May is not always a good month for crude oil. When you look at the last 40 years, there is a positive change rate of less than 50%. However, Crude oil is moving to the support resistance point, and its performance in the last 8 election years, from the beginning of the may to the 21-22 of May during the election years, is 7 years positive and an average return of...
NYMEX:CL1! continues to look bullish today. There might be a small pull back before the price resumes it journey towards 80. The plan is to wait for price action to confirm the direction clearly and look for buying opportunities around 78.70 area. Alternatively if there is no pullback in the morning session, wait for the price to break R1 or the 200 MA before...
BUY CL at the 79.15 or the 78.00 price levels, going back up to the 90.00 to 95.00 price and beyond.
The bearish trend is still dominant and we have had a clear downward trend. There has been some consolidation since last Friday and a bounce may be due soon. Entry Point: Wait for the price to break above the downward trendline conclusively during today's morning EUR session. Considering $79.50 as the profit target, with a stop-loss at $77.50. NYMEX:CL1!
I've been very reluctant to publish any idea's this week intra day, as I believe we are in retracement from the amount we sold off recently. The 4hr wick CE is the point of interest I have where price respected I am aiming for the 15min SSL to be broken and a setup form this CME open.... Lets wait and see...
So I don't take too much of my time on the weekend trying to figure out where price is going to go as price isnt even active. So barring any exponential moves Sunday open I am still bearish and have : Monthly Wick CE and target 1 Weekly SSL as target 2 Pre CME open I will re analyse where the market is and publish further forecast for the day.
Crude Oil (June) Last week’s close: Settled 78.11, down 0.84 on Friday and 5.74 on the week WTI Crude Oil futures have trended with a lower high for five straight sessions and while trading below first key resistance at 79.49-79.63, it is gearing for the sixth straight session since the April 26th peak. Price action has now tested major three-star support at...
Note - One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all. ======= I use shorthands for my trades. "Positional" - means You...
Over view As per my previous weekly analysis, Crude oil had great ride from beginning of this year and paused from previous month. Fortunately this was necessary for having further movement. We can consider the previous month process was retracement thus by expecting further movement in upcoming weeks. Any small bounce from this level would be great bullish...
The structure on Friday shifted into corrective looking waves, so I won't be surprised by another shove lower into fib support before the next meaningful run higher commences. If it goes up directly from here I will have some head scratching to do.
Maduro will lose the venezuelan election and liberate lots of supply to the market. USA will ease Venezuela sanctions.
Not too much to update here as we are still stuck in a range as expected. We got a new low last Wednesday with strong buyside reaction. Very trappy PA. This week, I would ideally like to see buyside liquidity @79.96 get taken and buy the retracement to catch a move higher. Area of interest below @77.85.
Oil has broken the 15 minute shorts and now are on their way to the All The Way HWB shorts in on the larger 4 hour time frames. You can see how on Friday, the small time frame shorts survived multiple 4 hour candle dives below the 61.8% longs, only to close at or above the 61.8% long. Our 15 minute bias is long and expect it to trade back up to the 82.18-83.42...
Thesre is a Wolfe Wave and Price hugging that Extended 1-4 Line in future is Possible . For price to pop above that Channel to 110.00 Area is also possible . All my Price levels are based on Fib's . So we could be locked in this Channel for a few Months
Technical Momentum Weakens Crude Oil futures are declining in 2024 after correcting down to the 200-day moving average at $77.94. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining into oversold territories, with the 9-day moving average trading below the 18-day. DMI- is above DMI +, indicating that the market is in a correction phase, while the Average...
$CL1 is looking set for an intra-day long. The recent sharp drop below both key moving averages and subsequent movement indicate strong bearish pressure. But it has found short term support and is appearing to be reversing. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of my personal trading journal. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to...
Looking for short entry in NYMEX:CL1! price is forming double top break and retest
Not alot of update from last week's chart. We have been creating a base in daily demand zone (green zone) and consolidating as expected. This week, I would like to see some movement to the upside. A break of $80 upside confirms trend for me with first macro target at $83-84.