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Wave Analysis

$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Very light macro day: No major inflation, labor, or growth data scheduled. • Post-data digestion: Markets continue to digest Tuesday’s delayed jobs, retail sales, and PMI releases. • Fed speakers are secondary: With CPI and employment already out, commentary matters only if tone shifts meaningfully. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) • No top-tier economic data scheduled ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #trading #macro #stocks
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
AUDCAD Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCAD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 0.912. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.919 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
here's how bitcoin reaches 185k part 2.good morning, in my last btc post i promised you my macro btc analysis if the post reached 5 likes, so here you are. --- the count is extremely simple; from the 2022 bear market lows, btc has come up quite impulsively. i label the entire leg from september 2023 -> october 2025 as a wave (3). if you look closely, none of the waves overlap in this leg. sure it might have an unconventional look, but it's not invalid by any technical standards. --- if i'm correct with my analysis, wave (5) should see an equal appreciation as the length of wave (1) - could become slightly longer, too. usually in cases such as this, you can measure the distance of wave (1) and project it out from the bottom of wave (4); > look for 100.00% - 123.60% - 161.80% extensions. this puts the average upside target between 161k - 248k --- we have had a sustained reading of extreme fear almost all month. btc is at the bottom of the bullish pitchfork. most people have given up hope. (bullish contrarian signal) business cycle has yet to top. fed man stopped quantitative tightening and has hinted at a balance sheet expansion. aggressive rate cuts. monthly hidden bullish divergence present between wave (2) and wave (4) pivot lows. we are flipping previous cycle highs into support (horizontal support). bitcoin capitulation metric has hit an all time high this cycle (each one has marked a major low). --- all of this leads me to believe that we are not finished with the current bull trend. --- 🎯 = 185k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
1
What Fibonacci trying to tell us !!!!!!In the markets, the Fibonacci spiral isn't just a pattern—it's an engine of momentum. It reveals where price action compresses, aligns, and ultimately explodes. Think of a consolidation near a key Fibonacci level (like the 61.8% or 38.2% retracement) as the spiral winding tighter. This isn't random noise; it's energy being stored, a structural reformation where the market's natural growth geometry reasserts itself. The moment price breaks decisively from this zone, it triggers the spiral's accelerating phase. This is why Fibonacci structures are powerful tools for identifying the launch point of sharp, impulsive moves—not for forecasting slow, grinding trends. They pinpoint where potential energy converts to kinetic momentum, offering a high-probability entry for capturing rapid expansion.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
the rise of monad.the word monad comes from ancient greek, from monás meaning one, single, or indivisible unit. at its root, it points to something that cannot be broken down any further. a fundamental one. not a collection, not a crowd, but a complete presence in itself. philosophically, the idea deepened over time. pythagoreans saw the monad as the source of all numbers. not just the number one, but the principle from which multiplicity unfolds. later, neoplatonists treated the monad as the origin of being itself, the quiet center before form appears. in early modern philosophy, leibniz gave the word a psychological and metaphysical glow. his monads were indivisible units of reality, each one a living point of perception. no two identical. each reflecting the whole universe from its own interior angle, like countless minds quietly dreaming the same cosmos from different seats. so when you hear monad, think less about isolation and more about wholeness. a single point that already contains everything it needs. one that does not fragment, yet somehow participates in the many. --- from the inception of monad, it came up in a clean 5 wave move topping mere days after coinbase ico. from that peak, monad corrected down in 3 waves which i labeled a double zig-zag. double zig-zags are extremely bullish. --- i am giving monad an 80 cent upside target over the next couple of months, and i believe it has what it takes to hit 100B+ in market cap, eventually even challenging ethereum. this is a very bold prediction, but i'm going to stand by it. --- 🎯 = $0.80
BYBIT:MONUSDTLong
by lunarsyndicate9
1
The Great Channel: The Great Reset from 9.5A Once-in-a-Decade Market Opportunity The Great Channel thesis presents a compelling long-term market structure that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. From a macro-technical perspective, current price action suggests we may be trading at, or extremely close to, the lowest valuation level we are likely to witness over the next decade. Even the next cyclical low, should it occur, may still print at levels higher than today’s price. This outcome is not guaranteed, but it represents one of the most probable scenarios on the table and one that now carries more conviction than ever before. The concept of the Great Channel first emerged in 2024 as a theoretical framework; however, evolving market behavior indicates that it may now be transitioning from hypothesis into structural reality. If confirmed, this channel has the potential to reprice the market into entirely new regimes. Importantly, this structure does not conflict with the broader cup-and-handle formation that many long-term participants are tracking. On the contrary, the two patterns may be complementary, with the cup-and-handle reaching full maturity only after a potential Great Reset event. Such a reset could occur near the extreme boundaries of the Great Channel, precisely where asymmetric risk-to-reward conditions are most favorable. From this vantage point, current levels may represent the most attractive strategic accumulation zone we are likely to see for many years to come. For patient, long-term traders and investors, this region offers a rare alignment of macro structure, technical positioning, and cyclical timing—an opportunity that may not present itself again for a very long time.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
#ZRO/USDT could be another strong contender#ZRO The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We are seeing a bearish bias in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 1.39, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected. We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend. Entry Price: 1.41 First Target: 1.45 Second Target: 1.48 Third Target: 1.53 Remember a simple principle: Money Management. Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GBPCAD – Strong Support Holds, Bulls Eye Higher TargetsGBPCAD – Strong Support Holds, Bulls Eye Higher Targets GBPCAD is currently trading above a well-defined and repeatedly tested support zone, which has proven to be very strong over the past sessions. Each dip into this area has been met with solid buying pressure, suggesting that sellers are losing momentum. As long as price continues to hold above this support, the bullish scenario remains valid. A rebound from this zone opens the door for a move toward the first resistance/target around 1.8490, followed by a potential extension toward the higher target near 1.8550. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
Wild Friday and the Weekly HammerFrom a technical-geometric standpoint, Natural Gas is approaching a high-confidence inflection zone. The weekly hammer forming into Friday’s close (12.12.2025) signals potential exhaustion of the recent downside leg and early signs of demand stepping back in. Descending from 5.33 as expected, the move has unfolded cleanly, and the red candle opening on Monday—exactly in line with the anticipated flow—reinforces the directional bias of the current retracement phase The end-goal for this corrective leg is anchored at 3.90, which stands out as the dominant liquidity objective. The structure shows a high—if not near-certain—probability of a retracement into that zone, consistent with the broader technical roadmap already outlined.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by Dr-Nat
20
Potential 500 Pips on EURAUDSell Projection on EURAUD Description has been given just like in the chart Confirmation: Wait for price closes below 1.7811 on 4HTF, the current reference candle, once that is achieved, we can now look for the Valid supply Level as our possible entries. If the condition is not met, the Probability of the setup drops to 50% (Possible Entries) Entry1 BuyLimit@ 1.7870 StopLoss@ 1.7905 Entry 2 SellLimit@ 1.7897 StopLoss@ 1.7944 Target Levels T1@ 1.7696 T2@ 1.7632 T3@1.7381 Average Risk to Reward on each is 1 : 5 You can anticipate this to run between 21:00 UTC ,26th November 2025 up till 2:00UTC, 8th December, 2015
by Ieios
3
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 17/12/2025 1. Momentum D1 (Daily) After the D1 candle closed, the daily momentum is currently compressed. This condition does not invalidate the ongoing bullish move, but it also does not confirm a reversal yet. We still need to wait for a clear momentum confirmation on D1. H4 H4 momentum is also compressing and showing early signs of a potential reversal. At this stage, there is no confirmed bearish H4 candle, so the correct approach is to remain patient and observe. H1 H1 momentum is weakening, suggesting that a short-term pullback or sideways movement may be developing on the H1 timeframe. 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure The D1 wave count remains largely unchanged. With daily momentum still compressed, it is possible that price may produce one to two more bullish D1 candles. The upside target near 4396 is still valid to complete wave X. H4 Wave Structure Although H4 momentum has reached the overbought zone, price failed to break the previous high at 4354. This is an early warning signal that bullish momentum is weakening. While the signal is not yet strong enough to confirm a reversal, it supports the potential development of a bearish wave Y, as discussed in previous plans. H1 Wave Structure The failure of price to break the H4 high while momentum reached overbought creates two main scenarios on H1: Scenario 1 – Corrective triangle (abcde – blue): + Price may be in the final phase of a triangle correction. + If price drops below the lower boundary to complete wave e, the expected termination zone is around 4284. +Currently, price is still trading above the POC (green area), so it is possible that wave e has already completed. + In that case, a break above the b–d trendline would confirm a breakout entry. Scenario 2 – Impulsive 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 – black): +Price is currently forming wave 2 (black). +The projected target for wave 2 is also near 4284. 👉 Key Confluence Zone: Both scenarios converge around 4284, making this area a high-probability Buy zone. ⚠️ Risk Note: If price closes below 4274, we must be prepared for a deeper downside scenario, and the current Buy plan should be reconsidered. 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4285 – 4283 Stop Loss: 4273 Take Profit 1: 4329 Take Profit 2: 4353 Take Profit 3: 4365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Buyers Remain in ControlHello everyone, it’s great to see you again. Today, the gold market continues to test the new support area around USD 4,300 per ounce and is attracting mild bullish momentum as the U.S. labor market remains relatively stable but shows early signs of slowing. Bearish sentiment toward the U.S. dollar, driven by the Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary policy, combined with ongoing risk-off sentiment, is providing positive support for the precious metal. At the time of writing, gold is up around USD 20 from the session low. In the short term, OANDA:XAUUSD maintains a mild bullish trend, with key support levels located at USD 4,270 and USD 4,300. I remain optimistic in this analysis, with the first upside target at the USD 4,350 resistance level, followed by a potential push toward the record zone around USD 4,375. And you - what’s your view on gold at this stage?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
GBPJPY Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 207.917. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 207.292 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1