I shorted FtseMib at $24542. I'm reloading my short at this level $24225.
My Final targets at $21225 & $20250.
SL at $25200
Reasons: ECB raising rates, recession incoming: less production and less consumptions --> lower dividends.
FTSEMIB had a rally recently, that it's not driven by FA. So, I'm expecting a correction during the first semester of 2023.
I have in mind 2 scenarios.
Currently INDEX:FTSEMIB is at the upper band of the BB, very close to its resistance level. I think it will be rejected and approach the support (1st rectangle area).
At this point,
IF global market conditions will be good and expected (and I mean SPX + Eurozone Interest rate), then INDEX:FTSEMIB may rebounce from this...
The FTSEMIB will see a further large correction -34% retracing to FTSEMIB 14200 points. Stocks listed on the index have small capitalization, low dividends and awful Returns. The Italian economy could be tipping into a Recession in future, thereby lowering growth prospects, stock returns and profitability.
FTSEMIB chart on a larger time scale, already...
Hello all, today I would like to share this analysis about the FTSE MIB index. A like would be appreciated; now, let me describe my strategy.
1. The horizontal line at the bottom seems to form a good support: it was touched several times in the last 20 years, but it hasn't been surpassed by any bar. Unfortunately, the "First resistance" line kept the index low...
📍 This diagram comes after the conversation with @lu1977hk, and is no more imaginative than the positional flows across the global equity board.
In Italian Equities the initial offensive targets for sellers come in at 18,466; 17,643 and 16,819 from a "fibs perspective". The connection of further downside in European and Global Equities is more or less the same...
FTSE MIB continues on its way down to new lows. In the shorter term view, it seems to have finished, or nearly so, minute counter-trend wave 2. The next move should be minute 3, where the most probable target is is below 17,000. If prices crosses up 20,400, this analysis should be reviewed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
FTSE MIB seems to be tracing intermediate wave (C ) up that will complete primary wave 2. Most probable target before the trend is reversed lyes in the range 20,350 - 21,200. A move below 17,600 would indicate the trend already reversed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
The Italian stock index recently concluded cycle wave 2 counter trend up and it is developing primary wave 1 down. The current upward movement is a counter trend that could be labeled intermediate wave 4 or primary wave 2. The log-term forecast is the same in either cases, after this counter trend up the index should go for a long-term downward path. FOLLOW...
here is the overwelming performance of enel against the italian stock mkt
today enel weights 19,3% of the index
on march 20 reshuffle day enel MUST be capped at 15% as per index rule
so enel will loose some 4% in weight , this means that for every basket long against the future or etf replicating the index 4% of the value will be...