The T-bond is heading towards the medium-term red trend line. Will bond prices continue to fall or will we have a reversal of the situation?
Put on your reading glasses... We are most likely here (post gfc 2008)... in early 2009.
Approaching confluence of support around 155 (now 159)
30 year bonds 2% below March Lows Silver still up 111% from March Lows Gold still up 24% from March Lows
Is this the end OR another go for low yields in this disinflation cycle before? Zoom out to see next important pivot point for #gold's "disinflation" cycle driving macro driver. Gold has held relatively well, while the bonds stronger correction. #silver
If inflation stays flat or decreases, #gold can still rise in #disinflation cycle as long #inflation is higher than nominal yields. That part of equation is currently correcting. Until inflation REALLY wakes up, you don't want #bonds to go down
Having fun with Ichimoku cloud defined support, resistance and trends! Weekly is a good transition time frame... will uptrend hold? Cloud doing it's thing for now.
Gold and 30 year t-bonds on cusp of next big move... cliff hanger stuff!
Chop sticks helping me out and volume profiling... on a Point and Figure Chart! Ahahah. #inflation #debt #gold #silver $slv $gld #fintwit $sil $silj $gdx $gdxj
OANDA:USB30YUSD With the restart of the economy and lowered interest rates, I expect to see a rise on the treasury bonds as buyers come to swallow up the cheap rates especially during this time although this surprise may be shortened due to the lag it would take to get going and unemployment rates.
Volume declining but still a bulllish formation BB showing a clear knock on the 4HR and inching towards the higher range. If it its the outer of the 2nd bands, expect a quick rise in treasuries like Friday and Monday Follow me for more on treasuries!
I could be wrrong but I dont beleive with the economic uncertainty the markets are facing, we are still in a bullish trend. Fibs levels are matching up nicely to confirm this aswell. Again this is all hypothetical but I am long some CAD 2037, CAD 2041 and CAD 2048 bonds. Some are hedge vs other positions but mostly long bias. Let me know what you think on my...
I could be wrong but if you take Iran out of the equation we had a beautiful double tap forming on the W chart. The signals still stand when you look at it on the D. I think we hit the trend and look for price action. Anyways just an interesting chart I figure I would share!
Could see a hold at 162.000