DadShark

We're in a short term compressionary period and the long term mean reversion pivots are still miles away. Sit tight, trade some short term lateral chop and wait to see if there's downward net expansion.

Probably not, though we need to wait for the mean reversion pivots to form so we can accurately define when the trend ends.

Currently, I don't believe the potential rewards outweigh the risks of entering right now. Missed profits are not lost profits, patience is key until we retest a level worth buying at.

Bearish conditions are still active believe it or not, and we're right below the massive bearish orderblock from earlier this year. Low volume, tether fud, it's just a matter of time.

Hey, been a week since I've uploaded. I go over my thoughts on why this is, theoretically, the top for bitcoin this week. It's certainly been a long month as far as trading goes!

We've crossed the relevant mean reversion pivots and I'm now expecting full retracement! Buckle up, we're about to get over a month of downtrend.

We're squished between the mean reversion pivot and the weekly 50 MA. I do believe the previous move was the UTAD of the accumulation range I am expecting a downward break. Reentry of the 1050 1.25 stdev on the 1h will confirm this.

I do believe this is the UTAD and rejection from the weekly 50. We'll see how this plays out!

Well here we are, we've tested the swing high target expected from the previous crash pattern. The weekly 50 MA is liable to provide significant resistance as an institutional benchmark. We've followed all the moves of Bitcoin's previous crash pattern to the letter over the last 15 months. The same mean reversions, respected benchmarks, and even the generations...

Expecting the wrench to be thrown in when we hit the 50 MA. We'll see when the pivot breaks, i'm excited to see the downtrend resume.

a comparison of crash patterns and mean reversion pivots. Getting cozy with this chart.

Getting real close to the mean reversion pivot on BTC, target is around 4,200 to the downside if it's crossed. Of course, if we do retrace that far implying that we'll go down fully to the weekly 200 is easy as well.

More of the same sideways

Ok. Went ahead and loaded up the bollinger bands of all the most relevant periods on the four hour using the heat map. The bottom indicator is 32 different periods of bollinger bands, scaling logarithmically. Blue and green values represent a very tight bollinger band. Yellow and red represent a bollinger band with wayyyyy too much width. The more width on a...

I'm aware the title has offended you. Read through this post anyway, I'm sure I touch up on your complaints. Stop forming your identity around your strategy. Even I am not immune to this. it’s all too common to form a personal relationship with the tools you’re using to trade. Whether that’s the indicators on your chart, your Gann shooting star wave pattern...

While everyone might be drawing a flag, here are the volatility theory pivots of that flag.

Compressing between the mean reversion pivot and the weekly 50 MA.

Pretty simple macro level analysis with some talk about the operations of volatility overhead. First we test the weekly 50, then down to the weekly 200