gold becomes cheaper globally, attracting investors and pushing prices higher.
Gold vs. US10Y
Higher US10Y yields create an inverse relationship with gold, as they signal better returns on interest-bearing Treasuries versus non-yielding gold, drawing capital away. Falling yields (e.g., below 4.5%) lower the opportunity cost, supporting gold rallies, though recent divergences occur amid geopolitical risks.
Note trading GOLD is very risky but has good reward if you understand market structure.
wish you Goodluck
#gold #xauusd #us10y #dollar #dxy
Bitcoin is going to the hell???hi follow me , boost this post and read
everything shows me that bull trend is over , weakness in highs , candles and the momentum
the targets for retracement is 83 to 74 and after that 50k
i know its hard to hear that but this is market he do what he wants so accept it.
thank you. i reply to questions anytime.
BTC 1H CHART SETUP LONGDear Traders,
Following the CHoCH formation, price action has been activated. The Order Block formation, lower trendline rejection at the key OB and support level, along with a clear FVG rejection, all align to confirm a short-term bullish outlook on the 1H timeframe. These multiple confluences increase the probability of an upward move, aiming to achieve a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio.
Entry: 67K – 68K
Target: 78K
Stop Loss: 64K
Please trade with caution and apply strict risk management.
Show your support by boosting and commenting to help us continue delivering high-quality market analysis.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
United Health - Losing $60bln in one day!📢United Health ( NYSE:UNH ) still overall remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just within a couple of hours, United Health wiped out $60bln. And despite this massive -20% drop, United Health is approaching a major confluence of support. After we see bullish confirmation, a rejection higher is very likely to follow in the future.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTCUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup (HTF Confluences)BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after a sharp selloff.
Multiple bullish confluences are lining up:
Strong reaction from the lower volatility band / channel support
Bullish momentum divergence after capitulation-like candles
Price attempting to reclaim the mid-band / trend ribbon, suggesting selling pressure is weakening
Current structure favors a mean-reversion move toward the upper range
Using Fibonacci extension from the recent impulse, upside targets are:
38.2% → ~69.6k (first reaction / partials)
61.8% → ~74.0k (key HTF resistance)
100% → ~83k (full extension target / range high)
As long as price holds above local lows, bias remains bullish toward higher fib levels. Invalidation on a clean breakdown below support.
Global trend continuation on Philip Morris Int. (Ticker PMI)NYSE:PM
Fundamentals:
- recent yearly and quarterly reports of PMI were pretty nice due to the art of bussiness (comsumer staples) as well as specification of the product - tabak-related items, and we all know that whatever happens people will continue smoking. Their business with electronic cigarettes improves, erobers the market and brings revenue and earnings. And this is de-facto one of the main reasons why investors would hold money in the business and even buy more - because of reccuring dividends and more or less stable earnings. Even the current lower than expected earnings for Q4 of 2025 are completely overblown by positive 2026-2028 earnings expectation report. I personally saw new production factories the company builds near the existing company buildings in the country I am living in, and that only means that they have money and they have demand on their product which makes it reasonable to continue expanding
- as the market sentiment remains unstable and is the reason for worries of most of traders, the consumer industry has historically played a role of a safe harbor for the times of instability and as regular cash flow during bullish times
- these factors do speak more for possible existence of further investors interest in the company, which may lead to further growth
- but dont forget that there are financial reports every 3 months, and situation can always change and smart money might decide to take out money from an asset which is definetly on its local or global highs
Technicals:
- the negative factor is the possible upside W-formatted double-top pattern on the global picture which in case of negative news can push the price down
- there are stop-losses directly above recent high in June 2025, so if price reaches that level a lot of short squeezes can be triggered
- in case of positive scenario and move forward I expect the price to retest the closest zone which has not yet acted as support
- but this will only happen if the further upward movement is weak
- if the price continues the upward movement straight from the place it is now (182.00-183.00) it can mean a strong trend continuation
- nevertheless if the "not-really-good-one support zone" does not hold the price at 173.00, a next target on 163.00 can be taken into account
Conclusion:
- due to market sentiment and technical upside W-formation it is recommended to follow the price action on Friday 6 Feb., but enter the trade on Monday 9 Feb.
- if price shows strengh and moves forward the recent high, I will look for medium-term trend continuation
- but in case there are no significant changes today on 6 Feb and bearish news over weakend, the short-term downside correction scenario to 173.00 or 163.00 will be taken under loop, but decission met on spot
- sometimes it is better to wait than to hurry
# - - - - -
WAIT UNTIL 9 February for decission
⚠️ Short-term Signal - Sell ⬇️
✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit on 182.00
🛑 SL - 187.24
🤑 Partial TP 50% - 171.36
🤑 Final TP 100% - 163.79
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2 and 1 : 3.5👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 1 week 🗓
# - - - - -
Only if short trade succeeds
⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️
✅ Entry Point - 173.24
🛑 SL - 158.53
🤑 TP - 223.54
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 :3.44 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 1 month 🗓
# - - - - -
Alternative HIGH RISK
⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️
✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit 184.80
🛑 SL - 17.34
🤑 TP - 223.54
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.9 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 2 weeks 🗓
Good Luck! ☺️
# - - - - -
DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade
Silver - Critical Decision ZoneAfter rejecting from the weekly high supply zone, price corrected sharply and is now attempting to form a base near the 252000–250000 support area. This zone has started attracting demand, visible through reduced selling momentum and repeated support tests.
Market Structure Insight:
• The prior upmove was capped near weekly highs, confirming strong supply
• Current decline looks corrective rather than impulsive
• Price is now stabilizing above a short-term support base
What to watch next:
• ✅ Bullish case: Sustaining above the base can lead to a technical bounce toward 256000–258000 initially
• ❌ Bearish case: A decisive breakdown below the base will open deeper downside toward the next demand zone
🔻 Sell Setup
Sell below 252000
Targets 249500 246800 242500
Stop Loss 255200
🔹 Buy Setup
Buy only above 258000 on sustained move
Targets 262500 267000 272500
Stop Loss 254800
This is a wait-and-react zone, not a chase trade.
Let the market confirm the direction.
📌 If you found this analysis useful, do LIKE ❤️ and FOLLOW on TradingView for regular commodity updates.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 25,570.42
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
- Fair value gap
Stop Loss: 25,910.52
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 25,151.28
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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BTCUSD ANALYSIS,[READ,CAPTION]BTC – Rejection at Resistance, Bearish Continuation Setup
Price is reacting strongly from a clearly defined resistance zone around 69,700 – 70,300, which has acted as supply multiple times in the past. The recent push into this area failed, confirming sellers are still defending this level.
After the rejection, price shows bearish momentum with lower highs forming, suggesting a continuation move to the downside. The projected move targets the liquidity/support zone near 67,450, which aligns with previous demand and an imbalance fill.
Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: 69,700 – 70,300
⚫ Invalidation: Clean break and hold above resistance
🎯 Target: 67,450 area
Bias remains bearish below resistance. Waiting for confirmation and proper risk management before entry.
GBPUSD: Bearish Drop to 1.334?FX:GBPUSD is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price testing resistance after recent highs in an upward trendline from June 2025, converging with a potential entry zone that could spark downside momentum if sellers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity post-rally, targeting lower support levels with more than 1:2 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 1.3566–1.3586 for a short position. Target at 1.3341 . Set a stop loss at a close above 1.3664 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:2 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's dynamics near resistance.🌟
Fundamentally , GBPUSD is trading around 1.357 in early February 2026, with key events this week. For the US Dollar, Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan, forecast 50K) on February 6 at 1:30 PM UTC, the week's highlight—weak data could favor GBP upside. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
1.3566 – 1.3586
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.)
🎯 Target:
• 1.3341
❌ Stop Loss:
• Close above 1.3664
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:2
💡 Your view?
Is this the start of a healthy pullback toward 1.3340, or will GBP bulls push through resistance and extend the rally? 👇
BTC Final Long before Death Plunge to 40kHello BTC Traders,
i know the chart is a bit congested.. just zoom in and review
To give an update on my previous idea, since the TP 1 was hit successfully, and we have had a strong Hourly wick above the previous H1 Block
in this post I highlight why TP 2 is highly likely also in this current pull-back as you can see in the red box on the right.
looking at the H4 chart we have multiple areas that seem like an order block to the uninformed trader.
however these areas, shown with arrows never closed above previous candle high to consider them a valid order block.
these areas can be considered high liquidity areas since retail traders place their buy stops above these highs and new buyers start buying the break out fueling the price up rapidly
the details i placed on the chart should be self-explanatory,
you can keep your long open if you entered from my previous idea and don't mind some negative price action.
Entry Area Suggestion: Enter at the M5 OB after it causes a ChoCH Confirmation on the M1 chart to be sure it will not seek liquidity in the deeper blocks,
because if it tries to do that, then we will have another ChoCH on the M15 and the trade will be invalid because structure failed
Short term TP for (day traders): 72250
MAX TP target for (swing traders): 79300
as it overlaps with the weekly FVG, however you can close wherever you are comfortable since it might take 2-3 weekly candles to do this, or it might never, so DYODD
Current Trend Analysis:
M5: Bullish
M15: Bullish
H1: Weak Bullish (Wick/No Close)
H4: Bearish
thanks for checking out the idea.
follow for more :D
USDJPY Short Trade IdeaUSDJPY is currently bearish in Daily, 4H.
After a brutal selloff from 23rd Jan 2026, Price has since retraced deep into 0.786 of the fib level, and reacted with a Daily Bearish Englufing candle. which is normal given the power move from 23 Jan 2026. Daily Chart is also printing a potential Head and shoulder pattern setup.
Currently on the H4 chart, Price has since closed below the support level at 156.6. Will look for a retest at that level & enter a short position






















