The four phases of the Wyckoff cycle are as follows: Accumulation, where stocks are acquired by large investors during a period of sideways movement; Markup, which represents an uptrend in prices; Distribution, characterized by sideways movement as large investors sell off their stock holdings; and Markdown, indicating a period of downtrend. Currently, DWCPF...
Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) S-Fund DWCPF: strong support found in the 1740-1760 range. Despite that, I am still not entirely convinced that this is out of the woods just yet. Still confronted with a distribution zone above. Could we see a potential inverse head and shoulder on this daily chart? I can see a crude one. For more information on why I am still in a...
A few things to consider, on the macro side of the house: Jerome Powell, while ambiguous, did not distance the fed from a potential longer rate hike cycle, nor did he commit to the current terminal rate. 25 BPS and high employment inclines me to believe that inflation will go up MoM. On the technical side of the house, the highlighted area is where we've seen...
On August 18th, I moved all my funds, in the Thrift Savings Plan, from the C (SPX) and S (DWCPF) funds into the G-fund. Considering that its been 3 weeks since this move and a clear structure has emerged, I've planned a return into the S-Fund through a series of inter-fund transfers, as more bullish indicators are confirmed. If all bullish indicators (3 sets)...
Following the same plan that I had for the C-Fund (SPX), went to 100% G-Fund due to entry into supply zone and CPI report. Once escape from supply occurred, waited for respect of the structure and support at 150 DMA to re-enter. Moved 50% of funds that were in G to the S Fund.
Measured move in Q4 '18 nearly identical to the recent move.
Small Caps go Higher. Do they make new highs...Yes, by the end of the summer! Fed Normalization cut in half then ending. No rate hikes but if the data changes, could be potential in the last quarter or maybe they cave and lower? Trade Narrative...no longer matters...the Fed is now all about expectation management, just means they have absolutely no clue as to...