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Wave Analysis

$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Delayed jobs + retail combo: Backlogged payrolls and retail sales hit together, shaping growth and soft-landing narratives. • Wages in focus: Hourly earnings and YoY wages matter for inflation stickiness after last week’s Fed messaging. • Flash PMIs: Real-time read on December activity for services and manufacturing. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 30 AM • U.S. Employment Report (Nov, delayed): 45,000 • U.S. Unemployment Rate (Nov): 4.5 percent • U.S. Hourly Wages (Nov): 0.3 percent • Hourly Wages YoY: 3.6 percent • U.S. Retail Sales (Oct, delayed): 0.1 percent • Retail Sales minus autos (Oct): 0.2 percent 9 45 AM • S and P Flash U.S. Services PMI (Dec): 54.0 • S and P Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Dec): 52.5 10 00 AM • Business Inventories (Sept): 0.1 percent ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #jobs #retailsales #PMI #macro #markets #trading
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
It's a time for CLOV.US - 70% potential profit - 4.70 USDThe presented 4-hour chart of Clover Health (CLOV) shows a prolonged downtrend that has clearly begun to lose momentum in recent weeks. Price has stabilized in the 2.50–2.70 USD range, which can be interpreted as a base-building and accumulation phase after a strong bearish move. This zone has been defended multiple times, suggesting the presence of demand and a gradual exhaustion of selling pressure. Moving averages are starting to flatten, and on shorter swings the price structure is shifting from lower lows toward the formation of higher lows. This is often an early technical signal of a potential trend reversal or the beginning of a broader recovery phase. Price holding above the recent consolidation area further supports the bullish scenario. The RSI indicator is positioned in the neutral zone with a clear upward bias, recovering from previously oversold levels. This indicates improving bullish momentum and suggests there is still room for upside without the market being overextended. The absence of bearish divergences strengthens the case for continued upside movement. From a technical perspective, the first key upside target lies in the 3.30–3.50 USD resistance zone, where strong selling pressure was previously observed. A confirmed breakout and sustained price action above this level could trigger a stronger bullish impulse. In such a scenario, the next major target would be around 4.70 USD, derived from prior swing highs and the broader market structure, as well as common Fibonacci expansion levels. In summary, the chart suggests that CLOV may be transitioning from a bearish trend into a potential bullish phase. As long as price remains above the 2.50 USD support zone and successfully breaks through intermediate resistance levels, the probability of a move toward the 4.70 USD target increases over the medium term. Potential TP: 4.70 $ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:CLOVLong
by darksignal
1
Tesla Wave Analysis – 15 December 2025 - Tesla broke key resistance level 460.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 500.00 Tesla today opened with the sharp upward gap breaking above the key resistance level 460.00 (which has been reversing the price from October). The breakout of the resistance level 460.00 accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the intermediate impulse wave C from November. Given the strong daily uptrend, Tesla can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 500.00 (likely price for the completion of wave iii).
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FxPro
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 56.995. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 57.830. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
JPYUSD - Re-Accumulation Under SupplyJPYUSD Re-Accumulation Under Supply, 0.006455 Is the Breakout Gate JPYUSD is rebuilding bullish momentum after a rounded base (cup-like recovery). Price is now pressing into a major supply/resistance band (the green zone) around 0.006455–0.006460. This area has already rejected price before, so today’s plan is simple: either buy the breakout and retest, or buy the pullback into support before the next push. Market Structure Read (H1) Two clear rounded recoveries suggest demand is stepping in progressively (accumulation behavior). Price has recently surged toward the same supply zone again, which typically triggers: a short consolidation under resistance, then breakout, or a pullback to grab liquidity, then continuation. The black projection on your chart aligns with this logic: minor chop → dip → strong push through the ceiling. Key Levels to Watch Resistance (Sell pressure / breakout trigger) 0.006455 – 0.006460: main supply zone (decision level) 0.006480: next upside objective if breakout holds (extension target) Support (Buy defense / pullback zones) 0.006435 – 0.006434: first support (near-term pullback shelf) 0.006428 – 0.006423: deeper support pocket (high-probability demand) 0.006405 – 0.006400: structural base (if price returns here, the move is resetting) Fibonacci Map (Practical Pullback Levels) If you anchor Fib from the recent swing low ~0.006405 to swing high ~0.006452: 38.2%: ~0.006434 50%: ~0.006428 61.8%: ~0.006423 This creates a clean “buy-the-dip” cluster at 0.006434 → 0.006423, which matches the pullback path drawn on your chart. EMA + RSI Filters (Confirmation) EMA Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above EMA20 and EMA20 stays above EMA50. If price repeatedly rejects EMA20 during pullbacks, the market is likely rotating deeper toward the 0.5–0.618 Fib zone. RSI Bullish bias strengthens when RSI holds above 50 during consolidation. If price retests 0.006455–0.006460 but RSI fails to make a new high, watch for bearish divergence (possible rejection setup). Trading Plans for Today Plan A: Breakout Buy (Momentum Setup) Trigger: H1 close above 0.006460, then a retest that holds above the zone. Entry idea: Buy the retest of 0.006455–0.006460 after confirmation. Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006448–0.006445 (or below the retest low). Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006480 TP2: trail toward higher extension if momentum remains strong Plan B: Pullback Buy (Higher Probability) Trigger: Price rejects the zone and pulls back into Fib support. Entry zones: 0.006434 0.006428 0.006423 Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006405–0.006400 if you are trading swing continuation. Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006455–0.006460 TP2: 0.006480 Plan C: Rejection Sell (Only if Supply Holds Strong) Trigger: Clear rejection at 0.006455–0.006460 (long upper wick / bearish engulfing), plus failure to reclaim the zone. Targets (TP): 0.006434, then 0.006428–0.006423 Invalidation (SL): H1 acceptance above 0.006460 Execution Notes Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Let price come to 0.006455–0.006460 (decision) or 0.006434–0.006423 (discount). The cleanest bullish confirmation is a breakout that closes and holds above the supply zone.
by Henrybillion
2
RGTI - Potential ScenarioI may have not made it clear, but I am not a fan of quantum computing at all. Practical financial use? Not much, highly speculative and I very much believe that majority of retail getting involved don't truly understand what it's utilization is. However, historically I've let my own prejudice on a thing stop me from making stupid money. This is a scenario I could def see playing out, especially with a 70% Retrace from the all-time-high. Tracking for now, looking for an entry near the lowest VWAP line you see on the chart.
NASDAQ:RGTI
by ThePennyMan
BTCUSD: The Energy of an Upward WaveIn recent days, BTCUSD has shown a series of mixed movements, but the overall picture is gradually leaning toward growth. The wave structure suggests that the market is accumulating energy through short corrective pauses, creating a foundation for the continuation of the bullish impulse. The chart shows that the price is holding in the upper part of the range, while downward fluctuations appear more like temporary pauses than full-fledged reversals. This reflects the resilience of buyer interest and the gradual strengthening of sentiment. As a result, BTCUSD retains the potential to develop an upward wave, where further movement will depend on the market’s ability to confirm the strength of the current impulse and consolidate above local zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
#Nifty directions and levels for December 16th:Good morning, friends! 🌞 Market directions and levels for December 16th: > The Dow Jones shows bullish sentiment, while the Indian market indicates a moderately bullish outlook. > Today, the GIFT Nifty is expected to open with a neutral to slightly negative start. What to expect today? > Even though GIFT Nifty shows a negative start, structurally we can expect a bounce back around the immediate support level. This is the basic structure (current view). > However, if the gap down forms a solid candle structure and breaks the support, then it could reach the bottom of the current swing with some consolidation (alternate view).
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
ETHEREUM New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section. Based on the data currently available, wave D appears to be a diametric pattern, with wave G still remaining. Wave G is related to wave A, and since wave A was strong, wave G can also appear strong. Additionally, USDT dominance is showing a decline, which suggests that one more bullish leg remains. The targets are marked on the chart. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
EURUSD: the development of the 5th waveThe Elliott Wave pattern on EURUSD points to a final upward wave. Following the corrective phase (Wave 4), the formation of the concluding impulse (Wave 5) has begun, known for its powerful and often emotional dynamics. Wave 5 appears to be gaining momentum, as evidenced by the consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Further advancement toward targets, calculated based on the proportions of the prior waves, is expected. The primary risk is the potential exhaustion of the current impulse, signs of which will first be visible on lower timeframes. While the base scenario remains bullish, it is crucial to monitor for signals indicating the completion of the entire cycle, which would precede a trend reversal.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
XAUUSD READY FOR FLY (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's Gold is currently showing a bullish bias as long as the price holds above the major support zones. 🔹 Support Levels: 4209: The first strong support zone where buyers may step in to push the price higher. 4196: The second, deeper support level. If price dips here, strong demand is likely to build. 🔹 Resistance Levels: 4240: The first immediate resistance. A breakout above this level could trigger the next bullish move. 4260 (Supply Zone): A major supply area where sellers may attempt to push the price down. A clean break above this zone can lead to strong bullish continuation. 🔹 Bias: The market structure continues to form higher lows, supporting the bullish sentiment. As long as price stays above the support levels, upside targets remain valid. please like comment and follow thank you
TVC:GOLDLong
by forex_analysis_12
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red). At this stage, I see: 1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683. 2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
1
Potential 500 Pips on EURAUDSell Projection on EURAUD Description has been given just like in the chart Confirmation: Wait for price closes below 1.7811 on 4HTF, the current reference candle, once that is achieved, we can now look for the Valid supply Level as our possible entries. If the condition is not met, the Probability of the setup drops to 50% (Possible Entries) Entry1 BuyLimit@ 1.7870 StopLoss@ 1.7905 Entry 2 SellLimit@ 1.7897 StopLoss@ 1.7944 Target Levels T1@ 1.7696 T2@ 1.7632 T3@1.7381 Average Risk to Reward on each is 1 : 5 You can anticipate this to run between 21:00 UTC ,26th November 2025 up till 2:00UTC, 8th December, 2015
by Ieios
3