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05.03.26 Daily ForecastPairs on Watch - FX:GBPUSD : Price is reacting from a base that we can work with and with the potential of the DXY going short, we could play an insurance entry long here after the 1H follows through. Shorter term move but could go under the radar. FX:USDJPY : Still open to the longs on this pair especially now we have had the 4H close to the upside. Price has tested everything it needs to below so now it is a case of whether we get the correction build and it offers us an entry to get long in line with the higher timeframe. FX:CADJPY : Playing the same long thesis as UJ here. Using the channel to our advantage we can wait for an impulsive break out and then a small lower timeframe stack of price outside of the channel to get long. If the overall sentiment of the Yen pairs is long this could be a great play. FX:NZDUSD : Live daily test trade active
TVC:DXY
by JordanWillson
6
USANS100 Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationUSNAS100 is showing a strong bullish recovery after forming a short-term base near the 24,400–24,500 demand zone. Price action shifted momentum decisively to the upside with a sharp impulsive rally, reclaiming the 24,888 resistance area, which now acts as immediate support. Currently, price is trading around 25,148 and approaching the next key supply zone near 25,350–25,400. A minor pullback toward the 24,900–25,000 support region would be technically healthy, allowing bulls to gather liquidity before attempting another leg higher. If buyers maintain control above 24,888, the bullish structure remains intact, opening the path toward 25,600 and potentially new short-term highs. However, a breakdown below 24,716 would weaken the bullish bias and expose price back toward the 24,600 support area. “If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Pintu_sahu01
6
DXY Bullish After Iran Conflict — Safe-Haven or Something Else?DXY Bullish After Iran Conflict — Safe-Haven or Something Else? DXY created a strong bullish breakout from a very large pattern that had been forming for about 3 months. Currently, DXY broke out of this pattern showing that USD came back stronger after the US started the war with Iran. Why this happened is another question, as usual :) The usual explanation is safe-haven demand. We understand that the money can move to JPY or CHF as haven currencies, but to USD at a time when the US is involved in this war? However, this is what happens 90% of the time. The US starts a war, and the USD strengthens; the indices strengthen, and so do the stocks. The entire US sector benefits from the war as they tend to rebuild these destroyed areas as a peacemaker and also use a little bit of their resources, like with Venezuela's oil. This is the reality :) Targets can be found on the chart: 100.25 101.80 103.30 You may find more details in the chart. Thank you and good luck! 🍀 ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by KlejdiCuni
11
Tech Analysis KSE-100(1-D TF) by THE CHART ALCHEMIST 05-03-2026 Tech Analysis KSE-100(1-D TF) by THE CHART ALCHEMIST 05-03-2026 Support Breakdown and Reversal As previously noted, the KSE-100 index encountered a critical immediate support level at 150,600 points. Triggered by a geopolitical event, the index broke down sharply at this level. After testing the support, it rebounded in a strong V-shaped reversal. Resistance Breakout We previously identified an immediate resistance level at 157,220 points. The index has now broken above this resistance, which boosts our optimism for a return to bullish behavior. Key Confirmation Level The final confirmation we await is a decisive break above the bullish reversal line at 162,000 points. If this level is surpassed, the index will have fully re-entered a bullish trend. Target Levels Upon surpassing the reversal line, the first target will be 168,250 points, followed by a second target at 180,700 points. If both targets are achieved, the next milestone will be 189,300 points, which we will call the final target for now. Conclusion Overall, the index is showing strong bullish signs, but the last confirmation still depends on breaking above the 162,000 points level. Key Levels: Immediate Support: 150,600 points Bullish Reversal Line: 162,000 points First Target: 168,250 points Second Target: 180,700 points Final Target: 189,300 points
PSX:KSE100
by THE-CHART-ALCHEMIST
S&P 500 Market Regime Analysis: Using VIX/VIXEQ Ratios The VIX/VIXEQ Regime Detector is an innovative indicator that correlates the volatility of the S&P 500 TVC:VIX with the volatility of the equally weighted S&P 500 $CBOE:VIXEQ. This relationship provides crucial insights into market structure and helps identify regime changes that often precede significant corrections. The indicator compares two distinct volatility measures: VIX: Measures volatility of the market-cap weighted S&P 500 SP:SPX (heavily concentrated in MAG 7 and large caps) VIX EQ: Measures implied volatility of the equally weighted S&P 500 (equal weight to all 500 companies) By analyzing the ratio between these volatility indices, we can detect stress at the constituent level that may not yet be reflected in the headline index. Historical analysis reveals a strong correlation between elevated VIX EQ/VIX ratios and subsequent market corrections: When the ratio spikes significantly, the S&P 500 has historically experienced corrections ranging from 5% to 20% Multiple instances show this pattern repeating across different market cycles The indicator helps identify breakdown of correlations and increased market stress before they fully materialize in major indices Current Market Status As of now, the indicator shows we are in a concentration regime (ratio under 2.0), suggesting a lower risk market environment with volatility in the equally weighted index remaining relatively close to the headline VIX.
SP:SPXLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
2
US100: An Impulsive Move Towards 25,000 is ExpectedUS100: An Impulsive Move Towards 25,000 is Expected From February 25th, the US100 fell by almost 4.5% from 25440 to 24300 thus creating an ABC correction. It is likely that from March 3rd, when the US100 completed the downward wave C, the price started the upward movement. We may currently be in a completed corrective wave B and the price may start the impulsive upward movement as shown in the chart. Main targets: 24800 25000 You may find more details in the chart. Thank you and good luck! 🍀 ❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
US30 H4 | Potential Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 48,792.25, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 49,609.10, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is set at 47,814.59, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
FX:US30Short
by FXCM
1
DJI: Hardcore Mode OnThe survival game has begun: DJI has switched to Hardcore Mode, where checkpoints below 48400 simply don't exist. Did you manage to save your progress, or are you counting on infinite lives? # Technicals: 1. Condition: Despite the price being below the bottom line of the medium-term ascending channel and the tendency showing weakness, we still did not get a clear confirmation of a trend change. 2. Confirmation: A strong candle penetrates and closes below 48400 . 3. Keep an eye on 48400: The price reaction at this level will dictate short-term and medium-term movements. # Difficulty Levels: 1. Normal: 0.382 Fibo (42840) — Healthy price correction. 2. Difficult: 0.618 Fibo (36960)— Deep but technical correction. 3. Nightmare: Zone — Leading to serious panic and mass liquidations. Be aware of this one. Below 2 possible scenarios for a short-term and a medium-term move: # - - - - - # Scenario 1: Immediate medium-term Short (Trigger: Closing below 48400) ✅ Entry Point: 48390 🛑 Stop-Loss: 51630 🤑 Target 1: 42840 🤑 Target 2: 36960 🤑 Target 3: 29830 # - - - - - # Scenario 2: False breakout (Stop Hunt) (Trigger: Price turnaround after 51000) ✅ Entry Point: 50300 (after price turnaround) 🛑 Stop-Loss: above new high 🤑 Target 1: 42840 🤑 Target 2: 36960 🤑 Target 3: 29830 # - - - - - Medium-term scenario is invalidated if geopolitical sentiment returns to normal or if we see a strong close above 51500 , signaling the uptrend continuation # - - - - - Good Luck! ☺️ # - - - - - DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade # - - - - - P.S. Did you CHECKPOINT?
TVC:DJIShort
by TotSamiyKaa
4
SPX500 RANGE 6840–6893 — BREAKOUT AHEAD SPX500 — Range-Bound as Markets Assess War Fallout U.S. stock futures edged lower as investors continued to assess the economic and geopolitical consequences of the escalating Middle East conflict. Markets remain cautious after a tentative rebound in the previous session. Technical Outlook: The index is expected to consolidate within the 6840 – 6893 range. • As long as price trades above 6840, bullish volatility may push the index toward 6973, especially if a 4H candle closes above 6893. • A 1H candle close below 6840 would trigger bearish momentum toward 6799. Pivot Line: 6860 Support: 6840 – 6800 – 6772 Resistance: 6893 – 6915 – 6973
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
JPY Index – Is a Larger Reversal Starting?Since mid-January, when the JPY Index printed a new all-time low, I’ve been discussing the possibility of a meaningful reversal in yen pairs. Since then, the 670 zone has acted as a strong support level, triggering rebounds each time price approached it. However, every recovery attempt so far has been capped near the 700 area, which has remained a firm resistance. At the beginning of March, the index returned once again to that support region and we are currently seeing another bounce. To be honest, the rebound looks rather anemic so far, lacking strong momentum. Despite this, my broader view remains unchanged: I still expect a stronger reversal in JPY pairs in the coming period. Key Levels to Watch - 685 – Immediate resistance. A break above this level would likely open the path for a new move toward 700. - 700 zone – Major resistance. This level has rejected price multiple times, but if we return there again, the probability of a breakout increases. Bigger Picture If the 700 barrier finally breaks, I would expect acceleration toward the next major zone around 730, which would signal a much more significant shift in the structure of JPY pairs. For now, the market still needs to confirm this scenario, but the structure continues to suggest that the downside momentum in JPY may be fading. Let’s see how price reacts around 685 and 700. 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Nasdaq can still dump your bags and this can be the case!CAPITALCOM:US100 - Today I will walk you through my thoughts on the Nasdaq for the coming days this week and into next week. First, fundamentals! We have a war in the Middle East that, as of today, doesn’t seem to have any proper solution. Also, the oil price continuing to stay high indicates uncertainty. In my view, this is not reflected in the Nasdaq yet. I also know that people keep talking about the usual “Taco Trump” and so on, but I think it will take more time before that becomes a real factor. Therefore, I would like to combine these fundamentals with the technical chart, because we have hit a major sell block once again—where we usually see a larger sell-off happen. Also, the MACD is turning at the moment, with downward momentum building up. Because of this, I strongly believe that the bottom we made on Tuesday is an illusion to hide the real sell-off that is coming. One really important thing, though, is yesterday’s daily candle, which shows a very obvious upward trend. Because of that, the risk/reward for this trade, personally, isn’t the best. I’m looking for further confirmation before taking it. Hopefully you found this interesting. I’ll try to keep updating—so give a follow if you like this kind of analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by emisam0403
Approaching pullback resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 48,299.79 1st Support: 47,660.55 1st Resistance: 49,017.31 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by IC Markets
Nifty levels - Mar 06, 2026Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
USNAS100 — Trading Above 25000, Upside Momentum BuildingUSNAS100 — Trading Above 25000, Upside Momentum Building The Nasdaq is currently trading above the key psychological level of 25000, which supports further upside momentum. Technical Outlook: • While price holds above 25000, the next upside targets stand at 25200 and 25410. • A 4H candle close above 25410 would confirm bullish continuation toward a new all-time high (ATH). • A 1H candle close below 25000 would invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a correction toward 24700. Pivot Line: 25000 Support: 24700 – 24180 Resistance: 25200 – 25410 – 25900
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ 100 (US Tech 100)📊 NASDAQ 100 (US Tech 100) Market Structure Analysis – 4H Timeframe 🚀 Your chart shows a well-defined range consolidation after a strong impulsive move. Let’s break it down like a professional trader would. 🧭 1. Overall Market Context – Bullish Bias 🔹 The market previously made a strong bullish impulse toward the 26,200–26,300 resistance zone. 🔹 After that rejection (orange arrow), price entered a distribution / consolidation phase. 📌 Key takeaway: The higher timeframe structure remains bullish Current movement is range-bound accumulation This means the market is likely preparing for the next expansion move. 📦 2. Consolidation Range Structure The market is clearly trading inside a horizontal range. Range High (Resistance): ~ 25,450 Range Low (Support): ~ 24,150 Inside this range price is: Creating equal highs Creating equal lows Producing liquidity sweeps ⚡ This is classic institutional accumulation behavior. 💧 3. Liquidity Zones Smart money usually targets liquidity before expansion. 🔺 Buy-Side Liquidity Located above: 25,450 range high Multiple equal highs If price breaks this level → stop losses + breakout buyers fuel the move upward. 🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Located below: 24,150 support Range lows Market could sweep this first before moving higher. ⚡ 4. Price Behavior Inside the Range Inside the box we can observe: ✔ Repeated mean reversion moves ✔ False breakouts on both sides ✔ Liquidity grabs before reversals This is typical compression before expansion. The longer the consolidation → the stronger the breakout. 🎯 5. Probable Scenario (Bullish Expansion) Your projected path on the chart makes technical sense. Possible move structure: 1️⃣ Minor pullback toward 24,600 – 24,500 2️⃣ Bullish reaction inside range 3️⃣ Break above 25,450 resistance 4️⃣ Move toward 26,200 – 26,300 target 📈 That target aligns with the previous major high. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario (Liquidity Sweep First) Markets often trap traders before breakout. Possible move: 1️⃣ Sweep below 24,150 2️⃣ Grab sell-side liquidity 3️⃣ Strong bullish reversal 4️⃣ Break range high This is called a fake breakdown / liquidity grab. 🧠 Professional Trading Insight Institutions usually follow this sequence: 1️⃣ Impulse move 2️⃣ Range accumulation 3️⃣ Liquidity sweep 4️⃣ Expansion move Your chart appears to be Phase 2 → Phase 3 transition. 📌 Key Levels to Watch 🔵 Major Resistance: 25,450 🟢 Major Support: 24,150 🎯 Bullish Target: 26,200 – 26,300 ⚠️ Liquidity Sweep Zone: 24,100 area 💡 Pro Trader Tip Avoid trading inside the middle of the range. Best locations: 🟢 Buy: Near range support 🔴 Sell: Near range resistance 🚀 Breakout Trade: Above 25,450 with confirmation ✅ Summary: Market is compressing inside a 4H accumulation range. Once liquidity is taken, the next directional expansion is likely bullish toward 26,200.
IG:NASDAQLong
by JohnOscar_Market_Structure