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Trend Analysis

EURJPY at All-Time Highs, Testing Key ResistanceEURJPY is trading near its all-time highs, facing a very important resistance level around 174.00, which has been in play since July 2024. At these elevated levels, I believe a big drop is possible if price fails to clear resistance and instead breaks below the rising green trendline. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current price: 172.62. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline (green), which has guided the rally higher. Overhead resistance remains heavy: 172.92 (1H) and 173.93 (daily). If these zones cap price, momentum may fade. 🛡️ Support Zones (if pullback occurs): 🟢 172.00 – Trendline Support A break below here would be the first bearish trigger. Stop-loss: Below 171.80 🔼 Resistance Levels: 🟥 172.92 – 1H Resistance Immediate barrier, already tested multiple times. 🟥 173.93 – Last Daily Resistance (July 2024 High) Major ceiling. If price stays below this level, sellers may step in aggressively. 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Clear 173.93 → opens path toward 174.50+ all-time highs. Bearish Case: Rejection at resistance + break of green trendline → sharp correction likely into 171.50 and below. Bias: Bearish if resistance holds and trendline breaks. 🌍 Fundamental Insight The euro remains supported by ECB’s relatively firm stance, but the yen’s weakness has stretched valuations. At current all-time highs, risk-reward may favor downside if risk-off sentiment or BOJ intervention headlines emerge. ✅ Conclusion EURJPY sits at a critical resistance near 174.00. If bulls fail to break through and price loses the green trendline, a large downside move becomes increasingly probable. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Short
by husseindergham
INJ 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing MKR on the 1-Day timeframe timeframe . 👀 4H timeframe on Injective (INJ) – After breaking its downtrend line, INJ moved toward the $13.41 resistance, broke through it successfully, and is now sitting just below the $14 resistance zone. A clean breakout and confirmation above $14 could open the way toward the next resistance at $16, which also acts as a strong trigger level. ⚙️ On the RSI, the key zones to watch are 50 and 70. If momentum pushes above these levels, INJ could start a new upward leg. 🕯 Green candles are showing increased size and volume. At $14, we’ve seen a cluster of sell orders triggered – profit-taking, shorts, and spot sells. Once this selling pressure is absorbed and order books clear out, INJ has a good chance to stabilize above $14, which is a very critical level to monitor. 💰 On the INJ/BTC 4H chart, the pair also broke its trendline and resistance, now waiting for confirmation above that level. Buying volume has been strong – whales are showing preference for INJ over BTC. RSI is currently around 72+, reflecting heavy trading activity and strong momentum. 📊 Looking at the Bitcoin dominance 4H chart, after losing its support at 58.36%, dominance is moving lower toward the next support at 57.81%. 🔔 In short: $14 is the key resistance for Injective. Wait for a confirmed breakout, stabilization above it, and ideally a pullback retest before entering with a reasonable risk-to-reward setup. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by SatoshiMultiframe
KSE-100 Index Technical Analysis 09-09-2025KSE-100 Index Technical Analysis The KSE-100 index demonstrated strength by reversing upwards sharply after planting a spring below the immediate support level. Key Levels - *Immediate Target Price*: 15,72,50 - *Next Target Price*: 15,90,00 (if the index breaks above the immediate TP) Market Sentiment - *Bullish*: The index is very much bullish, and every dip is considered a buying opportunity. This analysis suggests the KSE-100 index has strong upward momentum, with potential for further gains if it breaks above the immediate target price.
PSX:KSE100Long
by THE-CHART-ALCHEMIST
Bonds vs Gold: Trading the Fiscal Dominance Divergence The Fed is expected to cut rates next week. Yet, the long-term Treasury yields refuse to come down. This disconnect signals that markets are no longer taking their cues from monetary policy alone. Heavy government borrowing, record bond issuance, and fading foreign demand are driving yields higher, a case of fiscal pressure overwhelming the Fed. The 30-year treasury yield this year has been around the levels seen before the 2008 market crash. Record issuance, foreign retrenchment, and sticky inflation have pushed term premia higher, leaving U.S. debt markets increasingly exposed to the kind of investor pushback, or ‘bond vigilante’ pressure, that has already destabilised markets like the UK. Globally, the lesson from the 2022 UK gilt crisis highlights how deficits and fiscal experimentation can quickly destabilise “risk-free” treasury assets. Against this backdrop, gold stands out not only as a symptom of market stress but also as an indicator of systemic uncertainty and a tradeable hedge in an era of stagflation. In today’s note, we hold the view that Treasuries remain under pressure while gold strengthens, supported by central-bank diversification, led by China. A Market Drowning in Supply The traditional easing cycle, where Fed rate cuts pull down yields, seems to be breaking down. With deficits above 6% of GDP in peacetime, Treasury supply now overwhelms demand. Foreign central banks, which are historically reliable marginal buyers, are now retreating. China has steadily reduced holdings, leaving domestic institutions and private markets to absorb the record issuance. Auction coverage ratios, or bid-to-cover ratios, a key gauge of investor appetite for Treasury securities, have steadily weakened, with recent 10-year sales drawing among the lowest bids of the amount offered in three years. The ratio at 2.35 is also 8.20% lower than the average of the past six auctions: Source: CME TreasuryWatch Over the past three years, the only instance where the ratio fell further below its six-auction moving average (MA6) was in November 2022, when it was 8.61% lower than the MA6: Source: MacroMicro The latest 30-year bond auction also cleared with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.27, well below the 2.43 average seen across the previous ten auctions . The last time it was this low was in November 2023. Historically, coverage nearer to a little over 2.5x was sustained by foreign central banks. Source: Thornburg But with countries like China now reducing holdings, private investors now demand higher yields to absorb issuance. Weak coverage has also amplified intraday swings, underscoring how Treasury volatility is increasingly supply-driven (as against being policy-driven). The dynamic underscores a structural shift: Treasuries are being increasingly priced as fiscal risk assets, and not merely monetary policy instruments. The UK Gilt Crisis: A Cautionary Tale The United States is not alone in testing bond market tolerance. There are other precedents, and not too far in the past. In late 2022, the UK government announced large unfunded tax cuts and spending plans, a fiscal package which was perceived by the markets to lead to a large deficit, and one that was unsustainable. Gilt yields spiked more than 100 basis points within days, the sharpest move in decades. Source: BoE This sudden rise hammered pension funds that had used derivatives to hedge liabilities through “liability-driven investment” (LDI) strategies. As gilt prices collapsed, these funds faced margin calls and were forced to dump assets to raise cash, creating a vicious cycle of selling and further yield spikes. The chart below shows how different investor groups reacted. LDIs were forced to dump gilts, driving their flows sharply negative. In contrast, others stepped in as buyers, taking advantage of the sell-off to accumulate bonds at higher yields. This highlights how forced selling by one sector can destabilise markets, while opportunistic buyers step in only once prices have fallen enough. Source: BoE The turmoil only stopped when the Bank of England stepped in with an emergency bond-buying program (the blue-dashed line), pledging to purchase long-dated gilts to restore order. In effect, the central bank had to act as a buyer simply to prevent a financial-stability crisis, ending at the green-dashed line, following which LDI flows started increasing. The gilt episode showed how quickly bond markets can punish fiscal missteps. When large deficits collide with skeptical investors, governments can lose the ability to fund themselves smoothly. That same tension now looms over the United States, where record issuance is testing the limits of bond market tolerance. Gold as Hedge and Signal Gold’s surge to a record $3,600/oz also reflects a deeper structural shift in how central banks manage reserves. As Treasuries lose some of their “risk-free” status in the eyes of investors, gold has re-emerged as a preferred hedge. Its traditional correlation with real yields has weakened; today, deficits, de-dollarisation, and reserve diversification are stronger drivers of the gold narrative. China is at the centre of this transformation. The People’s Bank of China bought 225 tons of gold in 2023, 44 tons in 2024, and another 21 tons so far in 2025, raising official reserves to around 2,300 tons. Source: Reuters Yet this is still well below what analysts view as necessary for an economy of China’s scale. Long-term targets range between 5,000 and 8,000 tons, implying years of sustained demand in the coming years. The precedent of Russia’s frozen reserves after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine has also reshaped central-bank behaviour. Gold, unlike dollar assets, cannot be sanctioned or seized if held domestically. For developing economies, where uncertainty has become systemic, this makes gold a uniquely secure store of value. That institutional bid, layered on top of investor demand, is a structural tailwind likely to support prices well beyond just short-term cycles. Hypothetical Trade Setup With U.S. 10Y Treasuries under supply-driven pressure even as the Fed eases, and gold benefiting from diversification flows, traders can express this divergence via a Treasury–Gold spread trade: Sell CME 10Y Treasury Yield Futures (10YU5) Buy CME Gold Futures (10ZZ5) The CME 10-Year Yield future is the benchmark instrument for expressing views on U.S. rate markets, a cleaner vehicle than cash Treasuries in this context because it isolates yield exposure. The 1-Ounce Gold future offers scalable precision compared to the standard 100-oz gold contract, making it ideal for tactical spread strategies. Together, they provide liquidity, transparency, and efficient margining to trade this macro divergence. The 10-Year Yield future (10YU5) is quoted in percentage points of yield, with each 0.001 index point worth $1 per contract. At the current level of 4.082%, the contract is effectively valued at about 4,082. By comparison, the 1-Ounce Gold future (10ZZ5) is quoted in dollars per ounce, currently trading at $3,653. In other words, one Treasury yield contract and one gold contract are already of a similar scale. Profit at Target Upside: 895 to 1000 = +105 points P/L: $429 per spread Loss at Stop Downside: 895 to 810 = –85 points P/L: –$347 to –$427 per spread depending on leg slippage Reward-to-Risk Ratio 105 / 85 = 1.24× MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:1OZ1!Long
by mintdotfinance
BIO/USDT - Long Entry | Smart Risk Management + Big Targets🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #BIO/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 1H -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management (Example): 🛡 Based on $10,000 Balance 🛡 Loss-Limit: 1% (Conservative) 🛡 The Signal Margin: $783.7 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 0.1556 (Amount: $78.4) ☄️ En2: 0.1487 (Amount: $274.3) ☄️ En3: 0.144 (Amount: $352.67) ☄️ En4: 0.1394 (Amount: $78.4) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 0.1465 ($783.7) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 0.1738 (+18.63%) (RR:1.46) ☑️ TP2: 0.1888 (+28.87%) (RR:2.26) ☑️ TP3: 0.2097 (+43.14%) (RR:3.38) ☑️ TP4: 0.2397 (+63.62%) (RR:4.99) ☑️ TP5: 0.2778 (+89.62%) (RR:7.02) ☑️ TP6: Open 🔝 -------------------- ❌ SL: 0.1278 (-12.76%) (-$100) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 4X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: 🙂 Low-Risk! 🙂 -------------------- 🔗 www.tradingview.com ❤️ Your Like & Comments are valuable to us ❤️
Long
by MergicNet
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out): Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation. Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong. Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target. MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation. 📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals. Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now: Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength. Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings. Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup. ⚠️ Main Risk Factor: U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News). ✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
NYSE:BABALong
by TheAverageTrader00
BTCUSD – Pyramiding Long into Strength We are adding a second long position in Bitcoin around $111,000, after our initial entry near $100,000 earlier in June , continuing to pyramid into the prevailing uptrend. The structure remains extremely constructive: each impulsive leg higher is being followed by a prolonged consolidation phase, showing strong absorption of supply and price acceptance at elevated levels. This type of price action typically reflects a healthy uptrend, where the market is sustaining higher value areas before the next expansion move. As long as Bitcoin continues to hold our Daily & Weekly Demand Zone threshold levels of $105,000 , the momentum bias remains firmly bullish. The next measured target lies around $135,000, aligning with the upper extension zone of the current trend. Risk management remains key, but the trend and consolidation behavior favor continuation to the upside.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by sukhija01
2
$SUI: my green zones are back. Time to refill our bags.CRYPTOCAP:SUI is showing strong momentum, but the current consolidation could be forming an M-pattern — a bearish setup that might push the price down into my green box buy zone. A bounce from this area has historically delivered solid profits, and the setup looks similar to previous cycles where we saw strong recoveries. This pattern isn’t unique to CRYPTOCAP:SUI — it’s part of a broader market structure we’re seeing across many altcoins, suggesting a shared macro setup that could present multiple buying opportunities. ------------------------------ The altcoin market just saw a solid pump, following the massive CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH institutional billion-dollar purchases. On the Daily timeframe, we’re actually printing higher lows, showing clear market strength. The top of the range was rejected, and now it’s highly probable that the crypto market will enter a consolidation phase — a move that could push several altcoins into my buying zones. 💡 Reminder: My buying zones are areas where it’s statistically safer to buy and hold, with an almost guaranteed chance of making a solid profit on the next bounce. What could spark the infamous Altseason? Many altcoins share one thing in common: a major resistance line (marked in yellow). For them to pump to the moon, this line needs to be broken. We’re also seeing a price compression — meaning the breakout could be imminent. This pullback might be your last chance to enter a long position before the real Altseason kicks off. Possible Altseason catalysts: 📉 FED Interest Rate Cut of 1% or more. 📈 Institutional adoption through altcoin index ETFs — imagine BlackRock launching ALT10, ALT50, ALT100 ETFs, attracting massive institutional money into the altcoin market. I believe both events could happen before the end of the year. DYOR — but the window might be closing fast. 🚀
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
3
You wanna bet against NVDA? Go ahead. Not me, though.This is now my 7th idea for NVDA. It's been a while, and I don't really know why. I guess maybe it seems tiresome posting ideas about the same stocks over and over again. But you know what isn't tiresome? Making money on those same stocks over and over again. The yellow circles represent the entries for my previous ideas. Those trades were made during one of the worst 4 month stretches for NVDA in a LONG time. It lost about 19% for buy and holders during that time. I won't make you go back and data mine the results of my trades in that span. Here are all 12 lots I traded in those 6 ideas: +8.1% in 6 trading days +9.90% in 5 trading days +14.50% in 3 trading days +4.89% in 1 trading day +0.74% in 1 trading day +0.50% in 1 trading day +1.80% in 1 trading day +2.30% in 2 trading days +3.40% in 1 trading day +8.80% in 1 trading day +2.60% in 9 trading days +12.31% in 4 trading days I trade equal dollar lot sizes so those 12 trades produced a total non-compunded return of just under +70% WHILE the stock was falling 19%. That's not self-promotion, that's a prelude to what comes next. I'm not afraid of the stock dropping from here. If I was, I would not make the trade. The reality is that the way I trade actually works better when stocks move sideways or are falling than when they are in strong uptrends. Since April, my algo has only generated 5 signals on NVDA. I've only traded 2 of them before this, but all 5 are marked with white arrows. Add those to the ones from previous ideas and we are looking at a total gain of +92% or so since November. While the most recent signal prior to this one is a loser SO FAR, it actually presents a better opportunity. Historically, the returns on the 2nd entry (adding to an existing trade) are MUCH better than the initial entry returns. Luckily, I didn't trade that most recent signal, so I get to try to grab more juice with less squeeze. I won't lie, if employment falters after that inflation read we got today, it could be the beginning of a rough period for stocks. But I also know that virtually nobody can predict macro with any degree of success, least of all me. I'd also rather hitch my wagon to NVDA than to the vast majority of stocks in a generally overpriced market. Add to all that the fact that they are pulling in over $500m a DAY in revenues, roughly 50% more than a year ago - and Wall St. is sad about that, apparently. The stock also is resting RIGHT on near term support and there is more close by, which makes me take this trade enthusiastically. A word of caution, though. If the whole market goes down, NVDA will too and that could lengthen the time it takes to close here. I only trade the stock, so time isn't really an issue for me. For someone trading short dated options, it would be a disaster if this runs for a while. My long entry price is 174.18 at the close today. I can and will add to the position tactically if good opportunities present themselves and I will update this idea whenever I add or sell lots. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
22
$ANET | AI Catalyst Meets Technical BreakoutNYSE:ANET | AI Catalyst Meets Technical Breakout Arista Networks (ANET) is setting up for a potential breakout backed by strong fundamentals and AI momentum. 🔹 Technical Setup Price holding support at $133–136 zone. Clear structure of higher lows; volume spikes confirm institutional activity. Next resistance levels at $146.7 → $151.8. Fibonacci extensions point toward $158+ medium-term. 🔹 Catalysts Q2 Earnings Beat: Revenue +30% YoY, guidance raised to $8.75B FY25. AI Growth: $1.5B AI revenue forecasted in 2025; accelerating hyperscaler demand. Ethernet Leadership: Gaining share vs NVIDIA’s InfiniBand with Ultra Ethernet Consortium. Expansion: VeloCloud acquisition strengthens enterprise & SD-WAN positioning. Investor Day (Sept 11): Possible roadmap updates + new product pipeline. 📈 Trade Idea Entry Zone: $134–136 support retest Target 1: $146.7 Target 2: $151.8 Stretch Target: $158+ (Fibo extension) Risk Management: Stop below $132 ⚡ AI, hyperscaler spend, and enterprise expansion provide strong tailwinds. If momentum holds, ANET could be a leader in AI-driven networking into 2026.
NYSE:ANETLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Palantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATHPalantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATH. Palantir has recently taken a breather following an impressive upward rally. The stock surged from the $66 level on April 7th this year to reach a new all-time high of $190. As expected, no asset moves parabolically upward forever without a retracement. Over the past week, Palantir has been experiencing a pullback, with today’s session showing a decline of over 6%. The stock is currently trading around $161. From a technical perspective, I am eyeing two potential entry zones — $160 and $150. Both levels align closely with the Fibonacci 50% and 61.8% retracement areas, making them significant points of interest for a possible rebound. As always, I take a medium- to long-term approach to my trades, as patience is often the key to capturing real value in strong stocks. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, share, and connect with me. Let’s continue building a strong TradingView community together.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by ForexClinik
DogeCoin/USD : Struggling to Hit 0.24002 key levelDogecoin continues to impress with a strong bullish breakout, surging above key resistance levels and sustaining an upward channel. With a recent high of $0.24002, the meme coin is signaling strong momentum as buyers dominate the market. Updated Setup Strategy The chart showcases a well-respected *uptrend channel*, supported by three pivot levels (S1, S2, S3), acting as solid stepping stones for price continuation. The price remains above the uptrend line, indicating that bullish strength is intact. As long as price trades above the channel support and pivots, *buy-on-dips* could be a favorable strategy. A continuation towards higher highs is anticipated if no major resistance halts the current momentum. Targets Immediate Bullish Target: $0.24002 (already touched) Next Psychological Target: $0.25000 and beyond (if momentum holds) Support Levels: * S1: Mid-channel pivot * S2: Lower pivot on uptrend channel * S3: Base pivot near breakout level * Major Support:** \$0.21047 These support levels must hold to keep the bullish structure valid. Final Thought The *bullish trend in Dogecoin* is well-structured, and with the market sentiment leaning positive, there's potential for further upside. However, watch for any rejection near psychological zones like \$0.25000. Maintain proper risk management and trail stops to protect profits during this rally.
Long
by SmartEdgeTrading
1
FCCL – Cup & Handle Breakout Setup Towards 53FCCL is forming a bullish cup and handle pattern on the 15-minute chart, with price currently testing the neckline resistance near the 51 level. A breakout above this zone could trigger upward momentum toward the target area around 53, as indicated by the projected move. The handle’s consolidation suggests healthy profit-taking before a potential rally, while the stop-loss zone near 49.88 provides downside protection in case of reversal.
PSX:FCCLLong
by mbaberhanif