WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?5th wave may be ending and a sharp down move may come. This are just predictions not advice. Becareful.
Wave Analysis
GBPAUD Currency Pair Is Poised For Further DeclineGBPAUD has been rising since the start of the year, but it appears that the move in 2025 may represent a fifth wave of an impulse, as price broke out of a triangle at the beginning of the year. Despite the strong push higher, it’s important to keep in mind that triangles typically appear as the final part of a higher-degree trend. Therefore, the current bearish reversal on the daily chart is not surprising and ideally could bring prices much lower, into wave C or wave 3, especially if price breaks below the channel support line near the 2.04 area. We see room for a move toward 1.96.
On the intraday basis, GBPAUD turned nicely and sharply lower from the projected resistance after we identified an ABC correction within the downtrend. As a result, further weakness is expected, particularly if price drops below the channel support line and the 2.00 level, which would act as bearish confirmation.
EURUSD: Wave Structure Education - Understanding Wave CountsEducational breakdown of wave structure counting using current EURUSD as a live example.
📚 WAVE STRUCTURE FUNDAMENTALS
Understanding wave counts is essential for identifying high-probability setups. Let's break down the key concepts using EURUSD's current structure.
🌊 WAVE 1 - The Foundation
Most Important Aspect: Wave 1 has two variations
Variation 1 - ABC Pattern:
Wave 1 forms as a corrective ABC structure before the main trend establishes.
Variation 2 - Straight Away:
Bearish: Higher High (HH) directly to Lower Low (LL)
Bullish: Lower Low (LL) directly to Higher High (HH)
Why This Matters:
Identifying which Wave 1 variation you're seeing helps you understand the strength and nature of the trend forming.
📈 EXTENSION WAVES - The Power Moves
Bearish Extension Pattern:
The sequence for bearish extensions:
Lower High (LH)
Higher Low (HL)
Lower High (LH)
Lower Low (LL)
Bullish Extension Pattern:
The sequence for bullish extensions:
Higher Low (HL)
Lower High (LH)
Higher Low (HL)
Higher High (HH)
Key Principle:
Extensions follow a specific pattern. Recognizing these sequences allows you to anticipate the completion point and trade accordingly.
💼 CURRENT EURUSD WAVE COUNT
Position: Bearish Wave 2 Extension (3 of 5)
What This Means:
We're in Wave 2 of the larger structure
Wave 2 is extending (showing the extension pattern)
Currently at position 3 within the 5-wave extension sequence
More downside expected to complete the extension
Trading Application:
Understanding we're in position 3 of 5 tells us:
Two more wave points to complete (4 and 5)
Wave 4 will be a pullback (selling opportunity)
Wave 5 will be the final leg down in this extension
🎓 Educational Takeaways:
1. Wave 1 Sets The Stage:
Always identify which Wave 1 variation you're seeing. ABC or Straight Away? This determines your initial bias.
2. Extensions Follow Patterns:
Both bullish and bearish extensions have specific sequences. Learn to recognize them.
3. Count = Roadmap:
When you know where you are in the wave count (like "3 of 5"), you know what's coming next.
4. Practice Required:
Wave counting takes time to master. Watch price action create these patterns repeatedly until recognition becomes second nature.
Summary:
Wave 1 has two variations: ABC or Straight Away (HH→LL / LL→HH)
Extensions follow patterns: Specific sequences for bullish/bearish
Current EURUSD: Bearish Wave 2 Extension, position 3 of 5
Next: Expect Wave 4 pullback, then Wave 5 completion
👍 Boost if you found this educational
👤 Follow for more wave structure lessons
💬 Questions? Drop them in comments
$PYPL, applied banking license. Near bottom of extended range.Bought NASDAQ:PYPL , Why ⬇️
Fundamental catalyst:
Just applied for Utah bank charter to expand small business lending
Bank charter = cut out third-party costs, direct FDIC insurance, better margins
Already served 420K+ business accounts with $30B in loans - now cutting middlemen
Valuation too cheap to ignore:
P/E of 13 while maintaining 45% global payment market share
434M active users, $33B revenue run rate
Trading near 52-week lows at $60 vs. analyst PT of $79 (+30% upside)
Technical setup:
Near bottom of extended downtrend range ($55-93)
Risk/reward favors entry here - limited downside to $55, significant upside to $75-80
The trade: Recent analyst downgrades created panic selling, but the fundamentals haven't changed. Bank charter is a multi-year strategic move that could significantly improve unit economics. Current price reflects maximum pessimism.
XAU/USD Range Market – Sell from PremiumGold is currently trading in a clear ranging (TR) environment after the recent bullish expansion. On the H1 timeframe, price has reacted from the premium zone near the previous highs, while liquidity remains stacked below the range.
🔻 Sell Scenario:
Price is expected to react from the 4303 – 4306 resistance zone, aligned with prior distribution and rejection. This area favors short-term sell opportunities while the market remains inside the range.
🔺 Buy Scenario:
The 4247 – 4245 zone represents a liquidity pocket below the major value area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup. With a tight stop-loss, buy limit orders are valid if price sweeps liquidity and shows reaction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4303 – 4306
Support / Liquidity: 4247 – 4245
As long as price stays within the range, sell from premium and buy from discount remains the primary strategy. Always respect stop-loss levels and manage risk accordingly.
$ADBE. Should hit $400+ in the next weeks/months. GM, still holding $ADBE. Should hit $400+ in the next weeks/months.
Why?:
- Stretched downtrend
- At major support
- In the next years they will buy back $25 billion in shares.
Potential 500 Pips on EURAUDSell Projection on EURAUD
Description has been given just like in the chart
Confirmation:
Wait for price closes below 1.7811 on 4HTF, the current reference candle, once that is achieved, we can now look for the Valid supply Level as our possible entries.
If the condition is not met, the Probability of the setup drops to 50%
(Possible Entries)
Entry1
BuyLimit@ 1.7870
StopLoss@ 1.7905
Entry 2
SellLimit@ 1.7897
StopLoss@ 1.7944
Target Levels
T1@ 1.7696
T2@ 1.7632
T3@1.7381
Average Risk to Reward on each is 1 : 5
You can anticipate this to run between 21:00 UTC ,26th November 2025 up till 2:00UTC, 8th December, 2015
USOIL_WTIUS West Texas Intermediate is in a downtrend and in the ABC wave, the main range where barrels and tanks can be filled is $44, which after filling and loading can grow by 60% and reach the $74.00 range. This analysis is for the long term.
XAUUSD Defends Support – Upside Move Toward 4,380 ExpectedHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD based on the current market structure. Gold continues to trade within a well-established bullish trend, supported by a clear ascending Trend Line that has been respected after multiple pullbacks. After an earlier rejection from the upper Resistance Level, price experienced a corrective decline but successfully turned around near the trend line, confirming strong buyer interest at lower levels. Following this reaction, XAUUSD broke above the descending Resistance Line, signaling a shift in momentum back in favor of buyers. The market then entered a Range phase, where price consolidated between the Support Level around 4,260 and the Buyer Zone near 4,300, indicating accumulation and balance before the next impulse move. A confirmed breakout from the range occurred to the upside, with buyers aggressively pushing price above the Buyer Zone. Currently, gold is trading firmly above 4,300, showing sustained bullish strength and acceptance above previous resistance. The next key area of interest is the upper Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,380, which has acted as a strong reaction zone in the past. As long as price holds above the 4,260 Support Level and continues to respect the ascending trend line, the bullish scenario remains valid. My primary scenario is a continuation toward the 4,380 resistance, where a reaction or short-term rejection may occur. A clean breakout above this Seller Zone could open the door for further upside expansion, while rejection may lead to a healthy pullback toward the Buyer Zone or trend line support. For now, the structure clearly favors buyers, with 4,380 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and don’t forget to manage your risk 🚀
GOLD its a breakout? whats next??#GOLD.. market just trade below his today ultimate area that is around 4278 79
keep close and sustain below means a further dip on the table.
good luck
trade wisely
2025.12.16 EURUSD 4-Hour Trading Plan Hello traders,
I. Current Technical Context
- Instrument: Euro vs. U.S. Dollar (EURUSD), 4-hour chart
- Pattern: Bullish retracement (recent uptrend; current price ~1.1749 )
- Key Levels (Fibonacci extensions/resistances):
- Support: 1.17457~1.17311
- TP levels: 1.27 Fib~1.18016, TP1;
1.414 Fib ~1.18522, TP2
- Indicators:
- EMA(5/15): Price above EMAs (bullish bias)
- RSI: ~64 (near overbought; watch for momentum continuation)
II. Trading Strategy (Long Bias)
Long Entry Plan
- **Entry Condition**: Price holds above 1.1745 + bullish candlestick confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar)
- Entry Level: 1.1750 (current price zone)
- Stop-Loss: Below 0.786 Fib support (~1.1730)
- Stop Size: ~20 pips
- Take-Profit:
- TP1: 1.27 Fib (~1.18016)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: (1.18016-1.1750)/(1.1750-1.1730) ≈ 2.6:1
- TP2: 1.618 Fib (~1.18522)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: (1.18522-1.1750)/(1.1750-1.1730) ≈ 5.1:1
III. Alternative/Exit Rules
- If price breaks below 0.786 support (~1.1731), abandon long plan (invalidates bullish retracement bias)
- If RSI spikes above 70 (overbought), consider partial profit-taking at TP1
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Bitcoin ... BTCUSD .... Wave 2 completed 😎 👌
Preparing for W3 to start ... accumulation in progress.
Target prices on chart.
Highly recommended for Buying and accumulate now.
Reliance - One more leg down is due in shorter TFCMP: 1543
TF: 15 minutes
The fall from the recent swing high appears to be a 5 wave decline. the bounce from the lows at 1517.6 seem to be a 3 wave rise. And this rise should possibly break the high at 1551 and terminate between 1555-1560.
The price action at the range of 1550-1560 will give us an indication.
The next leg down (C leg) will be sharp and faster and I am expecting it to test 1480-1500 levels depends on where this B wave gets terminated at.
Don't be surprised if the B wave goes past 1580+ in an expanded flat correction
Finally, Reliance is in uptrend and hence, shorting isn't a good idea.
Wait for the correction to end and decide the next course based on the price action at 1500 odd levels.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
NIFTY INTRADAY VIEW — TIME & PRICE ANALYSISNIFTY INTRADAY VIEW — TIME & PRICE ANALYSIS
Buy on Dips | Intraday Window Active till 3:20 PM
Nifty is moving into an important Time & Price reaction zone.
The structure remains constructive as long as price respects the key line in the sand.
CMP: 25,975
Target 1: 26,040
Target 2: 26,130
Laxman Rekha: Below 25,950
Strategy: Buy on Dips (above Laxman Rekha only)
Time Window: On or Before 3:20 PM
This is a classic intraday setup where timing matters more than prediction.
If the market holds above the Laxman Rekha, dips may continue to act as fuel rather than fear.
Not a chase.
Not an impulse trade.
Just structure + timing + discipline.
Stay prepared. The window is active.
PTB/USDT +150%PTB/USDT has been locked in a prolonged downtrend, characterized by sustained lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price behavior suggests this bearish phase is losing momentum, signaling a potential transition in market control.
BAND Analysis (1W)On the weekly timeframe, the bearish phase of BAND started from the point where we marked the red arrow on the chart.
BAND appears to be completing an ABC corrective pattern, and the C wave is expected to finish within the green zone.
In the green zone, you can look for spot buy opportunities.
The targets are marked on the chart.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Live trading on MRK stock.We enter Wave 5 in the demand zone.
NYSE:MRK
Wave 4 done
We have two profit-taking zones.
Follow proper risk and money management.
Weekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025: The 2D CrossWeekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025
BTC has broken below its triangular wedge following consolidation at the Weekly 100 EMA. This supports the earlier analysis for a move toward the secondary buying zone at $77k, unless the Weekly 21 EMA is hit first.
Catalyst & Rejection: The approaching 2D Death Cross could trigger volatile sell-offs, accelerating a drop toward $77k. Any subsequent recovery will likely meet significant resistance at the Weekly 21 EMA (estimated 100k-103k), which coincides with the Death Cross point—making this the prime area for a rejection.
Summary: Key levels are $77-74k (additional buy zone) and 100k-103k (resistance/rejection zone).
USDCHF - Same Structure, Different Plays!!🏹USDCHF has been respecting its rising wedge structure beautifully.
📈We initially bought near the lower bound of the wedge, where buyers stepped in with clear support. 📉Later on, we sold near the upper bound, capitalizing on exhaustion at resistance. Classic structure-based trading.
⚔️Now price is rotating back toward the lower bound of the rising wedge, which aligns perfectly with a well-defined support zone. This intersection is where we’ll be looking for fresh trend-following long setups, as long as price shows acceptance and bullish reaction from this area.
🏹As long as the lower wedge support holds, the bias remains for another rotation higher within the structure. A clean break below would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift the narrative.
Same chart. Same structure. Different opportunities. 🤔
Are buyers ready to defend it again?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Are we in a Big Channel ?Curiosity chart: By clearly identifying all major abrasion events, this chart reveals the most favorable buying opportunities within the channel, assesses whether the channel is likely to hold, and, if so, indicates the probable next direction and overall market trajectory.
Natural Gas (NG): The Freestyle Framework Natural Gas: The Freestyle Landscape
This is not a forecast. It is a dynamic structural map.
Designed for the discretionary trader, this "Freestyle" framework deconstructs Natural Gas into its core technical components: cyclical rhythms, evolving Elliott Wave structures, adaptive price channels, and multi-layered zones of confluence.
We provide the architecture; you dictate the strategy.
Within This Framework, You Will Identify:
- Cyclical Turning Nodes: Time-based projections where trend exhaustion or acceleration is statistically heightened.
- Price Channel Evolution: Visualizing the market's breathing pattern through expanding and contracting volatility corridors.
- Confluence Zones: High-Probability regions where support/resistance, Fibonacci projections, and channel boundaries cluster, defining the market's true decision points.
- Momentum & Risk Gradients: Areas shaded for potential trend acceleration or reversal, framing asymmetric risk/reward opportunities.
The Core Philosophy: Trade Context, Not Clarity.
This map eliminates the noise of directional bias. Instead, it provides a professional-grade canvas to:
Plan high-probability setups within predefined zones.
Anticipate volatility shifts before they occur.
Objectively manage risk by highlighting invalidation levels.
Align your unique strategy (swing, position) with the market's inherent structure.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It is a framework for context, not a substitute for independent analysis. All trading decisions and risk management are solely the responsibility of the individual. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade The Reaction. Navigate The Structure.
Bitcoin last move.I don't intend to create #FOMO but Microstrategy plans seeking for a 42 Billion dollars and possible dell founder buying #BTC, this wave count is not impossible.
Dogecoin Wave Analysis – 15 December 2025
- Dogecoin broke long-term support level 0.1365
- Likely to fall to support level 0.1155
Dogecoin cryptocurrency recently broke below the long-term support level 0.1365 (which has been reversing the price from April, as can be seen below).
The breakout of the support level 0.1365 strengthened the bearish pressure on Dogecoin.
Given the clear daily downtrend and the bearish sentiment seen across the crypto markets, Dogecoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.1155.
