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US500.F trade ideas

2h timeframe (SPCFD index, looks like US500 / S&P CFD).This is a 2h timeframe (SPCFD index, looks like US500 / S&P CFD). Current price is around 6,403. I have drawn a falling trendline from July, and price is now near the lower zone. There’s also volume profile (VPVR) on the right side, showing key liquidity zones. A target point is marked below, around the 6,200 level. 📌 Target Zone: My chart suggests a downside target around 6,200 (highlighted with the blue arrow). ⚠ Notes: If 6,400 support breaks clearly, sellers may push toward 6,300 → 6,200. But if price reclaims above 6,480–6,500, the short-term bearish setup could fail, and we may see a bounce. 👉 Immediate target: 6,200 👉 Stop-loss to watch (invalidating short): above 6,500
SP:SPXLong
by RSI_Trading_point
8
SPX500USD could go higherHi traders, Last week SPX500USD played out exactly as predicted in my previous outlook. Right at the open it started the upmove and it continued the whole week making a new ATH. Next week we could see this pair going up some more. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small pullback and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis📊 SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis The index is pressing into the 6,617 zone, showing exhaustion at key Fib extensions. Our VolanX model outlines two possible paths: 1️⃣ A corrective retracement toward 6,450 support before momentum rebuilds. 2️⃣ A continuation breakout, with upside targets at 6,689 and potentially 6,799. ⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish short-term, with risk of a healthy pullback before continuation. 🧠 VolanX Protocol continues monitoring momentum shifts, liquidity sweeps, and volatility clusters for adaptive trade execution. 🔗 #VolanXProtocol #WaverVanir #SPX500 #TradingAI #MarketIntelligence
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPX500 – Retest of ATH, Bullish Flag in FormationSPX500 reached a new all-time high today and has since pulled back to retest the previous ATH level. The structure remains intact, and price is shaping up into a potential bullish flag, signaling continuation higher. Confluences: • Oscillators showing bullish momentum • No major trends broken • Small pullback likely enough for a bounce toward retesting the new ATH On the 1H chart, this lines up with a quick 0.5R setup: • Target: 1 ATR • Stop loss: 2 ATR Unfortunately, I didn’t notice the post was set to private instead of public. Here’s the private link where you can view the original setup: Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by XXXX4X
S&P 500: What Is the Chart Impact of the Fed on 09/17?The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17, will be decisive for the trajectory of U.S. equity markets at the end of 2025. Depending on Jerome Powell’s choice, scenarios range from a stock market crash to a new all-time high, with more neutral consolidation phases in between. Five possible options emerge, each with specific implications for the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000, which I describe below. First case: no pivot. If the Fed decides to keep rates unchanged throughout 2025 due to overly resilient inflation, then the scenario is clearly bearish. The lack of monetary support would suffocate market momentum, triggering a 20–30% crash in the S&P 500, dropping it to between 4,800 and 5,000 points. The Russell 2000, more fragile and sensitive to the macroeconomic environment, would retreat toward its critical support zone of 1,600–1,700 points. Second case: a limited technical pivot. The Fed might opt for just one rate cut in September or October, justified by a temporary adjustment to the labor market. In this case, markets would not see it as a strong easing signal but rather as a circumstantial gesture. Result: the S&P 500 would decline toward the 6,000–6,100 area, with a parallel correction of the Russell 2000 around 2,000 points. Third case: a real and healthy pivot. This is the most favorable scenario for Wall Street. Disinflation is confirmed near 2%, employment remains under control, and the Fed initiates a genuine rate-cutting cycle starting in September or October. In this context, the underlying bullish trend would regain full strength: the S&P 500 would head toward 6,700–7,000 points, while the Russell 2000 would break out of its consolidation to surpass its November 2021 record. Fourth case: an unhealthy pivot. Here, the Fed cuts rates in a more fragile environment: inflation remains near 3%, but it is primarily labor market deterioration that drives the decision. Markets could still find support from lower credit costs. The S&P 500 would preserve its former record at 6,200 points and likely aim for 6,700 points. The Russell 2000, more sensitive to financing conditions, would fully benefit from this easing, also surpassing its 2021 high. Fifth case: the emergency Fed Put. Finally, in the darkest scenario, a shock to employment would trigger a brutal Fed intervention, with a “jumbo cut” and a series of rapid rate reductions. While this support might contain the recession, the immediate reaction would be a sharp drop: the S&P 500 would plunge into bear market territory before a potential recovery tied to monetary easing. The Russell 2000 would follow the same trajectory. 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SP:SPX
by Swissquote
1
#SPX - 300 points move?Date: 24-08-2025 SPX- Current Price: 6466.92 Pivot Point: 6400 Support: 6312 Resistance: 6489 Upside Targets: -------------------------------- | Target | Price | --------------------------------- | 🎯 Target 1 | 6557 | | 🎯 Target 2 | 6625 | | 🎯 Target 3 | 6710 | | 🎯 Target 4 | 6794 | Downside Targets: | 🎯 Target 1 | 6244 | | 🎯 Target 2 | 6175 | | 🎯 Target 3 | 6090 | | 🎯 Target 4 | 6006 | #TradingView #Nifty #BankNifty #DJI #NDQ #SENSEX #DAX #USOIL #GOLD #SILVER #BHEL #HUDCO #LT #LTF #ABB #DIXON #SIEMENS #BALKRISIND #MRF #DIVISLAB #MARUTI #HAL #SHREECEM #JSWSTEEL #MPHASIS #NATIONALUM #BALRAMCHIN #TRIVENI #USDINR #EURUSD #USDJPY #NIFTY_MID_SELECT #CNXFINANCE #SOLANA #ETHEREUM #BTCUSD #MATICUSDT #XRPUSDT #PEPEUSDT #SHIBUSDT #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTA #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
SP:SPX
by Abc_trades
SPX 6600 Target HitHello Traders, Well I expected a retrace by now but this market keeps powering higher. Well it finally hit the target many were talking about 6600 . It hit that number the other day on the ES as well. Its the 1.618 fib and the first resistance level and RSI is well overbought. Also we have a rate cut for Wednesday so a drop Monday and Tuesday before the rate cut on Wednesday powers the market and crypto higher makes sense. I don't think we are gonna get that big retrace I kind of expected yet. after we hit these targets we probably head up towards the dreaded 6666. See ya there!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheUniverse618
"When the move is tiring." "Moves in the tiring stage will try to have the best chance for clearing debt and freaking out the market with high prices. The first move of this stage will go with fewer candles but high movement in price by itself. The second is opposite—its strength is weak, but its effort is strong (more candles)." Let me know if you want to expand this into a trading strategy or a visual example. It's got a poetic rhythm to it—almost like market philosophy. ........ "Superiority zone will break in the chance of wonderful news, but only for a while. There should not be any trade—market needs to absorb the new price." ......... "Pressure zone free is no longer a trade with real money. It's a controlled move to break the new price for the sake of the news and shift into a political view." .......... "Free range is the zone that will hold the price strongly below or above it."
SP:SPX
by Legolos
SPX500USD – Rejected at 6,550, Holding 6,490 SupportThe S&P 500 Index faced rejection at the 6,550 resistance zone after a strong bullish run. Price is now pulling back toward the 6,490 support, which will be key for buyers to defend in order to maintain upside momentum. Support at: 6,490 / 6,455 / 6,350 🔽 Resistance at: 6,550 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A rebound from 6,490 could retest 6,550, and a breakout above would extend gains. 🔽 Bearish: A break below 6,490 and 6,455 would expose the 6,350 zone. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SPOT_FX
Econ: Warning SignsI don't usually cover fundamental landscape unless several key economic indicators and policies paint a picture of emerging trouble. Jobs market collapse is real The NFP print of 22K is a disaster, missing estimates by a wide margin. Revisions are key: June was revised down to -13,000 jobs. This is the first negative print since 2020 and signals the slowdown began months ago. The U6 rate jumping to 8.1% is a huge red flag. This includes part-time workers who want full-time jobs and those discouraged from looking. It shows significant underlying weakness the headline U3 rate hides. Tariffs didn't work The policy was supposed to boost US manufacturing and slash the trade deficit. The opposite is happening. US Manufacturing PMI has been in contraction for 6 straight months. Why? Tariffs on steel and aluminum have made input costs soar, crippling competitiveness. The Goods Trade Deficit ballooned 22% in July to $103.6B. Imports rose nearly 6x faster than exports. This is a direct contradiction to the policy's goal and acts as a tax on consumers and businesses. Stagflation Risk Weak Growth + Persistent Inflation Growth is stalling: Weak job creation, falling manufacturing output. Inflation is sticky: While wages cooled slightly, prices remain high (as confirmed by consumers in Tennessee interviews). 🏛️ The Fed is now trapped. Cutting rates could fuel more inflation. Hiking rates would kill more jobs. There is no good exit. Tourism: An estimated $80 billion in lost revenue is a massive hit. This has a multiplier effect, hurting local economies far beyond the initial number. Energy: Cancelling near-complete renewable projects (like the RI wind farm) creates uncertainty and hurts long-term energy capacity planning. Agriculture: Farmers in Arkansas and elsewhere are facing bankruptcy due to low prices, high costs from tariffs, and labor shortages. This is a repeat of the 2018 bailout scenario. Three False Narratives: "The Data is Wrong": Attacking the BLS methodology and promising upward revisions. This is shooting the messenger. The trend across multiple reports is clearly negative. "Just Wait a Year": Claiming the benefits of the policies are just around the corner. This is a hope-based strategy, not data-driven. "Look at Private Investment!": Pointing to vague, performative pledges from tech CEOs (like Zuckerberg's hot-mic "$600B" comment). The current economic policies are: Failing to achieve their stated goals. Increasing costs for businesses and consumers. Creating uncertainty that paralyzes investment. Increasing the risk of a stagflationary environment. The market has been resilient, but fundamentals are starting to crack. What I'm Watching: Next CPI and PCE prints for inflation persistence. Next month's NFP for confirmation of the trend. Fed rhetoric: If they would acknowledge the growth scare
TVC:SPX
by fract
4h Retest and TargetThe S&P had broken above a point where sellers came in previously, but could not push price down, hence the consolidation where the red and green boxes are drawn. Price came back down, tested the previous consolidation area, buyers stepped in and price held. (Looking at the wick, it's possible to have entered and been stopped out, but as it moved back up, could've looked for a re-entry and stop below the wick) Friday had its push up, consolidated, and so far on Monday has held its gains. If I were in at the retest area, this new consolidation area is where I'd put my stop and use previous all time highs as the target.
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by t0kenst0cks87
1
SPX500USD – Important Levels Below (Watch for Next Week)The S&P 500 is holding near all-time highs. When markets sit at extremes, it’s useful to map out where the structure lives underneath. These are levels that: Could act as strong support if price pulls back (buy interest). Or, if broken, could accelerate downside momentum into deeper zones. Here are some confluent areas to keep in mind for next week (as today is Friday): 6.525 – 6,534 → Weekly vWAP, weekly time POC, and a poor low. 6,495 - 6,506 → Naked weekly POC and naked daily POC. 6,455 – 6,479 → Naked daily, naked weekly, monthly vWAP, daily naked POC, weekly naked POC, current monthly POC, and weekly time naked POC. So clearly the biggest level to watch! Why these matter: when multiple levels overlap (VWAP, POC, HTF highs/lows, etc, liquidity often pools there. That makes them “decision points” — either support for a bounce or, if broken, fuel for a larger move down. If you’re new to terms like VWAP or POC, don’t worry — they can be confusing at first. Leave a comment and I’ll happily explain, or DM me if you prefer to ask privately. This post is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a trading signal.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by QTXAlgoSystems
S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating. Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced. For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better. Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6590 Resistance Level 2: 6610 Resistance Level 3: 6630 Support Level 1: 6440 Support Level 2: 6410 Support Level 3: 6380 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Hits Record High Ahead of CPI ReportS&P 500 Hits Record High Ahead of CPI Report Today at 15:30 GMT+3, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released. In anticipation of the figures, traders remain optimistic – the S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high yesterday, climbing above 6,560 points. The bullish sentiment is driven by: → Expectations of an interest rate cut in September, which is believed to provide a positive boost to the US economy (and increase corporate profits). → A sharp rally in Oracle (ORCL) shares. The company announced it had signed four multibillion-dollar contracts with three different clients. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 On the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index, the price continues to move within an ascending channel, shown in blue. From a bearish perspective: → the price is near the upper boundary of the channel, which has acted as resistance for several weeks; → the RSI indicator is close to the overbought zone, which may discourage buyers from entering at higher prices; → yesterday’s candle had a long upper shadow (marked with an arrow), indicating increased selling pressure. From a bullish perspective: → the local level of 6,520, after being broken, has switched from resistance to support; → in September, the price has followed a steep upward trajectory (marked with orange lines), with the lower line showing signs of support. Taking this into account, we could assume that the market is in a short-term state of balance while awaiting the release of inflation data – arguably the key event of the week in the economic calendar. Favourable figures could encourage the bulls to attempt a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel, lifting the S&P 500 to a new all-time high. Be prepared for spikes in volatility. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
SPX500 Awaits CPI – Pivot 6,527 in Focus (Details Below...)SPX500 – Overview U.S. futures were flat Thursday as traders awaited the August CPI report, which could shape expectations for a potential 50bps Fed rate cut next week. Earnings from Kroger and Adobe are also due. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained +0.3% and the Nasdaq +0.03% to fresh record highs after a surprise drop in PPI and strong Oracle guidance, while the Dow fell -0.48% on Apple weakness. Technical Outlook 📉 Below 6,527 → bearish momentum may extend to 6,506 → 6,490 → 6,470. 📈 Above 6,527 → bullish bias continues toward 6,550 → 6,565, with a potential push to 6,600 if CPI comes in softer (<2.9%). ⚠️ A hotter CPI print could trigger sharp downside volatility. Key Levels Pivot: 6,527 Resistance: 6,550 – 6,565 – 6,600 Support: 6,506 – 6,490 – 6,470
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX - 2 Month Bearish DivergenceHello Traders, As shown you can see the two month bearish divergence on the index. My thoughts are it needs resolved soon than later and the inflation data coming up next could be the spark that finally gets it going.... We will find out tomorrow at 8:30 if the data comes in hot the market will not like that.. We could get a selloff in stocks and crypto on no other than 9-11 anniversary. Stay tunes and lets see if I nailed this one or not.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheUniverse618
1
SPX500 Holds Above 6,527 Ahead of U.S. PPI DataSPX500 – Overview Global equities rose early Wednesday as bets for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week strengthened after more weak U.S. jobs data. Traders now await the release of U.S. PPI today and CPI tomorrow, which may spark short-term volatility, though few expect them to alter the Fed’s plans. Technical Outlook: 📈 The index remains in a bullish trend, with potential to set a new ATH near 6,550. A confirmed breakout above this level could open another bullish leg. 📉 To confirm bearish momentum, price would need to close a 1H candle below 6,527, exposing downside targets at 6,518 → 6,506. Key Levels: Pivot: 6,527 Resistance: 6,550 – 6,566 Support: 6,518 – 6,506
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi