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Wedge

Why This 2022 Bitcoin Fractal Might Fail The 2022 bear‑market fractal 📉 The fractal taken from the 2022 bear market. Back then Bitcoin built a rising wedge pattern and then dropped about 60% in value from the breakdown. What “everyone” expects now 😱 Many traders now expect Bitcoin to repeat that same pattern crash. Social media, bears and even cautious bulls keep pointing to the old wedge and saying “this dump is next.” Why this time can be different 💡 Markets rarely give the majority the easy trade; when everyone leans to one side, that scenario often gets crowded and fails. If most traders are positioned for a huge crash, any sustained bid or positive macro surprise can squeeze them and send price higher instead. My view based on the chart 📊🚀 I consider an alternative path: a choppy but upward trend, driven by forced short covering and new buyers stepping in as the crash fails to appear. Key takeaway ✅ Yes, the 2022 fractal shows what could happen. But because almost everyone already sees and trades that same pattern, the higher probability play now is that Bitcoin does not repeat the exact 60% wipeout and instead grinds higher while late bears get trapped.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FlorinCharts
1
EURUSD Short: Correction Deepens — Market Targets at 1.1590Hello, traders! The current EURUSD price action shows a well-structured reaction between the Supply and Demand zones, with price respecting key levels and channel formations. Earlier, the market traded inside a Range phase, signaling indecision before breaking the range to the upside and forming a clean bullish leg. However, this upward move was capped by the major Supply Zone near 1.16800, where sellers stepped in and pushed price lower. After the rejection from supply, EURUSD broke below the ascending channel, confirming a shift in short-term momentum. The pair then retested the mid-structure area, where another breakout occurred, indicating sustained bearish pressure. With each channel break, sellers strengthened their control, creating a series of lower highs within a corrective structure. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the most recent ascending channel, aiming toward the 1.15900 Demand Zone, which remains the key area where buyers previously generated strong bullish impulses. This level aligns with the next major liquidity pool and stands as the primary downside target. My scenario as long as price stays below 1.16800 supply and continues respecting the bearish breakout structure, the expectation is for the market to move lower toward 1.15900 Demand. A clear reaction from demand could initiate a bullish corrective move, but without a confirmed breakout above supply, any upside remains limited. A firm break below 1.15900 would invalidate potential reversal scenarios and open the path for deeper downside continuation. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
26
S&P 500 Breakdown Alert — Rising Wedge Reversal in Play!Today I want to share an S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) analysis, as this index plays a major role in guiding correlated markets—especially crypto, and particularly Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). The S&P 500 index entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and resistance zone($6,902_$6,875), where it began to fall. The S&P 500 index also failed to form new Higher Highs(HH) and Higher Lows(HL), which signals weakening bullish momentum over the past 7 trading sessions. From a classical technical-analysis perspective, it appears that the S&P 500 index has broken below the lower line of its rising wedge pattern, which is considered a bearish reversal pattern. The index is currently in the process of completing a pullback/retest of the broken structure. My expectation is that the S&P 500 index may decline at least toward $6,823, and if important support lines break, we could see a deeper correction toward the measured move (target) of the rising-wedge pattern. What’s your outlook on the S&P 500 index and the U.S. stock market? First Target: $6,823 Second Target: $6,803 Stop Los(SL): $6,889(Worst) ------------------------------------------------ We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases: JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December FOMC Statement➡️10 December FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December Unemployment Claims➡️11 December ------------------------------------------------ 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
Selena | XAUUSD 30m –Fresh Demand Inside Channel Monday OutlookPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD The left-hand range zone provided accumulation before price broke out and built this bullish structure. Each major dip into the rising trendline has produced strong upside continuations. The latest move created a new swing high and then a controlled, corrective decline inside a descending channel. That correction is now testing the fresh demand area, suggesting a potential reaction higher while the broader channel structure remains intact. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Bulls defend the 4188–4198 demand zone and hold above 4175. Price reclaims short-term structure and pushes back towards: 🎯 Target 1: 4237–4240 (previous high / mid-range resistance) 🎯 Target 2: 4264–4265 (recent spike high / buy-side liquidity) 🎯 Target 3: 4285–4295 (channel high and final target zone) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 A clean 30m close below 4175 would show demand failing. In that case, downside continuation could open the way towards: 🎯 Downside Target 1: 4145–4155 🎯 Downside Target 2: 4105–4110 (deeper liquidity and major support zone) Current Levels to Watch Fresh Demand / Support: 4188–4198 Intermediate Resistance: 4237–4240 Invalidation for bullish idea: sustained break and hold below 4175 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk before trading.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
23
USDJPY – The Technical Picture is Bullish, but Watch the BoJIn my previous USDJPY analysis, I highlighted the importance of the 158.00 resistance zone, noting that such a major level could trigger a corrective move. That scenario played out cleanly: a combination of the technical barrier and speculation about a potential BoJ rate hike sent the pair lower into the 154.00 support zone. However—if we zoom in, as shown on the left chart—this entire decline has been contained within a falling wedge, a pattern visible on the lower timeframes. Once USDJPY reclaimed 155.00 and successfully established it as support, the structure shifted decisively. We saw a classic upside break of the wedge followed by a sharp acceleration into the 157.00 handle. The market then printed a new corrective leg, this time tapping directly into the Daily FVG —a clean technical reaction that aligns well with the broader bullish context. Fundamentally, the landscape hasn’t changed much: - A BoJ rate rise is largely priced in, - The outlook for JPY remains structurally weak, - And USDJPY continues to find solid demand on dips. With that in mind, an upside continuation toward the 158.00 resistance looks likely. This level now aligns not only with the resistance but also with the measured target of the falling wedge breakout. At this moment, I am bullish USDJPY, with a negation zone below 154.50. The only caveat: the BoJ is always a wildcard, and officials have not been shy about signaling discomfort with a persistently weak yen. For now, as long as we hold above support, the path of least resistance remains higher. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Selena | XAUUSD 30M – Demand Reaction Setup | Sweep → Retest PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Price has returned into a previous demand zone where market absorbed sell-side liquidity. As long as price holds above the invalidation line, gold has strong probability to push back upward toward premium pricing. Break below demand → structure flips bearish & deeper discount test opens. Key Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Case – Reversal From Demand 🚀 Hold above 4165–4180 zone → 🎯 Target 1: 4212 🎯 Target 2: 4246 🎯 Target 3: 4270–4285 liquidity fill ❌ Bearish Invalidator Clean break + candle close below 4165 → 🎯 Downside sweep into 4146 → 4110–4120 (major support) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4246 / 4270–4285 Support 🟢: 4165–4180 demand block ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
18
Third Trade Comeback: Predicted the Move LIVE & Recovered 80% After saying I wouldn’t take another trade today, the market gave a setup that was exactly in line with my plan and strategy — clean, obvious, and too good to ignore. So I took the third trade. The best part? Just before the move happened, I explained what price would likely do… and it did exactly that. That’s the real USP of this video — reading the structure before it unfolds. I recovered about 80% of the earlier losses, but I chose to close the trade early because the market slipped into a range and wasn’t showing clear bearish intention anymore. No forcing, no over-trading. I’m stopping here and coming back fresh tomorrow. Also, for the people who trolled the earlier SLs — trading isn’t defined by one stop-loss. It’s defined by sticking to the process, showing up again, and taking clean setups when they appear. This video is just that: a clean setup, clean execution, honest recovery, and disciplined exit.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by stockmanvir
9
Selena | USDJPY 2H – Demand Retest + Structural Long SetupFX:USDJPY If price reacts bullishly from the marked OB zone, upside liquidity lies toward 156.30 → 157.20 → 158.00, which aligns with prior rejection highs. A deeper sweep toward 153.40–152.70 remains secondary buy interest if first zone fails. 📈 Bullish Case 🚀 (Primary Idea) Hold above demand zone 154.40–154.80 → breakout expected. 🎯 Target 1 → 156.30 🎯 Target 2 → 157.20 🎯 Final Target → 158.00 (liquidity + premium zone) 📉 Bearish Case (Invalidation) Close below 153.40 shifts structure downward Strong reversal below 152.70 only. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 155.50 / 156.30 / 158.00 Support 🟢: 154.40 / 153.40 / 152.70 ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only — not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
6
US100 Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! US100 has rejected a major supply zone while breaking down from a bearish wedge, sweeping buy-side liquidity before shifting order-flow bearish. This SMC structure signals distribution at premium and a move toward discount levels below. -------------------- Stop Loss: 25840 Take Profit: 25315 Entry: 25622 Time Frame: 4H -------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
Hammer Candle Sparks Bullish HopesCoiling within a falling wedge and having printed a hammer candle on the daily timeframe last Friday, a resumption of the broader bullish trend in CHF/JPY may soon be on the cards. However, with RSI (14) and MACD turning neutral on directional bias, confirmation of the bullish signal would be preferred before considering long setups. 192.70 is a level worth keeping an eye on during Monday’s session, coinciding with the high set on 30 October where the price bounced strongly following a failed downside break on Friday. Should we see a retest of the level followed by another bounce, it would strengthen conviction about establishing long positions, creating a setup where entry could be made above the level with a stop beneath it or Friday’s low to protect against an extension of the latest pullback. The first topside level of note for bulls would be the November downtrend, currently around 194.00. If the pair were to break and hold above this level, it would signal a potential return to the November high of 195.73, putting both it and horizontal resistance at 194.57 on the radar as other bullish targets. Of course, should CHF/JPY resume its push lower, it would open the door for bearish setups, especially if we see a close beneath 192.70. If that were to eventuate, shorts could be established on the break with a stop above for protection, targeting the influential 50DMA where the price has bounced on six separate occasions since August when breached. A sustained move beyond that level would put 190.54 resistance and uptrend support dating back to February on the radar for bears. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREX.com
Elite | XAU/USD – 30m | Bullish Compression Targetting ATH 4300$OANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to defend major support (4,150–4,175) with repeated upside structure shifts (BOS). Descending trendlines are compressing price, signaling breakout readiness. As long as price remains above the demand zone, bullish continuation remains favored. If price re-tests demand & holds → breakout scenario becomes high probability. A confirmed break above 4,228 unlocks liquidity toward 4,256 and the extended upper target. Key Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Breakout Plan Hold above 4,194 support → bullish bias active Break & retest 4,228 = entry trigger 🎯 Targets → 4,256 → 4,265+ 🔽 Failure Case Bearish only if price closes below 4,150 zone Below this → structure collapses + deeper correction likely ⚠ Disclaimer: Market analysis only — not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
4
Selena | XAU/USD – Bullish Structure With Fresh Demand SupportPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Price continues to hold within a rising channel, respecting previous demand points. Current market sits near 4,207–4,200 fresh demand, which previously produced aggressive upside. If price retests demand and holds, bullish continuation remains the dominant scenario. 🔹 Bullish Scenario – Primary Setup • Price pulls back into 4,207–4,200 demand zone • Confirms support → higher-low formation • Break of 4,235–4,240 opens clean upside channel 🎯 Upside Target 1 → 4,264–4,265 (liquidity grab point) 🎯 Upside Target 2 → 4,285–4,300 (full continuation objective) 🔸 Bearish Invalidation • Breakdown & close below 4,200 demand = sentiment weakens • Next support sits lower inside channel ⚠️ This chart is a technical outlook only – not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
21
DOGEUSDT → Lack of bullish potential BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P failed to break the trend. Under pressure from resistance and a global downtrend, the coin is reversing and may decline... Bitcoin is pausing after a news rally based on rumors. The trend remains bearish. Pressure on the crypto market is present... DOGE faced pressure in the 0.1477 - 0.155 zone. A rebound from 0.1533 is forming and the price is closing below 0.1477, forming a pre-breakout base of 0.1464. The reaction to support is weakening, confirming the weakness of the buyer. A close below 0.1464 could trigger a further decline within the range. Resistance levels: 0.1477, 0.15337 Support levels: 0.1464, 0.1366 A breakdown of support, closing below the level, and consolidation in the short zone will once again confirm buyer weakness, which in turn may trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
EURUSD Uptrend Structure Intact — Path Toward 1.1700 ResistanceHello traders! I want to share my view on the current EURUSD setup. After a corrective decline, the pair formed a solid local bottom around the Support Level near 1.16200–1.16400, where buyers stepped in and stopped the downward momentum. As shown on the chart, price is now trading inside a clear ascending structure, supported by the rising Support Line and guided by a parallel Resistance Line, forming a well-defined upward channel. Inside this structure, the Buyer Zone has played a key role, serving as the base for multiple impulsive breakouts in the past. Several breakdown attempts turned into fake breakouts, confirming that buyers continue to defend this area and maintain short-term trend control. After these rebounds, EURUSD pushed into the upper part of the channel, reaching the Resistance Line and forming a local rejection that caused a pullback back toward the Buyer Zone. Currently, price is hovering near the ascending support line, and as long as EURUSD stays above the 1.16400 support area, the bullish scenario remains intact. If buyers successfully defend this zone and maintain structure inside the rising channel, I expect the market to move toward TP1 → 1.17000, which aligns with the major Resistance Level highlighted on the chart. A clean breakout above this level would open the way for further continuation, potentially driving the pair deeper into the higher resistance zone. However, if the price breaks below the Buyer Zone and violates the ascending Support Line, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and the pair may revisit lower support levels around the 1.16000 area. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish as long as demand holds and EURUSD continues respecting the rising channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
31
Selena | XAUUSD 30M – Trend Support + Liquidity Hunt ScenarioFOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 4H candle chart thought Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline + holding zones hold. Smart-money liquidity sits above previous highs — a break may initiate continuation to extended targets. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) If price holds above 4,200 and reclaims the entry block: 🎯 TP1 – 4,240–4,245 🎯 TP2 – 4,258–4,260 (Buy-Side Liquidity) 🎯 Final Target – 4,270+ 📉 Bearish Invalidations Break & close below: 4,176 Stronger confirmed reversal below: 4,125 Current Levels To Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,245 / 4,260 / 4,275 Support 🟢: 4,200 / 4,176 / 4,120 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
9
BTCUSD: Bullish Pressure Targets the $94,000 Resistance AreaHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSD setup. Market Analysis Bitcoin remains in a broader recovery phase after breaking out of the descending wedge structure that previously guided price lower. The initial breakout from the wedge led to a strong bearish continuation, but once BTC reached the major $90,200 Support Zone, selling pressure weakened and buyers stepped in aggressively. This support area has now been defended multiple times, confirming it as a key demand zone. From this base, price formed a clear Upward Channel, signaling a short-term bullish structure with higher lows respected along the channel support. Currently, BTC attempted to break above the $93,700 Resistance Zone, but this move resulted in a fake breakout, showing that sellers are still active at this level. After the rejection, price pulled back toward the channel support and the $92,000–$90,200 support cluster, where buyers once again defended the market. Currently, BTC is trading back inside the ascending channel and attempting to resume the upward swing toward the upper boundary. The overall structure suggests a recovery trend as long as the price holds above the main support zone. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is bullish, as long as BTC holds above the $90,200 Support Zone and continues to respect the ascending channel structure. I expect price to continue climbing toward the $93,700 Resistance Zone, which remains the key short-term target for buyers. A clean and confirmed breakout above this resistance would open the way for a continuation toward higher levels near the top of the channel. Therefore, if price reaches the resistance again and produces another strong rejection, we may see a temporary pullback back toward the mid-channel area or even a retest of support. The bullish structure remains valid as long as BTC stays above $90,200. For now, the market supports a long bias with focus on a renewed attempt toward the $93,700 resistance zone. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
47