I think crude has overshot fair value and is now oversold. It is below the linear regression (ie Trading range) and CCI is creeping upwards. I would make this call with more confidence should the MACD crossover occur with more enthusiasm but I'm getting in before the market does. Of course the moving averages are against us, but if we see Europe start to gain...
Oil is taking a beating again today. While many bears are talking about oil going much lower in the next few weeks, it has likely bottomed. Why? Simply put, Russia and the middle east (Iran) will start some trouble to boost the price. Remember, 90% of their economies depend on oil. Just watch, something crazy will happen in the next 48 hours to stabilize and...
Above i have drawn out my thoughts on time symmetry and bearish cycles in the Crude Oil market. Though in a long term bullish structure on the weekly and monthly, at the tops of these weekly bullish cycles, we see extended bearish cycles, or an "Unwinding" of long positions. We are currently in the process of another of these unwinding cycles. The Willy21MA13...
USO has broken it's uptrend a few weeks back, and since has been heading violently lower with no signs of stopping, at least not yet. Not in my eyes. I had a plethora of converging indications, so I've marked them in the chart A - F, and then explained my trade setup. Good luck. A) RSI has broken above the 35 level, but this is likely because it bounced a bit...
This chart shows the relationship VNR has to the price of crude. The recent selloff in crude has been mirrored by the selloff in VNR.
Over the past two months, the United States Gasoline Fund, LP (NYSEARCA:UGA), which tracks gasoline has fallen around 14% from the recent top of $64.27, to a low of $55.16. The drop in the UGA share price occurred after the stock broke a technical major trend line level. Many talking heads in the media are looking at this drop and saying that it will benefit...
The bullish harami at support may be the beginning of a reversal. Tension in Ukraine will help crude oil go higher. The broader momentum is still negative but a bounce may come here.
USO continues to form a rising wedge which will ultimately create a larger selloff. Until the larger pattern forms, price's range will tighten in the pattern which is now poised for a selloff. The combination of the spinning top candlestick and the stochastic rolling over will bring lower prices in the near term but not for long as the distance between the...
USO is rallying in a rising wedge that will eventually setup its selloff. In the short term it is reaching the highs of ~10 days ago and near a rising line of resistance as well as a horizontal line of price resistance. A little more rally may occur but it should be capped under these lines wherein a short term selloff will follow. The stochastic is setup for a...
USO is now below the LSMA and a bearish crossover has occurred but I don't expect to see much of a selloff. Price is likely to dance around the support/resistance line of $37.55 giving the stochastic a chance to reset for prices to move higher. The rising wedge has a lot of room to run and prices will rise to the $38.75 area quickly once this consolidation has completed.