This trade-setup has a high probability of success. and still, the risk/reward is about 2.5
If the market is bullish on higher timeframe it must come down to the "take profit" area to make a "higher low". if the market is bearish on higher timeframe, then we hit our take profit anyway, but then we could had moved it even futher down. but thats why i have placed my "take profit" just where it is now, so we could profit undepended of what the higher...