Ferrari: Rebound Meets ResistanceFerrari (NYSE: RACE) is trading around $390.51 on the weekly chart after a strong rebound from the $312.51 low.
The recovery has improved the medium-term structure, but price is now consolidating below the key Fibonacci resistance at $427.05. This level represents the first major test for the bullish scenario.
A weekly close above $427.05 would strengthen the recovery and open the way toward $481.47, followed by $550.23. Conversely, failure to reclaim $427 and a break below the recent consolid
In-depth trading ideas
Ferrari — Sell Side | 400 → 360Ferrari is shaping a two-stage bearish scenario, where price is projected to make an initial upside extension toward 400 before reversing into the broader downside move toward 360.
The move toward 400 represents the first phase of the setup rather than the final direction. Once this upper level is reached, the analysis points toward a change in price behavior, creating room for sellers to take control and drive the stock lower.
The 360 level remains the principal downside objective. This creat
$RACE Range Box Long Term Technical OutlookFTMO_OANDA:RACE
We might be stuck between $360-$400
time frame 1 year give or take.
bottom out price $300
Top blow off $515 for now
Personal target $580
Anything under $360 is over sold
The stock really has no issues.
Their only issues they've really noted is currency exchange but they've been on top of the concerns.
personally not concerned about the downside. we're in the range box for now. if we ding 300 again it will be a great time to buy more.
RACE: Ferrari Bulls are in in control next target is 400 USD▪️ RACE / FERRARI — THE RECLAIM IS DONE. NEXT STOP IS THE 400 LIQUIDITY POOL. 🐎
▪️ Ferrari is pressing higher near 357, having already reclaimed its very-strong floor and turned it into a launch pad. Price is out of the base and climbing — this isn't a "will it hold" chart, it's a "how far does the run go" chart, and the answer sitting overhead is 400, where the biggest sell-side pool on the board rests.
▪️ Primary outlook: bullish continuation — reclaim confirmed, liquidity run in progress. T
RACE | July Q3 2026 | Week ChartFerrari N.V. ||
MARKET-BEATING SCORE 4/10
Dividend yield (indicated)
1.11%
The only Ferrari I can afford... for now...
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RACE EPS growth 8.20% — modest growth, tracks rather than beats the market.
RACE revenue growing 4.65% YoY — steady but below high-growth threshold (15%+).
RACE gross margin 51.61% — strong moat, characteristic of long-run market beaters.
RACE FCF $1,621.00M positive — real cash generation, the #1 long-run predictor of market outperformance.
RACE: Luce Concerns Meet Major SupportOver the past week, Ferrari has been receiving a lot of criticism following the launch of its new EV model, the Luce.
Many investors quickly linked the recent decline in the stock price to the mixed reactions seen online, claiming the market was disappointed by the new EV model.
But is that really what's happening?
The Fundamental Side 📈
Despite the recent negativity, Ferrari continues to enjoy one of the strongest business models in the automotive industry.
Perhaps the most important fac
$RACE into precision manufacturing.Been seeing a lot of automakers making some interesting moves.
Base · fair value today
392
~6–7% revenue, margin stable-to-up; ~8% FCF growth; multiple holds ~28×
Bull · fair value today
665
+102% vs spot
Scarcity pricing persists + Elettrica success; ~11% FCF growth; re-rates to 38×.
other Catalysts,
*AI widens the wealth equality gap, more people driving the luxury brand name cars.
*Manufacturing in Robotics/Energy/electrical infrastructure - needs participation from major manufacturers.
$RACE The Luce Sparked a Selloff. Ferrari DIPS Always Get BoughtFerrari unveiled the Luce, its first fully electric car, and the market sold the stock off hard. 📉 That reaction is not new.
Every time Ferrari has launched a controversial model or navigated a transitional period, the stock has pulled back and institutional buyers have stepped in. 🔄
The weekly chart has now printed two clean demand zones. The dip is here. 📊
The fundamentals have not changed. 💪 Q1 2026 revenue came in at EUR 1.848 billion, up 3% year over year and up 6% at constant currency.
Ferrari NV (RACE) Luca Cordero di Montezemolo on the new Ferrari Luce:
"If I said what I really think, I'd harm Ferrari. We're risking the destruction of a myth, I'm very sorry about that. I hope they at least remove the Prancing Horse from that car".
The new Ferrari Luce has been criticized worldwide, and there will certainly be consequences for the company and its profits. We believe the stock could fall further.
Please check here and send a message on X for complete analysis --> @CharlesRault
Ferrari (RACE): A Luxury Franchise Priced Like PerfectionExecutive Summary:
Ferrari is one of the rare industrial businesses that economically behaves more like a luxury brand. The company produces exceptional margins, strong free cash flow, and enjoys unusually clear demand visibility thanks to a multiyear order backlog. At the same time, Ferrari deliberately restricts production in order to maintain exclusivity.
The challenge for investors is that the stock already reflects a great deal of this success. Ferrari trades at valuation levels that effec
Ferrari - Ready for the Next Ride?RACE has been in a correction phase lately,
but price is now approaching a very strong support zone.
This area is not random.
It’s the intersection of:
• Rising trendline
• 300 round number
• Demand zone
A clear confluence.
As long as this zone holds,
the bulls remain in control.
And we will be looking for trend-following longs
targeting a continuation toward higher levels.
Lose this level…
and the structure starts to weaken.
But for now, the setup is clear.
Do you think Ferrari is j
RACEFERRARI ( NYSE:RACE ): A Buying Opportunity or an Investor Trap?
Shares of the Italian legend slumped following the October Capital Markets Day, as the market was disappointed by a modest growth forecast.
During this key investor event, Ferrari made two major announcements that triggered the correction:
Conservative 2030 Targets: The company set a revenue target of approximately €9 billion. This implies a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of only ~5%—significantly lower than in previous year
Ferrari Wave Analysis – 18 November 2025
- Ferrari reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 387.00
Ferrari recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 427.00 (former monthly low from August), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse c from October.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active short-term correction ii.
Ferrari can be expected to fall further to the next support level 387.00 (former low of wave
Ferrari RACE Technicals Led Entry With 100% Upside in 2026
RACE is in a measured correction after its July 2025 ATH (~$517). A repeat of prior ~35% corrections (2018/19; 2022) implies a symmetry target near ~$336 (35% off $516), creating a high-quality “buy the pullback” setup for smart investors willing to scale in before fundamentals re-assert. With the current price around ~$400, a full 35% retrace would complete near the low-$330s; prior cycles then delivered outsized recoveries. We view the $330–$360 zone as a strategic accumulation area for 100
Ready to make a moveThe price has been fluctuating for the third consecutive day below the orange resistance level shown in the chart ($400–403).
A decisive direction is likely to emerge soon, and it should be supported by increasing volume.
If a breakout to the upside occurs, it could be an opportunity to increase exposure or enter partially.
Conversely, if the price decisively reverses downward, it's better to reduce positions and wait for the next lows.
Gap down and go?This could just keep grinding higher, but I think an opportunity could be coming. This has been trading in a distribution pattern, I believe there are some weak hands that need to be shaken out. I’m looking for a correction into the zone outlined. I’ll be playing this with some long dated options / commons. This won’t be active until zone is hit.
Race to the Bottom or Top?Ferrari first and foremost is an automaker, but one like no other. It is the ultimate luxury brand, producing margins more like Hermes than Ford. With 30% plus operating margins and over 20% ROIC. There's no questioning the moat, brand heritage and scarcity, that creates a long term defensible moat and compounding story.
That being said, the stock got way ahead of itself. If you pay attention to my Minds post, I signalled this stock had topped out and was a race to the bottom. This was when I o
RACE Wave Analysis – 10 October 2025
- RACE approaching multi-month support level 389.80
- Likely to fall to support level 375.00
RACE has been falling sharply over the last few trading sessions after the price failed to break above the round resistance level 500.00 (which has been reversing the price from January).
The price is currently approaching the strong multi-month support level 389.80 (which reversed the price in April).
If the price breaks below the support level 389.80 - RACE can be expected to fall to the next supp
Ferrari (RACE) Catalyst Scorecard AND 2026 OutlookFerrari (RACE) Catalyst Scorecard AND 2026 Outlook
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1. 🏎 New Model Launches & Portfolio (9/10)
Ferrari’s 2023–26 lineup is packed with high-end launches. Recent additions include the Roma Spider, SF90 XX, 296 Challenge, and 499P Modificata. Demand for the Purosangue SUV has been overwhelming, with early orders suspended and deliveries backlogged into 2026. Coming next: the 849 Testarossa plug-in hybrid deliveries H2 2025/Q1 2026 and the F80 hybrid hype






















