Lovely bounce this morning following the RSI divergence identified. Looks a bit overdone here and I think we can see the downward trend resume. There is a gap around 7000 but will take time to see that filled I think. First a move to at least 6900
Index opened higher and (unexpected to me) closed the gap at 7006. However - the picture is still not bullish. We have yet to see higher highs, and there is hidden bearish RSI divergence coming through. I am holding onto my shorts for now (albeit a little more uncomfortably than yesterday) & definitely not ready to add until we see further bearish developments.
Our bear flag played out beautifully and I don't think the selling has finished BUT it was a very quick move and we now have some RSI divergence. I have taken profit on my shorts and swung long looking for a bounce towards 6900. Against the trend so will be keeping my stops tights. NB only looking for a bounce here - can only hold longs if we see a trend change.
Re-testing upper resistance - good area for a short (based on assumption first break higher was false) Can continue to add to short if momentum to the downside picks up. SL - prior high (7035). Should we take out 7035, it becomes a false break lower and the picture will turn bullish
Successful gap close at 6944 following a bearish false break higher. Significant support at 6955, through which we could see 6695 again. I took profit on my shorts at the gap close, but will cautiously start to sell the rallies towards 6980, and add should we break support
Spikes on no news in either direction always make me feel uncomfortable. Even when quickly reversed I find they tend to return to their initial reaction. Therefore shorting with stops at today's high. Watch the gap at 6944
Higher highs and higher lows are in place following a successful bounce off lateral support. Still favouring a long bias with a full target of 7050ish and SL of 6890. I am expecting some resistance around 6965 (NB NB) - I will be monitoring closely for any potential reversal. Through this crucial point, one can look to add to their longs, but a reversal here...
Buyers stepped in again at 6860, but this level is less likely to hold next time round. H&S will be confirmed with an hourly close below 6860. I've been bearish last couple of days and am already short - target = 6790
I had used the green accumulation zone to add to my positions - after a successful run I have taken profit on the majority of holdings leaving me net underweight. I am hoping for a dip back to the red zone where I will look to start re-entering.
Minor bearish RSI divergence has appeared on the hourly. Trend is still clearly up and full target of 6870 BUT momentum appears to be slowing. Taking some profit here on my longs and will look to add on a test of the green zone at 6780/6790.
The FTSE 100 has failed to break and close above the February 2018 low at 6536 for a number of months now.
You can see the December 2020 candle and the candles for January and February 2021 traded above this level
but ended the month by closing below this level.
With one more trading day of the month left to go, we may well finally see that close above 6536 and...