I'm only looking for cherry-picked scalp size bites with ETH.... I did this about 2 weeks ago, and looking to repeat. The ABC correction up looks likely, and projects an obvious target +3.3% up only. This also equals the previous correction UP from similar levels 2 weeks ago. Otherwise can scale in -3% lower and adjust target downwards etc
Here is an example of a 'paper trade' that went wrong - and trying to roll the strike down; to recover loss and lose only brokerage. initial entry - June 22 Bull put spread with Sold 12.19 July 15 / buy 11.76 - for net credit $700 at around underlying of 13.00 Roll down position of options to avoid being exercised at expiry ( as European sold leg) second entry...
This is similar concept to ORI trade, but just reversed by placing a Bear call spread ( credit)- taking advantage of time decay the last 14 days until options expiry. short 32.00 July 15 / long 33.00 July 15 - for net credit $ 610.
There is a technical termination of C wave in textbook correction, so to be neutral to bullish seems a better than 50% chance. Using time-decay last 14 days of Bull Put spread; short 16.00 Jul 15 strike / long 15.50 Jul - for net credit payment of +$639 for 2 weeks wait.... Just needs to expire > 16.00 to be 'out of the money' for a win here.
The intraday action shows a false break lower ( big tail ) and new low didn't last very long; Double signal buy for few days hold or more....
I have reduced the target to only a scalp here for 60 pips ( 1:1 ratio reward/ risk) due to price action.... note : to reduce risk I often get out at much less initial risk.... I entered on 24/06 but killed at breakeven... so this is a re-entry trade
1. alligator on dailes sleeping ( range bound market) 2. strong trend down previously on 2 hourlies - Volume POC GAP is very large between left eye and mouth; 3. Volume POC each day in white - should make pattern of "clown face frown " 4. First trigger is VPOC move up to "top of LIP ( right part of face crease) 5. Second trigger is price drops back down...
This pattern again uses pattern / volume profile for a slight edge... 1. condition 1 : market corrects strongly then 'false break out SPIKE lower forming ' Hind-legs' of T -Rex 2. Condition 2 : there is a double top ' bear flag that fails to go down and breaks upwards instead ...but this also fails forming T-Rex body and head; The idea here is that Short trading...
Please see previous trade for description in related ideas
SOmetimes find signal 'combos' that do not pass signal rules on their own....however my rationale for entering is that if get a loosely fitting on 'two signals' it adds to the conviction that the trade my have a slighly higher probability of working out...of course the risk is higher on these 'blended signal trades' so have to expect a higher failure rate and...
This is a new strategy I'm trying to develop utilizing volume profile theories to identify reversals for swing trading in range bound markets only ( not trending)...It's firstly selected on the dailies using the Alligator as a filter for non-trending markets. If the mouth is 'closed' the Alligator is sleeping, and it's likely to be changing into a range bound...
Looking for a reversal entry at old low at 106.60 ( a few pips above); stoploss below todays low so fairly tight. scalp only reward should be at least 1.5* risk....
The Consumer discretionary sector is correcting in a Bull leg - it has done 'normal' correction so far in length and time; SO looking at a stronger leading stock in the sector - we have a similar action. As this places a slightly higher probability of the stock at least holding 'above' support zones below - a neutral to bullish options credit spread can take...
This is a second entry after scratching the first turtle soup entry a few days ago.... This time it went lower to a new >21 day low yesterday, then opened above that old low of 21.07 As rallied from morning, I noticed it showed another signal on /momentum pinball because I missed that low entry due to gapping up, so I entered on the break > high first 1 hour...
This is based on ' The Anty' strategy in which after a normal correction degree, there is at least the same or better recovery in price - a neutral to bullish strategy is bull put spread ( paid a credit) and with only 8 days until expiry benefit from time-decay at a fairly high probability scenario....it needs to close below 10.98 at expiry ( using european style...
This is from 'Streetsmarts" ADX Gapper strategy > It gaps down below yesterdays low and then recovers... place buy stop at old low with stop below todays low. I think its fairly high risk strategy, but low risk / low probability profile is acceptable if have a compensation of reward being much larger ( eg > 2:1 ) See how it goes today. Some added comfort...
This is a triple confirmation on strategies from Streetsmarts... 1. Holy Grail is watching ADX it should be correcting only from uptrend > 30 2. Gap below yesterday's low then reversal recovery in morning at 35.10 3. 80-20 is yesterdays range opened in upper third, and closed in lower third; today's gap down then recovery of yesterdays low, buy > 1st hour bar >...