XAU/USD – Gold eyes breakout towards 4370 and 4550 zonesGold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after consolidating around the 4110–4120 support zone. The market has been forming a short-term ascending structure on the 1H timeframe, suggesting accumulation before a possible breakout.
Technical outlook:
Key support: 4110 – 4100
Immediate resistance: 4160
Major resistance zones: 4370 and 4550
Indicators: RSI recovering from mid-range, price holding above short-term trendline, EMA cluster flattening around 4140 indicating potential energy build-up.
If bulls can push the price decisively above 4160, it may trigger a momentum move towards 4370, with an extended target at 4550, aligning with the upper Fibonacci retracement zone from the last major swing high.
However, failure to hold above 4100 could invalidate the bullish scenario and bring the price back to test 4050 or even 3980.
Trading strategy:
Buy zone: 4115 – 4125 (confirmation after breakout above 4160)
Take profit: 4370 / 4550
Stop loss: below 4095
This setup favors short-term swing traders watching for a trend continuation after a period of accumulation.
Stay disciplined with your entries and risk management—momentum confirmation above 4160 will be crucial before entering.
Follow for more daily setups and advanced Fibonacci-trendline strategies on Gold.
Wave Analysis
Oct 24, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
After dipping to 4065 yesterday, gold gradually moved higher in a ranging pattern.
I expect today’s price action to remain range-bound between 4106 and 4155.
Watch 4155 closely — if price breaks and holds above it, bullish momentum may start to show. I might take a light long position there and look for confirmation near 4162.
If price breaks above 4162, I’ll add to my long and shift my bias to buying pullbacks into support.
Below 4106, the plan switches to selling rallies into resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4186 – Resistance
• 4170 – Resistance
• 4162 – Key bull–bear pivot
• 4155 – Critical resistance
• 4150 – Mid-level
• 4128 – Support
• 4106 – Intraday key support
• 4100 – Psychological level
• 4072 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4106 → target 4100, with further downside toward 4092, 4085, 4080
BUY: If price holds above 4162 → target 4170, with further upside toward 4175, 4186, 4190
Gold Likely to Rise FurtherPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD is demonstrating a well-structured movement within an ascending channel, where each price bounce is well-controlled, and every retracement follows a consistent pattern. The strength of the buyers is becoming increasingly evident, with technical dynamics becoming more organized and fluid.
After breaking through a key resistance level, the price is now retesting this level. If this level holds as solid support, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards 4,500, which serves as the natural target aligned with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
As long as the price remains above this support level, the upward trend will continue. However, if the price fails to hold and drops below this level, the trend structure will be at risk, and the likelihood of a technical correction towards the lower boundary of the channel will increase.
In this well-organized market condition, consistency and discipline in analysis are crucial. Carefully identify key points, wait for strong confirmation, and allow the trend to move in the predetermined direction.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 23Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4380, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4185, Support: 4015
1-Hour Resistance: 4160, Support: 4065
Gold prices have fluctuated significantly recently. A trading institution recently reviewed the historical trends of gold prices after nine consecutive weeks of gains and concluded that a 20%-40% correction is typical over the next year, with the exception of 1970. Investors should be prepared for a potential multi-month decline of 20%-40% and manage their funds accordingly. However, the long-term bull market logic for gold remains solid. Factors such as the restructuring of the global monetary and credit system, the trend of de-dollarization, continued gold purchases by central banks, and structural imbalances in supply and demand constitute the core support for gold's rise.
This view also aligns with the forecasts of many international investment banks for gold prices next year. This year's insane rally is undoubtedly unsustainable. The simple reason is that there is no such thing as a stock that only rises and never falls in the trading market.
As for the future market trend, I personally believe that after the rebound, gold will fall below 4000 points, perhaps even back to the 3750-3850 range. This would be a very good place to buy the dip. It also represents the 50% and 61.8% golden ratios of the upward trend from the August low of around 3311. Furthermore, 4000 points is a key psychological support level for retail traders; a break below this level would prompt many undecided traders to exit.
For today's trading, follow a sideways range, selling high and buying low. Focus on the upper resistance levels of 4160/4185 and the lower support levels of 4065/4015.
BUY: 4065 near
BUY: 4015 near
SELL: 4160 near
SELL: 4185 near
More Analysis →
ETH/USDT 4H CHART REVIEW🔍 Overall market structure
• Ethereum is moving in a descending triangle/converging channel (yellow trend lines).
• The upper trend line acts as strong resistance (~$4,000-$4,150).
• The lower trend line (rising) provides key support around ~$3,730-$3,750.
⸻
📊 Key levels
Resistances:
• $3,875 – local resistance, where the price rebounded several times.
• $3,990 – another resistance resulting from the yellow trend line.
• $4,143 – main resistance in the breakout zone of the formation (potential target after breaking the downtrend).
Support:
• $3,808 – short-term support.
• $3,733 – important level within the formation (lower yellow trendline).
• $3,637 – strong support that should not be broken while maintaining bullish sentiment.
⸻
📈 Indicators
MACD:
• MACD and signal lines are close to each other - no clear momentum.
• Histogram decreases → possible short-term weakness or consolidation.
RSI:
• RSI indicator around 45–50 → neutral, with no clear advantage of buyers or sellers.
• No divergence, but potential for a rebound if RSI drops to ~40 and rebounds.
TTEC – Accumulation Setup and Sector Mean Reversion PotentialTTEC (NASDAQ)
The price structure is forming a descending diagonal, suggesting a potential exhaustion phase of the ongoing downtrend.
The stock is currently trading inside the 1st Buying Zone, with a possible deeper test toward the 2nd Buying Zone before a sustained reversal begins.
The sector average stands near $10, aligning with the gap area, which could act as a major upside target if accumulation continues.
📈 A confirmed breakout from the diagonal pattern would strengthen the bullish bias toward that sector-level equilibrium.
Silver Punches 45-Year Trend Line and Gets A Return PunchSilver prices reached a 45-year trend line going back to 1980 and has since retreated. The monthly candle for October is drafting a large wick to the upside similar to a shooting star candle formation.
In the video, we discuss some downside targets for XAGUSD of this correction that would be considered 'normal' after such a large runup.
Typical Elliott Wave patterns like this would call for a retracement back to the mid-40s and possibly $36-37.
See our written post from Sept 5 (attached below) when we mentioned "if silver does plow above $4.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction."
$UBER | 15-min Outlook📊 Price: $94.61 | Bias: Bullish
🧠 Reclaiming mid-channel — eyes on breakout above $96.
If momentum holds, structure points to $124.78 🚀
⚙️ Plan:
Entry: $94
Stop: $88.6
TP1: $96.2
TP2: $124.8
VolanX DSS: Institutional BUY (65%) 🟢
Short-term pullback risk → Long-term structure intact.
#UBER #VolanX #WaverVanir #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityZones #Breakout
BNB Holds Strong Support — Potential Rebound AheadBNB Holds Strong Support — Potential Rebound Ahead
BNB is currently trading near a strong support zone around 1,065–1,080, which has been tested multiple times in the past. This area has proven to be a key level where buyers tend to step in.
As long as the price remains above this support, a bullish rebound is likely. The first resistance to watch is around 1,140, followed by 1,190 and 1,240 as higher upside targets.
If the support at 1,065 breaks decisively, however, it could signal further downside pressure. But for now, the structure suggests a potential short-term recovery from the current levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Apple: New All-Time High as Low Is Adjusted Apple has recently seen a period of heightened volatility, marked by sharp gains and notable pullbacks. In response to the latest price action, we’ve made a slight adjustment to our wave count and revised the low for magenta wave (4). We’re now allowing for magenta wave (5) to break above the $260.10 resistance level, which would complete green wave . Our alternative scenario, which carries a 34% probability, still calls for a new corrective low in blue wave alt.(IV). In this case, Apple would have just finished beige wave alt.b slightly above $260.10 and would next decline in wave alt.c, falling below support at $212.94. Even so, the alternative corrective low would remain above the $168 level.
ORACALE (ORCL) Rally! Cycle 3 → $400, Eyes on Supercycle $6,000🌀 ORACLE (ORCL) – Elliott Wave Supercycle Analysis | Smart Money & Fibonacci Confluence
🔭 Macro Perspective
Oracle’s long-term chart (NYSE: ORCL) showcases a powerful Supercycle (III) wave in motion — a multi-decade expansion phase fueled by institutional participation, structural growth, and technological innovation.
The internal Cycle waves (1–5) are clearly defined, with current price action positioned deep within Cycle Wave (3) — the strongest segment of this major bullish leg.
🟢 Supercycle Wave (I) (1987 – 2000)
Elliott Behavior: The first grand impulsive advance, representing Oracle’s rise during the early software and database revolution.
Fibonacci Structure: Wave (3) extended toward the 2.618× of Wave (1), typical of an early institutional growth wave.
SMC Dynamics:
Breaks of structure (BoS) at each impulsive stage.
Liquidity sweeps before rallies — consistent smart money accumulation patterns.
Fundamentals: Explosive earnings growth through enterprise software adoption and global market expansion.
💥 Conclusion: The dot-com peak in 2000 completed Supercycle (I).
🔵 Supercycle Wave (II) (2000 – 2002)
Nature: The sharp, emotion-driven retracement following the tech bubble.
Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced into the 0.236 zone of (I), providing the long-term discount region for accumulation.
SMC Characteristics:
Liquidity grab beneath 1998–1999 structure.
Long accumulation base confirming institutional re-entry.
Fundamentals: Oracle streamlined operations and built the groundwork for enterprise-level solutions.
🧱 Bottom: Wave (II) ended around 2002 — the base of today’s decades-long uptrend.
🟣 Supercycle Wave (III) (2002 – 2030s, ongoing)
This ongoing macro impulsive wave contains five internal Cycle Waves (1–5) .
⚪ Cycle Wave (1) (2002 – 2019)
Elliott Context: A powerful, sustained impulsive leg lasting nearly two decades.
Structure: Clean five-wave advance with strong extensions during 2010–2019.
Fibonacci Note: The move achieved near the 1.618× extension relative to its starting point.
SMC Insight:
Consistent higher highs and higher lows throughout the period.
BoS continuation patterns confirming institutional markup.
Fundamentals: Expansion of Oracle’s business model — cloud transition, data analytics, and enterprise software dominance.
📈 End: Cycle (1) peaked near 2019 , completing the first internal impulsive leg of Supercycle (III).
🔵 Cycle Wave (2) (2019 – 2020)
Nature: A sharp yet shallow correction that coincided with the global market decline (COVID crash).
Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced around the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (1).
SMC Dynamics:
Liquidity sweep under 2018–2019 structure.
Fast accumulation pattern — strong re-accumulation footprint.
Fundamentals: Short-term market shock, but Oracle’s fundamentals remained intact and rebounded swiftly.
🧭 Conclusion: Cycle (2) ended in 2020, setting the foundation for the explosive ongoing Cycle (3) rally.
🟢 Cycle Wave (3) (2020 – ~2026, in progress)
Elliott Context: The most powerful internal impulsive wave — currently unfolding.
Target Zone: Projected to complete near $380–$400 , expected around late 2025 to early 2026 .
Fibonacci Extension: The 2.618× extension of Wave (1) perfectly aligns near $400.
SMC & Market Structure:
Continuous BoS and HH–HL formations — clear institutional control.
No macro distribution yet; structure remains intact.
Liquidity inducements near highs suggest ongoing markup phase.
Price Action: Aggressive impulses, shallow retracements, and orderly continuation patterns.
Fundamentals:
Rapid expansion in Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), AI-driven services, and recurring revenue models.
Sustained EPS growth and improved margin performance support wave maturity.
🚀 Expectation: Completion near $400 will likely trigger a Cycle (4) corrective structure before the final impulsive push.
🟠 Cycle Wave (4) (Projected: 2026 – 2028)
Elliott Behavior: A corrective phase — retracing part of the strong Cycle (3) run.
Fibonacci Retracement: Expected correction into the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (3), roughly $200–$280.
SMC Insight:
Break of structure (BoS) near top zones to induce liquidity.
Re-accumulation base forming after liquidity sweep below key supports.
Market Psychology: Cooling from euphoria, consolidation, and rebalancing of valuations.
Fundamentals: Period of stabilization after several years of aggressive expansion.
📉 Outlook: Likely forms the structural foundation for the next rally phase (Cycle 5).
🟢 Cycle Wave (5) (Projected: 2028 – early 2030s)
Elliott Context: The final impulsive leg completing Supercycle (III).
Target Zone: Fibonacci 3.618× extension (~$900–$950) of Cycle (1).
SMC Structure:
Final markup phase with strong BoS continuation patterns.
Climax rallies as retail sentiment peaks.
Price Action: Parabolic trend, thin retracements, and expanding volatility.
Fundamentals: Oracle could cement its dominance in global data, AI, and enterprise infrastructure markets.
💎 Completion: Cycle (5) will mark the end of Supercycle (III), leading into the long-term corrective Supercycle (IV).
🔶 Supercycle Wave (IV) (Projected: 2030s – 2040s)
Nature: Major macro correction after decades of expansion.
Fibonacci Depth: Likely retraces into the 0.382–0.5 zone of (III).
SMC Behavior: Distribution → liquidity sweep → re-accumulation.
Market Context: Could align with macroeconomic tightening or sectoral rotation.
📊 Purpose: To reset valuations and build energy for the final Supercycle (V).
🟩 Supercycle Wave (V) (Projected: 2040s – 2050s)
Elliott Context: The final impulsive wave of Oracle’s century-long trend.
Fibonacci Target: 3.618× expansion (~$6,000).
SMC Behavior: Final institutional markup followed by distribution and secular reversal.
Fundamentals: Could coincide with Oracle’s role as a global AI–data infrastructure leader.
🚀 Legacy Wave: The culmination of decades of innovation and expansion.
⚙️ Macro Summary
Accumulation (1980s–1990s) – Smart money foundation.
Expansion (2000s–2020s) – Institutional markup phase.
Distribution (2030s) – Macro correction and rotation.
Re-accumulation (Post-2040s) – Long-term reset for future cycles.
🧠 Technical & Fundamental Alignment
✨ Elliott Structure: Clear impulsive (I–V) sequence with macro rhythm.
✨ Fibonacci Confluence: $400 (2.618× of Wave 1) & $900 (3.618× of Wave 1).
✨ SMC: Institutional control with clean BoS → reaccumulation → continuation.
✨ Price Action: Aggressive bullish order flow with no macro distribution yet.
✨ Fundamentals: Oracle’s AI + Cloud strategy drives sustainable growth.
🌍 Conclusion
Oracle (ORCL) continues to trend within Supercycle (III) — the most powerful long-term wave.
Cycle Wave (3): In progress, targeting $380–$400 by end of 2025 / early 2026.
Cycle Wave (4): Anticipated retracement toward $200–$280 zone.
Cycle Wave (5): Final impulsive run toward $900+ into the early 2030s.
📈 Macro Bias: Long-term bullish — institutional structure intact.
📊 Short-term Outlook: Momentum strong but nearing Cycle 3 completion; prepare for corrective rotation.
💬 Summary: Oracle’s price evolution beautifully mirrors its technological growth story — a near-perfect alignment of Elliott Wave symmetry , Smart Money structure , and fundamental strength . The completion of Cycle 3 near $400 will open the door to an ideal re-entry opportunity for the next macro leg higher.
#ORCL 📈 #Oracle 💼 #ElliottWave 🌊 #WaveAnalysis 🔹 #Supercycle 🚀 #Fibonacci 📊 #SmartMoney 💎 #PriceAction 🕯️ #MarketStructure 🏗️ #LongTermBull 🟢 #StockAnalysis 💹 #TechnicalAnalysis ⚙️ #Investing 💰 #TradingViewIdeas 💡
💬 Respected traders and analysts!
Your insights matter. Share your views, confirmations, or constructive criticism in the comments below. Let’s discuss ORCL’s structural evolution, Elliott Wave setup, and long-term Supercycle potential 🚀📈.
— Team FIBCOS 💎
$EVAA (4-HOUR): SPOT investment UPDATEThree weeks ago I published a SPOT entry into $EVAA at $5.95, it then had a huge crash with the rest of the market, in fact, much harder than others, still a small cap, $44M, I pasted my research here then.
Since the collapse, it's become of the best looking charts, clear ELLIOT'S WAVE count, currently after a retracement from the ATH made yesterday at $9.5.
Super strong asset, ready for WAVE 5 soon, targetting new ATH at $10.3 and then $13.15 and potentially further up into its PRICE DISCOVERY PHASE.
Taking PROFITS at these levels and letting 30% of the invested amount remain as a moonbag.
👽💙
Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Amd - This is still not over yet!🚀Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) can rally another +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
This month alone, Amd has been rallying another +50%. All of this happened because of an expected rejection at a major confluence of support. Looking at the rising channel pattern though, Amd can still rally another +25% before this rally might actually be over.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















