USD/ZAR weekly downtrade but daily created uptrend opp.Firstly USD/ZAR weekly downfall (yellow lines) started in 03/09/18 is still continuing and it may continue until May 2020. It's also supported by RSI and Parabolic SAR indicators. Support line of this trend is 13,82. You can see the chart attached below;
On the other hand when you zoom in to daily chart; Steep downtrend in green line has been broken both on price and RSI indicator.
You can see the 13,82 support worked very well, it tried to break support 5 times but rejected each time. After that the price broke the green downtrend and started to go up to yellow resistance line.
Geren arrow: Critical point in here is that if it can break the yellow resistance trend (started in 3/9/18) and go up to 15,47 resistance which seems unlikely to me but possible.
Red arrow: Or would it fail to break 14,75 (yellow line) resistance and go back to weekly downtrend channel. This way it may test 13,82 support again.
For both scenarios we have to check if the moving average (orange) will break thorough bollinger and if RSI will break the yellow downtrend and 70 point.
My play would be waiting until it reaches yellow weekly down trend line, than to see the reaction to see break/bounce and go with it.
ZAR
MTN at strong resistanceJSE:MTN is currently at quite a strong resistance level and the expectation is that it will find resistance again. If it bounces off the resistance level, we will look to enter a short once it breaks through the fractal of 26th of July.
If it breaks through the resistance, we could possibly be looking at a potential long position.
Mediclinic - Bearish Engulfing @ ResistanceJSE:MEI is showing a bearish engulfing at an established resistance level. If it confirms by going lower than yesterday's candle I will consider a short.
Mr Price - Breakout or Bounce?JSE:MRP is heading towards the bottom of a channel that it has been trading in. If it breaks through the bottom, I will consider a short position. Conversely, if it decides to bounce off the bottom of the channel, I will wait until it breaks above the high of today before potentially entering a long position heading towards the top of the channel.
Investec consolidation breakoutJSE:INL has been trading in a parallel consolidation channel since December but it seems to be breaking out with today's price action. If it confirms with tomorrow's price action, it could be setting up for a short position towards the support zone around the 7700 level.
TFG possible triangle breakout at supportJSE:TFG is currently bouncing o a support level and looks like it might break out through the top of a triangle pattern. If it breaks through the fractal of 19 July, I will consider a long position. Failing that - a downward breakout might very well mean a downward move towards the 16000 level.
Daily Analysis and trade idea on USDZAR by ThinkingAntsOkConsider this as a guide to develop your own setup.
Main Items we see on the Daily Chart:
-Price has broken a major ascending trendline
-Currently, the price is against a support zone
-The downside potential from the current support to the next one is -2.5%
-We consider that area as a good zone to open short trades
Trade Idea
-If the support is broken, you can wait for a pullback and then look for an entry on lower timeframes, another idea is to look for candlestick patterns to open a trade
-The Stop zone is above the Support Level, with a distance of separation to avoid fakeouts.
-The Take profit zone is the lower trendline of the triangle (main structure)
This is just an Idea with the objective of being ahead of the movement you are interested in, if this scenario happens, this will give you time to look for last details before opening a trade, IF you were watching this asset






















