U.S. Department of Agriculture awards Lumen $1.2 billion networkLUMN: Lumen Technologies, Inc. 2022-01-20 08:08:00 U.S. Department of Agriculture awards Lumen $1.2 billion network services contractLongby JetEquities1
LUMN, a post pandemic sleeperPros: + Quick ratio >1 + 3 quarters of consecutive positive earnings + Divestiture of legacy products (copper) + Still below pre-pandemic highs, while the company is in a debatably better position Cons: - High debt to equity - Not tech - I'm retarded Black Swans: > If they drop their dividend in 2022, it could present a supreme buying opportunity, as shares are dumped but it frees up over $1 billion/year in outflows. My target price: 18.00 EoY Other: + Morningstar quant. analysis gives it 5 stars (as of today)Longby lhp5025111
LUMNFormerly centurylink The reset is defined by rebirth Hence a fibre network used for 5g/6g/edge would be typical www.lumen.com a lot of debt in the company for those that look into these things dividend stock G.R.I. Dec '21 B.T.M.F.Dby Great_Reset_InvestingUpdated 1
LUMN Weekly TA w/ Fib LevelsLUMN +ERs (11/4) gave this a boost over W200 and Yearly R1 (YR1) resistance levels. Bulls want to see those levels become support as it approaches a weekly golden cross attempt. W50 @ $12.61 for S1 Yearly Pivot @ $11.11 for S2. $17.33 for .786 Fib. Please feel free to leave comments and let me know what you think. Thanks and GL to All! Longby Deitrader1
Lumen technologies to Continue Its Growth. LUMNUpgoing zigzag by the looks of it. Final leg to take two months give or take with some comparatively sizeable gains potentially. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!Longby Rykin_Capital0
LUMN macro bottoming?I'm inclined to believe that LUMN has found a bottom and will begin a slow climb back uphill. Longby Deitrader0
LUMN SWING BULLISHI like this stock because they pay a decent dividend and its fairly valued. This is in my long-term holdings but feel free to take it as swing to the upside as the vwap has crossed the 10ema. Reverse Target 2 and Target One(I placed them in opposite of what they were suppose to be) Longby Derrick_Washington1
Lumen Tech Joins The Pending Selloff?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 12.12. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 12.01 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.302% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.85% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.819% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).Shortby StockSignaler112
Too good to be trueIs this a Long-term passive income-generating opportunity?Longby rezmeplxUpdated 0
Lumen Tech going upIn a 30 days range, it should be bullish. Awaiting for touching the yellow trend line below.by Mat_cl332
LUMN LONGLUMN respecting the trend its been on and I am getting long here. Stops below the trendline if we close and don't hold above it. With earnings coming August 11th and it still being a solid dividend payer I think we see this bounce back higher prior to the dividend date and then a sell off after people get paid. I'm personally buying shares and the 08/20/2021 $14 Calls. Keeping the position small and managing my risk. This is a slower move so make sure to get time if you play options. Longby GravityTrades1
LongTerm falling wedge breakout on LUMNCurrently trading at next resistance. A breakout could see good upside. P.S: It's not a recommendation to buy/sellLongby ehaarjee0
LUMN ?Keeping an eye on this one, with close to non-existent PE ratio but reliable revenue stream. would like to see it bounce on and confirm the uptrendLongby Thisguy220
$LUMN lots going on. Long termLooks good mid and long term. Broke out of a HUGE falling wedge with a backtest confirmation. Currently bouncing off the top of the previous wedge and historical support. HBD on daily MACD and RSI. CBD on 4hr MACD. Could play this short/mid term. Im in for the long term due to breaking out of a massive pattern over like 4 years. NFALongby GuyInHat2
LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES - short term reversal NYSE:LUMN LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES INC (#LUMN) Good level of support at $ 12.80 MACD sloping up RSI low with room for upside A break and close above 50MA might confirm positive momentum Risk/reward ratio 3.18 Target $14.56 Stop loss $ 12.43Longby otbglobalinvestments3
LUMN TECH PT: $16Falling wedge has formed on 30min and 1hr. I will be looking to play this on a clean break of 13.95, It is stuck around the 13.50 resistance currently, may retrace to 12.60 range but I highly doubt it because it closed fairly bullish last week. Expect this to room heavy with enough volume! Break of $13.95 PT: $16Longby stockmankam335
LUMN moving higherStrong support at 9.85 trending up, still above daily 20ema and looks to be able to revisit 13.65 for about an 11% move from here Longby dbryanUpdated 2
$LUMN - Lumen Technologies - Insider Buying & Resistance Break3/3/21 $LUMN - Lumen Technologies - 7.315% Gainer Catalysts: 5 Form 4's filed after hours on March 2nd. Confirming some heavy insider buying in late February. This combined with the stock price in a bullish uptrend and at resistance caused a breakout. -I'm going to be taking a look at some of the top daily gainers (may throw in some losers occasionally) of the day on their daily charts and posting them here throughout March. This is not advice. Just analyzing price action and patterns. -I will try to vary the catalysts (analyst upgrades, earnings, clinical trial results, etc.) for the stock moving (if any) and the sector that the stocks are in. -You'll notice I try to keep my charts as simple as possible. Black background and no grid. I will be focusing solely on price action, patterns, and support and resistance levels. No moving averages, MACD, volume profiles, Bollinger bands, etc. Please feel free to comment or leave suggestions. I am always looking to improve. Thanks.by mgallagher11
LUMN: Update 1 - Potential Reversal For More UpsideLUMN: Update 1 - Potential Reversal For More Upside Targets: $12.58 $13.35 $13.98 Thank you and Good Luck!Longby KlejdiCuniUpdated 202021
TITAN - 5G - Lumen Tech. $LUMN - The 4th Industrial RevolutionI am ultra bullish on Smart cities, AI, edge computing, 5G/6G telecommunications, cybersecurity and AR/VR. Lumen Technologies (CenturyLink) seems to be a sleeping giant that checks all those boxes. Lumen is facing a similar situation as Nokia and Blackberry as value company which is about to enter a second growth cycle, and like Palantir Technologies, it is facing a situation of massive short selling pressure during institutional accumulation. The ruthless manipulation after earnings beat signals to me how bullish institutions are on the company, and the overwhelming (unreasonable) bear sentiment signals that the shakeout is upon us. FA: Highlights: "Lumen Technologies is the only company to win Frost & Sullivan's prestigious 2021 Global New Product Innovation Award". Who are they? - "Lumen brings together the talent, experience, infrastructure and capabilities of CenturyLink, Level 3 and 25+ other technology companies to create a new kind of company—one designed specifically to address the dynamic data and application needs of the 4th Industrial Revolution." - Company website. - Already is the global leader for fiber network. Lumen has the largest ultra-low-loss fiber network in North America with 3.5 million miles of high-capacity. - Owns the world’s most-connected CDN (Content Delivery Network). What do they do? - "Lumen is an enterprise technology platform that enables companies to capitalize on emerging applications and power the 4th Industrial Revolution". They are focused on the 5G/6G sector, which I speculate will see explosive growth soon. - "We integrate network assets, cloud connectivity, security solutions and voice and collaboration tools into one platform that enables businesses to leverage their data and adopt next-generation technologies." - Focused rebranding for edge computing solutions and 5G sector. - Lumen has partnered with VMware to develop cybersecurity software: Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Mitigation, Web Application Firewall (WAF), Bot Risk Management (BRM). - Black Lotus Labs is their threat research arm, the world’s most deeply peered networks and industry-leading endpoint protection and datacenter virtualization. Key Products: - Premises Edge: Tactile Internet, Virtual reality, Augmented reality. - Metro Edge: Smart manufacturing, Video analytics, POS transactions, Retail robotics, IoT. - Cloud Core: AI/ML platforms, Big data analytics, Disaster recovery, SaaS, Cloud storage, Hyperscale environments. Clients: - Salesforce, Zoom are big customers already. Financial Performance: - Growth & Trend shows they are almost profitable: Reported a Net Loss of $1.232 billion for the full year 2020, compared to a Net Loss of $5.269 billion for the full year 2019. Excluding Integration and Transformation Costs and Special Items, reported Net Income was $1.801 billion for the full year 2020 compared to $1.409 billion for the full year 2019. The trend is positive. - Cash Flow Positive. - Invested Capital and Total Assets are decreasing, yet total liabilities and debt decreasing, while CapEx is increasing. - Reduced Net Debt by approximately $1.6 billion and reduced leverage to 3.6x Net-Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA. - For 2021, Lumen has debt obligations of $2.4 Bn still. - However, Lumen had $34.1 Bn of debt in 2020. - LUMN finished the year with $2.9 billion in free cash flow and a requirement of $1.1 billion to meet its dividend obligation. - Insiders & Insider Trading: -0.92% - Institutional Ownership: 79% - About 659 funds hold LUMN, and interestingly enough, while the stock price dumped, Average 13F Ranking has been steadily increasing. This aligns with the Accumulation Distribution model that I presented. - Float: 976.12M. - Short % of Float: 7.51%. - Valuation: 0.97 P/B ratio and 0.64 P/S ratio. Undervalued, by traditional valuations. - Financial Reporting: Solid. - Potential: 5G Market: Market size value in 2020: USD 41.48 Billion Revenue forecast in 2027: USD 664 Billion "The global 5G Applications and Services Market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.8% from 2019 to 2027" (According to 180+ page research report by Fidelity National Financial) - Lumen Technologies should benefit from the growth of the 5G market, so we can expect 25.8% CAGR in revenue from their market share of 5G, and factor in growing market dominance. TA: - Accumulation/Distribution Phases are rather difficult to predict with Elliot Wave Theory, so Dow Theory will be used instead. - Expecting 600%+ move up on breakout. - MACD long term analysis: - Short term outlook: Fib support level, with a big whale buy. Looks ready to move up. - MACD short term bullish divergence: - Stoch RSI indicating possibly one more shakeout: - Historical analysis showing this is likely, if the same whale is in charge: - However, Fib levels indicate that it cannot possibly go much lower! QA: - Interestingly, it would take 5.7 days for shorts to fully cover. It is likely the shorting was used to take the price down from the previous distribution level. Great short squeeze potential. - Naked short selling report collected from FINRA shows that naked short volume was massive in the end of Jan. Most likely to suppress the price at the resistance point. Institutions were not positioned for the breakout yet. - Options flow does not present high gamma squeeze potential, however, the low OI presents a very good long entry. VERDICT: - The company is reducing debt and leverage. This is smart, as there is sentiment that a market correction and stagflation is nearing. - The critical point that investors will need to decide on is if the company can survive such conditions with their remaining debt. At this point, it looks like their debt will soon be eliminated, and they will be profitable. - It is my speculation that in the case of a tech correction, and a rotation into value, tech will still thrive, but it is companies like these - non-speculative, but necessary, will be real winners. A lot of retail excess will be trimmed from unreasonably valued companies. At least some Institutional investors seem to share this sentiment, judging from their accumulation. - This company checks many boxes for me, and looks ready for an explosive move up, so I assign it an S-tier rating. STRATEGY: - Accumulate. - Entry levels: 7.50, 4.00. - Trigger for Long: breakout of falling wedge resistance. - Wave 3 PT: 80.00. - Wave 5 PT: 130.00. I think the Impulse wave 3 target of 80 aligns with the MACD signaling a 600% move-up to come. This is a high probability level. This would put the company's valuation at 86B~, which is not unreasonable, and even still would be undervalued, in my opinion. GL, and if you like the content, give a like, leave a comment, and follow! P.S. Trying to take a more succinct presentation model for DD, based on constructive criticism I have been receiving.Longby UnknownUnicorn1043646Updated 998