CBOT: Micro 10-Year Yield ( CBOT_MINI:10Y1! )
Last Friday, U.S. stocks plunged again as soaring interest rates and FX market turmoil fueled investor fears of a global recession.
The Dow fell below 30,000 and closed at 29,590, down 486 or -1.6%. S&P 500 broke through 3700 and settled at 3,697, down 1.72%. Nasdaq Composite lost nearly 200 points and closed at...
Welcome to this analysis about the Total-Cryptocurrency-Market-Cap on the 4-hour timeframe perspective. Since accelerated inflation peaking at new all-time-highs causes investors and traders to rethink their positions in the financial markets excess savings are likely to flow into assets that have a high potential to serve as hedges against...
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The German stock index (DAX) has been trading under Lower Highs ever since the late December All Time High (ATH). Ignoring the March 08 2022 breach due to the Ukraine - Russia war, the pattern is a Channel Down. The last two times DAX traded within a Channel Down was for the whole year of 2018 and April 2015 - July 2016. Both correction were almost a year and took...
This will be a multi part series on trendlines and channels, what they represent, how to draw and use them, and how I design trades around them.
For the sake of simplicity this series will focus on uptrends. Importantly, the principles are roughly the same for both uptrends and downtrends except that downtrends often develop more quickly.
I see many TL...
So close to new lows. DOW already made one last Fri.
SPX to make today or tomorrow imo.
Too many stops below that low Jun low, Im sure algos will shave those, before turn.
Fear and Greed is at Extreme fear levels, VIX is above 31-32, perfect bottoming indicators to me
Below the support line (3662-58) we will see 3636-20 and my ideal target 3588
Im not going long...
Today I am charting the S&P 500 (SPX) on a monthly chart over a multi-year period.
The chart has various drawings noting support areas on the way down. I have also shown the Great Recession crash with a 56% drop. Assuming the same, the S&P 500 would come down to the 2,100-2,300 range which falls in line with the 0.618-0.65 Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement. If...
This is my macro view using elliott wave theory.
The count starts from march 2008 when we have first impulse up wave 1 (red) ended in march 2009 than untill april 2011 we have a flat correction for wave 2 (red).
After we have another impulse that probbly is the start of the 3rd wave black count with a 4th wave expending triangle and now we are into 5th wave of the...
Traders and Investors,
With the dollar strength the indices have been taking a beating. US30, US500 and US100 have been following the same pattern but the leading one is still Dow Jones (US30).
On the SnP500 so far:
1. It has NOT touched/crossed the 200 sma on the weekly timeframe so a test and then a bounce is expected at some point.
2. There is an FCP zone...
-On Monthly TimeFrame DXY is in Bearish Trend
-DXY is close to Upper Bound of Monthly Trend Line ~115 (it may touch ~120 Range supprted by Fab Retr.)
-Bearish trend is also Supported by Monthly Hidden Bearish Divergance
A crash is coming in the stock market in the following days: probably this week or maybe next week.
The last intermediate cycle lasted for 80 bars and ended on the 16.06.2022.
The new intermediate cycle rallied to the 200 SMA then dropped into the DCL on the 9th Sept. The new daily cycle is only on day 14 - we are in this daily cycle - and it is close to the...
This is it boys
We had our bear rally
We had hopes of inflation easing and war cooling down and eth merge
Things only got worse...
So which way is this range going to break?
as we sit at the bottom of the range and observe various alts making some unusual pumps, finally btc has moved up in a short squeeze
Big red flags the crypto macro charts
- big spike down...
Hello and welcome to this USDT Dominance update, guys.
This is an important update, so read it till the end.
Preview: In our previous update, we discussed how the yellow dotted line holds good support for the dominance and now finally it is breaking down.
Update: This breakdown is good for the market but we need to keep in mind that, it won't be easy for...
Which Bull Cycle is market correcting?
Answer to this question shows us where MAY be a good point to buy the dip with open eyes and how to be prepared for alternative scenarios.
As shown and explained on the charts, there are three alternative scenarios for now and all of them are valid although they have different probabilities. :
1. Best case...
🎥 Check today's video where I did this analysis. 👉https://www.tradingview.com/streams/qanhjX6QCL/
Please have in your mind that this is my Intraday trading pre-plan.
It means that at least the conditions described below must be met for valid entry. My reaction will depend on how the price will arrive at the level and there I will be looking for a break of...
Setting trading goals is always a fun discussion and something I actually really enjoy talking about. It is possibly one of the most simple tasks with getting started in investing or day trading, yet it is a task that so many get wrong. It's like starting a Sprint race, only you're starting the race facing the other direction. So, today we're going...
Stock Indices use a portfolio of representative companies (usually spanning major industries) to reflect the status of the whole stock market. There are basically three kinds: global, regional and national. Global indices include companies regardless of where they are traded. Regional indices include companies from a certain region and national indices include companies from a specific nation. Stock Indices are used to get an indication of the market's overall direction. Some analysts use them as a barometer of the underlying economy.
Indices can be comprised of tens to hundreds of stocks and each index calculates the weighted average differently. Some weigh the stocks equally (equal weighting), others take company size into account (capitalization weighting) and others use a hybrid method (modified capitalization weighting). Stock Indices are tradable entities themselves. A currency index is a measure of the value of a specific currency relative to other select currencies. Indices like the US Dollar Index or the Euro Currency Index are used to gauge the strength of those respective currencies.