USD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 151.907.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Wave Analysis
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4946 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
$RKT Elliott Wave Setup — Wave (3) of 5 LoadingNYSE:RKT
Elliott Wave Setup — Wave (3) of 5 Loading
Daily | $21.65
Count:
✅ (1) Complete — Nov
✅ (2) Complete — ABC to $17
🔄 (3) In Progress → $29-30
📍 (4) Projected → $23-24
🎯 (5) Terminal → $39.60
Levels:
❌ $17.00 — Invalidation
⚠️ $21.41 — Channel support
📍 $21.65 — Current (0.5 fib)
🔼 $24.88 — Wave (A) high
🔼 $27.48 — 1.0 fib
🔼 $30.34 — Wave (3) target
🎯 $35.00 — 1.618 ext
🎯🎯 $39.60 — Wave (5) / 2.0 ext
Confluence:
Channel support holding
0.5 fib retracement zone
Wave (B) of (3) completing
ER Feb 19 = catalyst for Wave 3 impulse
R:R:
Entry: $21.50
Stop: $20.00
Target: $39.60
R:R = 12:1
Sitting at channel support + 0.5 fib + Wave B completion zone. This is the entry.
🎯🚀
Evaluating Bitcoin's Value Through User Adoption MetricsIn the spirit of classic value investing principles, which emphasize understanding an asset's intrinsic value through its user base and network effects, let's apply a similar lens to Bitcoin.
As of January 2026, Bitcoin's daily active addresses have shown a concerning stagnation, hovering around 475,000 down about 63% from 2021 peaks of around 1.3 million despite price highs above $125,000 in 2025.
This metric serves as a proxy for real network usage and adoption, much like customer growth for a traditional business. When active addresses decouple from price surges, it may signal overvaluation driven by speculation rather than utility.
For a potential trade setup: Consider accumulating Bitcoin if active addresses rebound above 1 million (indicating renewed adoption), targeting zones where price dips to $81,000 support levels seen recently.
This approach focuses on sustainable growth rather than short-term hype, emphasizing investing in assets with a strong, understandable 'moat' like Bitcoin's network.
GameStop (GME) Ryan CohenP/E (TTM),~25.7x,HIGH ⚠️. The market is paying a premium for cash and volatility.
Forward P/E,~22.0x,Based on EPS estimates of around $1.00 in 2026
Free Cash Flow,~$130 - $160 million,POSITIVE ✅. They are managing to generate cash after the layoffs.
ROE,~9.4%,LOW ❌.
Debt/Equity,~0.78 (or 0.01 without leases),EXCELLENT ✅. They have virtually no traditional debt.
Revenue Growth,-4.5% (YoY),LOW ❌.
PEG Ratio,~0.47,UNDERESTATED ✅. Based on aggressive earnings growth.
Cash on Hand,~$8.83 billion,GROSS ✅. This is their strongest asset
FCF Margin,~4.2%,LOW ❌. Still in the process of restructuring.
Quick Ratio,~9.4,SUPER HIGH ✅. Can cover their debts 9 times.
Inst. Ownership,~30%,LOW ⚠️. Primarily held by Ryan Cohen and retail.
Current Ratio,10.39,SUPER HIGH ✅. Exceptional liquidity.
Analyst DCF,$100.24 (SWS),OVER-NEW ✅. Price (~$24) is 75% below model.
Wall St Target,$10.00 - $15.00,Analysts are pessimistic (40% potential downside).
Gross Margin,~33.3%,LOW ❌.
Sales Growth,-4.5%,
Altman Z-Score,2.5 - 2.8,GRAY ZONE ⚠️. Slightly below the safe 3.0.
Ryan Cohen and his $21.3 million bet
In January 2026, Ryan Cohen did what he does best – shocked the market with personal purchases:
January 20, 2026: Bought 500,000 shares at an average price of $21.12.
January 21, 2026: Bought another 500,000 shares at an average price of $21.60.
Result: He now owns over 42 million shares (~9.3%).
Why now? The board of directors just voted on a new compensation plan that is 100% tied to achieving a market cap of $100 billion (now ~$10 billion). This means Cohen will not receive a salary until the stock has risen 10 times.
Why is Michael Burry (The Big Short) back?
That same week, it was revealed that Michael Burry had once again built up a position in GME. His logic is simple:
Tangible Book Value: With $8.8 billion in cash in the bank and a market cap of $10 billion, you’re buying the entire GameStop business for just $1.2 billion. 2. Bitcoin Proxy: GME moved its Bitcoin assets to Coinbase Prime, suggesting active trading or use of crypto as a reserve currency.
GOLD - Control Cycle Structure | Path to $5,000+Heads up….
The pullback from $4,549 isn’t weakness. It’s structure resetting before continuation. Gold completed a clean five-wave impulse from the Liberation Day tariff break at $3,000 to the Boxing Day high at $4,549. Wave (I) is complete. Price around $4,440 is Wave (ii) - corrective and controlled. Shallow matters.
Add Zone: $4,000–$4,200
This is where buyers position.
Below $4,000 sits the line that defines the structure.
Invalidation: $3,900.
Break it and the structure fails. Above it, momentum holds. Corrections compress in strong trends. Floors rise in control regimes. Sellers don’t get paid.
This is a control cycle, not a growth cycle. Central banks continue accumulating. USD reserve diversification is structural. FED cuts are expected Q2 as Powell exits May 2026. Policy paths are narrow. Gold functions as a trust anchor, not a trade. Supply chains are being managed. Strategic materials are politicised.
Gold prices this in advance.
Levels
Current: $4,430
Add zone: $4,000–$4,200
Major support: $4,000
Invalidation: $3,900
Targets:
$4,700 → $5,000 (Wave iii, Q2–Q3)
Extension toward $5,400 (Q4)
Skew remains asymmetric while $3,900 holds.
Corrections don’t end trends in control regimes. They prepare the next leg. Gold isn’t reacting. It’s leading.
Stay long. Outguess the break.
Elite | XAUUSD – 15M – Corrective Phase After SellOANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
The aggressive drop appears corrective within a broader bullish environment rather than a full trend reversal. Price is consolidating above a key demand area after liquidity was swept to the downside. As long as this base holds, a recovery toward higher resistance remains valid.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
Holding above 4,950 – 4,980 may trigger a bullish rotation back into the range.
🎯 Target 1: 5,190
🎯 Target 2: 5,320
🎯 Target 3: 5,600
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
A clean breakdown and acceptance below 4,950 could extend selling toward 4,800.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5,190 – 5,320, then 5,600
Support 🟢: 4,950 – 4,980
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
SOL Holding Major Support Inside Falling WedgeSOL is trading inside a well defined falling wedge structure on the higher timeframe. Price has been compressing within the wedge after a strong prior move and is now reacting near the lower boundary while sitting on a major ascending support trendline.
This ascending support has acted as a strong base multiple times in the past and is currently helping to slow down the downside momentum. As long as SOL holds above this rising support, the falling wedge structure remains valid and constructive.
A short term dip toward the lower wedge support is possible, but if buyers defend this region, price can gradually rotate higher toward the upper wedge boundary. A confirmed breakout above the wedge would open the door for a stronger recovery move toward higher resistance zones.
If price fails to hold the ascending support, the bullish structure weakens and deeper downside levels may come into play. This area is a key decision zone where the next major move is likely to form.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.09
Target Level: 63.63
Stop Loss: 66.05
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCAD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURCAD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD - A QUICK SELL SET UP - 30-01-2026AUDUSD - G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only
AUDUSD - still kinda on the "move" and continue DOWN...
Who did enter this trade earlier congratulations! Who missed it... See you next time! ;)
Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;)
I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money...
;)
Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $...
PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it.
LULU: might face a dip to $137 to get Targets $260lululemon athletica (LULU) — premium athleisure brand — after massive run-up to 2024 highs (~$603 red level), endured sharp multi-year decline, now consolidating near ~$170–$172 (current price ~$172.54 close, down 4.33% recent session).
Key structure:
• Descending trend line (white) from 2024 peak acting as overhead resistance — needs decisive break (~$175–$200 zone) with volume for bullish reversal.
• Yellow upward projection arrows from recent lows (~$137 green support) targeting $259.74 first, stretch $603+ (prior high retest/Fib extension) over multi-year horizon.
Bullish Path: Break the downtrend line confirms reversal — path to
Target 1 $260 first (~52% from $172 current, or ~89% from $137 dip entry), then
Target 2 $603+ (~254% from $172, or ~340%+ from $137) on growth rebound (international expansion, product innovation, margin recovery).
Personal Hypothetical Plan (just how I would approach it myself if entering):
• Preferred Entry: ~$137 (dip to green major support – best risk/reward, waiting for pullback)
• Alternative Entry: Sideways at ~$170–$172 + downtrend line break (momentum play)
• Stop Loss:
• For $170–$172 entry: ~$163 (below recent swing low / buffer; ~4–5% risk)
• For $137 entry: ~$130 (below swing low / support break; ~5% risk)
• Targets (multi-year horizon, 1–3+ years):
• Target 1: $260 (~89% from $137 entry, ~52% from $170 entry; aligns with analyst highs)
• Target 2: $603+ (~340%+ from $137 entry, ~254% from $170 entry; stretch Fib/prior peak)
• R/R: Very strong (~1:18+ to Target 2 from $137 entry; ~1:10+ to Target 2 from $170 entry) if support holds
Bearish Alternative / Worst Case: If $170 breaks, downside to $137 first. Worst case deeper to $77 (multi-year low / best entry opportunity). Drop below $137 breaks long-term structure → trend change to down/sideways short-to-medium term → possible capitulation low → reversal up over days/weeks/months.
Valuation Note: Trailing P/E ~35–40x (premium vs. retail/apparel sector ~20–25x), forward ~30–35x reasonable for growth. Risks compression if execution falters.
Catalyst Watch: Q4 FY2025 earnings ~Mar 26–31, 2026 — focus on:
• International expansion progress (China, Europe, APAC store/online growth, same-store sales trends)
• Investment returns (new products, marketing spend, digital/AI enhancements, supply chain improvements)
• FY2026 guidance on revenue, margins, EPS, U.S. vs. international demand
Watch Closely:
• Hold above $170–$172 = bull case intact (sideways ok if leads to break)
• Invalidation: Clean break below $137 (trend change risk)
Analyst Projections Summary (late Jan 2026):
• Consensus rating: Moderate Buy / Buy (30–40 analysts across sources)
• Average 12-month target: $205–$228 (+19–32% upside from ~$172)
• High-end targets: $260–$303 (matches Target 1 $260 closely)
• Extreme optimistic long-term views: $500+ (minority calls, supports multi-year Target 2 stretch potential)
• Low-end targets: $134–$175 (bearish views on margins/execution risks)
• Recent tone: Mixed — some firms maintain Buy with $260+ targets, others trim to $175–$200 on near-term risks
This is just a post on how I feel — not a recommendation, not financial advice, DYOR!
Athleisure growth play — dip to $137 preferred, or sideways break for entry! Thoughts on $77 worst-case entry, earnings, or competition?
Good luck & safe trading!! 🚀🧘
#LULU #lululemon #Athleisure #Retail #Fibonacci #Breakout
GOLD [XAU / USD] CENTURY CHART EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS MONTHLY TFThe Journey of Gold: 1833 – 2026
• 1833: Gold fixed at $20 per ounce. Under the gold standard, gold was essentially money. Prices were stable and dictated by law, not the market.
• 1934: Gold officially revalued to $35 per ounce by the United States. This was a political and monetary decision, not a market move. Gold remained fixed at this level for decades.
• January 1st, 1968: The official end of the gold standard.
Due to massive spending and rising debt from the Vietnam War, the U.S. could no longer defend a fixed gold price. Gold became freely tradable, and its market journey truly began.
The W–X–Y Corrective Structure (1968–2026)
With gold now free to move, the long-term Elliott Wave structure unfolds as a corrective W–X–Y pattern:
Wave W (1968–1980): ABC up
Gold rose from $35 to ~$850, forming a clear ABC structure.
• A: initial breakout after the gold standard ended
• B: mid-cycle consolidation
• C: final blow-off to the 1980 high
Wave X (1980–1999): ABC sideways
A long, shallow correction followed, moving mostly sideways in price but spanning nearly two decades in time. This X wave connected the first advance (W) to the next advance (Y).
Wave Y (1999–2026): ABC up
Another corrective ABC advance.
Internal swings overlap, and momentum diverges at highs, confirming corrective (non-impulsive) behaviour. Gold rises to new highs as the market continues to adjust to decades of fiat currency expansion and global monetary dynamics.
Key Takeaways
• From 1968 onward, gold is fully free to trade and its Elliott Wave journey begins.
• The W–X–Y pattern demonstrates corrective behavior, not impulsive trending.
• Each major rise (W and Y) subdivides as ABC, while the X wave serves as a connector.
• Gold’s multi-decade movement reflects market repricing against fiat currency, not classic bull market impulses.
Like and follow for more charts like this.
XAG/USD - A QUICK UPDATE - 30-01-2026XAGUSD - G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only
XAGUSD - PATIENCE TIME...
1H DID HIT TP TARGET AND 15m was "excluded" and nicely "manipulated"
Who did enter this trade earlier congratulations! Who missed it... See you next time! ;)
Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;)
I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money...
;)
Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $...
PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it.
NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.6058
Stop Loss - 0.6068
Take Profit - 0.6039
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 5130.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 5240.1
Recommended Stop Loss - 5071.0
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC/USD: Major Support Breach and Bearish Momentum AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USD) ne 15-minute timeframe par ek bari structural change dikhayi hai, jahan price ne pichle institutional support levels ko decisively breakdown kar diya hai. Market sentiment ab consolidation phase se aggressive downward expansion ki taraf shift ho chuka hai.
Technical Breakdown:
Major Support Breach: $85,150 ka critical support level, jo pehle do baar price ko hold kar chuka tha, ab toot chuka hai. Yeh market psychology mein bullish se bearish shift ki nishani hai.
Resistance Flip: Pichle foundational support zones ($86,500 aur $85,150) ab primary supply barriers (resistance) ka kaam karenge.
Current Market State: Bitcoin filhal $81,000 – $82,729 ki range mein trade kar raha hai.
Forecasted Path: "Break and Retest" sequence ke mutabiq, price mein $84,000 ke area tak ek minor relief bounce aa sakta hai, jiske baad mazeed girawat mutawaqqe hai.
Key Targets:
Primary Objective: $81,000 – Immediate local low aur liquidity pool.
Major Target: $80,000 - $80,500 – Ek aham psychological aur structural support zone.
Risk Management: Bearish outlook tab tak barkaraar rahega jab tak price $85,150 ke pivot level se niche hai.
Strategy Note: Maujooda bias "Sell on Strength" ka hai. Traders ko $84,000 ke resistance area par bearish confirmation (maslan rejection wicks) ka intezar karna chahiye taake $80,000 ke targets tak move ko pakra ja sake.
TOMCL PROBABLY IN WAVE ' 4 'TOMCL is most probably in wave 4
This is in continuation to our last trade setup which suggest that 4th wave might be extending and will take price further down toward 48.10 - 48 level and even below.
we are already active in a short sell position
Trade Setup:
Entry level: 50.30
Target: 48.10
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
Nikkei 225 1H: Leading Diagonal Wave 3 UnderwayNikkei225 1H Outlook
The large sideways chop with big ups and downs seems to have settled, so I tried counting on the 1H chart.From the Nov 21 low to the Jan 14 high at 54,505, a large zigzag (a)-(b)-(c) completed.Currently forming a downward Leading Diagonal starting from 54,505.
Wave 1 ended at Jan 20 low 51,949.The choppy move since Jan 20 is a Double Three (Flat × Flat) starting from 51,949,
with Jan 29 high 54,098 as the end of the Double Three / Wave 2 of the Leading Diagonal.Now in Wave 3 of the Leading Diagonal.
Invalidation level: 54,098
※ This Leading Diagonal is considered as large wave (a).After (b) correction, expect (c) downleg to follow.Once (c) completes, reversal and new uptrend likely to begin (at this stage).
#Nikkei225 #ElliottWave #N225






















