When the Skew index rises its an indicator of fear within the stock markets. Usually when the Skew hits $150 or higher investors should be very leary on what is to come. I fear a steep decline is coming very soon. Skew Index is a must in anyones watchlist right next to the VIX. Hope this finds you well.
There's a disparity and an underlying bullish accumulation towards otm puts vs calls. Spread wise you can see call premium vs put premium making more sense to sell upside calls vs downside put spreads.this could be a reflection of earnings but could lead to a outsized distribution. Ie a volatility spike
Skew is the difference in spx iv of equal Delta. like call Delta 30 iv minus put Delta 30 iv. It shows how the oi chain is balanced and underlying psychology. Current rating of 132 I would deem caution. One of the things I look for when playing bearish is a rising skew but falling vvix. Rising skew= odds of an outstated move increase. Falling vvix premium of...
skew (demand for otm puts in spx) has been slumbering, lingering in the background, but growing. from hitting its all time high prior to december meltdown. we're beginning to see the slumbering giant grow meaning the downside weight of spx puts is growing (can see in OI chain). from a vix point of view we may be in contango (futures curve) but we've learned the...
What you think about Skew? is it usable ? or correct?
I tryed to use for this Chart in S&P500
Here the Vidio for using the Skew ( Black Swan Index)
www.youtube.com
www.youtube.com
The SKEW Index is a measure of tail risk - volatility measured from unexpected moves that fall outside 2 standard deviations. It has been erratic as of late, and day-to-day changes are likely more a liquidity reaction.
Much more important is the general trend of the indicator. The 20-day (1 month), 50-day, 100-day average for the risk metric is just off its...
Similar to VIX, the price of S&P 500 tail risk is calculated from the prices of S&P 500 out-of-the-money options. SKEW typically ranges from 100 to 150. A SKEW value of 100 means that the perceived distribution of S&P 500 log-returns is normal, and the probability of outlier returns is therefore negligible. As SKEW rises above 100, the left tail of the S&P 500...
The pro's (SKEW) vs Joe six pack (VIX)......... CBOE SKEW Index values, which are calculated from weighted strips of out-of-the-money S&P 500 options, rise to higher levels as investors become more fearful of a “black swan” event — an unexpected event of large magnitude and consequence.
