Further to the earlier ideas on the August delivery contract, I would like highlight the fact that it has now become the front contract of the Crude Light futures curve, and that it did so while being traded at plus 100% from its YTD low. When the June delivery contract went into negative, this contract was trading at around $20/bbl. Two months later it is trading...
Pattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Bullish as a bottoming fractal has been formed after the price bounced near the Higher Lows trend-line since May 27 and the RSI bounced near the Lower Low trend-line of its Channel Down.
Target: 42.00 (just below the Higher High of the Channel Up).
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Oil has been very bullish as of lately; the September delivery contract is up by almost 100% from its YTD low. The hidden bullish divergence implies a significant amount of pullback continuation players in the market. Trying to follow the momentum by buying dips and being alert for signs of bearish reversal is the prudent approach. The risk of a fast bear action...
Pattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Target: 42.50 (potential contact with the 1D MA200).
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Previous Oil signal:
WTI is trading within a Channel Up on the 4H chart (RSI = 56.026, MACD = 0.100, ADX = 22.319) having successfully crossed the 4H MA50. This has been typically a bullish extension sign since May 28th. We are bullish aiming at 41.50 - 42.00.
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August Crude oil faltering below trend line here, bears in control for now. Risk off and a US Covid resurgence will be on the mind of traders this week. You can always read more at Econemotions.substack