Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

AUD/USD – Fundamentals Driving Downtrend | 24.11.2025Bearish Channel + Rate-Cut Expectation Pressure = Downside Continuation Setup 🔍 Technical Setup AUD/USD continues to trade inside a falling channel, respecting the trendline resistance (multiple rejections marked). Price is currently moving toward the resistance zone, offering a potential sell-on-retest opportunity before further downside. 📌 Bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the channel resistance + Ichimoku cloud. 🎯 Trading Plan : 📌 Targets (Support Levels): 1st Support: 0.64130 2nd Support: 0.63912 📌 Invalidation / Risk: A breakout above 0.6480 would reduce bearish bias. ⚠️ Today’s Fundamental Drivers : 1️⃣ Rate-cut expectations surged: Markets now price 69% chance of a December rate cut, up from 44% last week → weakens AUD. 2️⃣ New York Fed statement shook sentiment: Fed official highlighted weak job market as a bigger risk than high inflation, increasing probability of monetary easing → USD firming vs risk currencies like AUD. ➡️ When fundamentals + technical trend align, continuation move is likely. AUDUSD analysis, AUD/USD forecast, AUDUSD sell setup, Forex signals, Australian dollar outlook, Rate cut impact on forex, AUD technical analysis, price action strategy ⚠️ Disclaimer This chart is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan. ❤️ Support the Analysis If you found this helpful — LIKE 👍 & COMMENT 💬 Your support motivates more daily high-quality chart setups!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
47
Warning: AUD/USD Sinking – Any Reversal Ahead?Hello everyone, today we’ll analyze the AUD/USD pair in the context of its clear downtrend. In terms of news, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high, putting pressure on the AUD. Additionally, the lack of supportive data from Australia recently has made investors concerned about the economic outlook of the country. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that AUD/USD is in a downtrend as the price breaks through a descending triangle pattern . The resistance at 0.65200 has been rejected several times, and the buying pressure is weakening. This indicates that the downtrend could continue, especially as the price has tested and failed to break through this resistance level. The next key support levels are 0.64700 and 0.64200. If the price breaks these support levels, the downtrend will likely accelerate. Given the current context, AUD/USD may continue to fall in the short term, unless there’s an unexpected shift in policy from the Fed or Australia . In conclusion, the downtrend of AUD/USD is clear and significant . The support levels at 0.64700 and 0.64200 are important levels to watch for trading.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
6
AUDUSD: Watching 0.6470 as Fed Cut Bets GrowHey Traders, In today’s session we’re monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.64700 zone. The pair remains in a clear uptrend, and price is currently pulling back toward a major trend support / S&R confluence at 0.64700 — a level where bulls have previously stepped in with conviction. On the macro side, I continue to think that the incoming data will ultimately force the FED into a December cut, despite the market still being mixed on the odds. If that scenario plays out, it would set the stage for broad USD weakness, which aligns perfectly with a bullish continuation on AUDUSD. A reaction from the 0.64700 area could offer a solid continuation setup if the trend structure holds. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
23
AUDUSD Bearish below 0.6500 resistanceThe AUDUSD currency pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 0.6500 This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level. Bearish Scenario (rejection at 0.6500): A failed test and rejection at 0.6500 would likely resume the bearish momentum. Downside targets include: 0.6425 – Initial support 0.6400 – Intermediate support 0.6380 – Longer-term support level Bullish Scenario (breakout above 0.6500): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.6500 would invalidate the bearish setup. In that case, potential upside resistance levels are: 0.6520 – First resistance 0.6550 – Further upside target Conclusion AUDUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 0.6500 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
3
Lingrid | AUDUSD Relief Rally Then Downtrend ContinuationFX:AUDUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is pulling back toward the mid-range zone after rejecting the descending trendline, confirming that sellers still control the broader structure. The market continues to form lower highs and lower lows inside the downward channel, with the recent compression breakdown reinforcing bearish momentum. If price retests 0.64750 and fails to break above it, continuation toward the 0.64150 support becomes the most likely scenario as the trend resumes. Broader context shows a consistent bearish flow, with corrective rallies repeatedly turning into continuation moves. ⚠️ Risks: A clean breakout above 0.64750 may invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a deeper correction. USD weakness or unexpected macro data could disrupt downside continuation. Failure to maintain momentum along the trendline may lead to sideways consolidation instead of a clean drop. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
4
Lingrid | AUDUSD Weekly High False Breakout - Sell SetupFX:AUDUSD is rejecting the resistance block after forming a clear lower high right beneath the descending red trendline. Price is now slipping back under the minor breakout zone, showing fading bullish momentum inside the shaded range. As long as price stays below 0.6550, sellers remain in control with a clean path toward the 0.6500 liquidity zone. A break and retest of that zone may open further downside into the deeper support area. ⚠️ Risks: A strong reclaim above 0.6550 would invalidate the bearish structure. Sudden USD weakness could trigger a corrective bounce. Failure to hold below the blue trendline may cause a short-term squeeze before continuation lower. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
9
Wait…are we bullish?Hello traders! Here’s a technical chart breakdown for AUD/USD based on current structure, trend, momentum, and supportive macro data. (Note: this is analysis, not a guarantee. Always manage risk.) ⸻ Market Overview Going into the weekly close, AUD/USD created a new November low on Thursday, but price recovered strongly and closed near Friday’s highs — a sign of bullish intention. If this momentum continues, we’re looking at: • Intraday potential: ~40 pips • Swing potential: ~100 pips, if price breaks out of the current downward channel Our first target aligns with previous support from earlier this month, while the secondary swing target sits at a key higher-timeframe resistance level that price may revisit. ⸻ 📌 Trade Idea (Long AUD/USD) • Entry: 0.64450 • Target 1: 0.64850 (+40 pips) • Target 2: 0.65250 (+80 pips) • Stop Loss: 0.64050 (–40 pips) Risk-to-Reward • To T1: 1:1 • To T2: 1:2.5 ⸻ 📈 Technical Breakdown Structure There is a large expanding wedge forming (not shown on the chart), which can act as a bullish continuation pattern if price breaks to the upside. This would support a larger measured move. Momentum • RSI: Currently recovering from oversold conditions, supporting bullish continuation. • On the daily timeframe, RSI has been trending higher without reaching overbought zones — leaving room for further upside. Invalidation • A break below 0.64050 (our stop loss area) would invalidate the bullish structure and indicate a bearish shift. ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Support: Australia Labor Market Australia’s latest labour data came in stronger than expected, adding confidence to the bullish bias: • Employment increased by +42,000 (doubled expectations) • Full-time jobs rose • Unemployment rate fell by 0.2% Stronger labour numbers reduce the odds of near-term RBA rate cuts and support AUD strength. ⸻ 📅 What’s Next? We’ll be monitoring price action next week for additional confirmations and potential long setups. A breakout above the channel + sustained bullish momentum would increase the likelihood of reaching T1 and T2.
Long
by PipTips
1
Stop!Loss|Market View: AUDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the AUDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.64407 💰TP: 0.63705 ⛔️SL: 0.64755 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The Australian dollar continues to move lower, as sellers outlined a week ago. Selling remains a priority, and for today there are two scenarios (see chart). In both cases, the downside target is the lower boundary of the downtrend channel, with 0.63500 as a potential target. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅
Short
by StopLoss222
2
AUD/USD - Market Structure Outlook with Key Higher-Timeframe This chart highlights a multi-timeframe liquidity framework, combining 1D and 4H supply/demand zones to outline potential price reactions. Current price action is consolidating within a higher-timeframe demand zone, suggesting the possibility of a bullish response. The marked 4H and 1D liquidity pools above price represent key upside targets if the market confirms a reversal from this zone. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), imbalances, and structural breaks provide additional confluence for a potential shift in order flow. Arrows illustrate the projected path toward liquidity objectives on both the 4H and 1D levels. Macro-Fundamental Context: Recent labor market data has shown a rise in unemployment during August, indicating early signs of cooling conditions. The latest FOMC comments reinforce that policymakers are becoming increasingly sensitive to any further softening in employment. This raises the possibility of a more cautious or even accommodative stance if data continues to weaken. Today’s September release is expected to come in negative as well, and if confirmed, it could further pressure the Fed’s tightening narrative. Alongside this, DXY has been losing bullish momentum, reflecting hesitation from dollar buyers as rate expectations begin to shift. A weakening dollar often aligns with risk-on flows across major markets, which could support the bullish reaction anticipated in the technical setup. If DXY continues to soften, it may add confluence to a potential upward move toward the higher-timeframe liquidity pools highlighted on the chart.
Long
by psavaliya_
AUDUSD SELL Setup – Trendline Respect + Liquidity + StructureAUDUSD continues to follow the broader downtrend, respecting the descending trendline multiple times. Price recently pulled back into the trendline and a small supply zone, creating a clean lower-high formation. Liquidity above the minor highs was taken, and the immediate reaction shows sellers stepping back in. Market structure remains bearish with repeated BOS/CHOCH confirming downside continuation. As long as price stays under the trendline and supply, the bearish momentum is intact. I’m targeting the next liquidity levels and demand zones below, expecting price to fill inefficiencies on the way down. SL: Above the sweep / supply zone. TP: Next major demand / liquidity pool. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Short
by DreamsForx
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W47| D19 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D19 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUD/USD – Bearish Breakout Signal Triggered AUD/USD – Bearish Breakout Signal Triggered (79% Backtest Probability) A fresh SELL signal has been generated on AUD/USD, driven by a confirmed Breakout pattern on the current timeframe. This setup aligns strongly with our automated trend-following model and carries a 79% historical backtest probability, indicating a high-quality bearish continuation opportunity. 🔍 Technical Breakdown The price structure on AUD/USD is currently reflecting: 1. Bearish Breakout Structure The pair recently pushed through a minor intraday structure, forming a lower high — a classic precursor to bearish continuation. The breakout reflects rejection of upper liquidity, signaling sellers stepping in with control. 2. Trend Alignment Our trend-following model confirms that: The pair is trading below key dynamic levels. Momentum indicators show downside pressure building. The breakout pattern is clean and free from noise, improving its reliability. This confluence increases the confidence that the downside move may continue. 🌍 Market Context & Macro Influence Dollar strength continues to weigh heavily on AUD/USD, as: Risk sentiment remains fragile Interest rate differentials favor USD Recent macro data prints support a stronger dollar outlook AUD continues to show weakness due to commodity softness and cautious global sentiment In short, the macro backdrop supports the bearish technical structure currently forming on the chart. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: 0.65297 Sellers are expected to defend this zone aggressively. Immediate Support: 0.64907 A clean break below this region may accelerate bearish momentum. Major Resistance: 0.65753 A strong structural ceiling — bullish invalidation sits above this level. Major Support: 0.64451 The next major liquidity target for sellers if the present breakout expands. 🎯 Trade Parameters (Based on 0.10 Lot Size) Parameter Level Entry 0.65102 Stop Loss (SL) 0.65302 Take Profit (TP) 0.64702 Risk $50 Potential Profit $100 R:R Ratio 1 : 2 This structure offers a clean, mechanical setup with well-defined risk boundaries. 🛡 Risk Management Notes Professional-grade risk practices include: Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade Consider scaling into the position if price retests the breakout zone Use a trailing stop after price moves in your favor Avoid holding during high-impact USD or AUD economic events Ensure proper position sizing based on your account balance If volatility expands, consider partial profit-taking Breakout trades can accelerate quickly — staying disciplined is essential. 📌 Final Thoughts AUD/USD currently presents a high-probability bearish continuation setup, supported by both technical structure and macro context. With backtested performance at 79%, clear levels, and defined risk, this opportunity fits well within professional trend-following models. Traders should monitor price behavior near support at 0.64907 — a breakdown from this region may trigger the next wave of selling pressure toward 0.64702 and beyond.
Short
by SivaArjun
Falling towards key support?AUD/USD is pulling back toward the pivot level, which serves as a multi–swing-low support zone. From this area, the pair may find buying interest and potentially rebound toward the 1st resistance level. Pivot: 0.6468 1st Support: 0.6444 1st Resitance: 0.6498 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
AUDUSD: Support Zone, Anticipate Buy!..Hello everyone, AUDUSD is presently at the support area, as we can clearly spot in the formation. the pair have been moving on horizontal range of support and resistance in the bigger time frame, giving both the buyers and sellers chances to take place in the market. The probability of buy is high, in regards to the structure zones. Key points; A confirmed reversal above the support, would set off upward rise to 0.6540 as the potential target. Thanks for reading.
Long
by Blaisefxacademy
1
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W47| D21 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Bullish reversal for the Aussie?The price has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.6468 1st Support: 0.6444 1st Resistance: 0.6512 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
AUD/USD may reverse from channel resistance.The Australian dollar rose slightly near 0.6500 on Tuesday after hitting a near two-week low earlier in the session, as the Reserve Bank of Australia signaled caution and emphasized a data-dependent approach to future monetary policy in its latest minutes. Additionally, the RBA recently kept the cash rate at 3.60%, highlighting its reluctance to ease policy further amid persistently high inflation and exaggerated concerns about a weakening labor market. Technically, AUD/USD is trading within a downward support and resistance channel, forming a lower low and lower high pattern. It is currently near the channel resistance level and is expected to reverse from this level to continue trading downward. AUD/USD is trading below its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and is currently near the 50-day EMA. If the pair continues to trade below the 100-day EMA, it is very likely to maintain the lower low lower high pattern within the support and resistance channels and is expected to reach the support zone near the 0.6470 level.
Short
by rishililawat5
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 38.2% Fibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is retracing upward toward the sell entry, which sits at a pullback resistance level that aligns well with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Sell Entry: 0.6475 Pullback resistance 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop Loss: 0.6516 Overlap resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 0.6389 Swing low support 61.8% Fibonacci extension High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Short
by Tradu