Overview: With the yesterday's sell off, the stochastic in oversold territory and in divergence as well as the RSI, we consider closed the corrective structure(ABC) on daily time frame. A technical rebound is likely, to bring the market in a trading range area between $74 and $80. Only a breakout of yesterday's low ($72.40) will change the daily's structure from...
Last week's swing trade to $90 worked out well, yet momentum ha since shifted lower. I noted in the recent COT report that managed funds and large speculators have been trimming long exposure in recent weeks, and that managed funds increased short exposure last week despite the slew of negative headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict. This also...
Last month's Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern (see chart below) hit both of our Targets (79.00 and 75.00) and transitioned into a Channel Down: The price almost hit the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) and after a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, the 4H RSI formed the same Higher Lows trend-line as it did on October 12. We are expecting this to...
Technical Analysis: Support level $75 looks like resisting. After the forecasted rebound, seems the market stay cautious with a triangle formation on hourly time frame. Scenarios: 1. Scenario 1 - Positive continuation till the first target (ABC intraday structure). Strategy for Scenario 1: - On consolidation above $77 set the position's Delta to positive,...
Technical Analysis: Today, the WTI Crude Oil futures experienced a negative extension in their price, and they reached an important support level around $75. On an hourly basis, it seems like wave 3 may have exhausted. This suggests a potential change in the price direction. Scenarios: 1. Scenario 1 - Positive Rebound. It's realistic to expect a rebound in the...
West Texas Intermediate crude oil hit our price target of $80 and continues to slide lower. At the moment, it trades slightly above $76, which marks a decline of nearly 20% from the highs in late September 2023. Today, we want to talk concisely about two things. First, China’s demand for oil began to slow down again after slightly picking up during the summer,...
For the past four trading sessions, West Texas Intermediate crude oil oscillated between $83 and $85 per barrel. At the moment, it trades near the lower end of this range, and technical indicators on the daily chart continue to grow bearish; the same applies to technicals on the weekly graph. As a result, the likelihood of oil slumping below $80 in the...
WTI - Intraday The AB=CD formation target is located at 70.19. Reverse trend line resistance comes in at 83.91. Bespoke resistance is located at 84.06. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The medium term bias remains bearish. We look to Sell at 84.00 (stop at 85.50) Our profit targets will be 80.20 and 79.60 Resistance: 83.91 / 84.06 /...
WTI Crude Oil has been declining rather sharply since September 28th and today's green (1d) candle should give way to a new low tomorrow. Based on the (1d) RSI sequence, this fall resembles the fractals of November 2022 and April-May 2023. Both rebounded to the 0.5 Fibonacci level after pricing their respective bottoms. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market...
WTI Crude Oil is breaching at the moment the Rising Support of the last 3 months. The (1d) candle closing will determine in our opinion the short term direction, as on this level the momentum is neutral, with a Falling Resistance above and numerous Support levels to target if broken. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the (1d) candle closes over the Rising Support. 2. Sell...
A few weeks ago, we expressed our bewilderment at the U.S. administration and its handling of the oil stockpiles. Despite oil plummeting below $70 during the summer, officials did not take the initiative to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (also canceling plans to buy oil in July 2023), prompting us to speculate about what trick the administration could...
We saw the pullback into the support area we were waiting for, around the 200-dar EMA on the 4hour chart and weekly pivot point. A bullish engulfing candle also formed at the end of the session, and whilst prices have gapped lower at the open, we're now looking to enter long and target the resistance zone around $90.
WTI Crude Oil hit the Falling Support, the 3rd time making contact with and turns into a short term buy. Target 89.75 (Resistance A at 89.80). The medium term pattern is a Channel Up so id the Falling Support fails, take the small loss and wait for the bottom of the Channel Up to breaks. Sell and target 79.00 (1week MA50). A bearish reversal is quite probable at...
WTI Oil (USOIL) got heavily rejected following our sell signal (see chart below) earlier this month (October 02) after failing to close above the 12-month Double Top: This long-term bearish trade is still valid but on the short-term (4H time-frame) we see another sell opportunity in the making. The Channel Up that is emerging after the price got rejected on...
Israel-Hamas Conflict Fuels Uncertainty in Crude Market. Oil prices rise amid Israel-Hamas conflict, with risks of surpassing $100 and potential U.S. sanctions on Iran adding to market volatility. 1. The price closed above the Trend Magic Indicator line. Strong long signal. 2. Vortex will cross and indicates strong uptrend signal. SL - below the Trend Magic...
WTI Crude Oil hit twice the Rising Support and today is having the strongest green (1d) candle in 5 months. This is a buy signal assuming the line holds. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. 2. Sell if the price closes a (1d) candle under the Rising Support. Targets: 1. 95.00 (Resistance 1). 2. 78.00 (little over Support 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d)...
Over the weekend, a new conflict broke out in the Middle East after Hamas, a designated terrorist organization, initiated an assault on Israel. This attack is already roiling the oil market, which saw oil prices rise more than 5% after the futures market opened. However, it is possible the impact has not been fully felt yet, considering the potential for further...
Over the past weekend, conflicts in the Middle East shook the market, and oil prices jumped on Monday (October 9). News from Israel has been dominating Asian markets, with the usual safe havens finding bids. Oil prices led the gains, with Brent and U.S. crude rising as much as 5%, at a time when oil prices retreated slightly. It is recommended that crude oil...