EURUSD at Key Resistance: Will It Drop to 98.350?The dollar is approaching a familiar zone that previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection candles, long upper wicks, or bearish engulfing patterns, I anticipate a move toward the 98.350 target. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for the next bullish leg. This is a key area where price action is likely to offer clearer clues about the next direction.
Just my view on key support and resistance zones — not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and trade with proper risk management.
Good luck!
Market indices
DOW JONES Analysis This is U30 through my current lens, investigations of price action from W - D - 4H suggest Bullish.
factoring in the current fundamental conditions, I observe the US Dollar.
Monitor the US100 & US500 for any irregular correlation in price delivery between the 4H - 15M
I seek price to attack "Highs" and sustain strong "Lows".
Potential Long Setup on Bullish Flag BreakoutThe US30 is currently forming a bullish flag on the 4H chart. A double bottom has developed around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the most recent bullish impulse — providing a strong point of confluence that adds validity to the pattern.
Should price break above the flag's upper boundary, it could trigger a continuation to the upside, offering a potential long entry.
On the higher timeframes, the daily chart continues to respect a long-term ascending wedge, further supporting the bullish outlook and the possibility of a move towards new all-time highs.
HK50 bearish momentumWe see this index coming down much lower due to Investors being underwhelmed by Beijing's latest economic support measures, with some stimulus lacking detail—similar to a previous sharp drop (~–9%) after disappointing announcements .
Mixed Chinese PMI and retail data also dampen sentiment.
U.S.–China tariff fears:
Ongoing trade tensions and tariff worries continue to pressure Chinese-connected stocks, impacting the Hang Seng disproportionately .
Foreign fund outflows & shifting global appetite:
Capital has been flowing out toward safer or higher-growth markets, especially as U.S. and European equities show more stability. A weaker yuan adds to pressure .
19 june Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval
✅ Safe Buy Zone (Support Levels):
24,437.70 → Above 10M: Hold CE by Safe Zone Level
24,420.00 → Below 10M: Hold Unwinding Level
→ Breach below could trigger unwinding / profit booking.
🔴 Resistance & Bearish PE Zones:
25,070.00 – Above 10m closing: Short Cover Level
→ Strong resistance; if crossed and sustained, short covering possible.
24,970.00 – Above 10m: Hold CE by Entry Level
→ Bullish entry confirmation level.
24,838.00 – Above 10M: Hold Positive Trade View
→ Indicates shift to bullish bias if held above.
⚫ Opening Based Levels:
24,730.00
→ Above Opening S1: Hold CE by Level
Below Opening R1 (level not clearly marked with value but appears near 24,730)
→ Hold PE by Level
US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to:
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📉 Market Overview:
Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support.
The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow.
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🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart):
1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930
Minor support area just below current range.
2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870
A more solid prior demand zone.
3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790
Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area.
---
🧭 Strategy Notes:
If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation.
Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone.
Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
SELL US30US30 is currently testing a macro-level resistance zone that has historically reversed price sharply. The current market behavior hints at a bearish rejection, with a projected move toward 37K first, and potentially 34K later, if broader market sentiment shifts risk-off. This setup provides a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing short traders, especially if confirmed by price action triggers in the coming days.
Dollar Monthly CLS I Model 1 I Reversal I DOBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
DOW JONES 15 year Cycles are coming to play.Dow Jones (DJI) is consolidating on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past month. Based on a remarkable cyclical frequency as the Time Cycles show, every time this 1W MA50 consolidation takes place since October 2011, it turned into the long-term Support that supported rallies of at least +40.94%.
As their 1M RSI readings also sync, we can expect the current consolidation to end soon and drive the market to at least a +40.94% rise from the 1W MA50. Our long-term Target on this is 59000.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
[06/16] Weekly GEX Roadmap - Diagonal Spreads or Put Hedges?📊 Weekly GEX Map (SPX)
This week’s GEX profile looks nearly identical to last week:
Positive bias above 6020 up to 6100
But a sticky chop zone remains from 5975 to 6020
Below 5950? That’s where things get interesting…
⚠️ What Happens If 5950 Fails?
In that case - welcome to negative gamma territory:
Delta becomes unstable → fast, erratic moves
Gamma loses influence → hedging effectiveness drops
Dealer hedging lags → market makers chase, not lead
Vega + theta distort readings → charm decay accelerates
Result:
GEX zones lose clarity.
Pinning breaks down.
Reactions become nonlinear and emotional.
If we drop below 5950, we might see acceleration instead of stabilization — despite the positive GEX profile.
💡 Trade Idea of the Week – With Caution
If not for Wednesday's macro risk (Fed rate decision), I'd suggest a bullish diagonal spread toward 6100–6150:
Limited downside
Defined risk
Covers the full squeeze zone
But with FOMC looming, I'd only hold this trade until Thursday and close once the debit doubles or earlier.
🧨 Macro + Geo Risks
Fed is priced for “no move” → any surprise = volatility spike
Rising tensions with Iran → oil and futures could react violently
Recommendation : Avoid OIL this week, especially futures and naked strategies
🛡️ Prefer Downside Protection?
If you expect weakness on SPX weekly:
Consider a put debit spread with the short leg at 5950, where the second strongest Put Support sits.
This type of structure can offer up to 6:1 reward-to-risk, making it one of the most efficient bearish hedges for this week.
If you enjoyed the above breakdown, feel free to check out my previous weekly analyses or explore my tools as well.
Until next time – Trade what you see, not what you hope,
– Greg @ TanukiTrade
S&P500: 1D Golden Cross incoming. 6,300 sighted.S&P500 is on an excellent bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 60.006, MACD = 86.860, ADX = 23.325), extending a May 23rd rebound on its 1D MA200. Soon the market will form a 1D Golden Cross, drawing valid comparisons with the 2020 COVID recovery. That pattern, following its 1D MA200 rebound, extended the uptrend all the way to the 1.136 Fibonacci extension before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Buy, TP = 6,300.
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USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21840
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21755
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
FOMC short: waiting for this short entry to get activated.1. Entry ~21,884.4
Why here? Price has rallied into that red “supply” zone (fair-value gap + bearish order block), then chopped down and back up to retest its lower edge. That level also coincides with the broken swing pivot (Change-of-Character from bull→bear). We short the retest, expecting supply to push price lower.
2. Stop-loss 21,912.0
Why there? Just above the top of the supply zone/weak high. If price climbs above 21,912, it’s cleared the zone and negated the bearish bias—so we get out.
3. Take-Profits
TP1 at 21,800.9 (the old swing-high turned support, labeled “PMH”)
First support zone—locks in quick gains and covers your risk.
TP2 at 21,675.0 (the previous day’s low, labeled “PDL”)
A deeper support area where sellers will likely pause or flip to buyers.
(Optional TP3 at 21,575.8 if you want a final scalp into the gray “equilibrium”/demand zone.)
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21840
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21755
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
18 june Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval
CALL (CE) – Bullish triggers
↑ 24,437 – 24,547 : Safe‑zone long entry
↑ 24,672: Hold CE while above this mark
↑ 24,780 : Opening‑S1 breakout, keep holding CE
↑ 24,930.00 : Turns bias positive; fresh CE can be added
↑ 25,083.00 : Entry level for aggressive longs
↑ 25,318.00 : Short‑cover zone; strong upside momentum possible
PUT (PE) – Bearish triggers
↓ 25,318.00 : If price closes back under, shift to PE (safe)
↓ 25,083 : PE in the “risky” reversal zone
↓ 24,930 : Bias flips negative; keep/add PE
↓ 24,780 : Opening‑R1 break; hold PE
↓ 24,672 : Continue PE below this level
↓ 24,535 : Unwinding zone – watch for fast drops
↓ 24,437 : Final downside support; trail PEs here
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21710
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21550
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
US100 2H in a Symmetrical Triangle—Eyes on BREAKOUT!1. A Symmetrical Triangle in Play
Rising support line (green) connecting the sequence of higher lows.
Falling resistance line (red) connecting the lower highs.
Price is squeezing into the apex of that triangle – classic consolidation/indecision.
What to watch:
A clean break above the red trendline (~21,820–21,850) would be a bullish signal.
A break below the green trendline (~21,650–21,670) would open the door for a move down toward 21,500 or even the 21,400 zone.
2. Value & “Premium” Zones
The green shaded area around 21,500–21,600 is marked “Equilibrium/Value,” where buyers have stepped in repeatedly.
Above ~21,950 there’s a “Premium” supply zone (red) where heavy selling has shown up.
These zones can act as sensible targets or rejection areas once price breaks out of the triangle.
3. Key Reference Levels
PDH / PDL (Previous Day High / Low): ~21,860 / ~21,620
PWH / PWL (Previous Week High / Low): ~21,960 / ~21,430
Traders often use these to confirm break-outs (e.g. holding above PDH now that it’s pierced).
4. Momentum Indicators
MACD: Lines hovering just under zero, histogram weakening → suggests the bulls aren’t quite firing on all cylinders yet.
RSI: Sitting around mid-40s, neutral but with a slight downside bias.
Neither is over-extended; momentum is “sleepy,” which aligns with the triangle/consolidation picture.
5. What This Means for Traders
Neutral bias until one side wins the breakout.
Bull scenario: Triangle → breakout → retest of ~21,820 → rocket toward 22,000–22,200 supply zone.
Bear scenario: Failure at the red trendline → drop through support → test 21,600 then 21,400 demand areas.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.48
1st Support: 98.09
1st Resistance: 99.25
Risk Warning:
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NIFTY S/R for 19/5/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Monthly Closing above 122000 will be a +ve sign.KSE100 Closed at 122143.57 on 13-06-2025
Monthly Closing above 122000 will be a +ve sign.
However, if the Index Stays above 122700, we may
witness upside again.
Breaking 118600 would bring more selling pressure.
& then Important Support would be around 112000 - 113000
and then around 110000.