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SPY trade ideas

Potential $SPY Pullback AnalysisOverview This section examines the possibility of a pullback in SPY, based on recent price movements and historical trends. Current Price Stretch Relative to Moving Average SPY is currently trading approximately 9.5% above its 30-week moving average. This level of extension is notable, as it approaches the threshold observed during previous pullbacks. Historical Context Looking back, the last significant instance when SPY was stretched about 10% above its 30-week moving average resulted in a pullback toward the end of March 2024. This comparison provides context for the current market situation. Observational Note It is worth noting that a confirmed closing price for the current week has not yet been established. This analysis is not a prediction, but rather an observation intended to increase awareness of market conditions.
AMEX:SPY
by jaxdog
Hitting the 50% Fibinocci in the next few days ...There will be a brief retracement in the next few days until Sept 22. I suspect it will hit the 50% fib but realistically it could hit any one of the other fib lines. The reason I am thinking it will retrace is due to the indicators looking bearish, especially on the 4 hour indicators, etc. This is just a brief retracement lasting a few days and the SPY will continue to go up after. Always have stops in place and only use 10% or less of your trading account.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
SPY: 15 Min TF MEASURED MOVE Completion🔍 Chart Context Ticker: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) Timeframe: 15-minute Annotations: “Measured Move Completion” (highlighted near recent highs). Old downtrend resistance line (blue). Gap zone left behind around ~$632. 🧭 Technical Read Measured Move The chart shows SPY has completed a measured move projection. Completion often signals either exhaustion (potential reversal) or momentum continuation if broken cleanly. Current candles at resistance look indecisive, hinting at possible stall. Trend Structure Price broke out above the long blue downtrend line → bullish structural shift. Now consolidating just under the 664–665 resistance band. Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 664–665 (completion zone). Support #1: 657–658 (short-term demand). Support #2: 651–652 (gap fill / major demand). 📈 Catalysts Bullish: If SPY closes above 665 with volume, it could trigger momentum buyers targeting 670+. Seasonality and potential Fed pivot optimism still supportive. Bearish: Failure at measured move completion zone increases probability of a pullback to 657 first, then 652 gap. Rising volume + rejection candles = short-term distribution. ⚖️ Outlook Base Case (55%): Consolidation under resistance before retesting 657 support. Bullish Breakout (30%): Push through 665 → upside extension to 670+. Deeper Pullback (15%): Gap magnet test at 652 if sellers dominate.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
3
$SPY Neutral Prediction--Traders Eye BreakoutDaily AI-powered trade ideas, SPY 0DTE plans, NLP news signals, weekly option alerts & live trading updates. Trade smarter, every day. 🚀📈 🚀 AMEX:SPY Intraday Prediction – Neutral Trend, Breakout Loading? 📊 Market Status Price: $660.77 Data Quality: ✅ Strong Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line Precision 🎯 Price Forecasts 30-Min Target → $661.18 (+0.06%) 2-Hr Target → $659.75 (-0.16%) End-of-Day → $662.85 (+0.31%) 📈 Extended Outlook Final Target: $662.85 (+0.31%) Volatility: 3.4% Range: $659.46 – $662.85 ⚖️ Trend Read Direction: NEUTRAL Confidence: 55% Bias: ⚡ Watching for breakout above $662.85 🔑 Levels That Matter Support → $659.46 Resistance → $662.85 Range Size → 0.5%
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantsignals
decision pointThere are some key levels on AMEX:SPY i'm marking for the rest of the week. I still feel more bearish to rate cuts and post-rate cut announcement. There has been some strong upward pressure in the last week that it seems a bit irrational that we will not hit some cool off somewhere for an unknown period of time. There are some fib extension levels I marked for possible support/ resistance. Namely, 663.19 at the .236 and 667.08 at the .382. There are points above that as well marked. For support I have 654.81 and 650.97 which both lines up well with price action support/ resistance. if we break the more macro golden trendline I will be looking to leverage into a short position to a possible profit box on the downside towards some of these levels. Rate cuts are ALREADY priced in, again, but anything that comes out that shifts our forward-looking projections could move price now. ie. future rate cuts, hawkish, dovishness etc. Either way technicals still want cooling off but due to heavy bear pressure and this expectation being widespread we will see shorts getting squeezed a bit and price moving erratically at times to the upside (as we have ben).
AMEX:SPY
by Daughter_of_the_water
$SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust)🔍 Chart Context Ticker: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) Timeframe: 15-minute Indicators Visible: Smart Money concepts (liquidity, premium/discount zones), trend lines, volume profile, moving averages. Notable Zones: Premium (red block): Major supply zone where price rejected. Discount demand (blue blocks): Areas where buyers previously stepped in. Entry marked (yellow line): Short trade setup. 🧭 Technical Read Price Structure After a strong rally, SPY rejected from the premium zone near $661–$663. Multiple wicks show supply absorption → sellers defending that region. The chart shows a lower high forming below the red block. Volume / Liquidity Spikes in volume align with sharp rejections → signs of smart money distribution. Equilibrium zone highlighted suggests market balancing before choosing direction. Trade Setup You’ve marked “Taking this entry” just under the consolidation → short bias. Target likely at the discount demand zone ($657–$656). Risk above the supply premium block ($662–$663). 📈 Catalysts to Watch Macro: Fed rate cuts are heavily speculated, but recent strength may already be priced in. Any hawkish remarks or delayed cuts = bearish catalyst. Options Flow: If put OI clusters around 655–657 build, downside pressure will accelerate. Data Releases: CPI/PPI, jobless claims, or Fed speeches could act as volatility triggers. ⚖️ Probability Outlook Bearish short-term (next 1–3 sessions): 60% chance we test 657–656 demand. Neutral consolidation: 25% chance price chops sideways around 659 before a bigger move. Bullish invalidation: 15% chance we break above 663, targeting 665–667 liquidity.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
SPY: Coiling Near 660 With Key GEX Support–Swing & Scalp Sep 171-Hour Chart Technical View SPY remains inside an upward channel, but the 1-hour chart shows a slight cooling. After peaking near $662.5, price is consolidating just above $660. MACD momentum has faded and Stoch RSI is in oversold territory, signaling a pause with potential for either a bounce or a deeper retest. * Immediate Support: $659–$660 (current demand and channel midline) * Major Support: $652 and $647 (trend and high-volume zones) * Upside Zone: $662.5–$665 (channel top and key resistance) with $670 as the next major extension The 9 EMA is still above the 21 EMA, which keeps the bullish structure alive as long as $659 holds. GEX & Options Flow Gamma positioning suggests mixed but constructive flows: * Call Walls: $662.5 (strongest call resistance), $665, and $670. * Put Walls: $652 and $641 are significant downside hedges. * GEX Bias: Put gamma remains high at ~80.3%, while IVR is around 14.6 (IVx ~16.1). This signals a market braced for hedging but with moderate volatility expectations. Such a setup typically leads to contained price action unless $659 breaks decisively. Trade Thoughts & Suggestions * Swing Idea: Buy dips near $659–$660 with a stop below $652, targeting $662.5–$665 and possibly $670. * Scalp Idea: Quick bounce plays off $659 or a breakout scalp if $662.5 is reclaimed on strong volume. * Bearish Scenario: A clean break under $652 could trigger a fast slide toward $647 and $641. Quick Take SPY is consolidating after a strong run. For Sept 17, the $659–$660 zone is critical. Holding it favors another push toward $662.5–$665; losing it opens lower supports. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Markets on Edge Ahead of Fed: Eyeing a CorrectionSimilar to what I mentioned in the silver outlook, I believe today the classic rule may play out: buy the rumor, sell the fact. This could trigger a pullback across the board — in precious metals (particularly silver and palladium) and, of course, in the broader equity market. That said, it’s safer to consider entries closer to the Fed decision or even right after, since short-term market noise and potential manipulations are likely. I’ll be watching for opportunities, but any position will require a tight stop-loss, as the chart has yet to form a strong short setup — this trade is more of an idea than a clean technical pattern. 📝Trading Plan 🟢Entry: I plan to open a short closer to the Fed rate announcement. 🔴Stop: above yesterday’s high 🎯Target: 640
AMEX:SPYShort
by kventinka
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Fed Day: All eyes on the FOMC decision + Powell press conference — this will lock in the September rate path. 📉 Positioning risk: Funds lightened up into Tuesday’s Retail Sales; volatility likely post-Fed. 💻 Tech leadership in focus: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , and AI plays driving AMEX:XLK flows ahead of macro. 🛢️ Crude swings: Energy price stability remains an inflation sentiment wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug) ⏰ 10:30 AM — EIA Petroleum Status Report ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot) ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #housing #energy #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) in World Trading Systems1. Understanding CBDCs 1.1 Definition A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a digital form of a country’s sovereign currency, issued and regulated by its central bank. Unlike bank deposits or private stablecoins, CBDCs are a direct liability of the central bank, making them risk-free in terms of credit and liquidity. 1.2 Types of CBDCs CBDCs are broadly categorized into: Retail CBDCs – Designed for everyday transactions by individuals and businesses, functioning like digital cash. Wholesale CBDCs – Used by banks and financial institutions for interbank settlements, large-scale cross-border trade, and capital market operations. For world trading systems, wholesale CBDCs are particularly relevant because they address cross-border settlement delays, currency risks, and high transaction costs. 2. Historical Context of Trade & Money To understand how CBDCs might transform world trade, we need to briefly revisit the evolution of money and trading systems. Gold & Silver Standard: Ancient trade relied on commodity money (gold, silver, copper), valued for scarcity and intrinsic worth. Paper Money & Fiat Currencies: With modern nation-states, paper currency and fiat systems emerged, backed initially by gold (Bretton Woods, 1944) and later by trust in governments. The Dollar Dominance: Post-1971, the US dollar became the world’s reserve currency, dominating global trade settlement, particularly in oil and commodities (Petrodollar system). Digital Payments & Cryptocurrencies: In the 21st century, fintech innovation and blockchain technology challenged traditional banking, raising questions about efficiency, privacy, and sovereignty. CBDCs represent the next evolutionary step—a blend of sovereign money and digital innovation—capable of transforming not only domestic payments but also cross-border trade systems. 3. CBDCs in Global Trade: Opportunities 3.1 Faster Cross-Border Settlements Today, cross-border trade payments often take 2–5 days, relying on intermediaries, correspondent banks, and SWIFT messaging. With CBDCs, settlement can be instantaneous, reducing time and risk. For example, a Chinese exporter selling goods to an African buyer could receive payment in digital yuan instantly, without waiting for dollar-clearing in New York. 3.2 Reduced Transaction Costs International trade involves currency conversion, banking fees, and correspondent charges, which can add 3–7% to transaction costs. CBDCs, by enabling direct currency-to-currency exchange via digital platforms, could significantly lower costs. 3.3 Financial Inclusion in Trade Many small and medium enterprises (SMEs), especially in developing economies, struggle with cross-border payments due to lack of banking access. CBDCs can democratize access, enabling SMEs to engage directly in global markets. 3.4 Bypassing SWIFT & Dollar Dependence One of the most debated impacts of CBDCs is their potential to challenge US dollar hegemony. Currently, over 85% of global trade is invoiced in dollars or euros. CBDCs like the digital yuan (e-CNY) aim to provide an alternative, especially in Asia, Africa, and Belt and Road countries. 3.5 Programmable Money & Smart Contracts CBDCs can be embedded with programmability, enabling conditional trade payments. For instance: A CBDC transaction could release payment automatically once goods clear customs. Smart contracts could enforce trade finance agreements, reducing fraud and disputes. 4. Key Global CBDC Experiments 4.1 China’s Digital Yuan (e-CNY) The most advanced large-scale CBDC, piloted in over 25 cities. Being tested in cross-border trade via Hong Kong, Singapore, and Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) partners. Aims to internationalize the yuan and reduce dollar dependence. 4.2 India’s Digital Rupee Introduced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in 2022–23. Wholesale pilot programs for interbank settlements. Potentially useful for India’s high-volume trade with Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. 4.3 Europe’s Digital Euro European Central Bank exploring a digital euro for retail and wholesale use. Expected to strengthen eurozone trade settlement systems and reduce reliance on US intermediaries. 4.4 Project Dunbar & Project mBridge Project Dunbar (BIS): A multi-CBDC platform involving Singapore, Australia, Malaysia, and South Africa. Project mBridge: Collaboration between China, Thailand, UAE, and Hong Kong, enabling real-time cross-border CBDC payments. These pilots suggest that CBDCs are moving beyond national borders into multilateral trade systems. 5. Implications for World Trading Systems 5.1 Geopolitical Shifts in Currency Power CBDCs could accelerate the shift from unipolar dollar dominance to a multipolar currency order, where regional CBDCs (digital yuan, digital rupee, digital euro) coexist and compete. 5.2 Trade Alliances & CBDC Zones Countries may form CBDC trading blocs, agreeing to settle in digital currencies instead of dollars. For example: BRICS nations exploring a CBDC trade platform. Gulf states considering digital settlements for oil exports. 5.3 Transparency vs. Privacy CBDCs offer traceability, reducing trade-based money laundering and fraud. However, this raises concerns about state surveillance of international transactions. 5.4 Impact on SWIFT & Correspondent Banking If CBDCs enable direct central bank-to-central bank settlement, traditional intermediaries like SWIFT and correspondent banks could lose relevance. 5.5 Exchange Rate Mechanisms With real-time settlement, CBDCs may require new FX models, possibly leading to dynamic currency baskets for trade invoicing. 6. Challenges & Risks 6.1 Interoperability For CBDCs to work in world trade, different national CBDCs must interact seamlessly. This requires standardized protocols and cross-border agreements. 6.2 Cybersecurity Threats CBDCs, being digital, face risks of hacking, cyberwarfare, and systemic attacks, which could disrupt global trade. 6.3 Monetary Sovereignty Conflicts If a foreign CBDC gains dominance in another country (e.g., digital yuan in Africa), it may undermine local monetary control. 6.4 Technological Divide Advanced economies may adopt CBDCs faster, leaving developing nations behind, creating digital trade inequalities. 6.5 Political Resistance The US, benefiting from dollar dominance, may resist widespread CBDC adoption in trade settlement. Sanctions, regulations, and political pressure could slow CBDC globalization. Critical Perspectives While CBDCs promise efficiency and inclusivity, critics warn that: They may fragment global finance if each nation builds incompatible systems. CBDCs could be used as tools of geopolitical influence, where powerful economies push their CBDCs onto weaker partners. Privacy concerns and state control may reduce adoption in democratic societies. Thus, the success of CBDCs in world trading systems depends not only on technology but also on trust, governance, and global cooperation. Conclusion Central Bank Digital Currencies are no longer theoretical—they are becoming reality. Their integration into world trading systems could redefine how goods, services, and capital move across borders. CBDCs promise faster, cheaper, and more inclusive trade settlements, reducing reliance on intermediaries and potentially reshaping global monetary power. Yet, the transition is fraught with challenges: interoperability, cybersecurity, political resistance, and the risk of financial fragmentation. The future likely points to a multi-CBDC ecosystem, coordinated by international institutions, where nations balance efficiency with sovereignty. In essence, CBDCs represent both a technological innovation and a geopolitical tool. Their impact on global trade will depend not just on design and adoption but on how nations choose to cooperate—or compete—within this new digital financial order.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
$SPY to $666-$672 before downside?AMEX:SPY continues to move higher here and with a widening ichi cloud. Because of that, I think it potentially has another move to the upside over the next week or two. I think the most likely levels from here for AMEX:SPY to find resistance are between $666-672. After that, I'd get cautious as I think there's going to be a surprise downside move that will catch many people off guard back to one of the support levels marked off on the charts. Let's see how it plays out in the coming weeks.
AMEX:SPY
by benjihyam
3
SPY's Final Wall: The Bearish ThesisRight now, SPY is facing the most significant confluence of resistance trend lines it has seen in years. Think of this as the ultimate ceiling—a multi-layered wall that the bulls have to smash through. The market's parabolic move has pushed the price to this critical point. But here's the thesis: the combined strength of these converging trend lines is just too much. The buying power is exhausted. We believe this is a classic rollover setup. Instead of a breakout to new highs, we expect a strong rejection from this level. The price will hit this solid wall of resistance and turn over, leading to a significant pullback. The current price isn't a simple pause; it's a test of strength that the bulls are likely to fail. Day Trade/Swing Trade Idea: Short at red arrow and cover at the green arrow
AMEX:SPYShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
2
SPY 15m Analysis – Sept 15, 2025SPY is currently at our short level, which also aligns with a gap zone. Price has respected the ascending trendline, but momentum is slowing, and we’re now watching closely for a trendline break. 🔑 Key notes: Gap + Premium zone tapped → potential reversal area. Multiple FVGs (imbalances) below at 656 → 648 → 636 that price may revisit. RSI showing bearish divergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum. First downside targets: 656 → 648 → 636 if the trendline fails. 📉 Bias: Neutral → Bearish. Confirmation needed on trend break before entering shorts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY Key Channel Test — Trade Setup for September 15* Macro backdrop: U.S. index futures are slightly softer after last week’s rally. Traders await mid-week economic data, leaving SPY in a tight overnight range. * Sector tone: Tech leadership remains firm, but some rotation into value is evident, which can create intraday swings. Technical Analysis – SPY Trend & Structure (1-Hour Chart) * Price is rising inside a well-defined ascending channel. * Friday’s session closed just under $658, showing slight consolidation at the upper band. Key Levels * Resistance: $658.3 (current channel top), $659.1 (1st Call Wall), $661–663 (next GEX layers). * Support: $657.2 (pivot / HVL zone), $655.5 (2nd Put Wall), $652.6 (3rd Put Wall). Momentum & Indicators * MACD is rolling over from highs, hinting at short-term cooling. * Stoch RSI is near oversold, leaving room for a bounce if buyers step back in. * Volume has tapered, which fits a pre-breakout or short pullback. Options/GEX Insight * GEX shows highest negative NETGEX at $657 (strong put support) and stacked call walls above $659, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. * IVR 10.7 and IVx avg 13.1 signal low volatility, which could amplify any breakout move. Trade Scenarios for Sept 15 * Bullish Plan: * Entry: Hold above $658.3 and break $659.1. * Targets: $661 → $663. * Stop: Below $657.2. * Bearish/defensive: * Entry: Drop below $657.2 with momentum. * Targets: $655.5 → $652.6. * Stop: Above $659.1. Summary SPY enters Monday at the top of its channel. A firm break over $659 could ignite a move toward $661–663, while a slip under $657.2 opens a pullback toward the mid-$650s. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SPY pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AMEX:SPYShort
by UnitedSignals
1
SPY Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 657.41 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 650.13 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1