AUDUSDContinuation to the upside on Aussie to Dollar, bias is to pull up to the next resistance zone.watch out for price reaction
USDAUD trade ideas
Australian dollar hits eight-month high on risk-on moodThe Australian dollar has rallied for a fourth sucessive day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6588, up 0.50% on the day. The red-hot Aussie has jumped 1.6% since Thursday and hit a daily high of 0.6600 earlier, its highest level since Nov. 2024.
The financial markets are in a risk-on mood today, buoyed by the announcement that the US and Japan have reached a trade agreement. Under the deal, the US will impose 15% tariffs on Japanese products, including automobiles. As well, Japan will invest some $550 billion into the US.
Global stock markets are higher and the Australian dollar, a gauge of risk appetite, has climbed to an eight-month high.
Investors also reacted positively today to reports that negotiations between the US and China were speeding up and the US could grant an extension of the August 12 deadline to reach an agreement. The latest positive developments on the tariff front have raised hopes that the US will also sign trade deals with the European Union and South Korea.
The White House continues to put pressure on the Federal Reserve. Earlier this week, Treasury Scott Bessent called for a thorough review of the Federal Reserve. Bessent echoed President Trump's calls for the Fed to lower interest rates.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hasn't shown any signs of plans to cut rates and has fired back that the uncertainty over Trump's trade policy has forced the Fed to adopt a wait-and-see policy. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates at the July 30 meeting but there is a 58% likelihood of a rate cut in September, according to CME's FedWatch.
AUD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.6579 and tested resistance at 0.6593 earlier. Next, there is resistance at 0.6629
0.6539 and 0.6521 are the next support levels
breakout idea1. Day high break
2. retest
3. ATR is increasing
4. price already return to bb
5. Planning to go long.
6. Waiting for confirmation candle
thanks
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD: Symmetrical Triangle
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, showing indecision between bulls and bears.
Before entering the triangle, the market showed strong bullish momentum, indicating a possible continuation pattern.
Price is hovering near a key support level (0.6513) where multiple candle wicks suggest buying pressure is defending.
🔍 Key Zones & Levels:
Support (0.6500–0.6510):
Price is reacting strongly here.
A break below this = bearish pressure → could retest lower demand zones.
Resistance (0.6530–0.6541):
Mid-structure resistance.
Clean breakout above this confirms bullish control.
Minor Reversal Zone (0.6555):
If bulls break above triangle, this area may stall price or reverse short term.
Ideal area for TP or trailing SL.
Demand Zone (0.6454):
Strong historical buy zone.
Only likely to hit if triangle breaks down aggressively.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above triangle + 0.6530 zone, expect:
Rally to 0.6541 (first target)
Extension toward 0.6555 where reversal/supply could kick in.
Momentum and volume confirmation needed — no breakout = no trade.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below triangle & 0.6500, expect:
Drop to 0.6490 (minor support)
Further slide toward 0.6454 (major support) if downside accelerates.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar WeakensMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar Weakens
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6520 level.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6550 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6565 zone. A high was formed near 0.6564 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6540 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6454 swing low to the 0.6564 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone. If there is a downside break below it, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6480 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6565. The first major resistance might be 0.6575. An upside break above the 0.6575 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUD USD short as it appears it seems there is a breakout don't rush to it it 90 percent of the time pull back to the original price yet i couldn't find better risk to reward ration on other prices lets see ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
AUDUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊AUDUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Buy Aud from pivoton the 1D chart there is some uptrend
on 1H and 4H chart price is testing the pivot line for support
if the support will be strong anought could be good RR
AUDUSD InsightWelcome to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated regarding Fed Chair Powell, “There is nothing that would make me say he should step down immediately,” — a remark that stands in contrast to previous comments made by former President Trump and his close aides.
- On U.S.-China trade negotiations, Secretary Bessent mentioned, “We will meet with Chinese officials in Stockholm on Monday and Tuesday to discuss extending the trade truce deadline.”
- Goldman Sachs has projected the U.S. growth rate this year at 1.1%. In a report, Jan Hatzius, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs, estimated the probability of a U.S. recession at 30%, which is double the normal level.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ July 24: ECB Interest Rate Decision
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair continues a gentle upward trend within its channel. As previously anticipated, a long-term rise toward the 0.69000 level is expected. However, resistance is still observed around the 0.66000 level. A breakout above this zone could lead to a swift rise toward 0.67000. Still, there is minor resistance near 0.67000, which may temporarily limit upward momentum. A slight pullback may occur before another upward move resumes.
AUDUSD Long - A BreakdownAfter a thorough breakdown, I decided to enter longs on AUD/USD. I expect for price to reach highs of around .65898 Which is the daily structure high Currently in profit On a long position and We entered on the 5 minute using a one hour stop loss Hopefully this trade continues to play out, and we'll see you on the other side of profit.
Australia faces a dilemma between inflation and labor slowdown
The RBA, in its latest meeting minutes, emphasized that the recent rate hold reflects a cautious and gradual approach toward achieving its inflation target. While the central bank noted the need for further data to confirm a decline in inflation, some Board members flagged rising unemployment as a signal of potential labor market softening. Bloomberg added that Australia’s export-driven economy remains vulnerable to tariff-related uncertainties, while private demand growth remains sluggish.
AUDUSD extended its uptrend after testing the low at 0.6455, reaching as high as 0.6560. Both EMAs narrow the gap, indicating a potential shift toward bullish momentum. If AUDUSD holds above both EMAs, the price could gain upward momentum toward the high at 0.6595. Conversely, if AUDUSD breaks below the support at 0.6540, the price may retreat toward 0.6510.
AUDUSD Ready to enter Buy?✅ **Market & Timeframe:**
AUD/USD, 1‑hour chart.
✅ **Overall Bias (multi‑timeframe):**
* Weekly: Bullish
* Daily: Bearish
* 12H: Bullish
* 6H: Bullish
* 4H: Bullish
➡️ **≈ 80% Bullish bias overall.**
✅ **Pattern & Structure:**
You’ve clearly highlighted an **Inverse Head and Shoulders**:
* Left Shoulder near 0.6520
* Head near 0.6500
* Right Shoulder near 0.6525
Price has broken above the neckline (\~0.6540 area).
✅ **Key Levels:**
* **Daily AOI (Area of Interest):** 0.6537–0.6541
(price currently above, expected to retest this zone)
* **Next upside target:** 0.6588–0.6590
* **Major support:** Lower Daily AOI around 0.6466–0.6490
✅ **Moving Averages:**
* Blue MA (shorter) is above red MA (longer) – showing upward momentum.
✅ **Price Action Plan (illustrated by your arrows):**
1. Price has just broken out above the neckline.
2. Expecting a **retest back into Daily AOI (\~0.6540)**.
3. Looking for bullish confirmation there (e.g., bullish candlestick pattern) to enter **long**.
4. Targeting the resistance zone around **0.6588–0.6590**.
---
📌 **Summary:**
Your chart signals an **80% bullish setup**.
✅ Inverse head & shoulders → breakout above neckline.
✅ Wait for price to pull back into Daily AOI (0.6537–0.6541).
✅ Look for bullish confirmation → then enter long.
🎯 Target: \~0.6588–0.6590.
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUD/USD – 15m Demand📊 Trade Breakdown:
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 15 Minute
Bias: Bullish
Type: Demand Zone Rejection
Entry: 0.65264
Stop Loss: 0.65186
Take Profit: 0.65570
Risk-to-Reward: ~3R
⸻
📌 Key Confluences:
• Clean 15m demand zone formed after a sharp impulse move
• Strong bullish engulfing candle from demand
• Liquidity sweep to the left prior to demand forming
• Structure shift with higher highs and higher lows
• Previous resistance flipped to support at entry zone
• AUD strength showing on intraday sentiment across multiple pairs
⸻
⚙️ Trade Setup:
Entered long after price tapped into the refined 15m demand zone and printed a bullish rejection wick. SL placed just below the zone to avoid noise. TP set near a prior 15m supply area / liquidity sweep zone.
I’m watching for continuation on the next 15m-1h candle closures. If price breaks above 0.6544, expecting follow-through to 0.6557+.
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
Stayed patient waiting for price to come to me. No FOMO. Clear invalidation and clean R:R. Confidence in the setup due to structure, confluences, and reaction off the zone. Trusting the process and letting the trade breathe.
Trade Simple, Live Lavish
AUD/USD Channel Breakdown Could Threaten Bullish StructureAUD/USD is currently holding just above the 0.6500 psychological level after retreating from the 0.6558 Fibonacci resistance (61.8% retracement of the October–April decline). Price action has recently broken beneath the lower boundary of a rising wedge pattern—a traditionally bearish signal—raising the risk of deeper downside ahead.
The 50-day SMA (0.6498) and 200-day SMA (0.6399) are converging, with the former now acting as dynamic support following today’s bounce. However, momentum indicators offer limited bullish conviction: the RSI hovers near neutral at 51.5, and the MACD is flatlining just above zero, suggesting a pause in directional bias.
If bears push price back under 0.6500, the rising wedge breakdown could accelerate toward the 200-day SMA and potentially the horizontal support zone at 0.6178. On the flip side, a recovery above 0.6558 would invalidate the wedge and open the door for a run toward the 78.6% retracement near 0.6730.
Bias: Cautiously bearish while below 0.6558, especially if daily closes begin to settle under 0.6500. A loss of the 200-day SMA would confirm a trend reversal.
Time frame: Short- to medium-term (days to weeks)
-MW
VMS STRATEGY APPLIED📈 VMS Strategy – Triple Top Win Example
We took this trade last Monday based on a textbook triple top reversal:
✅ Clean engulfing candle at resistance
✅ Strong downward volume
✅ Momentum clearly shifting in the trade direction
✅ Perfect timing with all elements aligning
On the 4-hour chart, we focus on specific reversal patterns within the VMS framework:
***Triple tops/bottoms
***Head & shoulders
***1-2-3 formations
***Hammer and shooting star reversals
Each setup must meet all VMS criteria before being considered.
A quick note on back testing:
We know traditional back testing can feel flawed—but here’s what works for us:
Start at the beginning of the month, hide future candles, and scan for VMS setups in real-time conditions. The trade either fits the rules—or it doesn’t. There’s no debate.
We’re not claiming perfection. This strategy does take losses—sometimes multiple in a row. But over time, through strict rule-following and patience, we’ve found consistency and success.
If this helps you, feel free to share it—or even just take a closer look.
With respect, always test it for yourself before trading live.
We’re here to share what’s working for us. We welcome thoughts and suggestions—but know this:
👉 This is a rules-based strategy rooted in discipline, not prediction.
🔒 Aligned Execution is the Edge.
AUDUSD Here is our signal for AUDUSD
Occasionally we give a free signal, so here's AUDUSD long.
Rules:
1- Wait for the 15 minute to close with momentum above the entry, ideally we want a re-test of the entry.
2- at TP1 move your SL to entry.
3- If you want to close at TP2 then do so.
📊Entry: 0.65223
⚠️SL: 0.65057
✔️TP1: 0.65407
✔️TP2: 0.65643
✔️TP3: 0.65940
Happy Trading,
Sarah
