Looking for T-Notes to continue the rally in coming months:
It looks like it ended a 5 waves pattern
There is a divergence on the MACD between wave 3 and 5
Their is the 10 year S2 at 105 and an untested demand zone
Historical number of shorts on the T-Notes ( COT: Reportable Non-Commercial Net Positions (Futures Only))
Lower inflation and...
Analysis of yesterday's CME options market transactions shows that the market participants are positive about the prospects of the long bonds, betting on its growth to $111.5 within 20-30 days.
Another reason to get involved in options research analysis. Yesterday and last Friday, 10-year bonds options contracts on the CME were found which have a predictive component in the form of sharp price movement in any direction. Today's 10-Year Bonds chart has fully realized this sentiment, allowing the most informed participants to capitalize well. And did you...
I am seeing a bullish '22 model on Bonds with a clear Original consolidation. I am bullish on bonds for the rest of the quarter. As a result, I am leaning bullish on all assets that directly correlate with bonds & bearish on assets that indirectly correlate with bonds including yields.
The big question everyone is asking today (and yesterday) is "Is the bottom in the bond market?"
So far, following the FOMC decision yesterday, the market seems to think so. And following the jobs report (Non Farm Payroll number) tomorrow, we will probably have a good idea if the bounce is sustainable, or we are about ready to resume the downtrend, and yields...
Hello to all investors, according to my previous studies and according to my experience as a trader, I see a good investment opportunity with a high probability of success, the details are reflected in the graph
In this update we review the recent price action in the US 10yr Note futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objective to target
PAST PERFORMANCE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Short term Elliott Wave view suggests that cycle from 9.1.2023 high in Ten Year Notes ($ZN) remains incomplete. The decline is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 9.1.2023 high, wave 1 ended at 109’19 and rally in wave 2 ended at 110’07. The Notes extended lower in wave 3 as an impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave 2, wave ((i))...
hello trader
Sell point 108.18 TARGET 104.22
Expecting the sell-side targets to be reached sooner or later, this would cause a rise in Interest rates and the prices of commodities and Dollar Index
The 10yr notes market made a big reversal today following the CPI data. And this move could continue following the US retail sales tomorrow as economists are expecting a downtick in US consumer spending. We are far from a reversal, but given the big "outside day" bullish reversal candle near key long term support near the 109'00 level, we could see a much bigger...
I. Bearish Momentum:
The ZN bonds market has recently displayed signs of bearish momentum, with several key indicators pointing towards a potential downturn. One of the most notable factors contributing to this sentiment is the presence of strong seller volume, indicating that there is significant downward pressure on bond prices.
II. Seller Dominance:
Seller...
Despite the fastest rise in interest rates since 1981, and an inverted yield curve where short-term rates are much higher than long-term bond yields, the United States has not (at least yet) experienced the recession forecast by the vast majority of market pundits and economists. Why not?
The relatively few contrarians that did not forecast a recession, including...
