Sugar: Almost there 🎯A rise has now occurred after the bears have pushed the sugar price a bit down again this week. Around the 78.60% retracement, we also expect the high of the green wave X. This high should now be formed calmly before a bearish three-part move below $20 follows.Shortby MarketIntel1
Sugar: Already done? 🤔The price of sugar has slightly decreased after reaching the desired range between USX 24.44 and USX 26.82. However, we remain cautious about assuming that the completion of the upward movement, represented by the green wave X, has occurred. To further assess this, we are affording the price another opportunity. Following this, we anticipate a notable decline, forming a bearish three-part pattern.Shortby MarketIntel2
Sugar #11; Dire StraitsIt is the case once again for the typical, alternating, virtually daily news bites, decrying "world sugar deficits", "Brazilian yield collapse (due to drought; El Nino)", "record Brazilian Real strength", "rising crude oil prices" versus "record Brazilian harvests", "strengthening USD" and "falling crude prices due to recession fears". The song remains the same. In reality; - Brazilian harvest prospects are doing just fine; - The recent Brazilian Real strength is likely experiencing it's end of days; - Crude oil prices, fundamentally and technically, have a far better chance to turn south than otherwise. (See this post; ) Now, factor in the clearly (very) bearish technical outlook while also noting significant short covering, as of late. E.g., the makings of very favorable SHORT Entry here. The Daily; With last week's 5 strait days of breaking lower.Shortby Nemo_Confidat2
Sugar #11 approach short term supportAnalysis: Price extends to measured profit taking began retracing towards the support level at 23.68. Overall trend remains in a strong uptrend, thus, if price were to show any bullish or reversal signal at this support, long position can be taken. Long opportunity: Reversal confirmation at 23.68 support region towards 24.38 as Take Profit - 1 level.by TrainingTrader1
Daily SB analysisDaily SB analysis A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart The trend is up, we may see more upside All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments. He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me Longby Hamed20s1
Daily SB analysisDaily SB analysis A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart The trend is up, we may see more upside All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments. He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me Longby Hamed20s0
Sugar looking just about done.Massive extremes on the PMARP. being a bit pre-emptive on this short since theres been no confirmation, only slowing momentum on the short timeframes. Large speculators are the most long sugar since august 2021, so its getting pretty crowded. Similair fundamentals to this as coffee, only more extreme on the COT side.Shortby InsaneGamingGoblinUpdated 2
Oh Sugar! SB1!ICEUS:SB1! Oh sugar! Looking expensive in my humble opinion! Lows: 24.25 Highs: 27.30 We had the bullish flag formation, ever since then we been riding higher but it's at key Fib area and resistance zone! I expect sugar to pull back a little to next lows. However, we could still reach 30 area! Have a great day ahead, Trade Journal! by Trade_Journal4
Sugar versus SPX and the impact on Silver PriceUber bullish setup for #gold #silver #sugar playing out while most are sleeping... paradigm shift breakout line Jolts in Sugar vs SPX creates bull era for Silver Silver takes off ABOVE this lineLongby Badcharts3
On a sugar high, owing to weak supplySugar prices have soared this year, up +21.6%1 owing to concerns about tight global supplies. Lower Indian supply coupled with weaker than expected output from Thailand, (at the second and third largest sugar exporters respectively) continue to provide a tailwind for sugar prices. While Brazil’s harvest in the coming months is expected to be strong, logistical hurdles owing to higher exports of soybean and corn could restrict supplies over the coming months thereby supporting sugar prices higher. Net speculative positioning on sugar is 139% above the 5-year average2. Over the past month, short positioning has declined 16% highlighting the improvement of sentiment on the sugar market. Weaker sugar supply from India India is one of the largest exporters of white sugar, but shipments are controlled by quotas. The Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) latest report indicate that Indian sugar production fell marginally to 28.2mt so far this season through 15 March3. ISMA cut its sugar production estimate for 2022/23 crop year to 33.5mn tons from 34.5mn tons on account of lower output and more use of sugarcane for biofuel. Sugarcane processing in Maharashtra, the most important growing state, could end 45-60 days earlier than last year because heavy rainfall has reduced the availability of sugarcane. Sugar production in Maharashtra is likely to total a mere 12.8mn tons according to the chief of State’s sugar commission, nearly 1mn tons less than previously anticipated. Lower sugar output is raising concerns that the India government could restrict additional exports. More use of sugar diverted to India’s Biofuel program At the same time, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is pursuing an aggressive biofuel program that will see more sugar cane diverted to make ethanol to help curb air pollution and reduce oil import bill. The biofuel program also lies in the interest of farmers by making use of excess local production and boosting their incomes. This season, the government plans to divert 5mn tons of sugar to make ethanol, up from 3.6mn tons a year earlier4. The eventual goal is to divert 6mn tons annually toward fuel production by 2025. Lower sugar production in Thailand remains price supportive for sugar Thailand’s Office of the Cane and Sugar board confirmed that Thailand crushed 93.88mt of sugarcane in 2022/23, lower than the initial estimates for more than 100mt of cane5. As a result, the bumper crop expected in Thailand is also falling short, resulting in 2022/23 total sugar output in Thailand will be at around 11mn tons (versus the 12mn tons expected earlier in the season)5. Lower than expected output from Thailand combined with less supply from India remains price supportive for sugar. The front end of the sugar futures curve remains in backwardation yielding a positive roll yield of 2.9% reflecting tightness in the market for short term balances. Logistical bottlenecks could restrict supply from Brazil Looking ahead, progress of the sugar crop in the Centre- South region of Brazil remains a key headwind for sugar prices. Brazil sugar production is expected to be over 36.5mn tons in 2023/24, only slightly less than the all-time high of 38.4mn tons seen in the 2020/21 marketing year6. However, shipping Brazilian sugar could face delays in the Port of Santos as it competes with exports of other Brazilian grains such as corn and soybean. Road freight is also likely to face significant price increases. Santos terminals receive sugar and grains by trains and trucks. However, competition from transporting soybeans has been taking space away from sugar in train cars. Higher freight prices impact the margins of the mills. Likelihood of El Niño, if realised, remains price supportive for sugar With La Niña over, there is now a chance the Pacific Ocean surface could warm later this year and spark what is called El Niño. The US Climate Prediction Centre has raised the likelihood of an El Niño emerging between August and October to 74% from 61% a month ago. One common knock-on effect is higher precipitation volumes which would be positive for sugar prices over the medium term with fewer milling days and sugar production. El Niño could bring relief to drought parched areas of Argentina and southern US, but it could also lead to hotter and drier conditions in parts of Asia and Australia. Conclusion Restricted supply from India alongside lower supply from Thailand have helped sugar along its upward journey so far. Looking ahead, with the Argentinian soybean crop forecasts struggling in the face of the ongoing drought, we expect Brazil to do a lot of the heavy lifting by offsetting the shortfall in supply of both soybean and corn. This is why, logistical hurdles are likely to impede the supply of Brazilian sugar thereby supporting sugar prices higher over the medium term. by aneekaguptaWTE3
sugar in long term bear market vs goldfalling for decades, sugar has been a poorer investment than goldby GoodTexture0
Daily SB analysisDaily SB analysis A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart The trend is up, we may see more upside All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments. He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact meLongby Hamed20s0
Sugar Futures March April Challange Hello my friends! How is going your trading week? I hope that is doing well, anyways lets talk about this operation! Bulish: We are preparing for a trend continuation after the break of the resistance level that we are currently in, for entrys we gonna wait a strong candle, a pattern cadle or something like that. Bearish: Here for the bearish operation we are waiting a retest in our candle, rejecting the resitance level and then going back to support, we gonna also pay attetion if the price after the retest in the resistance will not go directly to the next suport zone, but is gonna restest at a fib level.by CherPetitPrince222
March-April Challenge Here we are using the retest of the 0.618 level to get on a bullish trade and reach the next resistance, remember that to enter we gonna need a confirmation candle.Longby CherPetitPrince111
Sugar Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 23.86 Pivot: 21.89 Support: 21.02 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to rise from the pivot at 21.89 before heading towards the resistance at 23.86, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down towards the overlap support at 21.02, slightly below where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.Longby Genesiv1
Sugar Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 21.18 Pivot: 18.94 Support: 20.04 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 21.18, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down towards the overlap support at 20.04, slightly below where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.by Tickmill1
Sugar Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 21.18 Pivot: 18.94 Support: 20.04 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 21.18, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down towards the overlap support at 20.04, slightly below where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.Longby Genesiv1
Trading The Corrective Cycle in Sugar FuturesIn this update we review the recent price action the Sugar futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target01:00by Tickmill3
SUGAR NO. 11 FUTURESHello ladies and gentlemen, according to my graphical analysis, ICEUS:SB1! show a strong bearish configuration.Shortby elmehdisaddati3
SUGAR Right ShoulderThe Right Shoulder is forming, maybe it'll be another Head and Shoulders pattern on a lower timeframe.Shortby muyexi1
Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 21.18 Pivot: 18.94 Support: 19.30 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 19.30, slightly below where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back up towards the resistance at 21.18, where the 5previous swing high is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.by Tickmill0
SB1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 20.10, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 20.49, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and minor high is. Take profit will be at 18.94, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Shortby VantageMarkets0