CitRoN_RouGe

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35 % forex 16 % cryptocurrency 48 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:XAUUSD 32% | 32 EURUSD 17% | 17 BTCUSD 16% | 16 FX_IDC:XAUUSD 11% | 11
CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Hawkish FOMC would be no surprise…
598 2 23
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD – Hawkish FOMC would be no surprise…

1.1730 was reaction level as expected. I wait for further decline down to 1.16s till Wednesday. Below 1.1850 is bearish in my opinion. It will be a “super Wednesday, as we have US_CPI data release coupled with FOMC statement in the evening. I think the outcome of Wednesday will roughly tell us the end-of-year scenario. It shall be a week of remarkable ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold – Sharp break at MA200 and cycle low intersection
1145 6 54
XAUUSD, D Short
Gold – Sharp break at MA200 and cycle low intersection

MA200 (daily) and cycle low (of 2017 rally) intersection support was broken last week, and the price extended down to 1245 again. Having declined $50 a week, the price action is too stretched now. A correction seems to follow before the next short opportunity. Also to be noted that the break might be a “bear trap”, break not confirmed yet. I booked profits for ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD – Price action trying to make 90-degrees angle???
2467 17 74
BTCUSD, D
BTCUSD – Price action trying to make 90-degrees angle???

Still waiting for a pullback to catch the next opportunity…

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD – Back again at channel bottom
293 1 13
AUDUSD, D Short
AUDUSD – Back again at channel bottom

Price declined back to the 2-year channel bottom again, which completes (abcde) zigzag pattern. This point also coincides with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7330-0.8120 uptrend (May to September rally). If channel bottom support is broken, this will be a confirmation for a strong bearish flag formation. From a fundamental point of view, AUD_ is under ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Just short ....
626 1 24
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD – Just short ....

Come down Euro_ !

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Seems like EMA200 break downwards
724 5 44
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD – Seems like EMA200 break downwards

Following the EMA line series: EMA25 – EMA50 cross pushed the price down to EMA200 level yesterday. Now it seems that EMA200 line is being broken, but not confirmed yet. Today we have Draghi speech, during which I do not expect to hear anything new. Following yesterday’s ADP NFP figures coming “above expectations”, USD_bulls were motivated for tomorrow’s NFP ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Short term critical point
737 3 50
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD – Short term critical point

Cycle low line extending from 1.1550 is broken and 1.1960 seems to become a lower high. EMA25 approaches EMA50 from above. We shall see either a cross or a bounce (a cross in my opinion). At the same time price is about to test EMA200 on 4H scale. Point “A” is critical today, a break below this point open the way down to 1.1730 and 1.1670 support levels. (Or a ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD – Lovely but cruel bitty !!!!
1107 10 24
BTCUSD, D
BTCUSD – Lovely but cruel bitty !!!!

Now It is crystal clear to me that bitty does not let me win. I waited for weeks to catch this spike, but unfortunately it happened during my vacation :(((( Congratulations to the winners …

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Another opportunity to short Euro
1197 8 57
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD – Another opportunity to short Euro

Price climbed back to the critical resistance zone once again. A sharp reaction from the band might open the door for a long-term USD_rally. Let’s see how USD_bulls would react to the US tax cut bill passed on Saturday...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD – Critical test point on previous (broken) support line
3103 9 84
BTCUSD, 240
BTCUSD – Critical test point on previous (broken) support line

Cycle low line broken during the weekend, even down to 5500s. Malheureusement I missed it :(((( Now the price climbed back to the broken line, let’s see whether it would work as a resistance or not. Uptrend might resume by sustained break above this potential resistance.

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Sharp reaction from 1.1680 is on the way
1953 8 91
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD – Sharp reaction from 1.1680 is on the way

Honey comb is broken, and the bear tasted the honey… I remain bearish… A busy week is to come with critical events. Any event resulting against Euro shall drag the parity down the way to 1.1430. But in contrast, I don’t think that the events supporting Euro will carry EURUSD significantly higher. SHS neckline level 1.1680 is broken (undersigned by ECB), and in my ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold - Still consolidates, direction not clear yet
1143 21 65
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Gold - Still consolidates, direction not clear yet

The price is stuck in 1270-1280 band since 20th October, which is unusual for gold_ market. Neither bulls nor bears are strong enough to push the price out of the band. The limits of consolidation zone seems to work quite better than other technical indicators. Basing on the market expectations on USD strength, I remain bearish as long as the mid-October high ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD – Cycle low strength to determine direction
3391 22 80
BTCUSD, 240
BTCUSD – Cycle low strength to determine direction

Wednesday’s pin high level (on 4H chart) ~7900 was the signal for correction. Price rebounded back to cycle low level ~6400. I think the reaction from cycle low line will be under test during the weekend. Neither direction has been confirmed yet. Need to follow and confirm rejection from the cycle low or break of this line before taking position.

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Two levels with short position potential
1151 8 73
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD – Two levels with short position potential

On the hourly chart, I marked two levels to enter short position. - 1.1610 is the recent resistance level, coupled with EMA100 above. - 1.1640 might be the second rejection level, on which EMA200 stays now. Stochastic points downside, RSI reversal also to be confirmed. In the long-term, I still keep my short positions. Above levels might be good rebound ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD – Price too stretched… trend exhausted
3492 17 96
BTCUSD, D
BTCUSD – Price too stretched… trend exhausted

Looking at the daily cycle low lines, I hesitate to take further long positions until a major retracement low. (Maybe a retracement of $1000-2000 even extending down to 5000s.) I did not measure the angles on the chart, but it is visually obvious that the cycle low slope is steep enough to call for a major retracement. If I am wrong, that means that the market is ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD – Critical levels on weekly scale
955 10 68
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD – Critical levels on weekly scale

Fibo retracement 23.6% level (1.1680) is broken, with a clear SHS_ formation above. Following the break, price also faced resistance from 1.1680 level last week. ECB still dovish and EUR bulls' summer time excitement is missing. Retracement from September high level seems to extend further below. I prefer to hold short positions until the price touches the base ...

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Gold – A bullish butterfly on daily scale
877 13 40
XAUUSD, D
Gold – A bullish butterfly on daily scale

While working on daily chart patterns, I came to notice a bullish butterfly pattern. If I am not mistaken in fitting the pattern, the final point “D” shows 990. The butterfly looks lovely, but still I cannot convince myself about completion of this pattern, 990 would mean a market upside down ????

CitRoN_RouGe CitRoN_RouGe PRO XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold – Short-term bearish / long-term bullish idea
798 18 24
XAUUSD, W
Gold – Short-term bearish / long-term bullish idea

An idea on weekly price action and governing supports/resistances …

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