LITECOIN [$LTC] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS WEEKLY TFLTCUSD โ The final shakeout before the next impulsive cycle?
Litecoin continues to respect the larger structural roadmap. Price is now approaching the confluence of long-term channel support, historical horizontal demand, and the projected termination zone of the current Elliott Wave decline.
The primary count still favours the market completing wave (5) of C, ending the entire corrective structure that has been unfolding since the 2021 peak.
What makes this area particularly interesting is the convergence of multiple technical factors:
โข Long-term channel support.
โข Major horizontal support around the 2017 breakout region.
โข Fibonacci confluence.
โข Extremely depressed long-term RSI readings.
โข Sentiment towards Litecoin close to multi-year lows.
Could price briefly overshoot support? Absolutely. Markets often do. Elliott Wave analysis identifies probability zonesโnot exact turning points.
If this count remains valid, the reward-to-risk profile improves dramatically as downside potential becomes increasingly limited relative to the upside.
The larger objective remains unchanged: once the corrective structure is complete, Litecoin should begin a new impulsive advance capable of exceeding the 2021 highs. My long-term projection continues to target the ALGO TP near $1,860.
As always, invalidation exists. A sustained breakdown beyond the projected support cluster would require a reassessment of the wave count.
Until then, I continue to view weakness as the final chapter of a much larger accumulation process rather than the beginning of a new secular bear market.
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In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟLTCUSD: Keep an eye on the demand zoneOn the daily chart, LTCUSD is currently trading at low levels; in the short term, focus on the demand zone between 39.2 and 42.1. If the price pulls back and stabilizes there, consider buying. Monitor resistance near 46.3; a breakout above this level could potentially form an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
$LTC Is Testing a Key Resistance ZoneNYSE:LTC Is Testing a Key Resistance Zone
LTC has climbed back into a major resistance area that previously rejected price multiple times. This zone around $45.8 is the level bulls need to reclaim to confirm that momentum is shifting in their favor.What's encouraging is the series of higher lows formed from the rising trendline. Buyers have stepped in on every pullback so far, showing steady demand rather than a weak bounce. As long as this trendline remains intact, the bullish structure is still valid.
For me, I'm not interested in predicting the breakout. I want confirmation. A strong 4H close above this resistance followed by a successful retest would significantly increase the probability of a move toward $48.2, with the potential to extend into the $51+ region if momentum continues. On the other hand, if price gets rejected here and loses the rising trendline, a deeper pullback becomes much more likely.
LTCUSD post-sweep decision: $44 pivot decides next legThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
Two consecutive bullish theses on LTCUSD have been rejected by the chart since the May breakdown โ first the $50 floor cracked, then the $41 divergence-led reclaim attempt failed when price swept to a new capitulation low at $39. Bulls have dragged price back to $42, putting the structure at a genuine decision point. The descending sequence of lower highs and lower lows remains intact, but the $39 sweep cleared the cluster of stops sitting beneath the prior floor โ exactly the kind of move that sometimes marks a structural turn when buyers reclaim the broken level as support.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Sweep: The drop to $39 took out every long parked beneath the $41 prior floor and triggered the panic sellers leaning into the divergence trade. Whether that flush marked exhaustion or just a pause depends entirely on how the chart treats $41 from here โ reclaim as support and the failed-breakdown read activates, lose it again and continuation takes over.
The Pivot: The $44 intra-range pivot is the high-confluence reclaim line. Every bounce attempt this month has stalled in the $44โ$46 zone, which means a daily close above $44 would be the first structural shift bulls have produced in six weeks.
The Decision Zone: As long as price holds between $39 and $44, the chart sits in indecision. A reclaim of $44 opens the $46โ$47 supply pocket; a failure to defend $39 on the next retest opens the $36โ$38 deeper demand zone where the next macro reaction sits.
The Roadmap: Primary bullish target sits at $46 โ the natural destination if the $39 sweep marks a structural low. Bearish target sits at $36 if the descending structure extends. Invalidation works both ways: a 1D close below $39 confirms bearish continuation, while a 1D close above $44 confirms the failed-breakdown reversal.
LTCUSD divergence retest: targeting $46 reclaimThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
LTCUSD continues to trade well below the prior $52โ$60 range that broke down in late May, with the structure now operating inside a tighter $41โ$46 corridor. The June 14 reclaim attempt got partway there โ bulls pushed to $46 but failed to tag the $48 first-reclaim target, and sellers dragged price back down to retest the capitulation pocket. The critical detail this time: RSI is printing a clear higher low at the same price area where June bottomed near 20, exactly the kind of momentum divergence that has historically marked structural turning points rather than fresh breakdown legs.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Retest: Price is testing the $41โ$42 capitulation pocket for a second time, but this time without the panic-selling that produced the original flush. The retest is mechanical rather than emotional โ buyers parked here last time and are being given a cleaner second chance to step in.
The Divergence: RSI now sits near 32 against the same $42 price zone where it printed sub-20 readings two weeks ago. Momentum is no longer confirming the price weakness, and the path of least resistance shifts to the upside once the floor reaction triggers.
The Reaction: A defensive bounce off $41โ$42 would reclaim the $44 intra-range pivot first, then open the door to the $46 recent high โ the exact pocket where the prior bounce attempt stalled and where this thesis gets its first confirmation.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $46 โ the recent high and immediate overhead supply, with $48 acting as a natural extension if momentum carries. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $41 would invalidate this divergence-led thesis and reopen the path toward the deeper $36โ$38 demand zone.
LTCUSD: The Death of a Legacy Narrative. Multi-Year Inverted HVF๐ ๐ช ๐ฅถ ๐
๐ ๐ช ๐ฅถ ๐
๐ ๐ช ๐ฅถ ๐
1. The Macro Structure:
An Inverted Volatility Trap.
When an asset fails to make higher macro highs over multiple market cycles, itโs not consolidationโitโs long-term distribution.
The Geometry: Looking at the weekly chart, the price action has carved out a massive Inverted Hunt Volatility Funnel bounded by declining peaks (Low 1, Low 2, L3) and a vulnerable ascending support trendline (High 1, High 2, H3).
The Resolution: The final compression at L3/H3 has resolved decisively to the downside.
The structural trendline that held up this asset for years has snapped!
And the support block has completely flipped into a ceiling of aggressive overhead supply.
2. The Fundamental Reality: Extractive Cycles & Dead Utility
The "silver to gold" pitch worked in 2017 when transaction throughput was a novel bottleneck. In today's agentic economy, legacy proof-of-work alts with zero smart contract utility or ecosystem velocity face a structural liquidity vacuum.
As capital concentrates strictly in institutional infrastructure and high-throughput utility networks, old-school tokens are treated as pure liquidity exits for insiders and early miners.
The market doesn't value nostalgia; it values execution.
When the broader market hums and an asset prints structural multi-year breakdowns, the trend is telling you everything you need to know.
3. Downside Extension Coordinates & Log Targets
The price has cleanly broken through local support at 71.79 and has already sliced below Log Target 1 at 54.84.
The path of least resistance is an aggressive vacuum down into lower macro historical blocks:Current Position: $45.10
Log Target 2: 31.71
Log Target 3 (The Cycle Capitulation Block): $5.56
While the crowd stays emotionally married to old forum threads and dead catchphrases, we map out the structural distribution and compound capital on the cascade.
Let them catch the falling knife.
1. The Death of the Utility Myth (The Unpolite Truth)
Letโs stop being polite about what a move to $5 actually represents.
Litecoin is the original altcoinโthe silver standard.
If the pioneer of alternative networks completely round-trips back to single digits after nearly fifteen years of existence, it confirms the quiet reality that the market is finally waking up to: The entire altcoin ecosystem has largely functioned as a multi-year, extractive mechanism for insider enrichment.
For a decade, these networks sold retail on the dream of decentralised utility, peer-to-peer micro-transactions, and digital silver.
But the data doesn't lie.
They didn't build lasting micro-economies; the founders, VCs, and early insiders simply used retail as exit liquidity to print billions of dollars for themselves while delivering zero structural value.
A $5 print is the ultimate market verdict, rendering a decade of tech white-papers as nothing more than sophisticated marketing decks for top-tier bullshit artists.
2. The Bitcoin Shadow: A Deep Macro Bear Market
A cascade of this magnitude also sends a glaring, undeniable signal across the entire global crypto landscape: Bitcoin itself would be anchored deep, deep in a structural macro bear market.
Bitcoin may be the "Gold" of the ecosystem, but it does not trade in a vacuum.
For an OG asset like Litecoin to completely drain its liquidity pool down to single digits, the tide across the entire space has to be completely out.
It implies a widespread systemic drainโwhere regulatory tightening, macroeconomic liquidity constraints, and total retail exhaustion force capital to brutally repatriate out of risk assets entirely.
When the structural floor of the original Altcoin cracks like this, it isnโt a isolated local event; it's a structural warning sign that the entire asset class is undergoing a generational, painful purging.
#Litecoin #LTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortSetup #PriceAction #MacroDistribution #BearMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Litecoin has maintained it's HVF and can STILL do a 10X...in the coming years.
This is a massive pattern formed over 7 years and I expect over performance of target 3 ultimately.
The day to week price action really does not matter when you have beautiful setups like this.
Keep stacking at these low prices.
@TheCryptoSniper
LTC | June Q2 26' | Day chartMultiple Time-Frame Analysis; Color Code | Strength favors the higher timeframe.
Yearly timeframe = black
Monthly timeframe = pink
weekly = grey
daily = red
4hr = orange
1hr = yellow
15min = blue
5min = green if they are shown. (Level visibility on intervals is set to timeframe the level was found on and below to keep chart view organized.)
** Candle Science explained **
A Range = two or more consecutive color candles.
There are two types of ranges - accumulation and distribution.
DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support.
ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED:
Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance.
Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines.
Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
LTCUSD at macro floor: reclaim attempt off capitulation lowThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
Two weeks since the last read on LTCUSD, and the chart has resolved decisively to the downside โ the $50 floor broke with conviction, the $44 macro reaction line got swept, and price flushed all the way to a capitulation low near $41 before buyers stepped in. The prior $52โ$60 range is now overhead supply, and the structure has reset to a lower regime. Sitting near $44, the chart is now tracking the response to that macro sweep โ a textbook setup where the question is whether the flush marks a structural low or just a pause before deeper continuation.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Sweep: The dip to $41 served as a macro liquidity hunt โ it cleared every late short and panic seller parked beneath the $44 reaction line, and RSI bottomed in deeply oversold territory near 20. That kind of momentum exhaustion at a sweep low has historically been the signature of structural turning points rather than fresh breakdown legs.
The Reaction: Bulls absorbed the flush and dragged price back to $44 โ a clean recovery off the capitulation pocket. RSI has curled back up through 35 and is climbing through its moving average, confirming that downside momentum has handed near-term control back to buyers.
The Reclaim Zone: The $48 local resistance is the first decision point. A reclaim there opens the path back toward the prior $50โ$52 break level, where the heaviest overhead supply sits and the previous range floor begins to act as the new ceiling.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $48 โ the first overhead supply pocket and the natural destination for a post-capitulation relief leg. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $42 would invalidate this reversal thesis and reopen the path toward the deeper $36โ$38 demand zone.
Litecoin Apocalypse, $20 forecast threatens investor extinctionIt is no secret.... Without Worries maintains a negative outlook on underdeveloped legacy crypto projects. Legacy refers to projects that have been around since 2017 with little to no development since that time. And yet they all continue to attract a significant number of long ideas.
To name a few from 2017 price action to present day:
Dash $108 versus $23
EOS. $2.40 versus 70 cents
Ethereum Classic $22 vs $17
Arguably Ethereum $471 versus $1800
Litecoin. $86 versus $86
Monero. $163 versus $255
Litecoin is amongst those without development to speak of. Despite the historical significance as one of the original Bitcoin alternatives, the monthly chart reveals a troubling pattern.
The false breakout of 2025
=====================
The pink boxes highlight the consolidation periods prior to each bull market cycle. Points 1 and 2 identify the resistance tests. The 3rd test, as is often the case in Technical Analysis, prints the breakout as indicated by the red boxes. However in 2025 after the breakout price action was returned to the consolidation area. This is a strong bearish signal. An indication buyers had no strength for momentum, which was evident from the February monthly hanging man candle print.
Monthly bearish engulfing candles
==========================
The red arrows mark each bearish engulfing candle print that followed a rally in price action. A significant correction in price action, 80% corrections, in each insistence followed the print. Is this time different? Iโm sure the bulls will say so.
Going forward
===========
The bullish outlook:
Price action must recover from the fake-out with a volume sized move above $160 to undo the bearish signal. This would void the idea of a strong correction.
The bearish outlook:
Price action returning to the consolidation area is incredibly weak.
A collapse in price action would begin with a monthly candle print under $60, the consolidation area. Trade is active on this condition.
The condition would develop the $20 forecast, however the bear flag forecasts a correction of 87% to the $10 area.
Ww
LTC/USDTLitecoin has been in a time and price correction for a few years now, but today, looking at the chart, I realized that we have reached the end of this erosional correction. In terms of time, the correction is over, and in terms of price, wave 4 has completed the triangle and could be an attractive investment option for the coming years. Finally, it should be noted that these analyses are my personal opinion and I am not responsible for your buying or selling. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Litecoin Explosive Rally Incoming LTC USDI havent done charts in a while and I apologize but Ive been extremely busy with some new ventures and its been sideways anyways.
I believe that we are entering the final stages of this almost 8 year consolidation. The chart and the indicators are pointing to a massive rally for Litecoin starting probably in June. What I dont know is whether or not this is going to be extremely explosive and fast or whether it will be a long multi year bull market. My initial thoughts are that this rally will be explosive and fast. I believe that once it starts within 6 to 8 months the top will be in. This is a mid cycle correction for Bitcoin in my opinion. The final blow off top for this cycle for Bitcoin is coming and this will propel Litecoin to new all time highs similar to the 2017 rally where Litecoin went straight up for 6 months. Dont forget Litecoin usually goes up at the end of the Bitcoin cycle which we are entering now. Bitcoin tricked a lot of people making them believe that this was the bear market, when in my opinion this was just the mid cycle correction. The final leg up for Bitcoin will be around 500k with potential for much higher prices if this blow off is extreme which I think it will be. I dont know exactly how high Litecoin will go on this run but Im expecting anywhere between 5-10k. Not just based on hype but fundamentals as well. I believe that this next rally will push alot of people out of Bitcoin and into Litecoin as it did in 2017 but on a much much larger scale. I know Ive said this before, this time I am more confident than any other time before that we are going to explode from here within the next month. This is just my opinion, not financial advice. Good luck my friends.
Litecoin Sell Trading Opportunity SpottedH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting pullback and bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
LTC/USD weekly chart Litecoin is one of the most ignored charts in crypto right now.
That is exactly what makes it interesting.
Most people look at LTC and see an old coin, a tired narrative, and years of underperformance. That reaction is understandable. Litecoin has not been the loudest asset of this cycle. It has not been the favorite narrative. It has not produced the kind of emotional excitement that attracts short-term attention.
But charts do not care about popularity.
They care about structure. And the structure on LTC is still alive.
Since the 2017 cycle, Litecoin has been moving inside a large rising macro channel. The upper side of this channel has acted as the area where major cycle advances lose momentum. The lower side has acted as the zone where the market resets, rebuilds, and prepares for the next larger move.
That lower area is where LTC is again.
This is not a random location. It is the same type of structural floor that mattered during previous cycle resets. Price has returned to the lower part of the macro channel after years of weak sentiment, lower attention, and repeated disappointment.
That is usually where the crowd stops caring.
But it is also where the chart starts becoming important again.
The current structure is simple: Litecoin is sitting near long-term support while the broader channel remains intact. As long as this lower channel area continues to hold, the larger structure remains valid. From here, the first important sign of strength would be a move away from the floor and a reclaim of the internal range. If that happens, the next major question becomes whether LTC can travel back toward the upper boundary of the channel.
That upper boundary is where the chart becomes much more interesting.
Based on the current macro channel, the upper structural region sits around the old high area and potentially the $400โ$500 zone over time. This is not a guaranteed target. It is the area the structure points to if Litecoin begins another cycle expansion from the lower channel.
The important message is not that Litecoin is exciting today.
It is not.
The important message is that LTC is back at the part of the chart where old structures are tested. If the floor breaks, the thesis weakens. But if the floor holds, the market may once again be underestimating one of cryptoโs oldest cycle charts.
Old coins usually look dead before they matter again.
Litecoin is still in that forgotten phase.
But the channel is still holding.
And if this structure starts moving away from the floor, the crowd will probably notice it much later than the chart did.
LTCUSD: liquidity sweep before range reclaimThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
LTCUSD continues to operate inside the same multi-month structural reset framed last week โ bounded above by the $84 macro ceiling and below by the $44 macro floor, with the $52โ$60 range acting as the volatility playground in between. Since that read, bears have pressed harder into the lower boundary, dragging price into a $50 wick that cleared late-stage longs parked beneath the floor. The range hasn't broken โ it's being stress-tested, and the response from this exact pocket will decide whether the broader structure resolves up or unwinds toward the macro demand zone.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Sweep: The dip to $50 served as a textbook liquidity hunt โ sellers triggered the sell stops sitting just below the $52 floor, but bulls absorbed the flush and pulled price back inside the range. This is the kind of reaction that often marks a structural low rather than the start of a breakdown.
The Floor: The $50โ$52 stress zone is now the high-confluence area defenders need to hold. As long as no daily close prints below $50, the broader range structure remains intact and the path of least resistance still points upward.
The Trigger: RSI has cooled near 38, well below its moving average and pressing the lower bound of its normal channel โ exactly the low-energy backdrop that has produced every prior bounce since February. A reclaim of the $56 equilibrium would confirm buyers are back in control.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $60 โ the range ceiling that capped the May rally and the natural mean-reversion destination once the sweep gets absorbed. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $50 would invalidate this reversal thesis and open the path toward the $44 macro floor.
THE 9-YEAR PRISON / 4 IN 1THE 9-YEAR PRISON
Four old coins. One structural message. XLM, XMR, XRP and LTC have spent almost an entire cycle trapped under the same multi-year ceiling: nine years of rejection, boredom, ridicule and underperformance. Most people see dead old coins; the chart shows a forgotten part of the market pressing into the same decision zone together.
This is not about loving these coins. It is about recognizing when hated legacy structures stop deteriorating and begin testing the line that kept them buried. If those 9-year ceilings start breaking, the market is no longer only rotating into new narratives. It is repricing market memory.
The question is no longer whether these charts were painful. They clearly were. The real question is whether this long compression is finally reaching the point where old resistance turns into a new expansion gate.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP CRYPTOCAP:XLM CRYPTOCAP:XMR NYSE:LTC
LTCUSD range structure: targeting $60 reclaimThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
LTCUSD has spent the past three months carving a textbook structural reset between the $84 macro ceiling and the $44 macro floor โ a volatility playground where every liquidity hunt left clear footprints. Following the February sweep that cleared out over-leveraged longs, price built a multi-month range between $52 and $60, with both edges getting respected on every test. Now sitting near $53, the chart is pressing the lower boundary again, and bulls are defending this zone to keep the broader range intact.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Floor: The $52 line has acted as a high-confluence support since February โ every retest produced a bounce, and the bears desperately need to crack it to flip the structure. Price is now leaning on this floor for the fourth time in the cycle.
The Range Play: The zone between $52 and $60 creates a structural playground for grid-based accumulation while the broader market resolves direction. The boundaries are clean, the reactions are predictable, and the mean-reversion behavior is doing the heavy lifting.
The Trigger: Momentum has cooled โ RSI sits near 45, drifting below its moving average โ exactly the kind of low-energy environment that precedes a bounce off a defended floor. A reclaim of the $56 equilibrium would shift the path of least resistance back toward the local high.
The Roadmap: Primary target sits at $60 โ the upper edge of the range and the natural destination once buyers absorb the supply pressing on $52. Invalidation: a sustained 1D close below $50 would invalidate this bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper flush toward the $44 macro floor.
Last Chance For Litecoin Not going much into this one. I only have the bandwidth to focus on one of these wretched coins these days, and for some strange reason it's Litecoin. I have a slight soft spot for it, since it was largely my entry into my crypto phase at the end of 2017.
Just looking for a fun trade. Nothing fundamentally attracts me about crypto these days. But, I still like to play around.
I had a failed long position earlier in the last "cycle" and Litecoin repeatedly failed to break out above the $130-140 range. I got out without much of a loss. Recently, I've been able to buy back in lower, starting with $72 and more recently today at $60.
As it seems somewhat predictable, it also follows that LItecoin has a high probability of eventually doubling from these levels....but, there's still risk here, obviously. It really has one last remaining possible "uptrend," which can be drawn to line up with the $46-48 area currently. Below there, and we could see $20 LTC again.
To see $100+ again we'd have to bank on 1 of 2 things at least happening:
1) Bitcoin holds here and at least bounces around a bit before ultimately heading lower. LTC/BTC rallies, as it characteristically does at the "end" of the cycle. LTC seems unlikely to go up if Bitcoin just continues down from here.
2) Bitcoin pumps from these levels and heads to a new ATH.
Let's see. Targeting these broken uptrends, for starters.
-Victor Cobra
Litecoin Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting pullback and bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
$LTC Approaching Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Build
LTC is trading deep in HTF discount, approaching a strong demand region around 50โ52. Price remains under a bearish structure with lower highs, and the chart shows a descending trendline pressing price into this demand, increasing the probability of a final liquidity sweep.
Sell-side liquidity rests below 50โ51, and a sweep into this zone is likely before any meaningful upside. This move would complete the liquidity grab and potentially trap late sellers before reversal.
Positioning still reflects selling pressure, but downside momentum is weakening. A strong reclaim above 52 followed by continuation toward 54โ56 would signal strength and open the path toward higher resistance near 58+.
Focus on confirmation: SSL sweep โ bullish reclaim above 52 โ displacement (BOS + FVG) โ trendline break โ RSI MA crossover. Without this, no valid trade under the SAFE MODEL.
Analysis by Leo524.
#LTC #Crypto #Leo524






















