Was in a number of private discussions over this week, and noted that there appears to be some dynamics in motion currently.
Quick note that the Singapore 6th COVID wave is pretty turned over, according to the data provided publicly. It was a smaller wave compared to previously, as expected.
However, the neighbouring Indonesia is currently in the midst of a wave...
While the trend is currently down, the rate of its decline is tapering off.
This model also projects that by Jan 2022, Indonesia will see a next wave.
This is suggested by the MACD histograms projected trajectory on the weekly chart.
We check in again next month and see if it is following the trajectory drawn...
Meanwhile, IF they are tracking this, it would...
Previously projected to explode in mid-June, with clear media coverage about the next wave.
Today, the last day of June, in the media - I ndonesia's COVID-19 situation nears 'catastrophe', says Red Cross
The model here is good at projecting with at least a 4 weeks lead time for potential waves. This was previously demonstrated for a couple of countries and all...
Just barely a week after the last update, the rate of spread (and detection) has hit 20,000 per day !
And according to the Weekly chart (not shown here), the MACD Histograms cross over this week! This means that there is a lot more momentum for this wave to grow. Much more so given the lack of effective measures implemented and enforced. A overwhelming shutdown...
Presuming that the testing is done properly, the daily chart is indicating that the next COVID wave is upon Indonesia in its initial stages already.
Mid-June 2021 should see the wave hit the shores hard, and media coverage appear then...
Stay safe and be well my Indonesian friends!
Was just speaking to a friend in Jakarta. As expected it is getting worse, and hospitals are about 90% max capacity. the chart had projected the wave since 24 May.
And now is projecting that by mid-July 2021, it would have exploded and overflowing.
Just compiling a snapshot chart of the COVID-19 confirmed cases of US, SG, MY and ID.
These charts are avail in TradingView and if you are worried about the situation getting better or worse, you can use the MACD to give an indication.
Remember that these charts track the Confirmed cases, so the charts will only increase, else flatline.
Here we see how SG has...
