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ES - 10/6 & Week 41The highest timeframe is a weekly box in grey A daily red box is last friday's high , low and median range 4hr timeframe levels and trends are in orange 1hr timeframe is yellow and 15min timeframe levels are blue. Strength should favor the higher timeframe. BS and FS levels are support Inv. BS and Inv. FS levels are resistance. It all paints a fractal story through time if you put it all together. This is the science of Technical Analysis - 4 candles create 6 levels that evolve through timeframes which can be navigated with if/ then statements making the the system methodical and data driven.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by StudyGuideTA
ES - October 7th - Daily Trading Plan October 7th- 6:45am EST *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I am not going to go into detail on yesterday's trade plan and price action as we are in the same area, and the levels are pretty much the same for today. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Today's Plan - We have 6783 as our first support with an overnight high of 6792 and overnight low of 6774. Yesterday, I was able to grab points from the reclaim of the 6772 level. We have a straight-forward plan for today. Ideally, we can pull back and close the 6763 level, reclaim 6768,6772 and move up the levels. IF, price can reclaim 6792, we should retest 6800 and potentially move up to the weekly targets. Highest quality setups are the following: 1. Flush 6774 and reclaim for a move higher 2. Flush 6767 and reclaim for a move higher 3. Flush of 6753 and reclaim for a move higher 4. Flush of 6741 and reclaim for a move higher These are the 3 main levels; I am looking to grab points from. Key Support Levels - 6774, 6767, 6763, 6753, 6747, 6741, 6720, 6705 Key Resistance Levels - 6792, 6800, 6807+ IF, price rallies above 6792 (Overnight High) and then comes back into the overnight range after the NYSE Open, and ES starts to sell off fast, DO NOT try and RUSH into grabbing points. Wait for it to build a base at one of the levels outlined above. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
ES (S&P 500) Futures - Analyses, KeyZones, Setups Tue, (Oct 7)Context We’re sitting just under a shallow ceiling built around 6,785–6,805 after holding a higher-low near 6,766. Trend is still constructive on higher timeframes, but intraday momentum is chopping under that overhead band. Expect two-way trade early with directional follow-through only if one of the edges gives way. Session timing • NY AM window: 9:30–11:00 ET (primary) • Lunch manage-only: 12:00–13:00 ET • NY PM window: 13:30–16:00 ET (primary continuation/reversal window) Catalyst windows (be alert for volatility bursts) • 8:30 ET — morning data drop • ~10:00–11:00 ET — speaker risk window • 13:00 ET — rates/auction impact window Primary setups (Level-KZ style, 15m→5m→1m sequence) 1. Break-and-defend LONG (continuation) Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,785–6,786 (R1). Execute: 5m pullback holds above 6,782 and re-closes up; 1m higher-low entry. Risk: Hard SL beyond the 15m trigger wick (±0.25–0.50). Targets: 6,797–6,805 (R2), then 6,820–6,835 (R3). If R3 converts to support, trail for 6,860–6,875 (R4). Idea: Turn the shelf into a floor and ride the expansion. 2. Quick-reclaim LONG (bounce) at S1/S2 Trigger: Liquidity sweep into 6,775–6,772 or 6,766–6,760, then a 15m close back above the level. Execute: 5m re-close up + 1m pop-and-go. Targets: First magnet 6,782–6,786; stretch 6,797–6,805. Notes: Works best in NY AM; avoid if we grind down into the level slowly. 3. Failure-to-defend SHORT (rotation down) Trigger: 15m body close below 6,775, then 5m lower-high under 6,775 that can’t reclaim. Execute: Sell the 1m pop-and-fail under the re-test. Targets: 6,766–6,760 → 6,742–6,735; leave a runner for 6,724–6,715 if momentum expands. Invalidation: Any 15m reclaim and hold back above 6,782 kills the idea. 4. Pop-and-fail SHORT at R3 (fade the cap) Trigger: First push into 6,820–6,835 stalls (upper wicks on 15m), then a 5m lower-high below the spike. Execute: 1m rejection entry with risk tucked above the wick. Targets: 6,805 → 6,785; runner for 6,766 if breadth flips risk-off. Notes: Don’t overstay; if buyers “walk it up” and print strong closes through 6,835, flip bias to continuation (Setup 1 extension). Price Roadmap for the Day So, here’s how to roll with today’s market. Path A — Range to Upside Break: First up, we want to stay above 6,775 early on. If we can turn 6,785 into dependable support, we're looking to push towards 6,797–6,805. If buyers defend that re-test, we might see a move up to 6,820–6,835. Control shifts to buyers when that range becomes support, and that opens up the possibility of hitting 6,860–6,875 later in the PM session. Path B — Failure from the Ceiling: Now, if we spike into 6,820–6,835 but can’t hold it, then a lower high under 6,805 could take control back to sellers. That sets us up for a drop to 6,785 and maybe even 6,766, with 6,742–6,735 acting like a “magnet pocket” if momentum kicks in. Path C — Data/Auction Shock: Keep an eye out for any sharp moves around 8:30 or 13:00 that blast through key levels. In these scenarios, wait for a 5-minute re-test to see if it holds (which means the trend continues) or fails (pointing to a potential reversal). Don’t chase that initial spike; let the market prove it can stick at the level first. Stay sharp!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Day 45 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$4,921 | Best Day YetDay 45 — one of my best days yet. After a big workout weekend, I came in with strong mental clarity. Right at 8:30, VX Algo flipped bullish, and I went long off the 9am MOB zone premarket. Got stop hunted right after the open, but risk was small, so I reloaded on the next setup — a 5-min MOB long with confirming buy signals — and that’s where the day took off. Lesson & Mindset The lesson today: preparation and mindset matter more than anything. When your body and mind are in sync, execution becomes automatic. News & Levels Headline: AMD and OpenAI spark a wild tech rally as S&P 500 hits another record. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6765 stay bullish, below 6740 flip bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES1!: Trading range and Levels for Oct 6 - 7 Haven't shared day trading levels in a while. Here are the levels for ES1! that I am watching. The labels correspond to the probability of hitting based on the condition of passing one level. For example, ES1! has crossed below 6,784, putting at hit of 6,773 at 85%. If it crosses below that, the next level has an 89% chance of hitting, etc. etc. Not advice, just sharing levels for your reference if you're interested. As always, safe trades!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Steversteves
8
How to Use The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in TradingViewMaster RSI using TradingView’s charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, spot divergences, and confirm the strength of trends. What You’ll Learn: Understanding RSI: a momentum oscillator plotted from 0 to 100 Key thresholds: how readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions and below 30 suggest oversold conditions Why RSI signals are not automatic buy/sell triggers, and how strong trends can keep RSI extended for long periods Spotting bullish and bearish price divergences Using RSI to confirm trends How to add RSI on TradingView via the Indicators menu Understanding the default inputs and how changing them affects the indicator Example on the E-mini S&P 500 futures: how RSI dipping below 30 and crossing back above can highlight momentum shifts Combining RSI with other analysis for better confirmation Practical applications across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to swing setups This tutorial will benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate RSI into their trading strategies. The concepts covered may help you identify momentum shifts, potential reversal points, and confirmation of trend strength across different markets Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Optimus Futures
ES - October 6th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 6th- 7:45am EST *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In Friday's trade plan I was looking for the following levels: 1. 6772 test and reclaim the 6777 level to test the overnight highs and levels above. 2. 6758, flush and reclaim to take us back up the levels Around 8:45am we lost 6772, built a nice base and reclaimed the 6772 level and moved higher to 6800, which was our weekly high. 1:14pm - Update This will be my last update of the day before I leave my desk for the weekend. I did want to point out that we have met our main weekly targets and price started selling off at the 6800 level. Price needs to hold 6777 and reclaim 6788 to continue higher. As of writing, Tech is in the red and the VIX is green around 17.83. IF, price does lose 6777, I believe we will need to test the 6756 area as next good spot to get points. IF, price gets much lower, the Failed Breakdown of yesterday's low around 6741 and reclaim of 6745 would be a good spot also. I have no idea what the market will do this afternoon. IF, you have made money today, shut down the computer and do something else. IF, you have made money this week and lost money today, shut down the computer and do something else. DO NOT have FOMO and think you can trade long and short. You might get lucky a few times, but it is a retail traders' nightmare that causes accounts to blow up. As I always say, there are 250 days in a year. You will have good setups next week! IF, you still have a trade left in you, my opinion would be to wait for the 6756 or 6741 area, I have discussed above. What happened in the afternoon? around1:45pm we flushed down to 6753, reclaimed the overnight low at 6758 and got a nice pop to 6780 and then pulled back before the close. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Today's Plan - We have 6783 as our first support with an overnight gap up at 6763 that has still to be filled and the overnight high of 6794. We have a straight-forward plan for today. Ideally, we can pull back and close the 6763 level, reclaim 6768,6772 and move up the levels. IF, price can reclaim 6789, we should retest 6800 and potentially move up to the weekly targets. Highest quality setups are the following: 1. Flush of 6753 and reclaim for a move higher 2. Flush of 6741 and reclaim for a move higher 3. Flush 6763 and reclaim for a move higher These are the 3 main levels; I am looking to grab points from. Key Support Levels - 6772, 6763, 6753, 6747, 6741, 6720, 6705 Key Resistance Levels - 6794, 6800, 6807+ IF, price rallied above 6794 (Overnight High) and then comes back into the overnight range after the NYSE Open, and ES starts to sell off fast, DO NOT try and RUSH into grabbing points. Wait for it to build a base at one of the levels outlined above. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
3
ES (SPX, SPY) Weekly Game Plan (Oct 6–10)Big Picture Price is leaning into the 6,788–6,800 ceiling after a steady grind higher. Underneath, you’ve got stacked shelves: 6,778, 6,771/6,760, and 6,754. Lose that 6,754 floor and there’s an air pocket toward the 6,720s → 6,680s demand band. Expect rotations until the market either gets above 6,800 and sticks (trend-up week) or gets swatted back (rotate lower into value). Weekly Bias & Likely Paths Base case: Rotational around 6,788–6,800 until proven otherwise. Bull path: Get above 6,800 and stick → pit stops 6,818–6,825 (TP1) → 6,856–6,862 (TP2) → stretch 6,895–6,905. Bear path: Pop-and-fail at 6,800 → drift to 6,778 → 6,771/6,760 → 6,754. Trend-down only if we close below 6,754 and fail the check-back, opening the 6,720s → 6,680s window. Tomorrow’s Playbook — Level-KZ Protocol (15/5/1) (NY AM window 09:30–11:00 ET; PM window 13:30–16:00 ET. Two tries per level max.) Pop-and-Go LONG over 6,800 (Tier-1, full size) Trigger: 15m close above 6,800 → 5m holds 6,788–6,792 and re-closes up → 1m higher high to enter. Entry: 6,799–6,804 on the re-break. Stop: Below the 15m trigger wick −0.5. • Targets: TP1 6,818–6,825, TP2 6,856–6,862, TP3 6,895–6,905. Management: No partials before TP1. At TP1 take ~70%, set runner to BE, no trail until TP2. Time-stop 45–60m if flat. Pop-and-Fail SHORT at 6,788–6,800 (Tier-1, full size) Trigger: Wick above 6,800 that can’t stick → 15m close back under 6,788, 5m confirms down → 1m lower high to enter. Entry: 6,786–6,792. Stop: Above the rejection wick +0.5. • Targets: TP1 6,778, TP2 6,771.5–6,760.5, TP3 6,754 → 6,742. Note: If TP1 prints in <10m, take ~50%, consider re-adding on a 5m LH. Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG at 6,758–6,754 (Tier-2, ¾ size) Trigger: Flush into 6,758–6,754 that snaps back → 15m close back over 6,760, 5m holds → 1m HL entry. Entry: 6,758–6,762. Stop: 6,749–6,752 (below the sweep low −0.5). • Targets: TP1 6,778, TP2 6,788, TP3 6,800. Continuation SHORT under 6,754 (Tier-1, full size) Trigger: 15m body under 6,754 plus a failed check-back into 6,754 on 5m. Entry: 6,751–6,754 on the failed retest. Stop: 6,762. • Targets: TP1 6,736–6,728, TP2 6,720–6,700, TP3 6,685–6,680. Price Action Road Map for NY Trading Session Opening Analysis: - We'll begin by monitoring if the price can hold above the 6,788 level. If it does, look for a push toward 6,800. If the price gets rejected at this level, we will shift our strategy to Scenario B. Bearish Scenario: - If the price slips below 6,760, anticipate a potential stop run targeting the 6,758 to 6,754 range. Response Strategies - If we observe a quick snap back from this region, be prepared to target the VWAP area, along with revisiting the 6,788 and 6,800 levels. - Should we fail to reclaim these higher levels, prepare for a move down towards the 6,720s and potentially the 6,680s. Afternoon Strategy: - In the afternoon session, if we establish a clear comfort zone during the morning, consider fading the extremes until we see a definitive 15-minute body break from this zone. Stay focused on these levels and remain adaptable to the market's behavior throughout the session. Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Stock Indexes Ride Momentum Despite Political RiskSeptember was a month of resilience for U.S. equities. Despite fears of a government shutdown, mixed economic data, and cautious signals from the Fed, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones managed to hold their ground. Early in the month, strong corporate earnings and cooling inflation data fuelled optimism, sending tech stocks higher as investors bet on a soft landing. But that momentum was repeatedly tested — hawkish Fed remarks and political gridlock triggered waves of volatility, trimming gains into month’s end. By the final week, investors had shifted focus from fear to fundamentals: easing inflation, steady consumer spending, and falling yields offered just enough support to keep the rally alive. It wasn’t a runaway month, but the message was clear — Wall Street is learning to thrive in uncertainty.
CME_MINI:ESZ2025
by LegendSince
ES - Weekly Trading Plan - October 5th-11thOctober 5th - 11:30am EST We had a great week, and Institutions continued to buy and keep price moving higher. We reached our weekly targets of 6767, 6792, 6801. (You can read last week's trade plan under the related publications section) Our weekly low was around 6680 on Wednesday and we reached our weekly high of 6801 on Friday afternoon before pulling back into the close. We have continued to find buyers in the 6748-56 range, and we really need to hold the 6750 level, or we will need to pull back further for us to find liquidity to move higher. Ideally, we pull back to the 6720-25 level and then continue higher. IF, we lose the 6705 level, we will most likely need to retest last week's low at 6680-85. Key Support Levels - 6750-54, 6740, 6730, 6719, 6705, 6685 Key Resistance Levels - 6772, 6780, 6800 Weekly Targets - 6807, 6813, 6827, 6840+ Our first level at the overnight session to flush and reclaim would be Friday's low of 6753. This area has been tested multiple times this week and we should get another leg higher before losing this level. IF, price does lose 6753, we would need to look at 6741 to be flushed and reclaimed, 6732, 6720 are 2 other levels below to be looking for flush and reclaims. I will post my Daily Trade Plan by 6am EST Monday, so that we can allow price action to tell us what it is trying to do. IF, you do trade the overnight session, the 6753 reclaim should be bullish and is the first area, I am looking for. (I post a more detailed daily plan, and this allows me to focus on price action daily. The weekly plan is a bigger picture overview, but obviously that can change at any time based on daily price action) - *Follow me so you don't miss my daily updates --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Purple Levels - Weekly High/Low Green Levels - Weekly Targets Yellow Levels - Daily Key Levels (See Daily Trade Plan) White - Trendlines that may produce support/resistance alongside the horizontal trendlines
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
3
A look at the MES1! (SPX)Chart Time Frame: 1 Hour Current Price: 6763 after setting recent ATH at 6800 Daily Candle: Top Heavy Doji with open / close entire in the body of previous candle. 📈 Price Action & Technical Analysis EMA 8 (thin cyan): ~6733 – Above price. Negative Slope. EMA 21 (med cyan): ~6775 – Above price and EMA 8. Negative Slope. Rotation zone created on 1H and lower TF (EMA 8 crossed EMA 21). Crossover has not happened on higher TF's at time of post. EMA 50 (thick cyan): ~6765 – Above current price; Flattening out. Structure: Bullish Trending since April lows. 📈 RSI (14 Close) Current: 43 (57 MA) Interpretation: Below neutral (50), momentum is weakening. 📈 MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD Line: 1; Signal Line: 4.2; Histogram: -3.2 Interpretation: MACD is growing bearish, histogram showing increasing intensity, yet still above 0. 🎯 Key Levels Support: various possible trend lines shown (Purple). Price action Monday will determine their validity. Swing low at 6681. Resistance: Overhead moving averages. ATH at 6800. 🧨 Volatility Outlook VIX - After a decline, showing signs of inflection. Currently trending upwards on the daily TF. Government shutdown and headline risk are of some concern to short term price action. Short Term: A sudden opening of the government could certainly cause a bullish event. I could also imagine certain headlines that would cause a short term bearish event. Longer term: govt shut downs have typically preceded bullish gains. 📈Macro/Fundamental Analysis Interpretation: We are in between earnings seasons and with a Gov shutdown, void of Gov Data. DXY - Pulled back significantly this year. I personally expect it to continue. This could provide a tail wind to equities pricing. 📆 Economic Calendar / Earnings Schedule Econ Calendar: Relatively Light Next Week Wednesday - 3PM EST - FOMC Minutes. Dot Plot could cause some action as the minutes are dissected. Friday - 10AM - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report. A big miss (up or down) could cause some action. 🔍 Summary 🔻 Trend: Long bull run - might be getting stale; Might just be getting started. You decide. 🧩 Momentum: Very high on longer TFs, Turning down on the lower. 🧠 Tactics: Short Term - I love a 'rotation zone trade'. If price bounces back up into the EMA 21/8 spread zone, I would be looking for some day trade shorts.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by WillNixTrading
S&P 500 Futures: Trend Intact, Nothing Suggesting a Top YetDaily chart view on ES (S&P 500 Futures) — the trend remains extremely clean with price holding well above the 5, 10, 20, and 50 MAs. Each pullback has been shallow and met with strong buying, confirming that momentum and structure are still fully bullish. There’s currently nothing on the chart suggesting exhaustion — no sign of distribution, chop, or weakness through the MA stack. Context across higher timeframes continues to support further upside, and the market structure suggests we could easily continue much higher from here. “Do you think this trend still has legs, or are we close to topping out?” “Which path do you see next — Option A or Option B?” “Are you still buying dips here, or starting to look for reversal signs?” Bias: Bullish continuation
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SirCharIes
2
MES (S&P 500 Futures) – Next Week Setup | 4H + 1H ConfluenceDescription / Analysis: Here’s my structured outlook for MES (Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures) going into next week. 4H Chart Outlook Trend: 4H structure remains in an overall uptrend (higher lows). Reaction: Price has just tapped into a 4H POI (supply / major reversal zone). Retracement Context: After rejecting from this supply, the market has started to retrace lower. Key Levels: i. 4H demand zones and OBs remain below (6,690–6,700 area). ii. Major Bull Reversal Zone sits deeper at 6,670–6,690. 1H Chart Outlook Trend: 1H shows a lower high and shift into short-term downtrend. Confluence: i. 1H and 4H fair value gaps overlap near 6,735–6,745 (likely magnet). ii. Previous demand zones align below. Plan: i. Wait for price to test into 1H/4H overlap demand and observe for reversal. ii. Entry refinement can be done on the 15M timeframe with BOS/CHOCH confirmation. Trade Plan 1. Primary Setup (Bullish): Entry: 4H + 1H demand/FVG overlap zone. Confirmation: 1H reversal, refine entry on 15M. Target: Fill 1H FVG zone above (around 6,780–6,790). 2. Alternative Scenario: If price runs deeper into the Major Bull Reversal Zone (6,670–6,690), wait for 1H reversal and refine entry on 15M. This scenario becomes valid only if lower demand is tagged. Confluence Rules Applied 4H trend context is bullish. 1H confirms retracement and sets demand/FVG overlap zone. 15M provides entry timing. Trade structure follows: BOS → Retrace → POI → Entry. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal market view. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and use proper risk management when trading.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by nfsmohi
Day 44 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$2,542 Quick WinsI followed the bullish flips and buy signals right after the open, took longs, and hit profit targets quickly. There was also a clean backtest bounce at the MOB around 9:42. After those trades, I locked in +$2,542 across all accounts and stepped away for meetings — avoiding the noise and chop that came later. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6755 = Stay Bullish Below 6740 = Flip Bearish 📰 News Highlights UBS RAISES GOLD, SILVER PRICE FORECASTS AGAIN
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - October 3rd - Daily Trading PlanOctober 3rd - 7:22am EST *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ In our Daily Trade Plan yesterday, I wrote the following: "IF, price rallies above 6775 (Overnight High) and then comes back into this range after the NYSE Open, and ES starts to sell off fast, DO NOT try and RUSH into grab points. Wait for it to build a base at one of the levels outlined above." Our first levels we were looking for opportunities at - 1. 6755 is a level that should have some liquidity to at least grab some points to the 6764 level. 2. 6744-46 could produce some points and any reclaim of 6755 would be bullish 2. 6737 is a level that could produce some points to retest the 6755 overnight low What happened at the Open? We had rallied past the 6775 level, dipped back in and then sold off. There were some points to be had at 6755, but this happened pretty quickly and was when price was selling off pretty fast. I waited on the 6744 level. You can see my note at 11:10am on the Daily Trade Plan. Then price dipped below 6744 to 6741, squeezed and made a slow grind into the 6755 level. I said, IF, price reclaims 6755 that would be bullish. We reclaimed around 1:30pm and back tested in the overnight session at 6758 and have rallied since. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's discuss today's plan! The overnight session met another weekly target at 6788 our overnight high. The overnight low is 6758. Our immediate support is 6777, Ideally, we can get a dip down to test the 6772 level, reclaim 6777 and then rally to 6798, 6806. Other area's we can look for points are the following: 1. 6772 test and reclaim the 6777 level to test the overnight highs and levels above. 2. 6758, flush and reclaim to take us back up the levels 3. 6737-39 flush and reclaim of 6741 to retest the levels IF, price rallies above 6788 (Overnight High) and then comes back into this range after the NYSE Open, and ES starts to sell off fast, DO NOT try and RUSH into grab points. Wait for it to build a base at one of the levels outlined above. Personally, I will not be chasing price at these levels and will be patiently waiting on price to come back to one of the levels outlined for an opportunity to take some points today. I will post an update around 10am EST. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
4
Market on Fire: S&P 500 & Nasdaq Rally Towards New HighsWe have a beautiful P-Shape volume profile formed at the top and we broke and closed above it. The P-shape volume profile is bullish profile that is formed when large volumes are transacted at the highs meaning participants a willing to pay premium price . You can see the POC so close to the top of the VAH I checked the CVD of the volume on a footprint chart and i see the volume has -ve Delta , which means alot of aggressive sellers transacted there trying to push the price down. Now that they are being squeezed slowly and start closing out their positions, it should fuel the uptrend. i entered the trade soon as we broke and closed above the value area. Food for thought.. Who was willing to pay the high price to buy from the aggressive sellers? DEFINITIONS POC- point of control VAH- Value area high CVD- Cumulative Volume Delta Target is the ExoFade area..Lets see how this trade goes
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by ExoProtocol
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups for Fri, (Oct 3)08:30 Employment Situation (NFP, unemployment rate, wages) is scheduled, per BLS release calendar. Note: multiple outlets report the federal shutdown may delay key reports, including payrolls—treat 08:30 as tentative. 10:00 ISM Services PMI (third business day @ 10:00). Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1) Kill-zones (ET): London 02:00–05:00 (optional), NY AM 09:30–11:00 (primary), NY PM 13:30–16:00 (primary). Stops: Hard SL anchored to the relevant 15m wick ±0.25–0.50 pts. Targets: TP1 = major opposing level. At TP1: close 70%, set runner 30% to BE; runner aims TP2→TP3. No trail before TP2. Time-stop: 45–60m if neither TP1 nor SL hits. Max 2 attempts per level per session. Acceptance Continuation — LONG (Tier-1 A++) Trigger: 15m body-through acceptance above 6,788 → 5m pullback holds ≥6,782 and re-closes up → 1m HL entry. Entry: 6,784–6,788 reclaim. SL: ~6,778 (below trigger wick). TPs: 6,800 → 6,810 → 6,822–6,830. Invalidation: 15m close back inside ≤6,782. 3) Quick-Reclaim Bounce at PDL — LONG (Tier-2 A+) Trigger: Sweep 6,742–6,746, instant reclaim with 5m close back above 6,746 → 1m HL entry. Entry: 6,744–6,746 after reclaim. SL: 6,737–6,739 (below sweep low). TPs: 6,762 → 6,774 → 6,786. Sizing: Tier-2 (¾ size). 4) Breakdown & Hold — SHORT (Trend/Acceptance) Trigger: 15m acceptance below 6,742, 5m pullback fails ≤6,742 and re-closes down. Entry: 6,740–6,742. SL: 6,748–6,750. TPs: 6,725 → 6,710 → 6,695. Invalidation: 15m close back inside ≥6,748. === Rejection Fade at PDH — SHORT (Tier-1 A++) Trigger: First touch 6,786–6,788 fails; 15m rejection close back inside ≤6,782, 5m lower-high + re-close down → 1m LH entry. Entry: 6,782–6,786. SL: 6,791–6,794 (above rejection wick). TPs: 6,762 → 6,746 → 6,725. Invalidation: 15m body > 6,788. PA Thoughts: Overnight (Asia/London): Looking at the base case rotation between 6,758 and 6,786. I’ll be fading the edges on the first touch of this range (Setups 2/3). A break and acceptance beyond these edges would open up potential targets—6,800 to the upside and 6,725 to the downside. If the Asia session pushes into the R2 and faces rejection, I’ll look for a lower high back toward S1. However, if we see acceptance above, expect a grind toward 6,800–6,810. NY AM (09:30–11:00): Depending on the 08:30 data release, be prepared for potential fast, one-sided movement. I plan to stay on the sidelines until we see a 15-minute acceptance at R2/S2, then I’ll execute Setup 1 for an upward move or Setup 4 for a downward trend. If the data comes in delayed or shows benign results, anticipate the first impulse to shift to 10:00, and I’ll apply the same acceptance strategy at the nearest edge. NY PM (13:30–16:00): If we hold above 6,788 from the AM session, I’ll target the 6,800–6,810 range and manage runners toward 6,822–6,830 as we approach the close. Conversely, if the AM session fails between 6,786 and 6,788, I expect to see lower highs towards 6,758 and possibly down to 6,746. A clean break below 6,742 would open the door for a slide to 6,725.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
Day 43 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Fresh RecordsDay 43 of Trading Only S&P Futures is done — and despite fighting through the flu, I finished +$1,069 across all accounts. The morning was tough with negative gamma and a few bad trades, but patience was the difference-maker. Once bullish structure aligned with positive gamma, I trusted my levels, bought the dip at MOB, and it worked out beautifully. 📰 News Highlights DOW, S&P 500 AND NASDAQ CLINCH FRESH RECORDS 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6745 = Stay Bullish Below 6730 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST