GOLD- TRADE ACTIVATEDFollowing my previous post, the trade is now activated, fingers crossed lets see how will it play, GOOD LUCK IF YOU ETERED Longby MR-FX4229
XAUUSD:17/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance is 2400, support below is 2373-35 Four-hour resistance is 2400, support below is 2373 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical aspects of gold surged rapidly in the Asian market and broke through the 2397 mark, ushering in a suppressed and volatile downward trend. The European market reversed for a second time and came under pressure of 2394, and fell back again. In the US market, the gold price continued to bear the influence of the initial unemployment claims data. It weakened again under the 2386 mark, and finally continued to decline to rebound and close around 2370. The overall price appeared under pressure below the 2400 integer mark. Yesterday, the European market opened down around 2392-94, which became a short-term strong resistance area. Judging from the 4-hour trend of gold, the short-term support below is focused around 2370-73. The overall focus is on the 2370-2395 area to maintain selling high and buying low. The strong dividing line for short-term bulls focuses on the 2350 mark. The daily level has stabilized and bulls are still strong above this position. There is no important data today. Beware of unilateral market trends. SELL:2397near SL:2341 BUY:2373near SL:2370 Technical analysis only provides trading direction! Longby ActuaryJUpdated 1110
Don’t panic because of the adjustment, gold is bullish near 2405 This time, unlike four years ago, the surge in gold in 2020 is due, on the one hand, to the sudden epidemic, which has led to market uncertainty about the future, and, on the other, the massive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. Today, the Federal Reserve has already tightened policy and has been clamoring to raise interest rates. Fed Governor Bowman has repeatedly reminded the market not to be too optimistic. A drop in inflation does not guarantee that interest rates will not be raised in the future. Federal Reserve voting committee member Mester also said yesterday that she believed three interest rate cuts this year were too many. Based on the current economic development, too many interest rate cuts are not suitable. The US economy is slowing down. This is already an event. Politicians will not come out and say that their economy is going to collapse. They are optimistic that there will be a soft landing and inflation will continue to be high and interest rates will be reduced to 2%. The market situation does not mean that the higher the frequency, the better, nor does it mean that a small amount adds up to a large sum. It is about clarifying the main trend, then turning the short-term into a long-term, and continuing to make profits. It is unrealistic to try to counter the trend. Because it does not mean that a rise will necessarily lead to a fall, and a big rise does not necessarily mean a big fall. This is not a positive or negative relationship. Just like many people’s understanding of the Fed’s interest rate hikes and cuts is very one-sided. The end of interest rate hikes does not mean that It is necessary to raise interest rates. It is absolutely possible to maintain high interest rates without increasing or decreasing them. I have repeatedly emphasized that once you miss the gold rally, you may not be able to encounter such an opportunity even if you wait for ten years. But even if you participate, you do not have a deep understanding of the trend and cannot make profits, and you will always be pessimistic. I think it’s because the market is not good, I’m not lucky, and I’m not good enough. In fact, none of the above has anything to do with it. Wealth is determined by the track, and investment is determined by trends. Just like if you invest in stocks in the United States in the past 20 years, the trend will take participants across classes. Don’t be afraid of heights. There will be adjustments after rising. This is a normal market behavior. Yesterday, the price of gold adjusted downward from 2,450 US dollars. It was just a short break. It will not have an impact on the rise. Instead, it is an opportunity to get on the train. After the gold price hit $2,450 yesterday, it continued to fall back. The current support is at $2,407, which will be adjusted. However, the structure is still mainly low and long. We are not considering shorting gold at the moment. Therefore, we should pay attention to this kind of sharp rise in the market, especially after the data weakens, we should not go low again. Today, gold is long near 2405, and the loss is at 2390, avoiding the previous top-bottom transition position of 2396. The span of the target area above is enlarged a bit, at 2430-2440, and the stop loss will be adjusted by moving up at that time. Longby Yuliya10Updated 119
Long Opportunity 5/21/20242414 support weekly support tested multiple times on 4H (support respected) Bullish retracement breakout to then retest 61.8% of the bullish move post breakout targeting 1.272 extension which is slight above 2435 which is monthly resistance and was tested during the breakout. Price will likely break through if it doesn't I will take profit here or just adjust my SL to Break even in order to maximize the trade as I aim for 2441 and 2450Longby BetterBusinessBullyUpdated 119
Closing my Selling order / #42 Profits rowAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged Selling order with #2,436.80 entry point (optimal Target remains #2,400.80 psychological benchmark). My Selling order is running in decent Profit and will re-Sell Gold when / if #2,400.80 benchmark fails to hold." I have closed all my Selling orders (#2,436.80 - #2,412.80) on an fine #24-point Profit, extending my results range to #42 Profits and #9 Stop-loss hits regarding October - May cycle. I will use this chance to congratulate Traders which are Selling every High's that Gold delivers, well done! Technical analysis: Gold has made a temporary Low’s and temporary High’s near psychological levels of #2,400.80 and #2,452.80 with third straight Daily chart’s green candle (followed with bigger than usual Selling Volume delivering series of Bearish candles). Both Hourly 4 chart’s breakout points are intact however all MA periods are pointing to aggressive takedown as #H4 and #D1 are in perfect alignment with the respective Selling sequence where the movement neckline is dictating healthy Descending Channel on Hourly 1 chart which restricts the Price-action back above #2,400.80 - #2,412.80 Support zone (Technical maximum at this point). My strategy remains to Sell every local High’s which Gold delivers, proven to be very safe and is delivering optimal framework pointing to prolonged weakness ahead on Gold on Medium to Long-term. As mega Bullish rally is showing signs of exhaustion, Resistance zone attempt failed and Gold is delivering more and more sustainable Selling reversals and since the Volume is Low and Investors are less interested in Buying, I do believe if #2,400.80 benchmark gets invalidated, Selling sequence will extend towards #2,352.80 benchmark (as shown historically within current Selling sequence). The #2,400.80 - #2,412.80 local Low's was achieved on sequence of #3 Hourly 4 chart’s Bearish candles and this is typically a Selling continuation signal since Price-action is isolated within Descending Channel. My position: Currently I am without the order, waiting for #2,400.80 initial break to pursue / re-Sell Gold towards #2,352.80 benchmark.Shortby goldenBear88228
GOLD Retreats from Record Highs as Profit-Taking Begins Gold Eases from Record Highs as Profit-Taking Kicks In "Gold's key role is to offset risk, whether financial, geopolitical, or volatility-related. That is not new, but sentiment has now realized it." Geopolitical events and lower interest rates make non-yielding gold an appealing investment. Recent data suggest that U.S. inflation has resumed its downward trend. However, several Fed policymakers remained cautious on Monday, indicating they want to ensure pricing pressures are fully back on track to the 2% target rate before starting to cut rates. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's last policy meeting minutes, due on Wednesday. Technical Analysis of Gold: The price of gold has dropped and reached its support line, as noted in our previous analysis. Currently, it is expected to attempt to reach 2426 from the support level at 2410. However, any stability below 2410 indicates a potential drop to 2397. Overall, the price will consolidate between 2410 and 2426 until a breakout occurs. Closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above 2429 will support a rise towards 2451. Pivot Price: 2411 Resistance Levels: 2426, 2451, 2462 Support Levels: 2397, 2388, 2377 Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2397 and the resistance level at 2437. Previous Idea: Longby SroshMayiUpdated 19
2390 is coming, continue shorting after the reboundGold fell back to around 2405 as expected. Our short gold position today near 2418 ended up hitting TP again. It was a very good trading experience. In fact, as long as you follow me, you will easily find that I have recently reminded you to focus on shorting gold.In particular, the previous article reminded: short gold, and aiming at 2395-2390. Judging from the recent trend of gold, the highs of gold's rebound are gradually lowering, while the lows are also constantly lowering, and it is already trying to fall below the wedge structure, so the short sellers are currently dominant. Although the short-term structure of gold is supported by the 2405-2400 area, since gold is already trying to touch this area, I think it is only a matter of time before gold falls below this area, and then gold is really going to fall towards the 2395-2390 area. Gold is currently trying to fall below the wedge structure. Once it is confirmed to be effective, the space below gold will be completely opened, and gold is likely to continue its downward trend. Therefore, if the market does not stabilize, do not go long gold easily. We will mainly focus on short gold at high levels. As gold falls, the resistance area moves downwards, and we first focus on the 2415-2420 area resistance. The following focuses on the gains and losses at the 2400 position.Shortby Trading-HawkeyeUpdated 18
Gold - Kickstarting the Next Impulse!📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 XAUUSD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue. Currently, XAUUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting the previous ATH marked in red. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red previous ATH and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richby TheSignalyst17
Great Last KissA retest in forex trading is the price action that occurs after a breakout, where the price returns to the level that was broken and tests it as a new support www.tradingview.com level.Longby Goldminer10Updated 227
XAUUSDXAUUSD price is near the important support zones 2365 and 2355. If the price cannot break through the 2355 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying a red zone. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!Longby Serana2324117
XAU/USD New rally soon? Longs from 2,320 My bias this week for gold is to look for new long opportunities to maintain the current bullish trend. Despite witnessing an all-time high (ATH) being taken out and now experiencing a strong bearish move, this could merely be a retracement due to the significant liquidity swept at the top earlier last week. I am waiting for the price to enter the 19-hour demand zone to look for a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, which would signal a buying opportunity back up to a supply zone. If the price retraces upward without touching my marked demand zone, I will wait for the 5-hour supply to be mitigated. Confluences for Gold Buys: - The price has reached an ATH and is undergoing a correction. - The 19-hour demand zone has caused a break of structure to the upside. - There are numerous imbalances left for the price to fill, as well as untouched Asian highs. - The price is entering a discounted area and a psychological number. P.S. Although the price has been quite bearish since the ATH sweep, I will still consider gold to be bullish if it holds in my nearby demand zones. If the price breaks the entire structure and continues downward, we might be in for a short-term bearish move.Longby Hassan_fx118
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound from the support levelGOLD rebounded from the 50% retracement level XAUUSD returned to the ascending channel. The chart retained its ascending structure. We expect the growth to continue. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!Longby DeGRAMUpdated 1117
XAUUSD Short-term Channel Up.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a short-term Channel Up pattern since the May 03 Low, essentially throughout the whole month, and currently the price is consolidating below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Such consolidation within the 1H MA50 and the 1H MA100 (green trend-line) took place on every single Higher Low formation at the bottom of the Channel Up. At the same time, the 4H RSI hits its Higher Lows trend-line. The minimum Bullish Leg % within this Channel Up has been +2.44% and the maximum +3.35%. As a result, we turn bullish now on Gold with a 2465 - 2485 Target Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShot17
XAUUSD : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the XAUUSD chart. The price has broken the descending channel upwards and pulled back to the indicated support level. We expect the price to maintain its upward trend and grow up to around 2398. Good luck.Longby mrAT_TraderUpdated 116
XAUUSDXAUUSD is about to entered in strong resistance zone. Price is been on strong bullish run from last few days but now has entered into bears territory, will the bears get active active and send price back to 2370 region ?by JustTradeSignals116
XAU/USD Intra Day Trade IdeasLooking at 2 options for trading gold today based on support and resistance levels along with a bullish pennant forming. Trade 2 offers more of a confirmation than trade one once we break out of the triangle and push to the upside to form new all time highs. Let me know your thoughts on this. Happy Trading. :) Longby FXCapitalClub226
Gold Daily Trading Plan 5/22/2024Gold could not break April 12th daily high at 2431. And it formed lowering triangle at 4 hourly. The chance of price moving downward is high. I have held selling from 2432. If 2406-2410 level is broken, I will add more upon retracement. Shortby SteadyFund116
GOLD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why: The price of GOLD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Shortby UnitedSignals227
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook • Key event risks for the week ahead. • Nvidia’s Q125 earnings, a key driver of equity markets this week. • Fed speakers could move markets – Powell, Waller, and Jefferson in the spotlight. • US equity markets at all-time highs – fatigued, but well-supported. • Copper, gold, platinum, and silver are all on fire. The key event risks for traders this week We look ahead and eye the key event risk, where I would be paying particular attention to earnings from Nvidia, and speeches from Fed members Waller (he speaks 3 times this week), Jefferson and Chair Powell. We get UK, and Canadian CPI, and will keep a beady eye on the narrative out from the RBNZ meeting, which will keep rates hold but guide on the future direction of rates. We also get manufacturing and services PMIs in the US, UK, Australia, and Europe. UK CPI (due Wed at 16:00 AEST) could get the GBP moving – in either direction – with UK swaps market pricing a near 60% probability of a 25bp cut in the 20 June BoE meeting, and 55bp of cuts by December, and with core CPI expected to fall to 3.6% y/y (from 4.2%) and headline CPI eyed at 2.1% y/y, a lower-than-forecast CPI print could cement a June cut in the market eyes. For those wanting to trade GBP downside, short GBPNZD was the play last week, although, with the RBNZ meeting due on Wednesday, an extension of this trade has risk. Nvidia should beat but by how much? Q125 earnings from Nvidia could get the AI-related semis and the NAS100 firing up (or lower), and even set off moves across other markets too. When the options market prices an 8.6% move on the day of earnings, if this implied move proves to be correct, that’s a staggering $195b in market cap gained or lost in a likely 60-minute window. It would also equate to a -/+0.5% move in S&P500 futures in the after-hours session. We know Nvidia will likely beat the sell-side (investment banks) consensus estimates for revenue, EPS, and gross margins - they always do - but it’s the extent of the beat that matters. Q125 sales are eyed at $24.61b, with Q225 sales guidance expected to come in around $26.72b – one suspects they’ll need to hit us with sales of GETTEX:26B + for Q125 sales and GETTEX:29B for Q225 sales respectively, with CEO Jensen Huang with inspiring guidance to get this pumping like we saw in February. Fed speakers to watch out for The message last week from the Fed was one of patience and this message is likely what we’ll hear from Fed speakers this week as well. Chair Powell, Fed board member Waller and Vice-chair Jefferson will be the central focus here, and their views on inflation and policy could move markets, although broadly, markets feel comfortable with the current pricing of 43bp of cuts priced by December, and we see US 2yr Treasuries holding a range of 4.89% to 4.70%. Last week’s US CPI was encouraging and while this week’s US PMI data could move the dial, notably, if the services print were to surprise and pull below 50 (consensus is at 51.4) it could lift volatility and promote USD sellers. That said, it feels like the market is looking forward to the nonfarm payrolls print on 7 June as the next big piece of the macro jigsaw. US data has been missing the mark on a consistent basis since mid-April and that has led some to say the US economy is moving towards a ‘soft landing’ environment and away from a ‘no landing’ dynamic. Add in solid earnings beats and growth, a renewed belief in the ‘Fed put’ and a world with a huge appetite to sell volatility (the VIX now sits at a lowly 11.99%) - and we have the S&P500, Dow and NAS100 at all-time highs. This is a tough market for those in short positions for more than an intraday day trade, and those positioned for downside would be hoping that Nvidia disappoints in a big way. Nvidia are not a company I would typically bet against, so even though the various US indices look tired, the platform is set for further highs and pullbacks should be shallow. This is true of the HK50/CHINAH indices too, which have had another incredible week of gains. Data in China is lacking this week, so we are fully at the mercy of liquidity and flows. 20k is the near-term target for the HK50 index, but I would consider switching some of HK50 exposure towards the mainland equity markets and the CN50 index, which has broken out and outperformed HK equity on Friday. We’ll see if some of the goodwill towards China can spill over into the ASX200, which saw supply above 7850 last week – should the ASX200 kick through 7860 early I would be looking for a re-test of Thursday’s highs (7900) and even new all-time highs above 7910. Copper on fire The action continues to be in the metals complex – the space is red hot. Copper closed 4.1% higher on Friday, taking the gains for the week to 8.3%, and for the trend-followers and momentum traders, the daily chart is a thing of beauty. Many know the story on reduced copper supply, and those highly focused on the copper scene would be aware of the massive short covering seen in CME futures positioning since mid-February (-42k contracts to stand at +72k) and the widening premium of CME copper to LME copper to $1041 - but the move in copper is momentum 101 and discretionary and systematic players have had to chase. For FX traders, this move in copper remains a huge tailwind for the CLP (Chilean peso), where USDCLP has fallen 9.4% since mid-April. Market players chasing silver, platinum and gold The chase higher from various market players is also true in silver, which had its best week since August 2020, helped by a monster move of 6.5% on Friday, which took price through to the best levels since Feb 2013. Platinum has participated with an 8.8% weekly gain, while gold closed at a new closing high, and eyes the all-time intraday high of $2431.52 – a weekly close above here this week and the FOMO chase could be real. The question of exactly what is driving the gold move above $2400 is one we hear frequently. The fact we saw US real rates (i.e. US bonds adjusted for expected inflation) rise 3bp higher on Friday – typically a headwind for gold - yet gold rallied 1.6% details that there are other factors than rates driving gold flows – these include a broad base rally in metals, central bank buying, increasing Chinese gold holdings (relative to its international reserves), a hedge against ballooning government deficits; it’s all there and it seems we always have to pick a reasoning behind a move after the fact. I have little idea how anyone trades gold short-term from a purely fundamental standpoint. My view is to be a slave to price action, react, align with the short-term trend, and cut quickly when the move goes against you. Anyhow, another big week of market themes and risk to have on the radar. Good luck to all. Longby Pepperstone115
23rd May 2024 Goldthoughts based on technical analysis backed up with the fundamental analysis that there are wars that led to assasination of Iran presidentby donmordechai116
XAU/USD - Buy zone!Hi there! I'm a buyer on XAU/USD : -RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution) -We have liquidity. -We have an interesting zone. -We have the optimal fibo. -We have accumulation before/on the zone. -We are with the trend. Longby InfiniteY16
Could price bounce from here?Gold (XAU/USD) has just reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 2,328.50 1st Support: 2,287.12 1st Resistance: 2,373.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.Longby ICmarkets15
Empire of dollar is crashing In the gold market, the most commonly extended wave is wave 5. IMHO this chart most accurately gives a path. Chart pattern on weekly. I really like using higher time frames. DXY ( U.S. Dollar Index) Longby BTC-XLMUpdated 5518