Driven by worries about demand linked to recession risks and the strain in the US banking sector, the oil prices experienced a dramatic decline in the previous week (6.5% drop). However, Oil prices received a boost after Friday’s robust US jobs report which eased concerns over the prospect of a downturn in the economy as strong jobs growth is often a plus for oil,...
GBPUSD turns positive for the fourth straight week but this time around did a significant breakout of the 1.25000 level - climbing to a two-week high on Friday to set the tone for a bullish momentum ahead of the new month. However, bets for another 25 bps rate hike by the US Fed Reserve in the coming week could tilt an imbalance in the market influx. It is also...
The previous week witnessed a risk-averse market atmosphere that helped the US Dollar find demand at the 1,970 area as a safe haven ahead of the FOMC. Economic data from the previous week reveals that though inflation is falling, it still remains well above the Federal Reserve's annual goal of 2% hereby increasing the expectations of another 25 basis-point...
The previous month witnessed a 4% drop in oil prices despite the OPEC+ member's decision to cut a further 1.7 million barrels from its daily output, adding to an earlier pledge from November to take off 2.0 million barrels per day. The implementation of this pledged cut is supposed to begin next month - May 2023 and this could result in some interesting market...
Despite US job growth slowing down, the economy still added 236,000 jobs in March though below expectation and has averaged gains of 345,000 per month during the first quarter, well above the level the central bank sees as consistent with its 2% inflation goal. An immediate reaction resulted in the dollar strengthening on Friday hereby suggesting that the Federal...
Gold prices sliced through the key HKEX:2 ,000 level on Tuesday after a sharp drop in U.S. job openings in February. The yellow metal touched its highest in one year on Wednesday as recent U.S. economic data fanned fears of a slowdown and spurred bets the Federal Reserve may ease up on rate hikes. Following the public holiday on Friday, we were not able to see...
With the appearance of a potential reversal pattern in the 4H timeframe; I am of the opinion that the USDJPY pair seems poised to register weekly gains for the first time in a couple of weeks. And to further buttress this is the fundamental indicator from data showing a sudden rise in the US jobless claims hereby indicating a cool effect in the labor market. With...
U.S. consumer spending rose moderately in February, while inflation showed signs of cooling hereby boosting hopes the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive in hiking interest rates. On the other hand, a dim economic outlook overshadows data revealing Britain avoided a recession in the final months of 2022 could be a turning point for the Sterling as it hit...
In what appears to be an unprecedented win, gold prices are up 9% since the beginning of the month of March and this happens to be the first time price will test the $2,000 zone this year as the US banking crisis in March was a bullish catalyst for the yellow metal hereby keeping the safe haven in demand. However, the inability of the bulls to break out of the...
The OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day hereby bringing the total volume of cuts by OPEC+ members to 3.66 million bpd according to Reuters calculations - a whopping 3.7% of the global oil demand. The latest reductions have a strong potential of lifting oil prices to new highs. In this video, we...
This morning I took a short in the USDCHF, mainly because the pullback did not give us a trend changing pattern information. More details in the video. Enjoy!
It was a rollercoaster of buys and sells during the course of last week's trade session as price action traded around the key level identified around the 131.000 level to emphasize a level of indecision in the market. Japan CPI inflation dips from over 40-year highs in Feb and the reading was at its lowest level since September 2022 but was still well above the...
The gold struck a fourth straight weekly gain, settling within a strong psychological range of the $2,000/$1,935 as heightened inflation worries coupled with the banking crisis in the US and Europe limited the growing potential of the Greenback hereby making the Gold a safe haven for market players. In this regard we scooped over 1,500 pips during the course of...
Following a profitable week for us, the Pound tested a seven-week high of the 1.23500 zone during the course of last week's trading session. The BoE raised interest rate by 25bps on Thursday to a new 15-year high of 4.25%, an attempt to tame double-digit inflation in the UK and the Sterling rose 0.5% against the dollar on the back of the news but was unable to...
Following the massive slide couple of weeks ago; we scooped over 800pips profit as the US oil finished last week's trading session up approximately 4%, after factoring in gains from the first four days of the week. This indicates consolidation and the possibility of a technical rebound, which has immediate resistance at both the trendline identified on the 4H...
Following approximately 2,000 pips in profit last week (see link below for reference purposes); we took a fresh new look at the chart as US Oil prices hit their lowest point since December 2021. I think the slump in oil prices this time, had little to do with supply-demand but more with the crisis of confidence at banks that provide the liquidity for trading this...
The crisis in the US banking sector last week lured market participants into a safe haven in the Yen as the US dollar showed signs of losing momentum. Following this development; the Yen closed the week with approximately 3% gain against the dollar. Heading into the new week, the Greenback doesn't seem popular at this moment as the call for rewidening the Fed's...
Following a profitable week for Gold (see link below for reference purposes); the rally in gold shows that it has become the spotlight as the banking crisis drove more investors towards it for safe havens. Gold hit 11-month highs, breaking from the mid-$1,900 zone and strongly heading for the $2,000. As the fears that the U.S. economy could end up in a deep...