The VIX broke out of that major downtrend structure on a daily basis today for the first time in this whole correction. This is a pretty sign for now, Volatility could rallye exremely hard from here... Watch out, things could get somewhat bumpy from here on..
From Investopedia: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index that represents the market’s expectations for the relative strength of near-term price changes of the S&P 500 index (SPX). Because it is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates, it generates a 30-day forward projection of volatility. Volatility, or how...
VIX is going up now, but a strong
Horizontal resistance is ahead
Thus, I think that we will see a move down
From the level towards the demand level below
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Bond yields serve as a leading indicator of economic performance, with major headwinds in the form of inflation and labor shortages, short-term yields have begun to invert demanding higher premiums than longer-term bonds.
As the bond market moves in anticipation, volatility increases and serves as a signal to the broader economy.
$MOVE provides a benchmark with...
This is just a guide for human psychology.
Buy some when VIX is between 30 & 40 (FEAR phase). Sell some when VIX is between 15 & 20 (GREED phase).
Vix the fear index is currently on an wide upchannel creating a lot of market volatility. However, we can use this channel range to anticipate temporary tops & bottoms until this channel breaks up or down.
See chart for...
With FOMC outcome due tonight, volatility is increasing sharply (pre-event uncertainty)
We are in the dark as to what FED will do tonight - so many possibilities, add to that statement - hawkish or dovish
25 bps market will rally
50 bps appears discounted
75 bps market will panic
Hence better to stay light
Above 21.75 the crucial resistance is at 2.80 if that...
$UVXY looks like it's on the verge of breaking out to the upside. We a falling wedge which broke out to the upside and now price has found support on the top of the structure. Usually that indicates a large move upwards is coming.
If it starts moving, I can see a quick move up finding a final target of around $62.
Let's see what happens over the coming weeks....
We seem to be making a bottoming formation and within this I see a janky head and shoulders pattern. I think we are slightly over bought on lower time frames but we could move higher and the key to that here is volatility. NFA, DYOR
#DAX40 started with a gap down hitting directly the lower #BouhmidiBand - Now we already see a chartbook implied vol reversal in DAX - You want to learn more about Bouhmidi-Bands - Check my script here on tradingview
VIX at the daily view.
VIX finally broke its downtrend and RSI downtrend. It seem to have bounced off of the white pivot line (for now).
April seems to be set as a rollercoaster of a month. There is earnings season which provides some liquidity. At the same time, the US tax deadline is coming up (April 18th). The wealthy usually wait until the last minute to...
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The problem is that we don't know what we really want. What makes us happy is not to get what we want.
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If you want to remain happy, just remain stupid....
Inflation starting to become more persistent, markets ignoring the Fed's cautionary tone and modest 25 bps rate hike.
March inflation reporting comes out next week, the last inflation measure prior to the FOMC meeting in early May.
Volatility for S&P 500 likely to increase with potential exceed the March 2020 spike in the coming months.
Currently, expecting VIX...
The VIX measures the fear in the S&P 500. Even if you only trade or invest in crypto or stocks watching the VIX is critical in learning how to measure the sentiment of the general market regardless of what you are trading or investing. I use the VIX for even crypto trading and suits me well. It does the complete opposite of the what other stocks or cryptos do....