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USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD – Testing the 0.6670 Resistance -->Breakout ? Hello everyone, let’s discuss OANDA:AUDUSD ! Today, the pair maintains its bullish momentum, trading near 0.6670 since the start of the session. The Aussie dollar is strengthening as demand for risk-sensitive assets rises, fueled by solid expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its monetary easing campaign this Wednesday. Technical View: AUDUSD remains highly attractive as price continues to respect the ascending trendline, supported by EMA 34/89. At the moment, it’s testing the 0.6670 resistance zone – a key level that will decide the next move. If the pair holds above the trendline, a breakout above resistance could open the way for higher targets. What do you think? Will AUDUSD break through resistance and launch a fresh rally? Share your views below!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
12
Short Setup on AUDUSD | Key Level at $0.667 TestedToday I want to share with you a Short position on the AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) pair. In the previous idea on AUDUSD, I managed to find the first part of this uptrend rally . AUDUSD is currently trading in the Resistance zone($0.6714-$0.6622) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . Also, one of the reasons why I took this Short position on the AUDUSD pair is that the AUDUSD is approaching $0.667 , which is an important number in previous rallies (in terms of trading volume ) on the daily and weekly time frames. I expect AUDUSD NOT to break the $0.667 level without a correction (at least), so a drop to $0.6614(First Target) is at least possible . Second Target: $0.6580 Stop Loss(SL): $0.6723 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
21
AUDUSD: Is the Trend Ending Ahead of FOMC?AUDUSD: Is the Trend Ending Ahead of FOMC? Recently, AUD has been rising strongly, even against the USD. At first, it looked like AUD was showing real strength compared to the dollar, but whether that strength is sustainable remains to be seen. Today’s focus is the FOMC meeting. Most news suggests the USD weakness comes from the market already pricing in a rate cut. Let’s assume that’s true. If the move is already priced in, what happens next? Will AUDUSD push higher? Or is the top of the bullish trend already in place, followed by a possible bearish move? It’s a tough call because the FOMC is one of the most volatile events, and sharp swings in both directions are very common. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
10
AUDUSD Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Setup AheadAUDUSD is testing a key resistance zone near 0.6680 after a strong bullish trendline move. The market has shown multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) signals, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. If price fails to break above this resistance, we may see a bearish rejection followed by a downside move toward 0.6620 – 0.6600. A confirmed break below the trendline could accelerate bearish pressure. This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly and follow your trading plan.
Short
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
6
AUD/USD Ready for a Short Squeeze? COT Divergence Signals1. Retail Sentiment 73% of retail traders are short versus 27% long. Such an unbalanced positioning usually suggests short squeeze potential, as the market often moves against retail flows, especially when technical levels confirm the bias. 2. COT Report USD Index: Non-Commercials remain skewed to the short side (+18.6k short vs. +13.6k long), with a slight reduction. This indicates the dollar is losing part of its net strength. AUD Futures: Non-Commercials are heavily short (112k vs. 29k long), adding –16,930 new shorts. However, Commercials (hedgers) increased their longs (+11,908). Historically, commercials are more accurate at market turning points. This divergence may point to a bottom forming in AUD. 3. Seasonality (September) September has historically been neutral to slightly negative for AUD/USD: flat performance over 20 years, and weaker over the last 5 years. However, mid-to-late September seasonality stabilizes, setting the stage for an October recovery. Bearish pressure may start fading, leaving room for upside. 4. Technical Outlook Demand Zone: 0.6450–0.6500 has repeatedly rejected price, confirming strong support. Supply Zone: 0.6650–0.6700, recently tested, represents the first upside target. Structure: Price is printing higher lows and showing signs of a potential bullish structure shift. RSI is neutral, with no overbought signals. Possible Scenario: A short pullback into 0.6520–0.6540 before accelerating toward 0.6680–0.6700. 5. Trading Summary Bias: Moderately bullish in the short-to-medium term. Key Drivers: Extreme retail short positioning → potential squeeze. COT divergence (specs heavily short, commercials long) → possible bottom. Weak but improving seasonality. Technical structure favoring upside continuation. 👉 Bottom line: AUD/USD favors long setups, but heavy Non-Commercial short exposure implies volatility could remain elevated.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
Bearish Outlook: AUDUSD on Track Toward 0.66210Good day everyone, Ken here! I’ve been following AUDUSD rather closely, and it’s enjoyed a strong bullish move recently. Yet in my experience, such rallies rarely continue unchecked, and I sense this one may be nearing its peak. There are subtle signs of sellers beginning to position themselves. My attention is firmly on the 0.66210 area – a level I consider crucial. Should price provide a clear confirmation here, not merely through candle formations but also through volume behaviour, I would view it as a potential entry point. Naturally, the bullish scenario hasn’t vanished entirely. But for it to hold, buyers will need to demonstrate far greater conviction than they’ve shown so far. That’s my perspective for now. How do you see it – do you share this view, or does the chart tell you a different story?
Short
by Kenn_Nguyen
7
AUDUSD uptrend continuation supported at 0.6610The AUDUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.6610 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.6610 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.6695 – initial resistance 0.6720 – psychological and structural level 0.6740 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.6610 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.6600 – minor support 0.6570 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the AUDUSD holds above 0.6610. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
AUDUSD – Wave Analysis OutlookAUDUSD continues to unfold within a broad corrective structure, and current price action leaves room for two key scenarios. Primary View (Blue W–X–Y): The recent swings suggest the pair is developing a W–X–Y corrective pattern in blue. If this count holds, price could extend higher toward the 0.6750 – 0.6800 region, which aligns with Fibonacci projections where the correction may eventually complete before the broader downtrend resumes. Alternative View (Expanding Triangle in Wave X): Another possibility is that wave X is evolving into an expanding triangle. In this case, price may continue to alternate in wider swings (A–B–C–D–E) before breaking out into the next leg. The triangle invalidation level sits at 0.6417—a break below this would negate the structure and open the door for further downside. 👉 For now, I’ll be watching for buy setups if price consolidates at current levels, targeting the higher Fibonacci zones (0.6750–0.6800). ⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is based on my personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Long
by saravanarm
1
AUD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 6H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.658 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
AUDUSD Gains Momentum Ahead of Fed DecisionDollar has been weakening, in particular since August 22nd when Powell spoke at Jackson Hole, acknowledged rising inflation risks, and more importantly, weakening labor data. Back then he signaled that the Fed could adjust rates with a 25 or possibly even a 50 basis point cut this Wednesday. Looking at FX pairs, what stands out to me is that we are clearly in risk-on mode, with commodity currencies doing very well since late August. Aussie is up almost 4% from the August 22nd lows, while other majors are lagging behind that performance. So it may not be a bad idea to focus on Aussie for potential longs versus the US dollar, especially considering inflation in Australia increased on a yearly basis from 1.9% in June to 2.8% in July, as reported on August 27th. This shows inflation is still a problem in Australia, so the RBA may not be looking to cut rates, which makes AUDUSD attractive on the upside. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I also like the impulsive characteristics on Aussie from the August 22nd close. In my view, we are still in an incomplete five-wave cycle, with the recent push beyond the July highs being wave three. After the next pullback in wave four, there could be a strong rebound, with the 0.6625 level standing out as attractive support on dips. I’ll certainly keep a close eye on this zone if a retracement occurs. It’s also worth noting that Aussie is now trying to break the trendline from the 2021 highs, which could be an interesting breakout point and support the recovery, at least until the five-wave cycle completes on the 8-hour chart. Grega
Long
by ew-forecast
1
AUD/USD - Bullish Channel (10.09.2025) The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6636 2nd Resistance – 0.6658 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
Potential bearish reversal for the Aussie?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6644 1st Support: 0.6452 1st Resistance: 0.6819 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Bullish bounce off support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6619 1st Support: 0.6568 1st Resistance: 0.6689 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6619 1st Support: 0.6557 1st Resistance: 0.6689 Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Long
by ICmarkets