USDCHF - Same Structure, Different Plays!!🏹USDCHF has been respecting its rising wedge structure beautifully.
📈We initially bought near the lower bound of the wedge, where buyers stepped in with clear support. 📉Later on, we sold near the upper bound, capitalizing on exhaustion at resistance. Classic structure-based trading.
⚔️Now price is rotating back toward the lower bound of the rising wedge, which aligns perfectly with a well-defined support zone. This intersection is where we’ll be looking for fresh trend-following long setups, as long as price shows acceptance and bullish reaction from this area.
🏹As long as the lower wedge support holds, the bias remains for another rotation higher within the structure. A clean break below would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift the narrative.
Same chart. Same structure. Different opportunities. 🤔
Are buyers ready to defend it again?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Wedge
HOG TIED! Harley could be signalling the next recession.Maybe just a company specific short idea.
Or does Harley represent the broader American consumer confidence.
The sharp declines during the GFC and CV 19 certainly indicates a highly sensitive area of the economy --- Luxury motorcycles.
The core customer base is aging and younger riders are less drawn to big, expensive cruisers no doubt. Harley's attempts to pivot to smaller bikes and electrics have seen minimal sales.
In summary you have declining volatile revenue, margin pressure and large strategic uncertainty, so the market derates the stock even with one off decent Quarterly earnings.
That combo is producing a grinding downtrend or a broken chart.
Each rally on earnings beats get sold down as long money rotates out to other higher growth stories.
@TheCryptoSniper
#HuntVolatiltyFunnel
$RIVN $48+ Target in SightNASDAQ:RIVN breakout and backtest has us targeting $48+ at our next Fibonacci level. A trip from here to previous all time highs would be an 888% move to $180+. Just like NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:RIVN gets all the negative market price action that auto manufacturers face, but they gain the upside that tech stocks see.
Bitcoin breakdown risk intensifiesSitting in a rising wedge following an extended downtrend, traders should be on alert for a resumption of the broader bearish trend in bitcoin, putting a retest of the November lows, or even the year-to-date lows, on the cards.
The price is now resting against the November uptrend, with a breach of this level opening the door for another potential wave of selling. If we see a break of $87,800—the low set on 7 December, which sits beneath the uptrend—shorts could be considered with a stop above to protect against reversal.
The 1 December low just beneath $84,000 screens as an initial target, with a break beneath that level putting the 21 November nadir of $80,540 on the menu for bears. Should that target be achieved, traders could assess whether to cut, hold, or reverse the position depending on price action at the time.
With RSI (14) breaking its uptrend and moving further away from the neutral 50 level, it indicates downside pressure is building yet again, favouring bearish setups. While not yet confirmed by MACD, it too is curling over towards the signal line, moving closer to a crossover that would strengthen the bearish signal.
Good luck!
DS
MSCI macro wedge updateI have been following msci for a few months as I look to diversify away from tech with some of my gains from this year. MSCI is a great way to industry benefit from international market exposure, they have a very stable and safe business model.
Looking at the wedge you will note local low volatility in the blue, and contraction. The stock is pushing the top of the range on recent strength. I look for a push to 680 here next year with lots of support around 555.
Elite | EUR/USD – Structural Breakout + Demand RetestFX:EURUSD
Price has successfully transitioned from a multi-week range into bullish structure, confirmed by liquidity sweeps at the lows and a decisive break in the descending channel. The current retracement is retesting fresh demand — this zone will decide continuation power.
Structure Notes
• Strong downside liquidity sweep formed a base at 1.1500 zone
• Break of structure confirms bullish control
• Price now retesting 1.1580–1.1610 demand
• Holding this zone keeps upside continuation valid
Expectations
If bulls defend demand and structure holds, continuation targets become active:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1712
🎯 Target 2 (Main Liquidity Objective): 1.1878
Invalidation:
Break below 1.1580 weakens trend continuation and delays bullish projection.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes and market observation only — not financial advice.
Could Altcoins bottom before BITCOINIn Q2 of 2026 vs a longer slower drawn out BTC bear that bottoms in Q3 or Q4 in line with the 4 year cycle which forecasts Oct/Nov of 2026.
It would surprise many participants in #Crypto
To see a still falling BTC price but #Ethereum, #SOLANA and select altcoins rallying on their /BTC pairs.
We shall be watching and monitoring.
What do you think?
This chart is of PULSEX a DEX on a Ethereum sidechain is pointing towards a pee off the roof inverted banana zone waterfall price action.
Which may correlate to an ETH decline sub $2k...?
GILD Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeAfter a strong bullish impulse, GILD has entered a consolidation/corrective phase and is currently trading inside a rising wedge pattern.
Price is hovering near the lower boundary of the wedge and the 50-day SMA, making this area a key decision zone.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds support and breaks above the wedge resistance:
Targets
• Target 1: 130
• Target 2: 140
• Target 3: 150–155
Stop Loss
• Daily close below 118
Rationale:
An upside breakout from a rising wedge, supported by the 50 SMA, would confirm trend continuation and renewed bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks down below the wedge and loses the 50 SMA:
Targets
• Target 1: 110
• Target 2: 100
• Target 3: 92–95
Stop Loss
• Reclaim and daily close above 123
Rationale:
Rising wedges often act as reversal patterns, and a downside break can trigger a deeper corrective move.
Very Short Summary
• Above 125 → Bullish continuation
• Below 118 → Deeper correction likely
BlackBerry still encrypts, just not phones anymoreBB closed the week at 4.28. The weekly chart shows a symmetric triangle forming after a fully completed falling wedge. The key point is that price has already reacted from the 0.618 Fibonacci level near 4.00, which aligns with the highest volume area on the Volume Profile and a clear demand zone. A golden cross between MA50 and MA200 on the weekly timeframe adds strong confirmation to the medium term bullish structure. As long as price holds above 4.00, the setup remains constructive with upside potential toward 6.00 and 8.35.
On fundamentals as of December 14, 2025, BlackBerry continues its shift into cybersecurity and software solutions. Fiscal year revenue is around 1.05 billion dollars, with steady growth in IoT and QNX driven by automotive and industrial contracts. Cash reserves exceed 250 million dollars, debt remains limited, and management is focused on margin expansion and strategic partnerships.
BlackBerry is no longer chasing hype, it is quietly building infrastructure.Sometimes the quiet names move first.
Selena | XAUUSD 1H - Trendline Support Retest + Liquidity Sweep FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold remains inside a rising channel while forming repeated liquidity sweeps into the 4,200–4,210 demand region. The current consolidation shows compression toward the downside, indicating a likely sweep of the red zone before any bullish continuation.
A bullish continuation is valid only if price breaks and holds above 4,247–4,252, which unlocks upside targets at:
🎯 4,280
🎯 4,295
🎯 4,305 (major liquidity draw)
If the sweep fails and price closes below the trendline, bearish displacement may target the 4,160–4,175 liquidity block.
Bias remains bullish only above the channel midline.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Ascending Channel | Golden Zone Retracement SetupAfter analyzing the chart on the 2-hour timeframe, price action has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel since Tuesday, 25 November 2025. The upper boundary of the channel has been consistently respected, confirming the strength and validity of this bullish structure.
Following a rejection from the upper boundary, price is currently trading around 1.17403. At this stage, the market appears to be developing a bearish corrective structure, resembling either an upper flag formation or a falling broadening wedge, which is still in progress and not yet completed.
Based on this structure and overall market behavior, we anticipate a potential retracement toward the Fibonacci Golden Zone, which aligns with our projected price target. This area may act as a key decision zone for the next directional move, especially if supported by price action confirmation and volume reaction.
Traders should monitor price behavior closely around the channel boundaries and Fibonacci levels for high-probability setups.
Happy Trading
SpicyPips
AAVE in Rising Wedge Near Major Descending TrendlineAAVE is forming a clear rising wedge structure after rebounding from the lower demand zone. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, but the range is tightening, showing loss of bullish momentum as it pushes into a major descending trendline.
This rising wedge is developing against higher timeframe resistance, which increases the probability of rejection. If price fails to break and hold above the descending trendline, the structure is likely to resolve to the downside. In that case, the next key demand area sits around one sixty to one sixty five.
For the bullish scenario, AAVE must break above the descending trendline with strong acceptance and volume. Such a move would invalidate the bearish wedge structure and open the path toward the two hundred to two hundred five resistance zone.
This setup is driven by rising wedge dynamics, trendline confluence, and structure compression. The reaction at resistance will define whether price continues higher or resumes the broader downtrend.
Confirmation is essential before taking directional trades.
MP shortDowntrend + Wedge (continuation pattern ), near resistance
Looks like Wave 12345 + Wave ABC
Stop 67,
Short entry 63
Target 45
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
Selena | XAUUSD – 4H | Bullish Continuation Setup 4400$ WaitingFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold continues to build bullish structure after forming accumulation in the previous range zone. The market broke out, retested demand, and maintained higher-lows inside the ascending channel. Current pullback into the Entry Zone (4122–4140) aligns with channel support + demand, suggesting potential continuation toward the upper boundary and major resistance around 4380–4410.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Hold above demand zone + channel support:
🎯 Target 1: 4320
🎯 Target 2: 4380
🎯 Target 3: 4410 (final top channel line)
Trigger: bullish rejection or bullish engulfing from 4122–4140.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation)
Break and 4H close below 4052 (Invalid zone):
🎯 Downside Target: 3990 → 3920 strong support
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4320 / 4380 / 4410
Support 🟢: 4140 / 4122 (Entry Zone)
Invalidation: 4052
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup - Targeting $4400 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently trading within a clear ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, indicating a strong short-to-medium-term uptrend. After a recent correction, the price found solid support on the lower channel boundary (around Nov 25th) and has since broken above a key diagonal resistance line.
We are anticipating a bullish continuation move, following the path of the projected arrow.
Trade Plan: I'm looking for a classic breakout and retest setup to confirm the upward movement.
Expected Entry: I'll be looking to enter on a pullback that retests the broken diagonal trendline and the key support zone around $4,123 - $4,157. This offers a high-probability entry point near the channel support.
Target: The primary target is the top of the ascending channel and the previous high, set at $4,381.73 / $4,400.00.
Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): My trade is invalidated if the price closes below the swing low at 4,031.61, as this would signal a breakdown of the entire bullish channel structure.
Current Status: The price is currently consolidating near 4,218.00. Watching for the anticipated retest before entering the long position!
Remember: Always manage your risk.
XAUUSD: Bulls Hold Structure - Targeting 4,300 Resistance RetestHello everyone, here is my analysis of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broader ascending structure, supported by a well-defined trend line that continues to drive the market upward. Recent price action shows several successful breakouts from previous consolidation zones, confirming sustained bullish pressure. After an extended period of ranging, buyers regained control and pushed the market higher, respecting the overall upward trajectory.
Currently, price is moving within a narrowing formation defined by an upper resistance line and a lower support line. This developing wedge formation suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, but the market is consolidating before its next significant move. The 4,170 support zone continues to serve as a key demand area, where buyers previously stepped in and defended the bullish trend. On the other hand, the 4,300 resistance zone limits the upside and remains the primary barrier for buyers. Overall, the structure indicates that the market maintains a bullish bias as long as price stays above the support line and holds above the 4,170 support level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD trades above the 4,170 support zone and continues to respect the rising support line within the current formation. I expect the price to attempt another move toward the 4,300 resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge structure. A strong breakout above 4,300 would confirm bullish continuation and could open the path for further upward expansion.
However, if the price fails to hold the support line and breaks below the 4,170 level with clear momentum, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, potentially signaling the start of a deeper corrective phase. For now, the market structure favors a long bias, with focus on a potential movement toward the 4,300 resistance area.
That is the setup I am currently monitoring. Thank you for your attention, and as always — manage your risk!
Why This 2022 Bitcoin Fractal Might Fail The 2022 bear‑market fractal 📉
The fractal taken from the 2022 bear market. Back then Bitcoin built a rising wedge pattern and then dropped about 60% in value from the breakdown.
What “everyone” expects now 😱
Many traders now expect Bitcoin to repeat that same pattern crash.
Social media, bears and even cautious bulls keep pointing to the old wedge and saying “this dump is next.”
Why this time can be different 💡
Markets rarely give the majority the easy trade; when everyone leans to one side, that scenario often gets crowded and fails.
If most traders are positioned for a huge crash, any sustained bid or positive macro surprise can squeeze them and send price higher instead.
My view based on the chart 📊🚀
I consider an alternative path: a choppy but upward trend, driven by forced short covering and new buyers stepping in as the crash fails to appear.
Key takeaway ✅
Yes, the 2022 fractal shows what could happen.
But because almost everyone already sees and trades that same pattern, the higher probability play now is that Bitcoin does not repeat the exact 60% wipeout and instead grinds higher while late bears get trapped.
EURUSD Short: Correction Deepens — Market Targets at 1.1590Hello, traders! The current EURUSD price action shows a well-structured reaction between the Supply and Demand zones, with price respecting key levels and channel formations. Earlier, the market traded inside a Range phase, signaling indecision before breaking the range to the upside and forming a clean bullish leg. However, this upward move was capped by the major Supply Zone near 1.16800, where sellers stepped in and pushed price lower. After the rejection from supply, EURUSD broke below the ascending channel, confirming a shift in short-term momentum. The pair then retested the mid-structure area, where another breakout occurred, indicating sustained bearish pressure. With each channel break, sellers strengthened their control, creating a series of lower highs within a corrective structure.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the most recent ascending channel, aiming toward the 1.15900 Demand Zone, which remains the key area where buyers previously generated strong bullish impulses. This level aligns with the next major liquidity pool and stands as the primary downside target.
My scenario as long as price stays below 1.16800 supply and continues respecting the bearish breakout structure, the expectation is for the market to move lower toward 1.15900 Demand. A clear reaction from demand could initiate a bullish corrective move, but without a confirmed breakout above supply, any upside remains limited. A firm break below 1.15900 would invalidate potential reversal scenarios and open the path for deeper downside continuation. Manage your risk!
S&P 500 Breakdown Alert — Rising Wedge Reversal in Play!Today I want to share an S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) analysis, as this index plays a major role in guiding correlated markets—especially crypto, and particularly Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
The S&P 500 index entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and resistance zone($6,902_$6,875), where it began to fall.
The S&P 500 index also failed to form new Higher Highs(HH) and Higher Lows(HL), which signals weakening bullish momentum over the past 7 trading sessions.
From a classical technical-analysis perspective, it appears that the S&P 500 index has broken below the lower line of its rising wedge pattern, which is considered a bearish reversal pattern. The index is currently in the process of completing a pullback/retest of the broken structure.
My expectation is that the S&P 500 index may decline at least toward $6,823, and if important support lines break, we could see a deeper correction toward the measured move (target) of the rising-wedge pattern.
What’s your outlook on the S&P 500 index and the U.S. stock market?
First Target: $6,823
Second Target: $6,803
Stop Los(SL): $6,889(Worst)
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We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases:
JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December
Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December
FOMC Statement➡️10 December
FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December
Unemployment Claims➡️11 December
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💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Selena | XAUUSD 30m –Fresh Demand Inside Channel Monday OutlookPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
The left-hand range zone provided accumulation before price broke out and built this bullish structure. Each major dip into the rising trendline has produced strong upside continuations. The latest move created a new swing high and then a controlled, corrective decline inside a descending channel. That correction is now testing the fresh demand area, suggesting a potential reaction higher while the broader channel structure remains intact.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Bulls defend the 4188–4198 demand zone and hold above 4175.
Price reclaims short-term structure and pushes back towards:
🎯 Target 1: 4237–4240 (previous high / mid-range resistance)
🎯 Target 2: 4264–4265 (recent spike high / buy-side liquidity)
🎯 Target 3: 4285–4295 (channel high and final target zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean 30m close below 4175 would show demand failing.
In that case, downside continuation could open the way towards:
🎯 Downside Target 1: 4145–4155
🎯 Downside Target 2: 4105–4110 (deeper liquidity and major support zone)
Current Levels to Watch
Fresh Demand / Support: 4188–4198
Intermediate Resistance: 4237–4240
Invalidation for bullish idea: sustained break and hold below 4175
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk before trading.






















