METG2022 trade ideas
ETH_cme(futures)-4hetherium may get lower in next weeks and touch our targets.
if you want to take a position,you must wait for good setup for entry and be careful...
Ethereum: Past Successes and Future ChallengesSince its inception in July 2015, Ethereum has undergone a remarkable ascent in value, surging from a mere $0.31 to its current price of $3,000. This represents an extraordinary return on investment of nearly 10,000 times, potentially transforming modest investments into substantial fortunes.
However, the pivotal question remains: does Ethereum still harbor the potential to elevate investors to millionaire status? While Ethereum's past performance speaks volumes, the prospect becomes more ambiguous when considering its future trajectory.
Upon its introduction in 2015, Ethereum held an unrivaled position as the premier smart contract blockchain platform, benefitting from a significant first-mover advantage. It wasn't until 2020, with the emergence of blockchain competitor Solana, that Ethereum faced its first credible challenger.
Consider this scenario: visualize a prominent Silicon Valley tech giant enjoying an unparalleled five-year lead over its rivals. After such a substantial period, it would likely have solidified its dominance in market share, intellectual property, and customer loyalty, appearing virtually invincible.
However, applying this analogy to Ethereum's situation reveals the daunting challenge of replicating its past success. The landscape has evolved considerably since Ethereum's inception, with numerous competitors vying for prominence. Unlike in 2015, Ethereum now contends with formidable competition, with three of the top 15 cryptocurrencies directly challenging its supremacy.
Moreover, enthusiasm for Ethereum's ongoing blockchain upgrades has somewhat diminished. While the 2022 blockchain upgrade, known as The Merge, was undoubtedly impressive—comparable to changing the engine of a plane mid-flight—it also marked a turning point. Although The Merge notably enhanced Ethereum's performance, making it faster, more cost-effective, and efficient in transaction processing, the relentless pursuit of upgrades raises concerns about Ethereum's stability and long-term viability.
Nevertheless, Ethereum's initial promise of delivering 1 million transactions per second remains unfulfilled, with the network relying on a complex array of Layer 2 blockchains to address scalability and functionality issues. The core Ethereum blockchain, known as Layer 1, struggles with speed and efficiency, necessitating several more upgrade cycles to introduce new adjustments and enhancements.
While incremental innovation is commendable, there exists a notable distinction between incremental and truly disruptive innovation. This is where apprehension regarding Ethereum lies. The Merge may have marked the end of disruptive innovation, potentially paving the way for agile competitors to challenge Ethereum's dominance.
Adding to the uncertainty is ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Following The Merge, the SEC has yet to determine whether Ethereum should be classified as a commodity or a security. The transition to a proof-of-stake blockchain could have regulatory implications, particularly concerning the staking process, which some may interpret as an investment with profit expectations derived from others' efforts.
This legal ambiguity holds significant implications for investors, as Bitcoin maximalists revel in Ethereum's regulatory uncertainty. There is a tangible risk that the SEC might classify Ethereum as a security, deterring many investors.
Consider this scenario: achieving millionaire status from a $1,000 investment in cryptocurrency today would necessitate a 1,000-fold return on investment. Consequently, the pivotal question regarding Ethereum's potential as a millionaire-maker cryptocurrency revolves around whether it can appreciate by 1,000 times its current value of $3,000.
Such a monumental rise would imply a staggering $3 million price per Ethereum coin in the foreseeable future. With Ethereum's circulating supply standing at 120 million coins, this would translate to a total market capitalization of $360 trillion—exceeding the current total market capitalization of the S&P 500, which is approximately $50 trillion.
In essence, solely relying on past performance for investment decisions is akin to driving a car while fixating on the rearview mirror. It's imperative to shift focus towards Ethereum's potential to generate value in the future, rather than dwelling on its historical track record.
Now, regarding the volume analysis and the chart provided:
The price of the Future is currently under bearish pressure, characterized by low tick volumes. However, the price is above the 70% retracement from the previous swing, indicating a discount area for potential buying opportunities. Our strategy involves setting buy limits within an area of inefficiency, with stop losses positioned below. We anticipate the price to retrace to the Fair Value Point of Control (POC) and continue its upward trajectory.
$BTC & $ETH trading well, so far.#Crypto has also done well since the call for a rally.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC futures (as usual, pretty consistent, no?) show the better data.
#bitcoin held the Moving Avg & support underneath.
Spot traded beneath Mov Avg, showing a false breakdown.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH bounced, like it's bigger brother.
It looks stronger on Futures vs Spot.
#BTC Shorts covered.
#ETH had the largest short position in long time.
(see profile for more info)
ETH completes the sell off - Halving in BTC will get us ATHSo the Ethereum Futures have finally filled the gap and IMHO we have now completed the bearish correction in the major crypto futures. I am now looking for both BTC and ETH to make higher highs and higher lows on the intraday charts.
With the BTC chart, the volume and triangle/pennant pattern aligned with the correcting over time theory, and the ETH has done something similar. The difference is the weak holders of ETH just got shaken out as they thought today's price action was the start of a sell-off.
For the bears, I would say, we would need to see a decent close at the lows of today's price action and for the volume to be high. From there you would want to see a retest of a high volume area on the profiles and then a decent sell off. I doubt we get that though.
For the bulls, you want to see the current price action as a sweep of the stops below the lows. The filling of the gap means that the algo's have done their job and we need to see confirmation of this with rising volume, higher swing highs and higher swing lows.
If the bulls win, we just buy the dips.
$BTC & $ETH back in Triangle PatternCRYPTOCAP:BTC broke out but it LACKED VOLUME, we brought that up.
Since then, #BTC has come back into the Symmetrical Triangle pattern. IMO it will likely break before next week.
#Bitcoin Money Flow does seem to be creeping up but it's most likely due to the lack of sellers at the moment. It is not real buying.
This is ditto for $ETH.
Shorts are hanging around and are at the highest levels in some time.
This is similar for #ETH.
$BTC and $ETH breaking to the upside atmCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently breaking to the upside.
#BTC RSI is very good, also breaking to the upside.
Volume is the only thing lacking.
What we just said for #Bitcoin also applies to $ETH.
#ETH #ethereum
Ethereum ETH futures gapEthereum ETH futures gap, the red line price is the gap waiting to be filled, the nearby price will be filled recently, and the low price will be filled later.
book sweep 🍒last post:
one from 2022:
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there's many ways to label this run,
but it will under no circumstances be labeled as an impulse.
it's not a bullish nest,
and it's not 5 waves up.
chop city,
that's all it is.
ralph nelson elliott would look at this and snicker,
tongue in cheek at what's about to come.
---
now that the boomers are in,
we're going to run it down,
and the boomers are going to panic sell everything.
---
calling this move a double zig-zag,
subdivided into a 3-3-3.
abc from the 2022 high,
wxy from the 2022 low to the 2024 high,
followed by an abc \ wxy down to about 900 usdt, into 2025.
the move will happen quickly,
because this time, the common mans average is near the highs.
---
1129
☿
🍒
ETH Building an Investment Portfolio Building an Investment Portfolio: A Complete Guide to Managing Your Finances
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Assess Your Risk Tolerance:
Risk tolerance is an important factor to consider when building an investment portfolio. Are you willing to take on higher risks for potentially higher returns, or do you prefer a more conservative strategy? Assessing your risk tolerance will help you determine the appropriate asset allocation for your portfolio.
Diversify Your Portfolio:
Diversification is key to mitigating risk in your investment portfolio. By investing in a variety of asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities, you can reduce volatility and protect your capital against significant losses. Additionally, consider diversifying within each asset class to add an extra layer of protection.
Choose the Right Investments:
Once you have defined your goals, assessed your risk tolerance, and diversified your portfolio, it's time to select the right investments. Research different investment options, such as mutual funds, individual stocks, corporate bonds, and ETFs, and choose those that align with your goals and investment strategy.
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Building an investment portfolio is just the first step; it's equally important to regularly monitor your portfolio and make adjustments as needed. Rebalance your portfolio periodically to maintain the desired asset allocation and take advantage of new investment opportunities that may arise in the market.
Conclusion:
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BTC Leads, ETH follows, Altcoins right behind, true?We hear that CRYPTOCAP:BTC runs 1st.
Then CRYPTOCAP:ETH follows.
Then #altcoins lag showing the biggest gains.
Let's see how true that is
Early 2021 Chart:
1 Extended #BTC a little bit more on the left to show that there was a run already in progress.
2 #Bitcoin led the rally & it also TOPPED earlier.
Took #ETH a little longer to run. It topped later. It also sold off faster than its counterpart.
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit a mid April peak
CRYPTOCAP:ETH hit a mid May peak
ETH fell faster & coincided with BTC on all bottoms, shown in the yellow box.
#Ethereum resumed run was bigger, but was in conjunction with #Bitcoin.
#BTC made a higher high on this run.
However, while the #ETH run was bigger, peaking a month later both times, it made a lower high.
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CRYPTOCAP:ETH bottomed right above 1k in Mid June - July & tested this in Nov.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC bottomed at a lower price in November.
Both put higher lows in the middle of March.
Since then:
#ETH has done a 4x!
#BTC has done 4.5x & has new ATH!
The #Bitcoin performance is pretty much the same but the technical is better.
#Ethereum is still under the ATH & resistance is currently stopping.
***So far:
The early 2021 run shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC was a clear leader, topped before $ETH.
Later in the year, #BTC peaked first BUT did manage to make another high while #ETH did not.
During bear market, the clear performer was #ethereum. It managed to bottom first, before BTC.
#Bitcoin has similar performance in returns in similar time frames but has been more impressive technically.
***
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CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH
#altcoins follow similar trajectory to #ETH in early 2021 but outperformed it by a very good amount.
The second half of #altcoinseason wasn't as strong as the first half but still outperformed #ethereum & coincided with patterns again.
Smaller caps weakened first showing a loss for risk appetite.
-----------------
#Altcoins perform more like CRYPTOCAP:BTC come August 2022.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 bottomed a month AFTER #BTC. This is shown in the yellow box.
Since then, as a whole, smaller caps have severely underperformed #bitcoin
& #ethereum by 50%!
Granted, those in the right sectors have done well. Sectors like #AI #CryptoGaming & #memecoin.
-----------------
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at an ATH
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is 20% away from its previous all time high.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = is a whopping 50% from its all time high!
*******Conclusion*******
Not sure of the narrative being pushed for the last 2 years is correct. At least in reference to #altcoins as a whole.
If you're in right sectors, yes, it is great! However, looking at the the data shows that most previous winners are severely lagging.
Examples are CRYPTOCAP:BNB CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BIST:LINK
Hope you enjoyed this & get something out of it.
(Very hard to show all this data here, Please see our profile for more data)
Not much of a pause for the ether rocketEthereum has had quite a run over the past six weeks. Yesterday's tiny pullback seems to have just set the stage for a further advance. This echoes the price action that prevailed until late summer 2022.
From Labor Day 2022 until the end of January 2024, sideways price action gave Ethereum traders almost as many opportunities to be whipsawed as to make profits.
A second-stage advance will find us adding to our long position if Ethereum can manage to hold above 3650 or so. If we do load the boat, we'll be ready to reverse on a pullback below 3450.
Ethereum CME Futures Gap UpEthereum CME Futures testing Gap Up Support Resistance levels.
Also Fibonacci 55% Retracement Level , First Touch Price Rejection.
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We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
Three corrective waves are enough and continue? Deeper correctivDear Friends,
I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions.
The first analysis is Litecoin
In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily).
I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished.
Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
Sell ethr at 21450 on stop if filled stop 24910, tgt 19960Sell ethr at 21450 on stop
if filled stop 24910, tgt 1996. Based on technical level.
ETHUSDTLevel - 2306.56
Looks long
We stayed at the level, saved up, now I’m looking forward to reaching the goal of 2389.15
Buy Feb ether 24736 limit, stop at 23003Looking to take advantage of the higher volatility in the bitcoin family, buy Feb ether 24736 limit, stop at 23003
ETHEREUM FUTURES The CME GAP is finally filled, but I am still concerned about the RSI hidden bearish divergence on the weekly chart.
$ETH holding better than $BTC but for how long?One of our #ETH TARGETS has been hit. The Gap is FILLED!
CRYPTOCAP:ETH doesn't look as bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC but it is weakening.
Keep an eye on #Ethereum volume. Very important short term.
As we've been saying for some time now, #ETF , or institutions, are NOT what #crypto is about & makes it easier to manipulate #crypto. It is what it is now.
On ETF news, this might be built in already.
$ETH ETF news but it has held well regardlessCRYPTOCAP:ETH has been hovering around Major Resistance for some time and it has certainly held well.
There's a tiny downtrend but this can easily be broken today & on HEAVY VOLUME.
#ETH RSI & $ Flow are looking petty good, not bad at all.
1st target called long ago was 2300.
Next target is the Gap fill and that sits around 25-2600.
Then the final target would be 50% Fib level, putting #ethereum at 3000. Might pause around there for a bit again.
#crypto #ETF
