Treasuries are trying to recover after making some nice and deep pullback in last few months as FED decided to wait on more economic data before they may finally cut rates. The pattern on 10 year US notes is looking bullish here after that impulse up since Novemeber, seen as wave (A), so obviously this tells us in which direction market can move after a...
I am now expecting that the 10Y yield to crash and thus the trade here will be to long ZN futures. Please note that what this implies is that rates are coming down and there will be a rotation from equities to fix income and that means equity markets WILL CRASH sooner rather than later.
Tomorrow we will have a lot of information and data given to the market. Everything from the QRA (quarterly refunding announcement) from the Treasury to know what the allocation (or mix) of supply will be for the market between bills/notes/bonds. Then we will have private jobs data from the ADP. Following that we will have the ECI (employment Cost Index), then a...
Treasury bond - 10Y US Notes came down a lot in the last two years but this cycle can now come to an end as we can see five waves down into 2023 lows ona weekly time frame. In fact, we also see five subwaves completed within wave (5) on a daily chart after prices recovered and break above the trendline resistance. The move is strong, thus we think that more upside...
Currently ZN futures are in the buy zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the sell phase.
Updating Jan 2 post after jobless claims
Surprised we saw such a big move after claims
Highlights extreme market positioning for cuts this year
Higher crude supports higher rates move. position hedges middle east volatility
NFP tmrw is wildcard
Remember NFP is wildly volatile
Prefer buying Feb puts as defined risk trade
ZN currently at technical support and rates...
Hello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis I see a great opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the chart, greetings and good luck to all.
ZN1! Upward Trend Tested
Price action breaks trendline, fails to recapture, and settles at support ~112'05
111 next key level
Higher oil supports move lower/higher yields
Long Feb Expiration Puts define risk thru various economic events (NFP, CPI, Fed)
Yesterday, a 10-year bond portfolio was created in the market. The goal is to maximize profit when the price is between $109 and $110 by the expiration date of January 17, 2024. This one requires careful observation.
This is a brief video sharing my thoughts why I think T-Notes have bottomed out.
It is not a full, detailed analysis, but rather a quick video sharing thoughts on 3 + 1 patterns.
Two of these patterns are on the MACD-v , one seasonal and as a "bonus" the historical reaction to changes of Fed Policy.
Hello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis, I see a great sales opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the graph, greetings and good luck to all
billy-billy-no, soros, rothschild, blackrock, rockie and the creepy ghost of kissinger are pumping money, printing as fools and ripping the market off. Therefore we see the t-note really overbought.
Just do the same like these evils and sell puts on ZN1! january contract at 110,25 strike price and fvckthem. Collect the premium.
