TBT is an inverse 20 year Treasury Bill ETF. At present, the Iran Israeli conflict threatens a regional conflict to include the Red Sea and the Easter Mediterranean where oil tankers must navigate to move oil from producer to consumer. Oil price escalation could go hand and hand with geopolitical escalations. Oil and its derivatives are a primary driver of...
On this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish) over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some of those factors. This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell....
TBT is shown here on a weekly chart. It transitioned froma downtrend into the present trend up two years ago with the initiation of the rate hikes to cut down inflation by hitting its knees. Inflation was the direct result of the money printing and stimulus as part of the federal response to the complications of covid and lockdowns. Price is now ascending in a...
TBT on the one hour chart demonstrates a clear round bottom reversal in late June with a good trend up this past week. Price rose above the POC line of the volume profile on July 3th showing bullish momentum dominating. Price has continued to ascend above the Chris Moody sling shot indicator affirming that momentum. Given the current fed posture hawkish for...
Bill Ackman posted that he covered his shorts today, so prices pulled back down to retest last week's high. I predict that it will continue up vertically as a short squeeze.
TBT is a UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF. This Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. 1. Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly. 2. Wait, and wait again, for the pattern to develop. 3. Be patient...
AMEX:TBT Double Top, A "double top" is a popular term used in technical analysis to describe a chart pattern that suggests a potential bearish reversal of an uptrend. Here's a breakdown of the double top pattern: 1. **Formation**: The double top pattern forms after a strong upward move or trend. It consists of two consecutive peaks that are roughly equal, with a...
TBT on the 30 minute time frame shows a trend up in an ascending parallel channel now at the bottom of the channel where it could go up or breakdown and go under the channel. The ZL MACD suggests some bullish divergence while the dual TF RS indicator and the ADX oscillator are non-commital. The immediate recent short term volume profile with a POC line above...
TBT is going to take another swing now that interest rates are going up. Fundamentally, Treasuries and other bonds will go down on their real face value because their yield is lower than the new going rate. Inverse EFTs like TBT will go up when Treasuries go down. On the w Chart chart, price is sitting above the POC line of the volume profile where there...
TBT, the Long Rate Fund; Or short TLT fund is showing signs of strength on the MACD and RSI; with divergences. The previous month saw high volume indicating interest around the current price levels. It is sitting at the 200 SMA. Currently much of the market is pricing in rate drops. However, we have have FOMC on May 2nd, and have been hearing roomers of another...
risk entry from the lower limit of the channel to the upper limit, no leverage, sl below the lower limit
TBT, the short TLT 20 year bond ticker looks neutral in the short term and bullish in the longer term. High volume breakout of descending pattern down, and now a bull flag set up. A high volume spike and a stopping bar down has preceded a move up twice over the the last year. This is speculation over higher rates in the general market and from the fed, which...
Price is approaching a key support level, it could bounce and we could see the momentum carry price up to its take profit target. Entry: 26.73 Why we like it: There is an overlap support Stop Loss: 26.00 Why we like it: There is an intermediate overlap support Take Profit: 32.61 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance and a 23.6% Fibonacci...
The narrative from earlier this yr that slowing growth would cause the Fed to pivot sooner rather than later is slowly being undone as market participants realize that inflation is sticky and likely to result in rates higher for longer from the Fed. As a play on higher rates I like TBT the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Yr Treasury ETF. It has recently broken its...
From the chart, the uptrend from the market top November 2021 peaked and reversed from a double top. Now on the downtrend , it has hit the Fib 0.5 level of the retracement. I look for a reversal to the upside now as that Fib level is tested and holding. I will play this with some call option contracts with an expiration in 4 weeks.
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities with minimum term to maturity greater than or equal to twenty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding...
Looking at both TLT and TBT here. TLT first: TLT has I think completed an ABC zig-zag down to $112.6 where it has overshot the 1:1 Fibonacci extension to bounce and print a shakeout reversal pattern as can be seen well on the monthly chart with the wick passing through the 1:1 fib and printing a hammer. Worth noting that the textbook will say a hammer at...
Trying to make sense of the movement of bond prices w/in the context of rising rates. As you can see by the chart, every year rates on 20-year treasury bonds have increased by around 1% the TBT ETF has rallied around 40%.