On the monthly and daily chart, I see VIX making a bullish comeback which suggest we are about to see crazy volatility in the stock market. Combine that with the recent insider selling from Jeff Bezos of around $2 billion worth of amazon shares and Kimbal Musk (Elon Musk's brother) selling around $100 million worth of tesla shares on Nov 5th and then Elon Musk...
I have noticed this correlation between S&P 500 and Vix.
1. Whenever there is a spike in volatility and volume, that seems to mark the bottom for SPX.
2. This theory seems to be holding for the last 7-8 months.
3. Currently, we are facing a similar kind of situation. The Vix has spiked and the price is tanking.
4. If the theory holds its value, the bottom may be...
In the last few weeks, weird things are happening. We currently have a positive correlation between the S&P 500 and VIX, basically VIX grows with the S&P500 together.
I used 20 days correlation, currently it's around 0.8, and it's quite high.
Usually, you expect to see it around -1, and it makes sense.
For the last few years, the correlation was above 0 only a...
What Is the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX)?
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index that represents the market's expectations for the relative strength of near-term price changes of the S&P 500 index (SPX). Because it is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates, it generates a 30-day forward projection of volatility....
Taking a close look at the behavior of the VIX alongside the S&P 500 has shown me some opportunities to aim for. In particular, when the S&P is posting new all-time highs, looking for the VIX to reach its lower bound. Since the start of the pandemic, the VIX barely kissed the 14 mark a couple months ago and since then, it has stayed above the 16 handle with a...
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New all-time highs in the market combined with a creeping VIX are cause for some alarm. Inflation hedges/bets seems to be the talk of late with inflation on the rise.. and this is not unwise considering that money supply is off the chart and velocity is sure to pick up... although velocity is not a necessary component of inflation. Remember that the market is...
Let's go back a decade and observe how the VIX index played out the 2007-2008 financial crisis and the market's recovery.
Previous to July 2007, the highest VIX value was $22.58 observed in June 2006 (minuscule compared to what comes next).
Then the crisis happened, and VIX became extremely volatile and created a new...
The signals on the 4 hr chart suggest that volatility on the S&P 500 should spike within the next day or so.
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I'm thinking to make a nice play on my upcoming correction belief.
Only option I have with my broker is VILX, so started looking into it's history.
Only makes big money with big crashes / corrections, and I think we have two on the way.
Data was so small for the main chart, but looking at the RSI here, some very interested volatility wave patterns.
VIX 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
Hello ladies and gentlemen
This is my new idea for the Volatility S&P 500 index
My idea the index go to test 46 resistance
I hope my idea is clear
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📌 Working in public has given us a live example of Volatility expanding in times of a crisis.
Here it is usually a swing recap for those following. As you will remember we made good use of the initial tempo in the retreat :
The show must go on... in came buyers with the counter...
Mostly reference purposes here.
What an epic setup.
1. RSI flipping from buy to sell on the 1D and 4H and holding closely to the sell dashed line in the 4H or 30M
2. OBV trend change, up or down in the 1D or 4H overall but here the 1H and 30M will give quicker signals of the trend change
3. 1D VPT as RSI flipping from buy to sell and 4h holding...