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Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotiVolkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotive industry is undergoing a transition to electric vehicles. These companies hold strong positions, but they need to successfully navigate this transformation against competitors like Tesla and Polestar (lol). Rewards Trading at 79.2% below estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 6.14% per year Earnings grew by 24.2% over the past year Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Risk Analysis Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Dividend of 9.77% is not well covered by free cash flows
XETR:VOW3Long
by Maximus20000
Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile)Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotive industry is undergoing a transition to electric vehicles. These companies hold strong positions, but they need to successfully navigate this transformation against competitors like Tesla and Polestar (lol). Trading at 43.1% below estimate of its fair value Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Risk Analysis Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Dividend of 7.95% is not well covered by free cash flows
XETR:BMWLong
by Maximus20000
Mercedes-Benz cuts forecasts due to weakness in ChinaMercedes-Benz shares fell more than 7% after announcing a cut in its profit forecast due to economic weakness in China. The company adjusted its adjusted return on sales forecast for its auto division to between 7.5% and 8.5%, down from the previous range of 10%-11%. The slowdown in consumption and problems in the Chinese real estate sector have reduced demand for luxury cars, affecting the automaker's sales. Mercedes also warned that pricing pressure will continue during the second half of the year, which could further deteriorate its results. The forecast cut is in line with the trend seen at other manufacturers such as BMW and Volkswagen, which have also seen weaker demand. Although some adjustment was expected, the magnitude of the warning has been larger than expected, affecting sentiment towards the brand. Since April 2024, Mercedes-Benz shares have fallen 29.85%. However, in the last nine days it has recovered 8.73%. Balance sheets for the last three years show a weakening in its profits since 2021. In addition, increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers, which are expanding into Europe, has increased the pressure on German manufacturers. Chinese consumers are opting for local brands that offer more tailored products and better value for money. In terms of technical analysis, Mercedes-Benz shares are in a rebound on key support dating back to February 2021. If the upcoming financial results do not meet expectations, there is a risk that this support around €50.63 could be broken, which could exacerbate the company's downtrend. Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
XETR:MBGShort
by ActivTrades
Cameco may grow 8.74% in the next five daysHey, welcome to another analysis of GETTEX:CJ6 by me. The focus of this analysis is solely on Short-Term growth. If you like to see my Long-Term take on the Stock, look at my previous fundamental analysis: From my last analysis, Cameco sadly missed my previous Short-Term goal by roughly 2.0%, only gaining about 8.6% after my analysis. This was due to Cameco not hitting my “Definite Buy” line, which I used as reference. If it had hit the line, Cameco would have probably risen up to more than €40.00. Now, here is my more conservative analysis of the next five bar potential. Cameco has an 8.74% growth potential in the next 5 bars (7 days) according to my analysis, to Fibonacci(0), located at the upper POI (Point of interest, in this case resistance line). This would throw the Stock at €39.135, before it will likely regress a little bit. By extending the Fibonacci from the last lower POI (in this case support) we can see that there's an optimistic potential of getting to the “Maximum Target line”, which would mean a growth of about 10% to €40.158. In terms of risk management, I would not recommend leverage above 10, as Cameco's support is set at €30.2, 16.65% down from current price, causing a total loss. I hope you liked my analysis, I would kindly ask you, to share suggestions and your own thoughts in the comments. Thank you! -- Henrik B.
GETTEX:CJ6Long
by henriklmao
UniCredit and Commerzbank: The Challenge of the European Megaban UniCredit SPA (Ticker AT: CRDI.IT) has taken a significant step by acquiring a 9% stake in Commerzbank AG (CBK.GE), sparking speculation about a possible merger between the two European giants. This move marks a milestone in UniCredit's ambition to consolidate its presence in the European banking market. Commerzbank’s shares have risen by more than 18% since the news, reflecting market optimism about a potential consolidation. Key Obstacles to the Merger: 1. Resistance from the German Government: The German state, which holds a 12% stake in Commerzbank, might insist on maintaining a national listing and a supervisory board in Germany due to the bank's strategic importance to the German economy. 2. German Unions: Unions in Germany may strongly oppose the merger, concerned about potential layoffs and the shift of power from Frankfurt to Milan. 3. Deutsche Bank's Interest: There is a possibility that Deutsche Bank, Germany's largest bank, could revive its interest in Commerzbank, further complicating the situation. 4. Shareholder Concerns: UniCredit's shareholders, who have seen a 230% increase in their earnings over the past three years, may fear that a merger could impact profitability, even though UniCredit has promised to maintain a 15% return on investment. Despite these challenges, UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel is determined to push forward with his ambitious consolidation plans, which could significantly transform the banking sector in Europe. Technical Analysis: Looking at the chart, Commerzbank AG experienced a slowdown in its rise at the end of May, reaching €15,825. After some attempts to recover at the end of July, the stock showed an upward gap, potentially signaling another attempt to reach its historical highs. Meanwhile, UniCredit had a relatively consistent rise until July, reaching €39,330, when its price fell, but it is in the process of recovering towards its highs with current support at €35,615. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
XETR:CBK
by ActivTrades
Deutsche Bank (DBK): A Perfect Reversal?Our analysis on Deutsche Bank (DBK) dates back to June, but we've continued to monitor the stock closely for you. We saw that DBK respected the last possible level within our targeted area, which was aligned with the level of Wave 1. Typically, for a Wave 4, we don't want to see the asset linger too long in this area, but in the case of DBK, it only dipped into it briefly before reversing, showing a strong and positive reaction. We now anticipate a surge above the Wave 3 level, which would also push the stock above the trend channel. Such a conclusion to this cycle would be a very bullish sign, likely leading to a deeper pullback in the overarching Wave (2). At that point, we would definitely consider buying shares as the setup looks promising for long-term gains.
XETR:DBKLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
VW - The rise and fall of a giantFUNDEMENTALS Volkwagen - the people's car, once upon a time this was the world's most valuable automobile company. So what happened to this car manufacturing giant? Unfortunately, they had installed software to cheat emissions test, causing a 40% drop in the stock price. That was back in 2015 and once again we are approaching are the same price level once again. What does the future hold? Can they survive the competitive landscape of this industry, with the rise of the Chinese EVs? Can the tariffs have a meaningful impact and save this business from collapse? TECHNICALS Looking at the price chart, this is a great example of Elliot Wave theory. I think we are only getting started and there's lower to come. I have been short since 150 Euros and will compound my short with any rips that may occur. Restructuring plans and cost saving might bring a relief rally, which is where i'll be looking to add more to my position. DYOR, not financial advice.
XETR:VOWShort
by NoFOMO_
Volkswagen AGThe price is currently around 101.50 EUR. The chart suggests two potential scenarios: Bearish Scenario: A red arrow suggests a possible further decline to the long-term support level around 63.37 EUR before potentially rebounding. Bullish Scenario: A blue arrow suggests a strong upward move that could occur after a potential bottom or a breakout. This move could potentially target levels above 500 EUR, which might be a longer-term projection if the price breaks out of the downward sloping black trendline.
GETTEX:VOWLong
by IzetMusaj
3U Holding on Critical Path 3U holding has reached the 10 years low trend cycle. Positive: - The forecast price target changed to 3,00 - 3,50 on short/ Mid term. - Trend cycle is testing now. Will it hold 220 level of breaking trough cycle (yellow line). Negative: - Negative trend cycle is strong. but mainly due tue a huge dividend given to investors. 3,20 per share in may 2023 at a price of 5,15! Investors have been rewarded in the past. Taking position in 3U follow the underlaying uptrend cycle of 10 years + - Today's uptrend 4,5%. Taking position E 1,80 Long Year Trend Zoom on current positions
TRADEGATE:UUULong
by Erwin00NL